ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 265
Avg Goals 3.80
Avg Home 2.10
Avg Away 1.70
Home Win % 49.4%
Draw % 18.5%
Away Win % 32.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 265
Avg Brier Score 0.5976
Pick Accuracy 52.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5961
Market Brier 0.6007
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 265 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.6% 0.0% 2
10–20% 17.2% 18.9% 122
20–30% 23.1% 21.3% 291
30–40% 34.6% 34.9% 129
40–50% 45.0% 47.1% 121
50–60% 54.6% 52.8% 72
60–70% 64.4% 75.0% 48
70–80% 72.6% 37.5% 8
80–90% 81.2% 50.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
23.07.23 KF Dalvik/Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsvik 3-0 38% 47% -17.4 22% 27% -17.1 39% 38% 1.8
24.07.23 KV Reykjavik vs KFG Gardabaer 1-3 28% 29% -2.2 22% 27% -16.4 50% 56% -11.9
24.07.23 Throttur Vogar vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 2-1 51% 58% -12.2 22% 27% -16.9 27% 27% -1.0
29.07.23 Höttur Egilsstadir vs KFG Gardabaer 4-1 36% 37% -2.6 22% 26% -16.7 42% 50% -16.0
29.07.23 KF Dalvik/Reynir vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1-1 47% 56% -17.3 23% 27% -16.6 31% 29% 7.6
29.07.23 KV Reykjavik vs KF Austfjardja 0-4 15% 16% -5.8 17% 21% -16.1 67% 75% -9.6
29.07.23 Völsungur Husavik vs Vikingur Olafsvik 1-0 33% 39% -15.5 22% 27% -17.4 45% 45% -2.0
02.08.23 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Höttur Egilsstadir 3-1 49% 55% -10.5 22% 27% -17.3 29% 31% -6.6
02.08.23 KFG Gardabaer vs Völsungur Husavik 3-1 52% 57% -9.8 22% 27% -18.0 26% 29% -7.9
02.08.23 KS Fjallabyggdar vs Throttur Vogar 3-2 23% 26% -10.4 21% 25% -17.3 56% 61% -8.2
02.08.23 Vikingur Olafsvik vs IR Reykjavik 0-1 39% 45% -13.6 23% 28% -17.4 38% 39% -3.7
10.08.23 KF Dalvik/Reynir vs Sindri Höfn 2-1 60% 71% -14.8 18% 20% -9.8 22% 20% 7.8
11.08.23 IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Vogar 1-3 51% 56% -9.2 22% 27% -17.1 27% 29% -6.8
12.08.23 Höttur Egilsstadir vs KF Austfjardja 2-1 32% 36% -10.6 22% 27% -17.3 46% 50% -8.5
12.08.23 Vikingur Olafsvik vs KFG Gardabaer 2-2 47% 51% -7.6 22% 27% -17.4 30% 34% -10.7
12.08.23 Völsungur Husavik vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 0-2 37% 44% -15.9 24% 29% -18.8 39% 38% 0.8
16.08.23 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Vikingur Olafsvik 0-3 40% 47% -13.1 24% 29% -17.7 36% 37% -2.5
16.08.23 KF Austfjardja vs Völsungur Husavik 1-2 62% 70% -10.8 19% 22% -15.8 19% 20% -5.5
16.08.23 Throttur Vogar vs KV Reykjavik 0-0 81% 88% -8.1 11% 13% -14.3 7% 7% -2.1
17.08.23 KFG Gardabaer vs IR Reykjavik 3-5 35% 39% -11.1 22% 27% -17.1 43% 47% -8.1
20.08.23 KF Dalvik/Reynir vs Throttur Vogar 3-1 36% 43% -16.9 24% 29% -19.0 40% 39% 2.0
20.08.23 KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1-3 48% 53% -10.4 22% 27% -16.8 30% 31% -5.3
25.08.23 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs IR Reykjavik 1-3 31% 36% -14.0 21% 26% -16.5 47% 50% -5.4
26.08.23 KF Austfjardja vs KFG Gardabaer 2-1 53% 60% -10.4 21% 25% -16.3 26% 28% -7.3
26.08.23 KV Reykjavik vs KF Dalvik/Reynir 1-4 12% 13% -8.6 15% 18% -16.3 73% 79% -8.0
26.08.23 Throttur Vogar vs Höttur Egilsstadir 0-2 59% 65% -8.9 21% 25% -17.7 21% 22% -7.2
02.09.23 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs KF Austfjardja 0-2 36% 43% -14.3 23% 29% -18.3 40% 42% -3.5
02.09.23 IR Reykjavik vs KF Dalvik/Reynir 0-0 48% 53% -10.0 23% 28% -17.9 29% 31% -7.0
02.09.23 Völsungur Husavik vs Throttur Vogar 1-2 38% 45% -17.4 24% 29% -19.1 39% 38% 2.4
03.09.23 Vikingur Olafsvik vs KS Fjallabyggdar 3-2 59% 65% -8.0 19% 23% -16.3 21% 24% -10.6
08.09.23 KF Dalvik/Reynir vs Höttur Egilsstadir 4-2 61% 68% -11.3 20% 24% -15.8 19% 19% 0.9
09.09.23 IR Reykjavik vs KF Austfjardja 4-2 51% 58% -12.0 22% 26% -15.9 28% 29% -3.4
09.09.23 KS Fjallabyggdar vs KFG Gardabaer 3-2 35% 40% -11.4 22% 26% -16.5 43% 47% -8.4
09.09.23 Sindri Höfn vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1-2 34% 39% -12.0 23% 29% -18.0 42% 44% -5.3
09.09.23 Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik 4-0 46% 51% -9.8 23% 28% -17.1 31% 33% -5.8
15.09.23 Vikingur Olafsvik vs KV Reykjavik 4-1 77% 83% -7.1 12% 14% -15.7 11% 13% -17.9
16.09.23 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs KS Fjallabyggdar 3-1 51% 56% -9.5 21% 24% -15.4 28% 31% -9.6
16.09.23 KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar 2-4 37% 43% -12.7 23% 28% -17.2 40% 42% -4.3
16.09.23 Völsungur Husavik vs KF Dalvik/Reynir 0-2 35% 43% -17.5 23% 28% -18.4 42% 43% -0.8
04.05.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Höttur Egilsstadir 4-0 50% 56% -10.3 22% 27% -17.2 28% 29% -5.5
04.05.24 KFG Gardabaer vs KS Fjallabyggdar 2-0 66% 75% -12.2 18% 21% -13.9 17% 16% 3.2
04.05.24 Vikingur Olafsvik vs Völsungur Husavik 3-0 54% 61% -10.6 21% 26% -16.6 24% 26% -4.7
11.05.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 0-1 32% 34% -5.4 21% 24% -14.2 47% 53% -12.1
11.05.24 Throttur Vogar vs Höttur Egilsstadir 1-1 55% 61% -10.2 22% 26% -18.1 23% 25% -6.6
17.05.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs KF Aegir 1-1 48% 52% -8.2 22% 27% -17.3 30% 33% -9.7
18.05.24 Höttur Egilsstadir vs KFG Gardabaer 3-2 38% 42% -8.3 23% 29% -18.1 38% 43% -9.8
18.05.24 UMF Selfoss vs KF Austfjardja 2-1 53% 60% -10.1 21% 26% -16.9 25% 27% -6.8
23.05.24 Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabaer 1-0 47% 51% -7.9 22% 27% -17.0 31% 35% -10.7
31.05.24 KFG Gardabaer vs KF Aegir 1-2 31% 32% -4.6 23% 28% -17.6 46% 53% -12.0
31.05.24 Reynir Sandgerdi vs Vikingur Olafsvik 1-1 22% 19% 14.8 19% 21% -10.5 59% 71% -16.4
31.05.24 UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Vogar 6-1 52% 56% -7.3 22% 28% -19.1 25% 29% -11.0
01.06.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Völsungur Husavik 1-3 57% 64% -10.8 20% 24% -15.5 23% 24% -5.4
06.06.24 UMF Selfoss vs Reynir Sandgerdi 2-1 81% 88% -8.3 11% 12% -12.5 8% 8% -5.1
13.06.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Vikingur Olafsvik 0-3 37% 38% -1.8 22% 27% -16.9 40% 48% -15.0
13.06.24 Reynir Sandgerdi vs Throttur Vogar 0-2 31% 34% -10.0 22% 27% -17.0 47% 52% -8.6
14.06.24 KF Aegir vs Kormakur 0-0 60% 68% -12.1 20% 23% -15.1 21% 21% -1.0
15.06.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Völsungur Husavik 1-2 36% 39% -7.0 22% 26% -16.6 42% 48% -12.7
23.06.24 Vikingur Olafsvik vs Höttur Egilsstadir 4-2 69% 76% -9.8 17% 20% -15.7 14% 15% -3.9
24.06.24 UMF Selfoss vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1-2 57% 62% -8.7 19% 23% -15.0 24% 26% -10.1
28.06.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Reynir Sandgerdi 3-2 66% 70% -6.9 17% 21% -17.7 17% 20% -14.4
29.06.24 KF Aegir vs KF Austfjardja 0-1 44% 51% -12.2 23% 28% -17.2 33% 34% -3.6
29.06.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Vikingur Olafsvik 4-4 27% 28% -4.3 22% 26% -16.0 52% 58% -11.3
03.07.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Throttur Vogar 3-5 45% 48% -6.3 22% 27% -17.3 33% 38% -13.3
03.07.24 KF Aegir vs UMF Selfoss 1-2 24% 26% -10.0 21% 26% -17.3 55% 60% -7.4
03.07.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir Sandgerdi 5-4 57% 62% -8.4 20% 24% -17.3 23% 26% -11.6
07.07.24 Throttur Vogar vs Völsungur Husavik 5-0 44% 48% -8.5 23% 28% -17.5 34% 37% -9.4
07.07.24 Vikingur Olafsvik vs KF Aegir 3-1 54% 61% -11.5 21% 24% -15.3 26% 27% -4.8
08.07.24 UMF Selfoss vs KFG Gardabaer 2-2 72% 79% -8.3 15% 18% -16.8 13% 14% -11.0
13.07.24 Höttur Egilsstadir vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1-3 31% 36% -13.7 22% 27% -18.1 46% 50% -7.0
13.07.24 Throttur Vogar vs KF Austfjardja 2-3 46% 53% -12.4 23% 29% -18.0 30% 31% -2.5
13.07.24 Völsungur Husavik vs Vikingur Olafsvik 1-0 31% 35% -11.3 21% 25% -15.8 48% 53% -9.1
19.07.24 Reynir Sandgerdi vs Kormakur 0-1 44% 53% -16.7 22% 26% -15.5 35% 34% 1.8
21.07.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs KFG Gardabaer 0-4 48% 51% -5.7 23% 29% -19.4 29% 34% -13.4
21.07.24 Höttur Egilsstadir vs Throttur Vogar 4-1 32% 38% -14.5 23% 28% -18.5 45% 48% -5.3
21.07.24 UMF Selfoss vs Völsungur Husavik 3-4 64% 69% -7.8 18% 23% -18.6 18% 20% -12.5
25.07.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Höttur Egilsstadir 2-5 47% 53% -9.9 23% 28% -18.0 30% 32% -7.7
26.07.24 Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik 3-2 33% 36% -7.6 23% 28% -17.3 44% 49% -9.7
27.07.24 KF Aegir vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 2-4 43% 48% -10.7 22% 27% -16.7 35% 38% -8.3
31.07.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs Kormakur 5-1 54% 60% -9.6 22% 26% -17.1 24% 26% -5.0
31.07.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar 3-3 38% 42% -9.5 22% 26% -16.4 40% 44% -10.4
01.08.24 Reynir Sandgerdi vs KF Austfjardja 3-1 22% 26% -13.7 20% 24% -17.2 58% 62% -6.4
01.08.24 UMF Selfoss vs Vikingur Olafsvik 2-1 44% 47% -4.6 22% 27% -17.2 33% 38% -13.5
09.08.24 KF Aegir vs KFG Gardabaer 1-0 45% 49% -8.5 23% 28% -17.5 32% 36% -9.1
09.08.24 Throttur Vogar vs UMF Selfoss 4-1 35% 40% -13.3 23% 29% -18.5 42% 44% -5.4
10.08.24 Völsungur Husavik vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 3-0 42% 47% -9.1 22% 27% -17.0 36% 40% -11.0
16.08.24 Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Selfoss 1-4 18% 22% -15.8 17% 21% -17.1 64% 69% -7.2
16.08.24 Throttur Vogar vs KF Aegir 3-0 49% 56% -12.3 22% 27% -16.8 29% 30% -3.9
17.08.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs KF Austfjardja 3-1 38% 43% -10.0 22% 27% -16.1 39% 43% -7.6
17.08.24 KFG Gardabaer vs Kormakur 1-1 43% 48% -9.2 23% 28% -17.9 34% 38% -10.1
21.08.24 KF Austfjardja vs Höttur Egilsstadir 8-2 52% 58% -11.0 21% 26% -16.2 26% 28% -4.8
21.08.24 Throttur Vogar vs Reynir Sandgerdi 4-1 68% 76% -10.6 17% 19% -13.1 15% 15% -1.2
21.08.24 UMF Selfoss vs KS Fjallabyggdar 3-2 69% 75% -8.3 17% 20% -16.1 14% 15% -7.1
21.08.24 Vikingur Olafsvik vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 3-2 56% 60% -7.7 20% 24% -17.3 24% 28% -12.8
21.08.24 Völsungur Husavik vs KFG Gardabaer 2-1 65% 74% -12.0 18% 20% -12.2 17% 17% 3.4
24.08.24 KFG Gardabaer vs KF Austfjardja 4-1 34% 38% -11.8 23% 28% -17.8 43% 47% -7.1
25.08.24 Höttur Egilsstadir vs Vikingur Olafsvik 1-3 33% 38% -13.5 22% 27% -17.0 45% 48% -5.0
25.08.24 Kormakur vs Throttur Vogar 0-5 25% 27% -6.7 24% 30% -19.8 50% 55% -7.6
26.08.24 Haukar Hafnarfjördur vs UMF Selfoss 1-2 33% 36% -8.8 22% 26% -15.9 46% 51% -10.6
31.08.24 Reynir Sandgerdi vs Haukar Hafnarfjördur 0-0 22% 24% -8.1 19% 23% -15.2 59% 65% -10.0
31.08.24 UMF Selfoss vs Höttur Egilsstadir 5-0 61% 69% -11.8 18% 21% -12.9 20% 21% -2.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 265 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1519.98
2 UMF Selfoss 1499.92
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 1470.90
4 Kari Akranes 1455.02
5 Throttur Vogar 1447.00
6 KF Austfjardja 1439.01
7 KF Dalvik/Reynir 1435.75
8 Fjölnir Reykjavik 1419.33
9 Kormakur 1329.31
10 KFG Gardabaer 1305.82
11 Magni Grenivik 1299.48
12 Hviti Riddarinn 1295.17

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 UMF Selfoss 1504.87
2 Fjölnir Reykjavik 1440.87
3 Haukar Hafnarfjördur 1420.55
4 Kari Akranes 1410.03
5 KF Austfjardja 1403.53
6 KF Dalvik/Reynir 1347.45
7 Throttur Vogar 1293.88
8 Kormakur 1291.35
9 Vikingur Olafsvik 1263.62
10 KFG Gardabaer 1188.90
11 Magni Grenivik 1164.72
12 Hviti Riddarinn 1153.47