ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 470
Avg Goals 3.60
Avg Home 2.02
Avg Away 1.58
Home Win % 48.5%
Draw % 21.5%
Away Win % 30.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 470
Avg Brier Score 0.5701
Pick Accuracy 55.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5709
Market Brier 0.5711
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 470 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 9.1% 11
10–20% 16.6% 11.5% 182
20–30% 24.0% 22.8% 580
30–40% 35.3% 35.5% 228
40–50% 44.5% 46.2% 169
50–60% 54.5% 56.3% 135
60–70% 64.2% 73.4% 79
70–80% 74.1% 91.3% 23
80–90% 81.5% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
17.07.23 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs Valur Reykjavik 2-0 36% 39% -7.7 25% 28% -9.7 39% 43% -10.9
18.07.23 KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 45% 47% -3.3 26% 29% -12.6 29% 34% -13.6
21.07.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3-1 61% 65% -7.2 22% 24% -11.8 18% 20% -10.7
23.07.23 HK Kopavogur vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 1-1 25% 25% -1.8 24% 26% -7.8 52% 60% -13.0
23.07.23 KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik 1-2 35% 37% -5.6 26% 29% -10.9 39% 43% -10.7
23.07.23 Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik 1-0 66% 71% -6.5 19% 21% -10.8 15% 17% -13.2
24.07.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fylkir Reykjavik 2-4 57% 60% -5.2 22% 26% -12.6 20% 24% -13.9
24.07.23 IBV Keflavik vs KA Akureyri 3-4 29% 31% -7.6 26% 29% -10.4 46% 50% -8.9
26.07.23 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs Fram Reykjavik 4-0 57% 61% -6.4 22% 25% -12.0 21% 24% -13.5
29.07.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 1-1 58% 62% -7.3 22% 24% -10.5 20% 23% -10.9
30.07.23 KA Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur 1-1 56% 59% -5.4 22% 26% -12.3 22% 26% -14.7
30.07.23 Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6-0 61% 66% -7.9 21% 24% -10.6 18% 20% -9.3
31.07.23 IBV Keflavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 27% 28% -3.7 25% 27% -8.8 49% 55% -11.5
31.07.23 KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik 0-4 37% 39% -5.5 25% 28% -9.3 38% 43% -11.3
05.08.23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 0-2 37% 38% -4.9 26% 29% -11.1 37% 42% -11.7
06.08.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik 3-4 57% 62% -8.3 22% 24% -9.2 21% 22% -7.6
07.08.23 Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 4-2 61% 66% -7.4 21% 23% -9.4 18% 20% -9.7
08.08.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 29% 30% -3.6 25% 28% -9.4 46% 52% -12.0
08.08.23 Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik 1-1 47% 50% -5.7 24% 27% -10.9 29% 33% -13.8
09.08.23 HK Kopavogur vs IBV Keflavik 3-1 54% 59% -7.5 23% 26% -10.2 23% 25% -9.6
13.08.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 49% 53% -6.8 24% 27% -10.7 27% 30% -11.6
13.08.23 IBV Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik 1-1 18% 19% -5.0 21% 22% -6.2 61% 68% -10.8
13.08.23 KA Akureyri vs Breidablik Kopavogur 1-1 24% 28% -13.3 24% 26% -10.6 52% 56% -6.8
13.08.23 KR Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik 3-2 53% 56% -4.9 23% 26% -11.2 24% 28% -14.4
13.08.23 Vikingur Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur 6-1 67% 70% -5.2 18% 21% -12.2 15% 17% -15.1
14.08.23 Fylkir Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 0-4 30% 31% -5.5 24% 27% -8.3 46% 52% -11.2
20.08.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs IBV Keflavik 2-1 74% 79% -5.8 15% 17% -11.7 10% 12% -13.8
20.08.23 Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 2-1 40% 42% -2.9 24% 27% -9.9 35% 42% -15.6
20.08.23 HK Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 30% 31% -2.4 24% 27% -8.3 46% 53% -13.5
20.08.23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fylkir Reykjavik 0-1 51% 55% -6.2 24% 28% -12.4 24% 28% -12.1
20.08.23 Valur Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik 0-4 34% 35% -2.2 25% 27% -8.4 41% 48% -13.5
21.08.23 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs KR Reykjavik 3-1 46% 49% -6.2 25% 28% -10.7 29% 33% -11.7
26.08.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur Reykjavik 3-2 36% 38% -3.4 25% 28% -9.6 38% 44% -13.5
26.08.23 KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 2-1 35% 38% -8.2 25% 28% -9.2 39% 43% -9.2
27.08.23 IBV Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik 0-0 38% 40% -4.2 25% 28% -9.8 37% 42% -13.2
27.08.23 KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik 2-0 54% 57% -5.2 23% 26% -12.1 23% 26% -13.7
27.08.23 Vikingur Reykjavik vs Breidablik Kopavogur 5-3 72% 79% -9.5 17% 18% -5.7 11% 11% 4.4
28.08.23 HK Kopavogur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 39% 42% -5.7 25% 28% -9.4 36% 40% -11.1
30.08.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri 0-3 50% 53% -4.6 23% 26% -10.9 26% 31% -14.4
03.09.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur 0-2 51% 57% -10.9 23% 25% -7.8 26% 28% -6.3
03.09.23 Fram Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik 2-3 15% 15% -1.2 19% 20% -4.3 66% 75% -11.2
03.09.23 Fylkir Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 1-1 37% 38% -3.7 25% 28% -10.1 38% 44% -14.5
03.09.23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik 2-2 38% 40% -5.8 26% 29% -11.2 36% 41% -11.3
03.09.23 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs IBV Keflavik 3-0 70% 76% -8.2 17% 19% -8.4 12% 13% -6.3
03.09.23 Valur Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur 4-1 68% 72% -6.8 18% 20% -10.2 15% 17% -12.9
17.09.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur 0-2 48% 53% -9.4 24% 26% -8.5 27% 29% -6.5
17.09.23 Fylkir Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 38% 41% -5.7 26% 29% -10.5 36% 41% -11.9
17.09.23 Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 2-0 45% 47% -3.8 24% 27% -9.8 31% 36% -13.6
18.09.23 HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik 1-1 42% 43% -3.4 24% 27% -10.2 34% 40% -15.7
20.09.23 KA Akureyri vs IBV Keflavik 4-2 61% 67% -9.0 21% 23% -9.4 19% 21% -10.1
20.09.23 Vikingur Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik 2-2 64% 68% -6.7 20% 22% -10.8 17% 19% -12.4
24.09.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 1-3 38% 39% -3.7 25% 28% -9.5 37% 43% -12.8
24.09.23 Fylkir Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 2-4 41% 43% -5.6 25% 27% -9.1 34% 39% -12.3
24.09.23 IBV Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur 2-1 40% 43% -8.7 25% 28% -9.3 35% 38% -8.7
24.09.23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram Reykjavik 2-2 51% 53% -4.6 24% 27% -11.4 25% 29% -13.9
24.09.23 KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik 2-2 40% 43% -5.1 24% 27% -8.9 35% 41% -13.4
25.09.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs Vikingur Reykjavik 3-1 31% 36% -13.5 24% 26% -8.6 45% 48% -5.4
28.09.23 Fram Reykjavik vs IBV Keflavik 3-1 51% 54% -6.0 24% 27% -11.2 25% 29% -11.8
28.09.23 KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 39% 41% -5.2 25% 27% -8.7 37% 42% -12.1
28.09.23 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs KR Reykjavik 2-0 50% 55% -8.3 24% 26% -10.2 26% 29% -10.8
28.09.23 Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik Kopavogur 4-2 37% 38% -2.6 24% 26% -7.5 40% 47% -15.1
28.09.23 Vikingur Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur 2-1 60% 64% -5.1 21% 24% -12.6 19% 22% -15.6
01.10.23 Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 1-0 46% 50% -7.2 24% 26% -9.5 30% 34% -12.2
01.10.23 HK Kopavogur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0-1 31% 32% -3.1 25% 27% -8.5 44% 51% -12.8
01.10.23 IBV Keflavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik 1-3 31% 32% -5.2 24% 27% -8.4 45% 51% -12.3
01.10.23 KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik Kopavogur 4-3 35% 37% -5.1 25% 27% -9.1 40% 47% -13.4
01.10.23 Valur Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur 4-1 44% 45% -2.5 24% 27% -10.8 32% 38% -16.4
02.10.23 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs Vikingur Reykjavik 3-1 38% 43% -10.1 25% 28% -9.6 37% 40% -8.4
07.10.23 FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik 3-1 41% 43% -3.9 24% 27% -9.2 35% 41% -14.5
07.10.23 Fylkir Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik 5-1 46% 49% -4.8 24% 26% -10.1 30% 35% -14.8
07.10.23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs IBV Keflavik 1-1 73% 80% -8.4 16% 17% -6.2 11% 12% -5.7
07.10.23 KA Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur 1-0 48% 51% -6.9 24% 26% -9.6 28% 32% -11.8
07.10.23 Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik 5-1 60% 64% -6.4 20% 22% -9.6 20% 24% -14.9
08.10.23 Breidablik Kopavogur vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 0-2 42% 45% -7.4 24% 26% -7.9 34% 39% -12.6
06.04.24 Vikingur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 2-0 58% 62% -7.1 22% 24% -10.1 20% 22% -9.8
07.04.24 Fram Reykjavik vs IF Vestri 2-0 54% 54% -0.4 23% 27% -14.9 23% 29% -20.2
07.04.24 Fylkir Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik 3-4 30% 32% -7.2 25% 28% -9.6 45% 50% -10.1
07.04.24 KA Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur 1-1 61% 65% -6.2 21% 24% -11.6 18% 20% -11.8
07.04.24 Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes 2-0 64% 67% -5.2 20% 22% -10.9 17% 19% -13.0
08.04.24 Breidablik Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur 2-0 55% 59% -5.7 22% 25% -10.8 22% 26% -13.2
12.04.24 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs KR Reykjavik 1-3 44% 47% -6.4 25% 28% -10.3 32% 36% -11.7
13.04.24 Breidablik Kopavogur vs IF Vestri 4-0 77% 80% -3.6 14% 18% -20.4 8% 11% -22.3
13.04.24 KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 42% 45% -7.2 26% 29% -11.8 32% 36% -10.8
14.04.24 Fylkir Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik 0-0 19% 18% 1.9 21% 22% -4.4 60% 68% -12.1
14.04.24 HK Kopavogur vs IA Akranes 0-4 40% 42% -4.2 25% 28% -10.2 35% 41% -13.9
15.04.24 Fram Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik 0-1 17% 17% -2.8 20% 21% -4.4 63% 70% -10.6
19.04.24 Stjarnan Gardabaer vs Valur Reykjavik 1-0 34% 34% -2.5 25% 28% -9.4 41% 48% -13.5
20.04.24 HK Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur 0-2 23% 22% 3.3 23% 24% -5.2 55% 64% -14.4
20.04.24 KR Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik 0-1 58% 60% -3.6 21% 24% -12.8 21% 25% -17.4
21.04.24 IA Akranes vs Fylkir Reykjavik 5-1 48% 51% -6.8 23% 26% -9.2 29% 33% -13.2
21.04.24 KA Akureyri vs IF Vestri 0-1 64% 65% -2.6 20% 24% -15.6 16% 20% -18.8
21.04.24 Vikingur Reykjavik vs Breidablik Kopavogur 4-1 47% 50% -5.5 25% 29% -12.7 28% 32% -13.8
28.04.24 IA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 31% 32% -3.0 25% 27% -8.2 44% 50% -12.2
28.04.24 KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik Kopavogur 2-3 35% 36% -2.6 25% 27% -9.0 41% 48% -14.7
28.04.24 Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 4-2 65% 70% -7.1 19% 22% -11.3 15% 17% -12.0
29.04.24 Fylkir Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Gardabaer 0-1 26% 27% -4.3 24% 26% -7.5 51% 57% -11.2
29.04.24 Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik 1-1 65% 67% -3.2 20% 23% -15.4 16% 19% -18.5
04.05.24 FH Hafnarfjordur vs IF Vestri 3-2 67% 70% -5.1 19% 22% -13.1 14% 17% -14.5
05.05.24 Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik 2-1 53% 56% -6.4 24% 27% -11.8 24% 27% -11.6
05.05.24 HK Kopavogur vs Vikingur Reykjavik 3-1 8% 8% 0.4 14% 13% 1.7 78% 86% -9.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 470 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 2044.24
2 KR Reykjavik 1886.08
3 Fram Reykjavik 1883.98
4 IA Akranes 1854.00
5 Stjarnan Gardabaer 1835.02
6 KA Akureyri 1809.37
7 Breidablik Kopavogur 1802.61
8 IBV Keflavik 1733.15
9 Thor Akureyri 1730.16
10 FH Hafnarfjordur 1721.10
11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1715.84
12 Valur Reykjavik 1701.23

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1966.07
2 KR Reykjavik 1881.26
3 Fram Reykjavik 1863.53
4 Valur Reykjavik 1768.72
5 IA Akranes 1754.65
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 1751.42
7 Breidablik Kopavogur 1748.44
8 Stjarnan Gardabaer 1726.57
9 KA Akureyri 1686.43
10 IBV Keflavik 1685.01
11 Thor Akureyri 1671.12
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1637.51