ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 544
Avg Goals 2.70
Avg Home 1.53
Avg Away 1.18
Home Win % 44.3%
Draw % 26.8%
Away Win % 28.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 544
Avg Brier Score 0.6071
Pick Accuracy 50.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6086
Market Brier 0.6081
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 544 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 3.1% 32
10–20% 16.3% 16.7% 168
20–30% 26.1% 24.9% 719
30–40% 34.7% 38.0% 271
40–50% 44.3% 47.4% 215
50–60% 54.6% 51.9% 131
60–70% 64.3% 60.0% 60
70–80% 73.9% 71.0% 31
80–90% 85.8% 100.0% 4
90–100% 91.7% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 Athlone Town vs Waterford United 1-1 16% 17% -10.6 21% 22% -5.6 64% 72% -11.2
28.07.23 Galway United vs Bray Wanderers 3-0 75% 82% -8.8 17% 18% -8.5 9% 10% -16.3
28.07.23 Kerry FC vs Finn Harps 1-2 25% 28% -10.8 26% 29% -10.4 49% 56% -12.1
28.07.23 Wexford Youths vs Treaty United FC 1-0 39% 42% -6.7 28% 31% -10.1 33% 39% -15.9
29.07.23 Longford Town vs Cobh Ramblers 0-1 34% 39% -13.2 27% 30% -9.6 39% 43% -9.4
04.08.23 Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town 2-2 36% 37% -4.1 26% 28% -7.1 39% 48% -18.8
04.08.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford Youths 2-2 53% 60% -12.2 25% 28% -8.8 22% 24% -10.8
04.08.23 Finn Harps vs Galway United 2-2 7% 9% -22.3 14% 16% -14.8 79% 85% -6.4
04.08.23 Treaty United FC vs Longford Town 2-3 48% 50% -4.7 26% 29% -10.8 26% 32% -19.1
04.08.23 Waterford United vs Kerry FC 3-0 92% 97% -5.5 6% 7% -19.1 2% 3% -29.6
07.08.23 Athlone Town vs Finn Harps 4-1 63% 68% -6.9 21% 24% -13.0 15% 20% -22.9
07.08.23 Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town 2-4 55% 60% -7.8 24% 27% -9.6 21% 26% -17.9
07.08.23 Galway United vs Treaty United FC 3-0 84% 90% -6.5 11% 12% -9.4 5% 7% -23.2
07.08.23 Kerry FC vs Cobh Ramblers 2-2 14% 17% -14.4 21% 23% -9.6 65% 72% -9.4
07.08.23 Wexford Youths vs Waterford United 0-1 13% 15% -14.7 19% 21% -8.6 68% 75% -9.4
11.08.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers 3-3 47% 53% -11.5 26% 29% -8.3 27% 30% -11.7
11.08.23 Finn Harps vs Treaty United FC 0-1 38% 43% -10.8 27% 30% -9.3 35% 39% -11.9
11.08.23 Wexford Youths vs Kerry FC 3-2 74% 80% -7.8 17% 19% -10.6 9% 11% -19.5
12.08.23 Longford Town vs Athlone Town 2-3 29% 31% -6.8 27% 29% -8.7 44% 52% -14.2
25.08.23 Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths 0-2 51% 56% -7.8 25% 29% -11.0 23% 29% -18.3
25.08.23 Bray Wanderers vs Waterford United 0-1 15% 17% -8.7 21% 22% -5.4 64% 73% -12.0
25.08.23 Finn Harps vs Longford Town 0-1 39% 45% -13.7 27% 30% -9.7 33% 37% -9.9
25.08.23 Galway United vs Cobh Ramblers 4-1 71% 78% -8.1 18% 20% -9.9 11% 13% -19.4
25.08.23 Treaty United FC vs Kerry FC 3-1 65% 68% -5.6 20% 23% -12.5 15% 20% -24.1
28.08.23 Treaty United FC vs Waterford United 2-2 10% 11% -8.2 17% 18% -5.6 73% 82% -11.1
01.09.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United FC 1-0 52% 56% -6.1 25% 29% -12.0 23% 29% -20.6
01.09.23 Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers 1-3 18% 21% -14.7 22% 24% -8.4 60% 67% -10.0
01.09.23 Waterford United vs Athlone Town 1-2 66% 71% -6.7 19% 22% -11.3 15% 19% -23.8
01.09.23 Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps 1-1 52% 62% -15.4 25% 27% -5.7 23% 23% -2.0
02.09.23 Longford Town vs Galway United 1-0 13% 14% -3.9 20% 22% -5.8 66% 76% -12.6
08.09.23 Bray Wanderers vs Galway United 1-4 13% 16% -15.9 19% 21% -8.8 67% 74% -9.1
08.09.23 Finn Harps vs Waterford United 0-4 10% 11% -16.7 17% 19% -11.3 74% 80% -8.0
08.09.23 Kerry FC vs Longford Town 0-0 14% 15% -7.2 19% 20% -2.9 66% 76% -12.5
08.09.23 Treaty United FC vs Wexford Youths 1-2 35% 37% -5.6 27% 30% -9.8 38% 45% -17.0
09.09.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Athlone Town 1-0 37% 39% -5.0 27% 29% -8.7 36% 43% -17.4
15.09.23 Athlone Town vs Kerry FC 2-1 79% 85% -7.0 14% 15% -10.2 7% 10% -22.6
15.09.23 Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United FC 2-2 47% 51% -6.8 26% 29% -10.4 27% 32% -17.6
15.09.23 Waterford United vs Cobh Ramblers 0-2 69% 73% -5.0 18% 22% -15.3 12% 17% -26.4
22.09.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps 5-1 55% 60% -8.6 25% 28% -10.4 20% 24% -15.8
22.09.23 Kerry FC vs Galway United 0-4 3% 4% -20.2 8% 9% -10.3 88% 94% -6.3
22.09.23 Longford Town vs Waterford United 0-3 21% 23% -9.2 24% 27% -8.4 55% 62% -12.1
22.09.23 Treaty United FC vs Athlone Town 4-1 32% 34% -7.9 26% 29% -7.6 42% 49% -14.3
22.09.23 Wexford Youths vs Bray Wanderers 2-1 43% 48% -9.2 28% 31% -10.4 29% 34% -13.9
25.09.23 Galway United vs Finn Harps 1-0 87% 94% -7.5 9% 9% -0.4 4% 5% -19.4
25.09.23 Wexford Youths vs Longford Town 2-0 43% 49% -11.4 28% 31% -9.8 29% 32% -10.0
29.09.23 Bray Wanderers vs Cobh Ramblers 2-1 39% 43% -9.2 27% 29% -8.9 35% 41% -15.3
29.09.23 Finn Harps vs Kerry FC 2-1 58% 64% -9.2 23% 26% -9.2 19% 23% -16.8
29.09.23 Galway United vs Athlone Town 6-0 69% 74% -7.0 19% 22% -13.4 12% 15% -22.6
29.09.23 Waterford United vs Wexford Youths 0-0 67% 72% -6.9 20% 23% -12.1 13% 17% -21.6
30.09.23 Longford Town vs Treaty United FC 2-3 43% 45% -4.9 27% 29% -9.7 30% 37% -18.4
06.10.23 Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers 0-1 46% 51% -8.1 26% 29% -9.7 28% 34% -18.0
06.10.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town 2-0 52% 58% -10.5 25% 27% -8.5 24% 28% -15.4
06.10.23 Kerry FC vs Wexford Youths 1-2 13% 14% -8.3 19% 20% -4.9 68% 77% -11.2
06.10.23 Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps 2-0 59% 65% -8.9 23% 26% -9.6 18% 22% -17.0
14.10.23 Finn Harps vs Athlone Town 4-1 25% 29% -13.1 24% 26% -6.8 51% 58% -12.3
14.10.23 Kerry FC vs Waterford United 1-1 9% 11% -20.0 15% 17% -11.5 75% 82% -7.9
14.10.23 Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers 2-2 31% 33% -6.0 26% 29% -7.8 42% 51% -16.2
14.10.23 Treaty United FC vs Galway United 1-4 15% 18% -16.3 21% 23% -9.6 64% 70% -8.8
15.10.23 Wexford Youths vs Cobh Ramblers 3-3 42% 47% -8.8 26% 29% -8.6 31% 38% -16.6
20.10.23 Athlone Town vs Longford Town 0-0 56% 61% -7.7 24% 26% -9.8 20% 25% -18.6
20.10.23 Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps 1-1 61% 67% -7.9 22% 25% -10.7 16% 20% -18.7
20.10.23 Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry FC 1-1 59% 61% -4.1 22% 26% -13.0 19% 25% -24.5
20.10.23 Galway United vs Wexford Youths 2-0 79% 87% -9.0 14% 14% -4.4 7% 9% -17.2
20.10.23 Waterford United vs Treaty United FC 2-0 54% 58% -6.4 24% 26% -10.5 22% 29% -21.8
24.10.23 Athlone Town vs Waterford United 1-1 17% 17% 3.0 22% 23% -2.6 61% 72% -15.6
04.11.23 Waterford United vs Cobh Ramblers 1-1 59% 62% -3.9 24% 29% -16.0 17% 22% -23.4
16.02.24 Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths 3-0 32% 33% -4.3 27% 30% -9.5 41% 49% -16.6
16.02.24 Bray Wanderers vs UCD Dublin 1-2 52% 54% -4.5 26% 29% -12.6 23% 29% -20.6
16.02.24 Cork City vs Kerry FC 2-0 76% 80% -4.8 16% 19% -18.2 8% 11% -27.6
16.02.24 Treaty United FC vs Cobh Ramblers 3-1 46% 49% -5.5 26% 29% -10.4 28% 34% -18.8
17.02.24 Longford Town vs Finn Harps 2-3 44% 48% -7.1 27% 31% -10.9 28% 34% -16.4
23.02.24 Cobh Ramblers vs Athlone Town 3-3 38% 38% -0.3 27% 29% -9.6 36% 45% -21.2
23.02.24 Finn Harps vs Cork City 1-1 24% 30% -20.1 27% 31% -14.6 49% 51% -4.2
23.02.24 Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers 2-3 21% 21% 2.4 24% 26% -5.1 54% 65% -16.9
23.02.24 UCD Dublin vs Treaty United FC 0-1 40% 47% -13.0 29% 32% -11.0 31% 33% -7.5
01.03.24 Cork City vs UCD Dublin 1-0 62% 68% -8.8 23% 26% -11.2 15% 18% -16.5
01.03.24 Finn Harps vs Athlone Town 2-0 36% 39% -8.0 28% 31% -10.0 36% 43% -14.9
01.03.24 Kerry FC vs Treaty United FC 0-1 22% 22% -3.2 25% 27% -7.3 53% 62% -14.5
08.03.24 Athlone Town vs Kerry FC 1-1 59% 61% -3.9 23% 27% -14.7 18% 24% -24.4
08.03.24 Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers 0-1 44% 50% -12.9 27% 29% -9.0 30% 33% -10.9
08.03.24 Treaty United FC vs Bray Wanderers 2-2 38% 41% -5.8 27% 30% -10.1 34% 42% -17.7
08.03.24 UCD Dublin vs Wexford Youths 1-2 36% 39% -7.5 30% 34% -12.5 34% 39% -13.2
09.03.24 Longford Town vs Cork City 0-2 22% 25% -12.7 25% 29% -10.9 53% 59% -10.4
15.03.24 Cork City vs Bray Wanderers 2-0 53% 56% -6.0 26% 29% -12.3 21% 26% -18.7
15.03.24 Kerry FC vs Cobh Ramblers 1-1 31% 34% -8.9 27% 30% -9.7 41% 48% -13.5
15.03.24 UCD Dublin vs Athlone Town 3-0 37% 39% -5.9 28% 31% -10.3 35% 42% -15.8
15.03.24 Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps 1-2 48% 53% -9.3 27% 30% -11.0 25% 29% -14.1
22.03.24 Athlone Town vs Longford Town 3-3 38% 37% 1.9 28% 32% -12.6 34% 43% -21.7
22.03.24 Bray Wanderers vs Wexford Youths 3-4 36% 36% 1.2 28% 31% -10.4 36% 44% -19.3
22.03.24 Cobh Ramblers vs UCD Dublin 1-2 36% 39% -8.4 30% 34% -12.9 35% 40% -13.6
22.03.24 Finn Harps vs Kerry FC 0-0 55% 60% -8.2 26% 29% -12.1 20% 23% -15.5
22.03.24 Treaty United FC vs Cork City 0-0 23% 25% -7.9 26% 29% -10.2 51% 58% -12.6
25.03.24 Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town 1-1 42% 42% -0.1 27% 30% -11.7 31% 40% -22.3
29.03.24 Bray Wanderers vs Cobh Ramblers 2-2 40% 41% -0.9 27% 31% -12.1 32% 41% -21.4
29.03.24 Cork City vs Athlone Town 1-0 67% 71% -6.6 21% 24% -13.9 12% 15% -20.3
29.03.24 Kerry FC vs Wexford Youths 1-1 23% 24% -4.4 26% 29% -8.9 51% 60% -14.9
29.03.24 Longford Town vs UCD Dublin 1-2 37% 38% -4.8 29% 33% -12.4 34% 41% -16.2
29.03.24 Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps 0-1 45% 49% -8.4 28% 31% -10.4 28% 32% -13.9
01.04.24 Athlone Town vs Treaty United FC 1-0 37% 38% -3.2 28% 31% -10.0 36% 43% -17.7
01.04.24 Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town 1-1 43% 45% -6.2 27% 31% -11.0 30% 36% -17.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 544 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Cork City 1671.49
2 Bray Wanderers 1564.03
3 Kerry FC 1526.70
4 UCD Dublin 1518.62
5 Wexford Youths 1488.26
6 Athlone Town 1484.30
7 Longford Town 1454.53
8 Cobh Ramblers 1452.07
9 Treaty United FC 1364.45
10 Finn Harps 1350.83

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bray Wanderers 1564.70
2 Cork City 1535.16
3 UCD Dublin 1513.58
4 Athlone Town 1490.59
5 Cobh Ramblers 1478.04
6 Kerry FC 1455.46
7 Longford Town 1423.53
8 Wexford Youths 1422.76
9 Treaty United FC 1348.94
10 Finn Harps 1225.25