ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 541
Avg Goals 2.48
Avg Home 1.40
Avg Away 1.08
Home Win % 42.5%
Draw % 29.0%
Away Win % 28.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 541
Avg Brier Score 0.6071
Pick Accuracy 48.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6070
Market Brier 0.6076
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 541 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.5% 7.9% 38
10–20% 15.9% 17.6% 205
20–30% 26.2% 27.3% 634
30–40% 33.8% 32.1% 318
40–50% 44.6% 44.0% 175
50–60% 54.4% 52.9% 140
60–70% 64.2% 64.7% 68
70–80% 74.1% 68.4% 38
80–90% 84.9% 83.3% 6
90–100% 93.1% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 Bohemians Dublin vs UCD Dublin 2-0 87% 90% -3.0 9% 11% -22.4 4% 6% -28.4
28.07.23 Cork City vs Shelbourne FC 0-2 31% 35% -12.2 31% 34% -9.1 38% 41% -7.3
28.07.23 Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers 2-2 39% 42% -5.8 29% 32% -8.6 31% 36% -14.1
04.08.23 Bohemians Dublin vs Drogheda United 4-2 56% 60% -5.9 25% 28% -9.2 19% 22% -13.6
04.08.23 Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks Athletic 0-2 28% 31% -9.1 28% 29% -4.3 44% 50% -12.2
06.08.23 Dundalk FC vs Shelbourne FC 1-1 42% 43% -4.0 30% 33% -10.4 28% 33% -14.9
06.08.23 Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City 2-1 71% 75% -5.1 19% 21% -11.9 11% 13% -17.5
11.08.23 Dundalk FC vs Sligo Rovers 1-0 54% 56% -3.8 25% 29% -10.8 20% 24% -17.3
11.08.23 Shelbourne FC vs Shamrock Rovers 1-1 28% 30% -7.5 31% 33% -8.0 41% 47% -11.2
11.08.23 St. Patricks Athletic vs Bohemians Dublin 0-0 39% 42% -6.1 28% 30% -6.3 32% 38% -13.9
13.08.23 Derry City vs Drogheda United 3-0 62% 67% -7.4 23% 25% -8.3 15% 17% -11.9
25.08.23 Bohemians Dublin vs Derry City 2-2 35% 37% -6.4 30% 33% -8.7 35% 40% -12.8
25.08.23 Drogheda United vs Cork City 3-1 49% 51% -4.5 27% 29% -9.4 24% 29% -17.0
25.08.23 Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk FC 1-0 61% 66% -7.8 23% 26% -8.5 16% 17% -10.9
25.08.23 UCD Dublin vs St. Patricks Athletic 0-1 7% 9% -15.0 16% 15% 4.8 76% 84% -9.0
26.08.23 Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne FC 0-1 34% 36% -5.5 31% 34% -8.6 35% 39% -11.6
01.09.23 Cork City vs Sligo Rovers 3-0 37% 41% -8.9 30% 33% -8.8 32% 36% -10.8
01.09.23 Drogheda United vs UCD Dublin 3-0 75% 78% -2.9 16% 19% -17.1 9% 12% -24.1
01.09.23 Dundalk FC vs Derry City 1-3 29% 32% -9.8 30% 32% -7.6 41% 47% -11.7
01.09.23 Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin 3-0 49% 53% -6.4 28% 31% -9.6 23% 26% -12.9
01.09.23 Shelbourne FC vs St. Patricks Athletic 2-1 42% 47% -8.9 30% 33% -9.8 28% 31% -10.4
06.09.23 UCD Dublin vs Derry City 0-5 5% 6% -14.9 14% 13% 6.2 81% 88% -8.5
15.09.23 Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers 1-1 42% 45% -7.2 29% 32% -8.8 28% 32% -12.1
16.09.23 Sligo Rovers vs UCD Dublin 2-0 80% 83% -4.5 14% 16% -15.0 7% 9% -21.7
22.09.23 Drogheda United vs Bohemians Dublin 0-0 24% 26% -5.8 27% 27% -1.4 49% 57% -13.9
22.09.23 Shelbourne FC vs Cork City 2-1 58% 61% -4.9 25% 28% -11.1 17% 20% -15.1
22.09.23 Sligo Rovers vs Derry City 1-0 20% 23% -9.8 28% 29% -5.3 52% 58% -10.7
22.09.23 St. Patricks Athletic vs Dundalk FC 3-1 48% 51% -7.0 27% 29% -7.9 25% 29% -14.2
22.09.23 UCD Dublin vs Shamrock Rovers 0-0 3% 4% -15.2 10% 10% 9.1 86% 93% -7.6
25.09.23 Bohemians Dublin vs Shelbourne FC 1-1 46% 49% -5.5 29% 32% -10.7 25% 29% -14.6
25.09.23 Dundalk FC vs Cork City 5-0 53% 55% -3.6 26% 29% -10.2 22% 26% -17.6
25.09.23 St. Patricks Athletic vs Drogheda United 1-2 62% 65% -4.6 22% 24% -9.7 16% 20% -17.9
29.09.23 Bohemians Dublin vs Sligo Rovers 3-1 60% 63% -5.2 23% 26% -11.1 17% 20% -17.1
29.09.23 Cork City vs St. Patricks Athletic 0-1 27% 30% -12.0 28% 29% -4.3 45% 50% -9.7
29.09.23 Derry City vs UCD Dublin 6-0 93% 96% -3.1 5% 7% -29.8 2% 2% -31.9
29.09.23 Dundalk FC vs Drogheda United 3-1 59% 64% -6.6 23% 25% -8.2 18% 21% -15.6
29.09.23 Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne FC 1-0 57% 60% -5.0 25% 29% -13.4 17% 21% -17.0
06.10.23 Drogheda United vs Derry City 0-0 12% 13% -8.3 21% 21% 2.5 67% 75% -11.1
06.10.23 Shelbourne FC vs Dundalk FC 1-0 43% 48% -8.9 29% 32% -9.1 27% 31% -11.2
12.10.23 UCD Dublin vs Bohemians Dublin 1-2 4% 5% -14.7 13% 12% 6.9 83% 90% -8.0
20.10.23 Bohemians Dublin vs St. Patricks Athletic 0-2 52% 57% -9.4 26% 28% -5.9 22% 24% -9.4
20.10.23 Derry City vs Shelbourne FC 0-0 59% 61% -2.5 25% 29% -14.4 16% 19% -17.4
20.10.23 Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk FC 0-2 37% 43% -12.7 29% 31% -6.3 34% 36% -7.7
22.10.23 Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United 5-0 83% 86% -4.1 12% 14% -17.0 5% 7% -23.1
23.10.23 St. Patricks Athletic vs Sligo Rovers 1-0 59% 65% -9.1 24% 26% -6.6 17% 18% -8.5
27.10.23 Cork City vs Derry City 0-1 15% 17% -9.5 25% 26% -2.7 60% 67% -10.1
27.10.23 Dundalk FC vs Bohemians Dublin 2-0 32% 36% -9.8 28% 29% -3.9 40% 44% -11.1
27.10.23 Shelbourne FC vs UCD Dublin 3-2 89% 93% -3.6 8% 10% -24.8 3% 4% -29.2
27.10.23 St. Patricks Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers 0-2 20% 23% -11.7 27% 29% -4.6 53% 58% -9.4
28.10.23 Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United 0-0 56% 61% -7.8 25% 28% -9.2 19% 22% -13.1
28.10.23 Waterford United vs Athlone Town 3-1 70% 72% -2.6 18% 21% -15.3 12% 16% -24.4
30.10.23 Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers 0-0 18% 21% -15.0 25% 26% -3.6 57% 62% -8.1
03.11.23 Bohemians Dublin vs Cork City 4-0 80% 86% -7.6 14% 14% -5.3 7% 8% -11.6
03.11.23 Derry City vs St. Patricks Athletic 3-0 68% 71% -4.6 21% 24% -13.5 12% 14% -17.7
03.11.23 Drogheda United vs Shelbourne FC 2-4 20% 23% -11.3 27% 29% -4.8 53% 59% -10.5
03.11.23 Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers 4-2 74% 78% -5.0 17% 19% -13.1 9% 11% -19.7
03.11.23 UCD Dublin vs Dundalk FC 1-5 8% 10% -17.6 16% 16% 2.5 76% 83% -8.3
10.11.23 Waterford United vs Cork City 1-1 32% 34% -6.4 29% 31% -5.6 39% 44% -13.0
16.02.24 Bohemians Dublin vs Sligo Rovers 2-2 52% 55% -4.9 26% 29% -10.1 22% 26% -15.8
16.02.24 Derry City vs Drogheda United 2-1 76% 78% -2.0 16% 20% -21.6 8% 11% -27.3
16.02.24 Galway United vs St. Patricks Athletic 0-1 35% 39% -10.0 29% 31% -5.8 36% 40% -10.7
16.02.24 Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk FC 1-1 70% 75% -5.8 19% 22% -13.1 10% 12% -16.7
16.02.24 Waterford United vs Shelbourne FC 1-1 25% 27% -8.3 29% 31% -6.3 46% 52% -11.3
23.02.24 Drogheda United vs Waterford United 1-4 41% 43% -5.1 29% 32% -9.5 30% 35% -15.2
23.02.24 Dundalk FC vs Galway United 0-2 45% 49% -8.7 29% 32% -8.6 26% 29% -9.1
23.02.24 Shelbourne FC vs Shamrock Rovers 2-1 24% 28% -13.4 31% 35% -10.0 45% 48% -6.4
23.02.24 St. Patricks Athletic vs Bohemians Dublin 0-1 41% 45% -9.7 29% 31% -6.7 30% 34% -10.8
24.02.24 Sligo Rovers vs Derry City 0-0 24% 26% -8.1 29% 31% -5.8 47% 53% -11.2
01.03.24 Derry City vs St. Patricks Athletic 2-1 55% 56% -3.4 26% 30% -12.7 19% 23% -16.6
01.03.24 Galway United vs Waterford United 2-1 54% 56% -3.4 27% 31% -13.0 19% 23% -15.8
01.03.24 Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne FC 0-1 32% 33% -4.0 32% 36% -10.1 36% 41% -12.1
04.03.24 Drogheda United vs Bohemians Dublin 2-1 25% 29% -14.1 28% 29% -4.6 47% 51% -7.6
04.03.24 Dundalk FC vs Sligo Rovers 0-5 45% 48% -6.4 29% 32% -9.0 26% 29% -11.3
04.03.24 Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City 2-2 46% 49% -6.4 29% 32% -10.3 25% 29% -13.7
04.03.24 Shelbourne FC vs Galway United 1-0 43% 44% -3.7 30% 34% -11.7 27% 31% -14.4
04.03.24 Waterford United vs St. Patricks Athletic 3-1 26% 29% -11.1 30% 32% -7.5 44% 49% -9.8
08.03.24 Bohemians Dublin vs Shelbourne FC 0-2 37% 39% -4.4 30% 33% -9.4 32% 38% -14.4
08.03.24 Derry City vs Waterford United 3-0 67% 67% -0.9 21% 27% -19.8 12% 16% -24.5
08.03.24 Galway United vs Drogheda United 0-0 61% 65% -5.7 24% 26% -10.5 16% 18% -14.4
08.03.24 St. Patricks Athletic vs Dundalk FC 1-0 50% 55% -9.7 28% 30% -8.5 23% 25% -9.4
09.03.24 Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers 0-0 23% 26% -13.6 29% 31% -7.3 48% 53% -8.2
15.03.24 Bohemians Dublin vs Derry City 2-1 26% 28% -6.1 29% 31% -5.8 44% 51% -11.9
15.03.24 Dundalk FC vs Waterford United 0-0 47% 49% -4.0 27% 30% -9.3 26% 31% -16.4
15.03.24 Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers 0-1 26% 30% -14.4 30% 32% -7.7 44% 48% -7.0
15.03.24 St. Patricks Athletic vs Shelbourne FC 1-2 36% 37% -3.6 32% 35% -10.2 33% 38% -13.1
16.03.24 Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United 3-1 55% 58% -5.0 26% 29% -11.7 19% 22% -15.5
29.03.24 Derry City vs Galway United 0-1 54% 55% -1.4 28% 33% -16.1 18% 22% -18.3
29.03.24 Drogheda United vs St. Patricks Athletic 0-0 25% 29% -11.6 29% 30% -5.2 46% 51% -8.9
29.03.24 Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin 3-1 63% 67% -6.4 22% 24% -8.9 15% 17% -14.0
29.03.24 Shelbourne FC vs Dundalk FC 2-1 55% 57% -4.2 27% 30% -12.0 19% 22% -14.6
29.03.24 Waterford United vs Sligo Rovers 0-1 37% 39% -5.8 31% 34% -9.8 32% 36% -12.1
01.04.24 Dundalk FC vs Drogheda United 0-0 43% 45% -5.0 28% 30% -8.1 29% 34% -16.0
01.04.24 Galway United vs Bohemians Dublin 0-2 49% 54% -9.7 29% 32% -9.8 22% 24% -7.2
01.04.24 Shelbourne FC vs Derry City 0-0 34% 36% -4.8 31% 35% -10.1 35% 40% -13.3
01.04.24 St. Patricks Athletic vs Sligo Rovers 3-0 47% 50% -6.5 29% 32% -10.9 25% 29% -14.1
01.04.24 Waterford United vs Shamrock Rovers 1-2 17% 19% -11.9 26% 28% -5.1 57% 62% -9.0
05.04.24 Bohemians Dublin vs Waterford United 0-1 50% 53% -5.7 27% 30% -10.3 22% 26% -15.0
05.04.24 Derry City vs Dundalk FC 4-1 71% 74% -3.4 20% 24% -17.1 9% 11% -19.0
05.04.24 Drogheda United vs Shelbourne FC 2-2 28% 32% -12.0 31% 34% -9.6 40% 44% -9.0
05.04.24 St. Patricks Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers 2-1 24% 28% -12.1 29% 31% -6.1 47% 51% -8.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 541 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 St. Patricks Athletic 1952.15
2 Shamrock Rovers 1928.13
3 Bohemians Dublin 1895.47
4 Derry City 1884.32
5 Waterford United 1836.40
6 Shelbourne FC 1828.17
7 Dundalk FC 1756.63
8 Galway United 1728.26
9 Drogheda United 1696.37
10 Sligo Rovers 1627.92

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 St. Patricks Athletic 1921.30
2 Shamrock Rovers 1889.36
3 Bohemians Dublin 1824.26
4 Waterford United 1762.03
5 Shelbourne FC 1715.24
6 Dundalk FC 1714.99
7 Derry City 1714.00
8 Drogheda United 1648.45
9 Galway United 1624.52
10 Sligo Rovers 1515.15