ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 708
Avg Goals 2.77
Avg Home 1.44
Avg Away 1.32
Home Win % 40.5%
Draw % 24.7%
Away Win % 34.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 708
Avg Brier Score 0.5875
Pick Accuracy 51.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5871
Market Brier 0.5871
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 11
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 9 of 708 matches had at least one · staked 11.00, profit -11.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 5 0.0% 5.00 -5.00 -100.0%
away 5 0.0% 5.00 -5.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.8% 0.0% 22
10–20% 15.8% 11.4% 280
20–30% 26.1% 25.9% 884
30–40% 34.6% 36.1% 380
40–50% 44.1% 42.7% 253
50–60% 54.9% 59.6% 141
60–70% 65.1% 71.2% 118
70–80% 73.2% 72.7% 44
80–90% 80.8% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
26.08.23 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Hadera 3-0 65% 75% -13.0 21% 21% 0.3 14% 14% 2.7
26.08.23 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 26% 27% -3.2 28% 30% -7.9 46% 53% -12.8
26.08.23 Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 1-1 52% 58% -11.3 27% 29% -7.0 22% 23% -5.2
26.08.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 36% 40% -10.0 29% 31% -8.1 35% 38% -8.2
27.08.23 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Ashdod 4-1 72% 81% -11.2 18% 17% 2.1 10% 10% 5.1
28.08.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa 1-2 41% 47% -10.9 28% 29% -6.5 31% 34% -8.4
02.09.23 Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-2 43% 50% -14.1 28% 30% -7.7 29% 30% -4.1
02.09.23 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 37% 41% -10.0 29% 32% -9.2 34% 37% -8.3
02.09.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Netanya 2-0 33% 36% -7.6 28% 31% -7.8 39% 43% -11.1
02.09.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-1 18% 18% -2.8 24% 26% -6.0 58% 65% -10.9
03.09.23 Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 9% 10% -3.7 17% 17% -5.0 74% 82% -9.4
03.09.23 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Haifa 1-2 17% 18% -5.4 23% 24% -4.8 60% 67% -10.4
04.09.23 FC Ashdod vs Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 33% 36% -7.5 27% 29% -5.5 40% 45% -12.1
17.09.23 Hapoel Haifa vs FC Ashdod 2-0 41% 45% -9.6 29% 31% -8.5 30% 33% -9.1
17.09.23 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 29% 30% -5.2 29% 32% -8.9 42% 47% -9.9
17.09.23 Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-1 54% 61% -12.3 26% 28% -6.5 20% 21% -2.9
17.09.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa 3-2 17% 19% -12.1 22% 24% -8.5 61% 66% -8.0
17.09.23 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 1-1 73% 82% -10.4 17% 17% 0.8 10% 10% -2.0
18.09.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera 2-0 53% 61% -11.9 25% 27% -4.9 21% 22% -4.3
18.09.23 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 52% 58% -10.0 26% 29% -7.4 22% 23% -6.9
23.09.23 FC Ashdod vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-1 37% 42% -10.4 29% 31% -8.2 34% 37% -8.3
23.09.23 Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Haifa 1-2 31% 34% -10.8 28% 30% -8.1 41% 45% -9.0
23.09.23 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Netanya 1-1 33% 35% -6.9 29% 31% -8.2 39% 43% -11.1
23.09.23 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 16% 17% -3.5 23% 24% -5.9 61% 68% -10.4
23.09.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 32% 34% -8.0 28% 29% -6.3 41% 45% -10.4
26.09.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-5 15% 15% -1.6 21% 22% -3.3 63% 71% -11.3
27.09.23 Maccabi Haifa vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 72% 81% -11.4 17% 17% 4.4 11% 10% 3.5
30.09.23 FC Ashdod vs Hapoel Hadera 0-1 47% 52% -10.2 28% 31% -8.3 25% 27% -6.5
30.09.23 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem 3-0 55% 62% -11.1 26% 28% -7.4 19% 20% -4.8
30.09.23 Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 1-2 43% 48% -9.8 29% 31% -8.3 28% 31% -7.7
30.09.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 5-1 44% 50% -12.1 28% 31% -8.1 28% 29% -5.6
30.09.23 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 78% 87% -10.8 14% 13% 9.7 8% 8% 3.4
01.10.23 Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Haifa 2-3 21% 23% -8.3 25% 27% -6.9 54% 60% -9.8
02.10.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-3 43% 49% -12.0 28% 30% -7.7 29% 31% -6.8
02.12.23 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 31% 35% -11.7 28% 31% -8.6 41% 44% -7.9
02.12.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa 0-1 46% 53% -13.4 28% 30% -7.7 26% 27% -2.6
02.12.23 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Netanya 1-1 27% 29% -5.0 28% 30% -7.6 45% 51% -11.2
02.12.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs FC Ashdod 0-0 43% 49% -11.8 29% 31% -8.6 28% 30% -6.3
03.12.23 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 11% 10% 9.4 19% 18% 2.0 70% 79% -11.5
03.12.23 Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 40% 44% -10.5 28% 31% -7.9 32% 35% -8.4
05.12.23 FC Ashdod vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 35% 39% -11.8 29% 32% -9.7 36% 39% -7.5
05.12.23 Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 0-2 36% 41% -11.8 29% 31% -7.9 35% 37% -5.0
05.12.23 Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 49% 56% -13.0 27% 29% -5.8 24% 24% -1.7
05.12.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya 1-0 36% 40% -11.2 28% 31% -8.3 36% 40% -9.3
06.12.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Jerusalem 1-0 44% 49% -10.7 28% 31% -8.0 28% 30% -7.1
06.12.23 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 1-2 59% 65% -9.9 24% 26% -6.2 17% 18% -6.0
09.12.23 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs FC Ashdod 1-1 34% 37% -9.6 29% 32% -9.3 37% 41% -8.8
09.12.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera 1-1 51% 58% -12.2 27% 29% -7.6 22% 23% -3.0
09.12.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 36% 41% -12.0 29% 31% -8.3 35% 38% -6.1
10.12.23 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa 0-1 36% 39% -8.3 30% 33% -9.8 34% 37% -8.3
10.12.23 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-3 11% 10% 6.6 19% 19% -1.6 71% 79% -11.0
10.12.23 Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 65% 76% -14.6 21% 20% 4.2 14% 13% 11.9
11.12.23 Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 31% 34% -10.0 28% 31% -8.4 41% 45% -9.1
16.12.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 44% 50% -11.9 28% 31% -8.1 28% 29% -5.8
16.12.23 FC Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem 2-0 40% 43% -9.2 30% 34% -10.3 30% 32% -6.7
16.12.23 Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 40% 45% -11.4 28% 31% -7.9 31% 34% -7.3
16.12.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-2 38% 43% -12.8 29% 32% -9.3 33% 34% -4.8
16.12.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 30% 34% -11.5 28% 31% -8.9 42% 44% -6.5
17.12.23 Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa 0-3 20% 22% -8.7 24% 26% -6.4 56% 62% -9.6
17.12.23 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Netanya 2-1 64% 73% -11.8 21% 21% -0.3 15% 15% -1.1
19.12.23 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera 1-0 38% 42% -8.1 30% 33% -10.5 32% 36% -10.7
19.12.23 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 0-1 33% 37% -10.5 29% 32% -9.4 38% 41% -7.8
19.12.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-0 39% 44% -12.6 29% 31% -8.3 33% 34% -5.7
20.12.23 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 25% 27% -6.6 27% 29% -7.5 48% 53% -10.0
20.12.23 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Haifa 1-1 32% 34% -5.5 29% 31% -8.0 39% 44% -11.7
20.12.23 Maccabi Haifa vs FC Ashdod 4-0 68% 79% -13.6 19% 18% 5.0 13% 12% 6.2
20.12.23 Maccabi Netanya vs Beitar Jerusalem 0-3 47% 54% -13.8 28% 30% -7.6 25% 26% -1.0
23.12.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-4 25% 28% -9.1 27% 29% -7.8 48% 52% -8.1
23.12.23 FC Ashdod vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 41% 44% -8.7 29% 32% -8.7 30% 32% -7.2
23.12.23 Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya 2-1 32% 36% -9.5 29% 31% -8.2 39% 43% -8.4
23.12.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-1 47% 52% -10.2 28% 31% -8.3 25% 27% -6.6
23.12.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 36% 38% -6.0 32% 37% -12.3 31% 34% -7.4
24.12.23 Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Haifa 1-5 13% 13% -1.3 19% 19% -0.8 68% 77% -11.1
24.12.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 12% 12% 3.6 18% 18% 1.6 69% 79% -12.0
26.12.23 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa 4-0 55% 62% -11.0 25% 27% -5.7 20% 21% -5.3
26.12.23 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 31% 33% -5.6 31% 34% -11.1 38% 43% -11.0
26.12.23 Maccabi Netanya vs FC Ashdod 1-0 54% 62% -14.0 26% 27% -4.0 21% 20% 3.1
27.12.23 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Hadera 0-1 42% 47% -8.8 29% 31% -8.7 29% 32% -9.9
27.12.23 Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 1-0 63% 72% -11.9 22% 22% -2.6 15% 15% -2.6
27.12.23 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 44% 49% -9.4 28% 31% -9.1 27% 30% -9.6
27.12.23 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 73% 82% -11.2 17% 17% 2.7 10% 10% 1.3
30.12.23 FC Ashdod vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-3 20% 21% -5.3 26% 28% -7.7 55% 61% -9.9
30.12.23 Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Netanya 1-4 21% 23% -6.1 26% 28% -7.4 53% 60% -11.1
30.12.23 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem 1-2 32% 34% -5.2 30% 33% -10.4 38% 43% -12.6
30.12.23 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 38% 42% -8.1 30% 33% -10.2 32% 35% -9.5
31.12.23 Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-2 51% 60% -15.0 26% 27% -3.4 24% 23% 2.2
31.12.23 Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 14% 14% -1.4 21% 22% -4.3 65% 72% -10.8
31.12.23 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa 0-0 18% 19% -3.6 23% 23% -2.5 59% 67% -11.9
02.01.24 Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-2 16% 17% -3.0 23% 25% -6.6 60% 68% -11.1
02.01.24 Maccabi Bnei Reina vs Maccabi Netanya 1-3 27% 29% -7.5 29% 32% -10.1 44% 49% -10.2
03.01.24 FC Ashdod vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-4 11% 11% -0.6 18% 18% -2.0 71% 79% -10.0
03.01.24 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-1 42% 48% -12.6 29% 32% -9.8 29% 31% -6.3
03.01.24 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa 2-2 12% 11% 6.4 19% 18% 1.9 70% 79% -12.2
03.01.24 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 3-3 42% 45% -8.6 29% 31% -7.9 30% 32% -8.1
04.01.24 Hapoel Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 38% 43% -13.3 27% 29% -6.9 35% 38% -7.4
06.01.24 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Reina 4-2 60% 68% -11.9 24% 25% -5.1 16% 17% -1.8
06.01.24 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 48% 54% -11.3 28% 30% -8.2 24% 26% -5.5
06.01.24 Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 46% 51% -10.9 28% 30% -8.0 26% 29% -7.5
07.01.24 Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 64% 71% -10.1 22% 23% -4.6 14% 15% -4.7
07.01.24 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera 1-1 78% 85% -9.1 15% 14% 2.5 8% 8% -0.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 708 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2069.74
2 Hapoel Tel Aviv 2040.06
3 Beitar Jerusalem 2008.05
4 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1993.15
5 Maccabi Haifa 1965.69
6 Maccabi Netanya 1905.77
7 Hapoel Haifa 1822.82
8 Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1758.01
9 Hapoel Ramat Gan 1747.63
10 Hapoel Jerusalem 1734.19
11 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 1728.04
12 Ironi Tiberias 1717.08
13 Maccabi Petah Tikva 1706.66
14 Hapoel Petah Tikva 1705.50

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2047.53
2 Beitar Jerusalem 2007.29
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 1974.72
4 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1966.56
5 Maccabi Haifa 1954.02
6 Maccabi Netanya 1911.63
7 Maccabi Petah Tikva 1763.60
8 Hapoel Haifa 1755.54
9 Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1725.86
10 Hapoel Jerusalem 1722.32
11 Hapoel Petah Tikva 1707.17
12 Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin 1698.43
13 Hapoel Ramat Gan 1689.33
14 Ironi Tiberias 1674.16