ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 383
Avg Goals 3.49
Avg Home 1.91
Avg Away 1.57
Home Win % 43.9%
Draw % 22.2%
Away Win % 33.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 383
Avg Brier Score 0.6013
Pick Accuracy 50.1%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6036
Market Brier 0.6011
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 383 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.3% 5.9% 17
10–20% 16.5% 18.9% 169
20–30% 24.4% 23.5% 446
30–40% 35.2% 39.2% 189
40–50% 44.4% 43.5% 131
50–60% 54.6% 51.0% 100
60–70% 64.9% 59.2% 71
70–80% 74.5% 81.8% 22
80–90% 83.6% 75.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
20.07.23 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 51% 57% -10.9 23% 24% -7.3 26% 31% -14.0
21.07.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs UMF Selfoss 9-0 69% 73% -5.1 16% 19% -13.8 14% 19% -24.9
21.07.23 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs KF Aegir 5-1 76% 79% -3.8 14% 18% -21.8 9% 13% -29.1
21.07.23 UMF Grindavik vs IA Akranes 0-2 32% 36% -12.6 25% 28% -9.4 43% 49% -11.8
21.07.23 UMF Njardvik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1-3 29% 36% -17.9 25% 28% -10.3 46% 49% -6.2
22.07.23 IF Vestri vs Thor Akureyri 1-0 48% 53% -9.4 25% 29% -11.5 27% 31% -13.4
25.07.23 Thor Akureyri vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 3-1 37% 43% -14.9 26% 29% -9.6 37% 40% -7.1
25.07.23 UMF Selfoss vs UMF Grindavik 2-0 34% 38% -11.1 25% 28% -9.1 41% 47% -12.8
27.07.23 KF Aegir vs Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 27% 32% -16.1 24% 27% -9.3 49% 53% -8.9
28.07.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs IA Akranes 2-5 50% 56% -9.1 23% 26% -9.0 26% 31% -14.9
29.07.23 IF Vestri vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 3-0 47% 54% -13.7 25% 28% -9.3 28% 30% -7.0
29.07.23 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri 1-0 51% 57% -10.4 24% 26% -9.5 25% 29% -12.5
29.07.23 UMF Njardvik vs UMF Grindavik 4-1 32% 38% -16.1 26% 29% -10.3 42% 45% -7.4
02.08.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1-1 69% 76% -8.7 17% 19% -9.8 14% 17% -18.2
02.08.23 IA Akranes vs Leiknir Reykjavik 1-5 58% 62% -5.9 22% 25% -13.4 20% 25% -20.4
02.08.23 Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Njardvik 3-5 43% 48% -10.0 25% 28% -9.2 32% 36% -12.2
02.08.23 UMF Grindavik vs IF Vestri 1-1 36% 39% -8.1 27% 30% -11.8 37% 43% -14.3
02.08.23 UMF Selfoss vs KF Aegir 3-1 61% 64% -4.1 21% 24% -15.3 18% 24% -23.3
08.08.23 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs IA Akranes 1-3 28% 33% -17.0 24% 27% -9.4 48% 53% -8.5
08.08.23 IF Vestri vs UMF Selfoss 2-1 54% 58% -6.9 24% 27% -12.4 22% 27% -16.8
10.08.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs UMF Grindavik 1-2 70% 75% -5.7 17% 20% -15.6 13% 17% -23.7
11.08.23 KF Aegir vs Thor Akureyri 2-3 27% 32% -16.8 25% 28% -10.4 48% 52% -6.8
11.08.23 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-1 49% 55% -11.2 24% 27% -9.6 27% 30% -11.6
12.08.23 Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss 4-3 40% 45% -11.1 25% 27% -7.8 35% 40% -12.4
12.08.23 UMF Njardvik vs IF Vestri 2-0 34% 40% -14.2 27% 30% -11.5 39% 42% -7.9
16.08.23 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Fjölnir Reykjavik 3-3 25% 30% -17.2 24% 26% -9.9 51% 56% -8.9
16.08.23 IA Akranes vs KF Aegir 4-0 81% 84% -4.0 12% 15% -25.1 8% 11% -31.9
16.08.23 IF Vestri vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 2-2 24% 29% -18.8 24% 28% -11.9 52% 55% -6.0
16.08.23 Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 57% 65% -11.7 22% 23% -6.9 22% 24% -11.7
16.08.23 UMF Grindavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 38% 42% -8.8 26% 29% -10.8 35% 41% -13.5
16.08.23 UMF Selfoss vs UMF Njardvik 2-3 44% 49% -9.8 25% 27% -8.9 31% 36% -13.7
20.08.23 Leiknir Reykjavik vs IF Vestri 1-2 47% 53% -11.2 25% 29% -11.6 28% 32% -13.2
20.08.23 Throttur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes 1-1 22% 28% -21.2 22% 24% -10.2 56% 60% -6.7
20.08.23 UMF Njardvik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 1-2 23% 29% -23.5 23% 26% -13.2 55% 57% -4.4
21.08.23 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs UMF Grindavik 5-1 61% 63% -4.1 20% 24% -14.8 19% 25% -23.9
21.08.23 KF Aegir vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-2 21% 24% -15.7 24% 27% -11.0 56% 61% -8.1
25.08.23 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 44% 49% -9.3 24% 26% -8.8 32% 38% -15.9
25.08.23 Thor Akureyri vs UMF Njardvik 0-3 47% 53% -12.0 25% 28% -9.8 28% 31% -9.9
25.08.23 UMF Grindavik vs KF Aegir 7-2 71% 74% -4.0 17% 20% -17.4 12% 17% -25.7
26.08.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs Leiknir Reykjavik 0-2 63% 68% -6.7 20% 23% -12.8 17% 21% -19.9
26.08.23 IF Vestri vs Fjölnir Reykjavik 3-1 37% 43% -15.4 26% 29% -10.8 37% 40% -7.5
31.08.23 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 4-2 34% 39% -13.7 26% 29% -9.8 40% 44% -9.1
31.08.23 Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Grindavik 5-0 35% 40% -11.6 25% 28% -8.8 39% 44% -11.5
01.09.23 UMF Selfoss vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1-0 48% 53% -9.4 24% 27% -9.8 28% 33% -15.2
02.09.23 KF Aegir vs IF Vestri 0-5 11% 14% -22.2 17% 19% -12.3 73% 78% -7.1
02.09.23 UMF Njardvik vs Leiknir Reykjavik 2-4 37% 43% -12.9 25% 28% -9.0 38% 42% -10.8
09.09.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs KF Aegir 5-0 88% 92% -3.8 7% 10% -27.7 4% 7% -33.0
09.09.23 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Thor Akureyri 1-0 43% 50% -14.1 24% 27% -8.3 33% 36% -10.3
09.09.23 IF Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 58% 61% -5.8 22% 25% -13.0 20% 26% -20.2
09.09.23 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir Reykjavik 1-2 34% 38% -12.4 24% 26% -7.4 42% 48% -11.9
09.09.23 UMF Grindavik vs UMF Selfoss 2-1 46% 50% -8.2 24% 27% -10.2 30% 36% -16.6
09.09.23 UMF Njardvik vs IA Akranes 2-4 24% 29% -16.8 23% 25% -8.0 53% 57% -8.0
16.09.23 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs UMF Njardvik 4-0 56% 59% -5.5 22% 25% -12.5 22% 29% -21.2
16.09.23 IA Akranes vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 4-1 70% 74% -5.3 17% 20% -16.1 13% 17% -25.0
16.09.23 KF Aegir vs Leiknir Reykjavik 0-5 14% 18% -21.3 16% 17% -3.9 70% 76% -8.7
16.09.23 Thor Akureyri vs UMF Grindavik 3-0 44% 51% -12.5 25% 27% -8.7 31% 35% -10.7
16.09.23 Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 2-1 23% 30% -22.5 22% 24% -10.2 55% 58% -5.5
16.09.23 UMF Selfoss vs IF Vestri 1-2 46% 53% -13.9 24% 26% -7.4 30% 32% -7.6
20.09.23 IF Vestri vs Fjölnir Reykjavik 1-0 42% 49% -13.4 26% 29% -9.9 32% 35% -8.7
20.09.23 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 1-2 26% 31% -18.0 24% 27% -10.0 50% 54% -6.8
24.09.23 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs Leiknir Reykjavik 3-0 59% 62% -4.5 21% 24% -13.5 20% 25% -21.6
24.09.23 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs IF Vestri 1-1 42% 47% -9.4 26% 29% -10.2 32% 37% -13.0
30.09.23 IF Vestri vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 0-0 32% 38% -15.0 26% 29% -9.8 42% 45% -7.2
01.05.24 UMF Grindavik vs Fjölnir Reykjavik 2-3 34% 39% -13.3 26% 29% -9.7 40% 44% -9.5
03.05.24 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1-1 62% 66% -7.1 21% 24% -13.2 18% 22% -19.9
03.05.24 IBV Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik 1-2 60% 65% -8.1 22% 24% -11.4 18% 22% -15.7
03.05.24 Leiknir Reykjavik vs UMF Njardvik 1-2 53% 53% -1.0 23% 27% -14.7 24% 31% -23.2
03.05.24 Throttur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri 1-1 36% 39% -9.3 25% 28% -9.0 39% 45% -13.9
09.05.24 Thor Akureyri vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 4-2 42% 45% -6.9 25% 28% -10.7 33% 40% -17.9
09.05.24 UMF Njardvik vs KF Dalvik/Reynir 3-0 49% 56% -11.0 24% 26% -9.0 27% 30% -12.1
10.05.24 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 51% 53% -3.9 23% 27% -12.7 26% 33% -21.5
10.05.24 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs IBV Keflavik 1-0 28% 34% -17.5 24% 27% -9.7 48% 51% -7.1
10.05.24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur Reykjavik 4-2 59% 67% -12.6 22% 23% -6.3 20% 21% -6.6
10.05.24 UMF Grindavik vs IR Reykjavik 1-1 36% 38% -5.5 25% 28% -8.8 38% 45% -15.7
18.05.24 Leiknir Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik 1-0 39% 38% 0.8 25% 29% -11.5 36% 45% -20.9
18.05.24 Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Njardvik 0-1 45% 43% 3.8 24% 29% -14.9 31% 41% -25.1
20.05.24 UMF Grindavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-2 50% 54% -7.3 24% 28% -11.9 25% 30% -16.2
21.05.24 IBV Keflavik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 3-0 41% 47% -12.0 25% 28% -9.4 34% 38% -11.9
23.05.24 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 55% 58% -4.2 22% 26% -13.3 22% 29% -21.7
25.05.24 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs UMF Grindavik 1-1 49% 53% -6.9 24% 26% -10.3 27% 33% -17.7
25.05.24 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Leiknir Reykjavik 4-3 37% 39% -6.8 26% 29% -9.9 38% 44% -15.1
25.05.24 IR Reykjavik vs KF Dalvik/Reynir 1-1 62% 65% -5.8 21% 24% -13.9 18% 23% -21.3
26.05.24 UMF Njardvik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0-0 30% 37% -18.9 25% 29% -11.1 45% 47% -4.2
31.05.24 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 0-1 35% 38% -8.7 25% 27% -7.9 40% 47% -13.9
31.05.24 Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik 5-0 42% 43% -2.6 25% 28% -11.4 33% 42% -20.7
31.05.24 UMF Grindavik vs IBV Keflavik 2-2 31% 34% -10.7 25% 28% -9.0 44% 50% -12.1
31.05.24 UMF Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri 5-1 30% 33% -9.7 26% 29% -10.8 44% 50% -12.6
01.06.24 KF Dalvik/Reynir vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-2 33% 39% -16.6 26% 29% -10.2 42% 44% -6.3
05.06.24 IBV Keflavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik 5-0 59% 63% -6.8 21% 24% -11.9 20% 25% -20.0
06.06.24 Fjölnir Reykjavik vs UMF Njardvik 4-2 50% 53% -4.1 23% 26% -12.5 26% 34% -21.9
07.06.24 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Throttur Reykjavik 1-1 48% 54% -10.7 24% 27% -9.0 27% 31% -12.0
07.06.24 IR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 19% 23% -16.5 22% 25% -10.1 58% 64% -8.6
08.06.24 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs KF Dalvik/Reynir 4-3 68% 73% -6.4 18% 21% -14.9 14% 18% -23.2
13.06.24 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0-3 25% 32% -21.2 23% 26% -11.0 51% 54% -5.3
13.06.24 Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 1-2 32% 36% -10.2 24% 26% -6.3 44% 51% -13.0
13.06.24 UMF Njardvik vs IR Reykjavik 3-0 55% 56% -1.5 22% 26% -14.9 23% 31% -24.9
15.06.24 Leiknir Reykjavik vs UMF Grindavik 2-3 40% 43% -6.9 26% 29% -11.1 33% 39% -14.9
19.06.24 Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs UMF Njardvik 2-3 39% 44% -13.0 25% 27% -8.1 36% 41% -10.6
20.06.24 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0-3 38% 45% -15.7 25% 27% -8.2 37% 40% -7.8
20.06.24 IBV Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik 1-1 63% 67% -6.0 20% 23% -13.7 17% 22% -21.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 383 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 1799.37
2 Throttur Reykjavik 1795.05
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 1680.12
4 UMF Njardvik 1664.38
5 HK Kopavogur 1649.31
6 IR Reykjavik 1597.52
7 IF Vestri 1585.74
8 UMF Grindavik 1553.39
9 Leiknir Reykjavik 1542.53
10 Völsungur Husavik 1475.81
11 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1461.19
12 KF Aegir 1303.49

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Afturelding Mosfellsbaer 1717.99
2 Throttur Reykjavik 1699.95
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 1665.72
4 UMF Njardvik 1639.82
5 UMF Grindavik 1587.14
6 HK Kopavogur 1569.93
7 IR Reykjavik 1512.14
8 Völsungur Husavik 1483.39
9 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1449.75
10 IF Vestri 1437.03
11 Leiknir Reykjavik 1419.06
12 KF Aegir 1320.63