ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 247
Avg Goals 4.47
Avg Home 2.38
Avg Away 2.09
Home Win % 44.5%
Draw % 13.8%
Away Win % 41.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 247
Avg Brier Score 0.5369
Pick Accuracy 60.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5311
Market Brier 0.5386
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 16
Value Bet Hit Rate 12.5%
ROI (flat stake) 10.9%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 81.2% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 15 of 247 matches had at least one · staked 16.00, profit 1.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 13 15.4% 13.00 4.75 36.5%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.0% 0.0% 19
10–20% 16.6% 14.5% 124
20–30% 23.3% 18.3% 268
30–40% 35.1% 36.5% 96
40–50% 44.8% 48.9% 88
50–60% 54.3% 67.5% 83
60–70% 65.6% 72.5% 40
70–80% 74.3% 60.0% 15
80–90% 87.2% 100.0% 5
90–100% 92.6% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
23.07.23 Augnablik Kopavogur vs Kari Akranes 1-2 45% 51% -10.8 23% 27% -14.0 32% 34% -8.1
23.07.23 Ellidi vs KFS Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 42% 44% -4.8 23% 27% -14.7 35% 41% -15.2
23.07.23 Hviti Riddarinn vs Vidir Gardur 1-2 21% 22% -4.9 21% 23% -11.1 59% 67% -11.8
23.07.23 Kormakur vs IH Hafnarfjordur 5-0 53% 64% -17.4 21% 24% -10.8 26% 25% 4.7
23.07.23 Magni Grenivik vs Reynir Sandgerdi 1-3 34% 40% -16.2 24% 28% -15.2 43% 45% -5.6
23.07.23 Ymir Kopavogur vs FC Arbaer 1-2 30% 35% -14.1 23% 27% -14.0 47% 51% -7.1
26.07.23 Hviti Riddarinn vs Ymir Kopavogur 2-1 39% 47% -16.6 24% 29% -15.3 37% 38% -1.9
27.07.23 Kari Akranes vs Ellidi 2-3 56% 63% -12.3 21% 24% -12.1 24% 24% -3.4
28.07.23 FC Arbaer vs IH Hafnarfjordur 7-1 57% 65% -11.6 20% 23% -12.5 23% 24% -6.7
28.07.23 Reynir Sandgerdi vs Vidir Gardur 1-1 48% 54% -11.4 23% 27% -14.5 29% 31% -7.1
29.07.23 Magni Grenivik vs Augnablik Kopavogur 1-0 38% 43% -11.8 24% 28% -14.1 38% 41% -7.4
01.08.23 IH Hafnarfjordur vs Reynir Sandgerdi 1-2 16% 17% -5.9 18% 20% -10.2 66% 75% -11.1
02.08.23 Augnablik Kopavogur vs FC Arbaer 1-0 43% 48% -10.0 24% 28% -15.2 34% 38% -11.0
02.08.23 Vidir Gardur vs Kari Akranes 0-1 50% 58% -14.5 22% 26% -12.9 28% 29% -2.1
02.08.23 Ymir Kopavogur vs Magni Grenivik 1-0 33% 39% -15.9 23% 27% -13.9 44% 47% -5.2
03.08.23 Ellidi vs Kormakur 1-2 35% 38% -9.8 22% 26% -12.6 43% 49% -12.1
10.08.23 Ellidi vs Reynir Sandgerdi 2-1 26% 29% -11.4 21% 24% -11.6 53% 59% -10.1
11.08.23 Vidir Gardur vs FC Arbaer 2-4 50% 56% -10.5 23% 26% -14.3 27% 29% -7.7
11.08.23 Ymir Kopavogur vs Augnablik Kopavogur 1-1 26% 29% -12.0 22% 25% -13.1 52% 58% -9.9
12.08.23 IH Hafnarfjordur vs Magni Grenivik 0-3 28% 31% -12.0 22% 26% -13.1 50% 55% -8.6
16.08.23 Augnablik Kopavogur vs IH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 69% 79% -11.8 16% 18% -10.5 14% 14% -0.2
16.08.23 FC Arbaer vs Ellidi 3-2 55% 62% -12.5 21% 24% -11.7 24% 25% -2.9
16.08.23 Kormakur vs Ymir Kopavogur 7-0 68% 81% -15.4 16% 17% -1.8 15% 12% 23.4
16.08.23 Magni Grenivik vs Vidir Gardur 0-1 38% 44% -13.8 25% 29% -15.9 37% 39% -5.8
16.08.23 Reynir Sandgerdi vs KFS Vestmannaeyjar 6-1 64% 72% -11.9 17% 19% -9.3 19% 20% -5.5
20.08.23 Ellidi vs Magni Grenivik 1-4 33% 38% -13.1 24% 29% -14.9 43% 45% -5.7
20.08.23 Hviti Riddarinn vs Reynir Sandgerdi 0-4 21% 24% -12.0 21% 24% -13.2 58% 64% -9.1
20.08.23 KFS Vestmannaeyjar vs FC Arbaer 0-5 28% 30% -8.8 22% 26% -12.9 50% 56% -11.5
20.08.23 Vidir Gardur vs Augnablik Kopavogur 2-0 50% 58% -14.0 23% 27% -13.6 27% 27% 0.0
20.08.23 Ymir Kopavogur vs IH Hafnarfjordur 4-3 38% 43% -13.4 24% 28% -14.1 39% 41% -5.7
24.08.23 Reynir Sandgerdi vs Kormakur 3-2 52% 61% -14.9 21% 24% -10.9 27% 27% -0.4
25.08.23 Augnablik Kopavogur vs Ellidi 4-1 51% 57% -11.0 22% 25% -12.7 27% 29% -7.1
25.08.23 FC Arbaer vs Hviti Riddarinn 4-0 69% 79% -13.2 16% 17% -5.7 15% 15% 3.7
25.08.23 IH Hafnarfjordur vs Vidir Gardur 2-3 20% 22% -8.1 20% 23% -11.5 59% 67% -10.8
26.08.23 Kari Akranes vs Ymir Kopavogur 2-1 61% 72% -14.6 19% 21% -9.4 20% 19% 3.3
31.08.23 Ellidi vs IH Hafnarfjordur 3-3 52% 59% -12.2 21% 24% -11.7 27% 29% -7.1
31.08.23 Ymir Kopavogur vs Vidir Gardur 4-1 22% 25% -12.1 20% 23% -12.2 58% 64% -9.3
01.09.23 Kari Akranes vs Reynir Sandgerdi 4-3 29% 32% -11.2 23% 26% -13.7 49% 54% -10.0
02.09.23 KFS Vestmannaeyjar vs Augnablik Kopavogur 3-1 31% 36% -13.5 23% 27% -13.9 46% 50% -7.7
02.09.23 Kormakur vs FC Arbaer 3-2 36% 42% -13.8 23% 27% -13.8 41% 44% -8.5
08.09.23 Augnablik Kopavogur vs Hviti Riddarinn 4-2 61% 68% -11.5 19% 21% -10.2 21% 22% -4.9
08.09.23 Ymir Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi 3-5 16% 17% -2.1 18% 19% -7.3 66% 75% -12.2
09.09.23 FC Arbaer vs Kari Akranes 2-1 61% 71% -15.1 18% 19% -5.9 21% 21% 1.7
09.09.23 IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFS Vestmannaeyjar 5-0 46% 55% -15.2 22% 24% -11.2 32% 33% -4.0
09.09.23 Vidir Gardur vs Ellidi 1-0 59% 67% -12.7 19% 22% -10.5 22% 23% -3.5
12.09.23 KFS Vestmannaeyjar vs Augnablik Kopavogur 3-1 24% 26% -7.2 21% 24% -11.4 55% 62% -11.8
16.09.23 Ellidi vs Ymir Kopavogur 6-2 54% 62% -12.6 20% 22% -10.1 26% 29% -8.4
16.09.23 Hviti Riddarinn vs IH Hafnarfjordur 1-5 37% 43% -12.8 22% 24% -11.0 41% 45% -9.4
16.09.23 KFS Vestmannaeyjar vs Vidir Gardur 0-3 27% 32% -15.2 23% 27% -14.9 50% 53% -6.6
16.09.23 Kormakur vs Augnablik Kopavogur 3-0 57% 66% -14.4 20% 23% -10.8 23% 23% -0.1
16.09.23 Reynir Sandgerdi vs FC Arbaer 2-3 46% 52% -12.0 22% 24% -11.2 33% 36% -8.3
04.05.24 FC Arbaer vs Vidir Gardur 2-2 44% 51% -15.0 23% 27% -13.5 33% 34% -2.5
04.05.24 IH Hafnarfjordur vs KV Reykjavik 2-3 43% 48% -9.1 22% 25% -12.5 35% 40% -12.9
10.05.24 Ellidi vs IH Hafnarfjordur 3-5 36% 37% -4.1 22% 26% -12.7 42% 50% -15.8
10.05.24 Hviti Riddarinn vs Augnablik Kopavogur 1-4 27% 30% -10.6 23% 26% -13.7 50% 56% -9.7
10.05.24 Vidir Gardur vs Kari Akranes 0-2 27% 27% -1.8 22% 25% -11.8 51% 60% -14.7
11.05.24 KFK Kopavogur vs Magni Grenivik 3-0 36% 35% 3.9 22% 25% -12.9 42% 53% -20.1
11.05.24 KV Reykjavik vs Sindri Höfn 3-4 53% 65% -19.3 20% 22% -7.7 27% 25% 8.6
11.05.24 Vaengir Jupiters vs FC Arbaer 3-6 23% 26% -11.9 20% 22% -11.1 58% 65% -10.6
16.05.24 Augnablik Kopavogur vs KFK Kopavogur 4-1 66% 77% -14.0 17% 18% -6.6 17% 16% 5.6
17.05.24 FC Arbaer vs Hviti Riddarinn 1-2 68% 76% -10.9 17% 19% -11.9 16% 17% -5.7
17.05.24 Kari Akranes vs Vaengir Jupiters 5-5 76% 86% -11.6 13% 13% -4.2 11% 11% 4.7
17.05.24 Vidir Gardur vs Ellidi 7-1 59% 66% -11.3 20% 23% -13.2 21% 23% -6.5
23.05.24 KFK Kopavogur vs FC Arbaer 1-3 20% 22% -10.9 17% 18% -6.1 63% 71% -11.0
24.05.24 KV Reykjavik vs Augnablik Kopavogur 0-3 22% 24% -5.9 20% 23% -10.6 57% 66% -12.9
24.05.24 Vaengir Jupiters vs Vidir Gardur 1-2 23% 26% -11.6 20% 23% -11.9 57% 63% -10.0
25.05.24 Ellidi vs Sindri Höfn 3-2 27% 29% -9.1 19% 20% -5.9 54% 62% -12.9
25.05.24 IH Hafnarfjordur vs Magni Grenivik 1-2 36% 41% -12.5 23% 26% -12.6 41% 44% -7.1
30.05.24 Kari Akranes vs KFK Kopavogur 7-3 68% 76% -11.4 16% 17% -8.5 16% 17% -5.2
31.05.24 Augnablik Kopavogur vs IH Hafnarfjordur 3-5 72% 83% -12.7 15% 15% -4.5 13% 12% 8.5
31.05.24 Vaengir Jupiters vs Ellidi 0-2 47% 54% -13.5 21% 23% -9.9 32% 35% -7.6
01.06.24 FC Arbaer vs KV Reykjavik 1-0 55% 60% -8.3 20% 24% -13.9 25% 29% -12.8
01.06.24 Vidir Gardur vs Hviti Riddarinn 6-1 58% 65% -10.0 20% 23% -13.1 22% 24% -8.1
06.06.24 IH Hafnarfjordur vs FC Arbaer 2-3 27% 30% -12.2 20% 23% -10.6 53% 60% -10.8
06.06.24 KFK Kopavogur vs Vidir Gardur 2-3 20% 21% -4.0 18% 19% -5.4 62% 71% -12.6
06.06.24 KV Reykjavik vs Kari Akranes 0-2 23% 24% -4.5 20% 22% -9.4 57% 66% -13.2
07.06.24 Hviti Riddarinn vs Vaengir Jupiters 2-3 51% 60% -15.1 22% 24% -11.1 28% 28% 0.0
08.06.24 Ellidi vs Magni Grenivik 1-1 26% 29% -10.4 23% 26% -13.7 51% 56% -9.3
13.06.24 Hviti Riddarinn vs Ellidi 1-3 52% 59% -11.9 21% 24% -11.8 27% 29% -7.5
13.06.24 Kari Akranes vs IH Hafnarfjordur 5-2 56% 64% -12.1 19% 21% -9.5 25% 28% -9.4
13.06.24 Vaengir Jupiters vs KFK Kopavogur 2-3 51% 61% -16.9 20% 21% -6.8 29% 29% -0.1
14.06.24 Vidir Gardur vs KV Reykjavik 8-0 77% 86% -11.2 13% 14% -5.1 10% 10% 9.1
15.06.24 Augnablik Kopavogur vs Magni Grenivik 2-0 65% 78% -16.1 17% 18% -4.6 18% 15% 14.7
15.06.24 FC Arbaer vs Sindri Höfn 1-5 71% 84% -15.3 15% 15% 0.4 14% 11% 22.1
22.06.24 KV Reykjavik vs Vaengir Jupiters 2-5 30% 33% -10.9 21% 24% -11.0 49% 56% -11.6
23.06.24 Ellidi vs Augnablik Kopavogur 1-0 14% 14% -2.5 18% 20% -10.5 68% 76% -10.7
23.06.24 IH Hafnarfjordur vs Vidir Gardur 3-3 17% 18% -4.8 17% 18% -5.9 66% 75% -12.1
23.06.24 KFK Kopavogur vs Hviti Riddarinn 1-2 41% 49% -15.3 22% 24% -11.0 37% 39% -5.7
27.06.24 Vidir Gardur vs Sindri Höfn 1-1 69% 79% -13.6 16% 17% -4.4 15% 14% 8.3
28.06.24 FC Arbaer vs Augnablik Kopavogur 2-1 40% 47% -14.8 23% 26% -13.2 38% 40% -6.2
28.06.24 Hviti Riddarinn vs KV Reykjavik 0-3 56% 64% -12.6 20% 23% -10.8 24% 25% -3.8
28.06.24 KFK Kopavogur vs Ellidi 2-1 36% 38% -5.9 23% 26% -12.1 41% 48% -13.3
28.06.24 Vaengir Jupiters vs IH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 49% 58% -14.8 20% 23% -9.9 30% 32% -6.2
02.07.24 FC Arbaer vs Ellidi 3-1 70% 78% -9.7 15% 17% -11.6 15% 16% -8.8
03.07.24 Augnablik Kopavogur vs Kari Akranes 2-5 42% 47% -9.8 23% 26% -13.1 35% 39% -10.3
03.07.24 IH Hafnarfjordur vs Hviti Riddarinn 2-2 50% 60% -16.7 21% 24% -10.8 29% 29% -0.9
03.07.24 KV Reykjavik vs KFK Kopavogur 1-3 38% 43% -11.1 21% 23% -8.7 41% 47% -11.0
03.07.24 Magni Grenivik vs Vidir Gardur 0-1 32% 38% -16.8 25% 29% -16.4 43% 44% -2.3
07.07.24 Hviti Riddarinn vs Sindri Höfn 1-1 35% 42% -16.8 22% 26% -13.0 43% 45% -5.3
07.07.24 Vaengir Jupiters vs Magni Grenivik 3-1 26% 29% -9.9 21% 23% -10.2 54% 60% -10.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 247 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

15 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vidir Gardur 1361.79
2 Reynir Sandgerdi 1350.05
3 Ymir Kopavogur 1318.22
4 Augnablik Kopavogur 1289.23
5 KH Hlidarendi 1248.62
6 Tindastoll Saudarkrokur 1210.94
7 KV Reykjavik 1207.71
8 KS Fjallabyggdar 1190.25
9 KA Hafnarfjördur 1157.47
10 Sindri Höfn 1147.48
11 KFK Kopavogur 1115.96
12 FC Arbaer 1096.14
13 Ellidi 1084.14
14 Vaengir Jupiters 951.25
15 IH Hafnarfjordur 689.82

Away Ratings

15 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vidir Gardur 1371.02
2 Augnablik Kopavogur 1351.94
3 Reynir Sandgerdi 1263.95
4 KV Reykjavik 1239.41
5 Tindastoll Saudarkrokur 1184.93
6 FC Arbaer 1143.29
7 Ymir Kopavogur 1123.13
8 Sindri Höfn 1120.50
9 KA Hafnarfjördur 1104.83
10 Ellidi 1104.17
11 Vaengir Jupiters 1090.94
12 KH Hlidarendi 1084.19
13 KS Fjallabyggdar 1009.58
14 KFK Kopavogur 921.39
15 IH Hafnarfjordur 628.03