ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 302
Avg Goals 3.22
Avg Home 1.80
Avg Away 1.42
Home Win % 42.4%
Draw % 25.5%
Away Win % 32.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 302
Avg Brier Score 0.6182
Pick Accuracy 48.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6253
Market Brier 0.6190
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 19
Value Bet Hit Rate 21.1%
ROI (flat stake) 64.2%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 16 of 302 matches had at least one · staked 19.00, profit 12.20 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 6 16.7% 6.00 -1.80 -30.0%
draw 4 25.0% 4.00 5.75 143.8%
away 9 22.2% 9.00 8.25 91.7%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.5% 0.0% 4
10–20% 16.7% 19.1% 68
20–30% 25.9% 25.1% 430
30–40% 34.7% 34.2% 161
40–50% 44.5% 45.6% 136
50–60% 55.0% 58.1% 74
60–70% 63.1% 52.2% 23
70–80% 74.2% 90.0% 10
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.10.23 Real Kashmir vs Rajasthan United 2-0 43% 51% -14.9 28% 31% -8.6 29% 31% -6.1
29.10.23 Mohammedan SC vs Aizawl FC 2-1 52% 58% -9.9 25% 28% -10.3 23% 26% -13.7
29.10.23 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Neroca FC 4-0 58% 68% -15.2 23% 24% -4.4 19% 19% -0.2
31.10.23 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Churchill Brothers 0-0 27% 27% 0.4 27% 29% -7.1 46% 56% -18.8
02.11.23 Delhi FC vs Rajasthan United 4-3 46% 53% -14.1 28% 30% -8.8 27% 29% -6.6
03.11.23 Mohammedan SC vs Shillong Lajong FC 1-1 60% 71% -15.4 23% 24% -4.2 17% 17% 3.1
03.11.23 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Inter Kashi FC 4-1 56% 67% -16.3 24% 24% -3.3 20% 20% 1.1
04.11.23 Real Kashmir vs TRAU FC 1-0 43% 51% -15.3 28% 30% -8.8 30% 32% -8.3
05.11.23 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Neroca FC 4-1 59% 72% -17.7 23% 23% -1.5 18% 17% 8.4
06.11.23 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Inter Kashi FC 2-4 40% 47% -13.1 28% 31% -9.6 31% 35% -10.7
07.11.23 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Aizawl FC 1-2 67% 80% -16.2 19% 18% 4.9 14% 12% 14.5
08.11.23 Real Kashmir vs Churchill Brothers 1-3 38% 43% -12.8 28% 31% -9.1 34% 38% -10.8
09.11.23 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Rajasthan United 5-0 60% 74% -18.8 21% 21% 2.9 19% 17% 8.3
09.11.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Neroca FC 1-1 47% 58% -18.4 26% 28% -5.5 26% 26% 0.1
11.11.23 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Real Kashmir 1-0 36% 41% -10.9 28% 31% -8.6 36% 41% -13.0
13.11.23 Rajasthan United vs Churchill Brothers 2-0 25% 24% 0.6 26% 27% -3.9 49% 61% -18.3
13.11.23 TRAU FC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 0-2 22% 22% -0.2 25% 25% -1.4 54% 65% -17.9
14.11.23 Neroca FC vs Aizawl FC 1-3 37% 41% -10.2 28% 30% -8.6 36% 42% -14.5
14.11.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 2-2 22% 25% -10.8 25% 26% -4.0 52% 61% -13.5
17.11.23 Aizawl FC vs Delhi FC 1-5 39% 47% -15.5 27% 29% -6.4 34% 38% -10.1
18.11.23 Neroca FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 2-1 39% 43% -9.1 28% 30% -8.6 34% 39% -14.2
18.11.23 Rajasthan United vs Mohammedan SC 1-2 26% 27% -5.6 27% 29% -5.8 48% 56% -15.8
19.11.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 3-1 22% 24% -8.7 25% 26% -3.9 52% 62% -15.1
19.11.23 TRAU FC vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 0-5 17% 15% 8.4 23% 22% 3.8 61% 74% -18.0
21.11.23 Aizawl FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 3-0 38% 42% -9.3 27% 29% -7.9 35% 41% -15.2
22.11.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Delhi FC 2-1 35% 42% -17.0 28% 31% -8.5 37% 40% -8.0
23.11.23 Neroca FC vs Real Kashmir 0-4 27% 29% -4.1 27% 29% -5.6 46% 55% -16.5
23.11.23 Rajasthan United vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 1-2 16% 14% 8.8 22% 21% 5.0 63% 76% -18.0
25.11.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs TRAU FC 2-1 72% 88% -19.2 16% 13% 23.4 12% 8% 50.4
26.11.23 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Churchill Brothers 1-1 49% 58% -16.3 26% 28% -6.3 25% 26% -3.8
26.11.23 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 0-2 17% 15% 7.8 22% 21% 5.7 61% 75% -17.7
28.11.23 Rajasthan United vs Aizawl FC 2-2 34% 37% -8.6 27% 29% -7.5 39% 47% -16.2
28.11.23 Real Kashmir vs Inter Kashi FC 4-0 43% 51% -16.1 28% 30% -8.5 29% 31% -6.4
02.12.23 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 2-2 67% 78% -14.4 19% 19% 1.2 14% 13% 7.2
02.12.23 Real Kashmir vs Aizawl FC 0-0 48% 56% -14.2 26% 28% -6.8 26% 28% -7.7
03.12.23 Mohammedan SC vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 2-1 35% 39% -11.1 27% 29% -6.1 38% 44% -13.8
03.12.23 Rajasthan United vs Shillong Lajong FC 1-1 33% 37% -11.2 27% 29% -7.2 40% 47% -14.3
05.12.23 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Delhi FC 1-2 28% 30% -7.3 26% 28% -4.9 45% 54% -15.8
06.12.23 Rajasthan United vs Inter Kashi FC 2-2 35% 41% -13.9 28% 30% -8.0 37% 42% -11.2
06.12.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Churchill Brothers 2-0 34% 41% -16.4 27% 29% -6.2 39% 43% -10.1
07.12.23 Real Kashmir vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 0-0 32% 37% -13.7 26% 28% -5.0 42% 48% -12.5
07.12.23 TRAU FC vs Aizawl FC 1-5 16% 15% 8.2 21% 19% 9.5 63% 77% -18.0
08.12.23 Mohammedan SC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 1-1 42% 49% -14.8 26% 28% -5.5 32% 36% -9.9
10.12.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Aizawl FC 0-3 47% 56% -16.3 26% 27% -5.1 27% 29% -5.4
11.12.23 Real Kashmir vs Gokulam Kerala FC 3-0 32% 36% -13.1 28% 31% -8.3 40% 45% -11.6
11.12.23 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Delhi FC 1-0 54% 64% -15.1 24% 24% -3.0 22% 23% -3.6
13.12.23 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Mohammedan SC 0-1 22% 22% -1.0 25% 25% -1.0 54% 65% -16.7
15.12.23 Neroca FC vs Rajasthan United 3-4 36% 40% -9.7 27% 29% -7.7 37% 43% -15.5
16.12.23 Aizawl FC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 1-1 31% 36% -12.4 27% 29% -7.0 41% 48% -13.2
16.12.23 Real Kashmir vs Shillong Lajong FC 3-1 47% 56% -17.3 27% 29% -6.5 27% 27% -1.7
17.12.23 TRAU FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 1-2 33% 38% -14.7 27% 29% -6.0 40% 45% -11.3
19.12.23 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 1-4 49% 60% -17.3 26% 28% -6.2 25% 25% -1.3
21.12.23 Aizawl FC vs Inter Kashi FC 1-1 40% 45% -12.0 26% 28% -5.9 34% 39% -13.6
22.12.23 Rajasthan United vs TRAU FC 5-4 55% 65% -14.8 24% 25% -4.8 21% 22% -4.4
23.12.23 Shillong Lajong FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 3-0 51% 61% -16.1 25% 27% -5.8 23% 24% -3.9
24.12.23 Delhi FC vs Real Kashmir 1-0 42% 47% -10.4 27% 29% -8.3 31% 36% -13.8
03.02.24 Shillong Lajong FC vs Inter Kashi FC 0-1 39% 45% -13.5 27% 29% -6.9 33% 37% -10.0
04.02.24 Churchill Brothers vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 1-2 32% 36% -9.3 28% 30% -8.0 40% 47% -14.6
04.02.24 Mohammedan SC vs Real Kashmir 0-3 48% 54% -11.8 27% 29% -9.2 26% 29% -10.4
09.02.24 Inter Kashi FC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 2-4 34% 40% -14.6 28% 30% -8.0 38% 43% -10.8
09.02.24 Rajasthan United vs Real Kashmir 1-0 26% 27% -4.0 26% 27% -4.0 48% 58% -17.1
10.02.24 Aizawl FC vs Mohammedan SC 0-0 29% 32% -9.5 27% 29% -7.2 44% 51% -15.2
10.02.24 Churchill Brothers vs Namdhari Sports Academy 1-1 62% 71% -13.8 22% 23% -4.0 17% 17% -0.3
12.02.24 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Shillong Lajong FC 2-0 52% 62% -16.0 24% 26% -4.5 23% 24% -3.4
13.02.24 Mohammedan SC vs Rajasthan United 5-1 62% 72% -14.2 22% 23% -5.2 16% 17% -2.4
14.02.24 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Neroca FC 3-2 46% 53% -14.0 25% 27% -5.0 29% 32% -10.3
14.02.24 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs TRAU FC 3-0 76% 87% -12.8 15% 14% 4.5 9% 8% 11.5
15.02.24 Delhi FC vs Aizawl FC 1-0 46% 53% -13.5 26% 29% -7.6 28% 31% -10.2
16.02.24 Rajasthan United vs Gokulam Kerala FC 1-4 22% 23% -3.0 25% 25% -1.3 53% 64% -16.9
18.02.24 Churchill Brothers vs Real Kashmir 0-2 41% 45% -10.7 29% 32% -10.8 31% 35% -12.1
18.02.24 Inter Kashi FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 4-1 55% 64% -14.2 24% 26% -5.7 21% 22% -4.6
18.02.24 Neroca FC vs Shillong Lajong FC 0-2 23% 24% -3.4 26% 27% -3.7 51% 62% -16.9
19.02.24 Aizawl FC vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 1-5 18% 16% 12.1 23% 22% 3.3 59% 74% -19.6
19.02.24 Delhi FC vs Gokulam Kerala FC 1-2 31% 33% -7.7 27% 29% -7.2 42% 50% -16.2
23.02.24 Aizawl FC vs Rajasthan United 0-0 51% 60% -14.0 25% 27% -6.8 24% 26% -8.9
24.02.24 Churchill Brothers vs Gokulam Kerala FC 1-2 34% 38% -9.9 28% 30% -8.0 38% 44% -14.2
24.02.24 Inter Kashi FC vs Real Kashmir 1-1 33% 36% -8.5 28% 30% -8.5 39% 47% -16.1
25.02.24 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 2-0 74% 84% -12.3 16% 16% 0.8 10% 10% 6.8
25.02.24 TRAU FC vs Shillong Lajong FC 1-2 24% 27% -8.4 26% 28% -5.4 49% 58% -15.2
28.02.24 Aizawl FC vs Real Kashmir 0-1 28% 29% -2.5 28% 30% -7.8 44% 53% -17.3
28.02.24 Shillong Lajong FC vs Rajasthan United 4-4 60% 71% -15.7 22% 22% -0.9 18% 18% 0.3
29.02.24 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Gokulam Kerala FC 2-1 17% 17% 3.2 23% 22% 2.6 60% 72% -17.2
29.02.24 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Mohammedan SC 1-1 44% 50% -11.7 27% 30% -9.6 28% 32% -11.8
02.03.24 Inter Kashi FC vs Rajasthan United 1-1 62% 74% -15.8 21% 21% -0.1 17% 17% 2.5
03.03.24 Delhi FC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 2-3 56% 65% -14.1 23% 25% -6.1 20% 22% -6.3
03.03.24 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Mohammedan SC 2-3 37% 41% -9.8 29% 32% -10.1 34% 39% -12.8
04.03.24 Churchill Brothers vs Shillong Lajong FC 2-1 42% 48% -12.5 28% 30% -9.0 31% 35% -11.8
04.03.24 Sreenidi Deccan FC vs Real Kashmir 2-3 47% 53% -9.8 27% 30% -11.0 26% 29% -13.1
09.03.24 Aizawl FC vs Shillong Lajong FC 1-2 35% 39% -10.4 28% 31% -8.4 37% 42% -13.1
09.03.24 Mohammedan SC vs Namdhari Sports Academy 3-1 70% 81% -13.7 18% 18% -0.3 12% 11% 8.3
10.03.24 Delhi FC vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 0-1 26% 28% -5.6 26% 27% -3.8 48% 58% -17.2
10.03.24 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Real Kashmir 1-1 45% 51% -11.4 28% 31% -10.3 27% 30% -11.1
11.03.24 Rajasthan United vs Neroca FC 5-1 53% 63% -16.9 24% 24% -1.9 23% 24% -1.3
12.03.24 Namdhari Sports Academy vs TRAU FC 1-2 54% 65% -17.3 24% 24% -2.5 22% 22% -0.2
13.03.24 Shillong Lajong FC vs Real Kashmir 1-1 38% 42% -10.6 28% 31% -8.7 34% 39% -12.8
14.03.24 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Aizawl FC 4-3 61% 72% -15.2 22% 23% -4.1 16% 16% 2.6
16.03.24 Namdhari Sports Academy vs Shillong Lajong FC 1-1 27% 29% -9.3 27% 29% -6.1 46% 55% -14.9
17.03.24 Gokulam Kerala FC vs Sreenidi Deccan FC 1-2 36% 41% -10.8 28% 31% -8.6 36% 41% -13.0
17.03.24 Real Kashmir vs Delhi FC 1-1 56% 66% -15.9 24% 24% -3.3 21% 21% -0.6
18.03.24 Inter Kashi FC vs Aizawl FC 5-4 55% 66% -16.1 24% 24% -3.5 21% 22% -2.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 302 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Sreenidi Deccan FC 1710.22
2 Shillong Lajong FC 1704.85
3 Real Kashmir 1649.51
4 Rajasthan United 1619.04
5 Dempo SC 1605.97
6 Nagaland United SC 1600.00
7 Namdhari Sports Academy 1534.15
8 Chanmari FC 1531.84
9 Gokulam Kerala FC 1523.75
10 Aizawl FC 1509.33
11 Mohammedan SC 1452.30
12 Samaleswari SC 1351.87

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Sreenidi Deccan FC 1654.94
2 Real Kashmir 1622.74
3 Shillong Lajong FC 1610.41
4 Gokulam Kerala FC 1593.20
5 Dempo SC 1580.80
6 Rajasthan United 1573.76
7 Chanmari FC 1506.39
8 Namdhari Sports Academy 1498.81
9 Nagaland United SC 1424.79
10 Aizawl FC 1413.73
11 Mohammedan SC 1359.38
12 Samaleswari SC 1331.39