ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 375
Avg Goals 2.82
Avg Home 1.47
Avg Away 1.35
Home Win % 42.1%
Draw % 25.1%
Away Win % 32.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 375
Avg Brier Score 0.5947
Pick Accuracy 50.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5988
Market Brier 0.5930
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 22
Value Bet Hit Rate 9.1%
ROI (flat stake) 6.8%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 14 of 375 matches had at least one · staked 22.00, profit 1.50 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 5 20.0% 5.00 4.50 90.0%
draw 9 0.0% 9.00 -9.00 -100.0%
away 8 12.5% 8.00 6.00 75.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.9% 10.5% 19
10–20% 16.4% 13.9% 101
20–30% 26.2% 24.6% 521
30–40% 34.6% 35.0% 180
40–50% 44.8% 44.2% 154
50–60% 54.2% 67.7% 96
60–70% 63.9% 56.2% 32
70–80% 74.9% 73.7% 19
80–90% 85.2% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
27.08.23 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 2-1 28% 31% -10.7 28% 31% -10.2 44% 50% -11.9
27.08.23 Ehime FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1-0 21% 23% -10.5 26% 29% -9.7 54% 60% -11.1
27.08.23 Nittaidai FC (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 4-1 29% 32% -9.5 28% 31% -9.1 43% 49% -12.2
27.08.23 Orca Kamogawa (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 3-0 33% 37% -11.8 30% 34% -12.7 37% 42% -10.7
27.08.23 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs Yamato Sylphid (W) 0-1 53% 62% -14.3 26% 28% -7.0 21% 22% -4.2
02.09.23 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 4-1 51% 56% -9.9 28% 32% -12.3 21% 23% -9.8
02.09.23 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 1-1 44% 51% -13.6 28% 31% -9.8 28% 31% -8.4
02.09.23 Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 1-3 13% 14% -6.5 19% 20% -3.4 68% 78% -12.6
03.09.23 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 3-0 57% 66% -13.5 25% 27% -7.5 18% 19% -5.2
03.09.23 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1-4 40% 45% -13.0 28% 31% -9.5 32% 36% -9.9
03.09.23 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 0-1 59% 68% -13.8 24% 25% -4.8 17% 17% -1.3
09.09.23 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 2-3 41% 48% -14.0 29% 32% -10.9 30% 33% -9.1
09.09.23 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 1-3 38% 44% -14.1 28% 31% -9.7 34% 37% -9.3
09.09.23 Nittaidai FC (W) vs Yamato Sylphid (W) 6-1 59% 68% -13.4 24% 25% -5.4 17% 18% -4.2
09.09.23 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1-2 26% 29% -13.3 27% 30% -10.3 47% 53% -10.1
09.09.23 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 0-0 20% 22% -8.2 25% 28% -8.4 54% 62% -12.2
10.09.23 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 2-3 24% 26% -7.5 28% 31% -10.2 48% 56% -13.6
16.09.23 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 1-6 24% 27% -9.9 28% 31% -10.6 48% 55% -12.3
17.09.23 Ehime FC (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 2-1 37% 43% -13.0 29% 32% -10.5 34% 38% -9.7
17.09.23 Orca Kamogawa (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 3-3 37% 42% -11.9 30% 34% -11.7 33% 36% -9.5
17.09.23 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 2-1 28% 31% -7.9 28% 31% -9.6 44% 51% -14.5
17.09.23 Yamato Sylphid (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 1-4 22% 26% -12.5 24% 26% -7.2 53% 60% -11.8
18.09.23 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 1-2 52% 61% -15.2 26% 28% -7.0 22% 23% -4.2
23.09.23 Ehime FC (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 0-2 22% 24% -8.2 26% 28% -7.8 53% 60% -12.8
23.09.23 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Yamato Sylphid (W) 1-1 68% 81% -15.2 19% 18% 4.5 13% 12% 7.0
23.09.23 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 0-0 41% 48% -14.3 28% 31% -9.4 31% 33% -7.4
23.09.23 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 2-2 30% 34% -11.2 28% 31% -9.5 42% 47% -10.5
24.09.23 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 0-0 38% 44% -14.4 29% 32% -10.4 33% 36% -7.4
24.09.23 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 2-6 50% 58% -13.2 27% 29% -9.4 23% 26% -9.5
30.09.23 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 2-1 35% 41% -14.0 28% 31% -9.5 37% 40% -8.5
01.10.23 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 2-2 47% 55% -13.6 27% 29% -8.0 26% 28% -7.4
01.10.23 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) 5-3 66% 77% -14.4 21% 21% -1.2 13% 13% 3.3
01.10.23 Nittaidai FC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 5-0 52% 61% -15.8 26% 28% -7.3 23% 24% -5.2
01.10.23 Orca Kamogawa (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1-0 61% 71% -15.1 23% 23% -2.2 17% 17% 0.6
01.10.23 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Yamato Sylphid (W) 2-0 72% 84% -14.2 17% 16% 7.3 11% 10% 7.3
09.10.23 Ehime FC (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 1-2 30% 33% -10.6 26% 29% -7.2 44% 51% -13.5
09.10.23 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 1-1 18% 19% -6.1 24% 26% -7.8 58% 67% -13.2
09.10.23 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 2-4 21% 24% -9.9 27% 30% -11.2 52% 59% -12.2
09.10.23 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 0-1 26% 29% -11.6 27% 29% -9.0 47% 53% -11.7
09.10.23 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 1-1 48% 56% -13.4 27% 29% -8.3 25% 27% -7.8
16.03.24 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 0-3 22% 23% -4.5 24% 25% -3.7 54% 64% -14.9
17.03.24 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 0-2 28% 33% -15.3 27% 30% -10.1 45% 49% -8.8
17.03.24 Ehime FC (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 0-2 25% 29% -13.5 27% 30% -10.1 47% 52% -8.7
17.03.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 0-0 19% 20% -5.2 24% 26% -6.0 57% 66% -13.5
17.03.24 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 3-1 25% 24% 2.3 27% 29% -7.0 48% 60% -18.6
23.03.24 Nittaidai FC (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 0-0 63% 76% -16.5 21% 21% 2.1 15% 14% 8.3
23.03.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 2-0 52% 61% -15.0 26% 28% -6.4 22% 23% -2.8
23.03.24 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 3-1 62% 72% -15.0 22% 23% -3.0 16% 16% 0.0
24.03.24 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) 2-0 55% 65% -14.3 25% 27% -7.3 20% 21% -5.5
30.03.24 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 0-2 32% 38% -16.7 28% 31% -10.7 40% 43% -7.9
30.03.24 Ehime FC (W) vs Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) 1-1 41% 49% -16.7 28% 30% -8.9 32% 34% -6.2
30.03.24 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 0-1 20% 21% -5.3 24% 26% -5.7 56% 65% -14.5
31.03.24 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 0-0 11% 10% 14.0 19% 18% 2.8 70% 83% -14.8
31.03.24 Nittaidai FC (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 2-0 33% 39% -14.9 28% 31% -10.0 38% 42% -8.8
31.03.24 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 2-0 36% 38% -7.6 28% 31% -9.3 37% 43% -15.9
06.04.24 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) 1-3 30% 30% -1.4 28% 31% -9.1 42% 51% -17.9
06.04.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 0-0 37% 41% -10.6 29% 32% -10.3 35% 39% -11.8
06.04.24 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 2-1 56% 68% -18.1 25% 26% -3.8 20% 18% 8.0
07.04.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 1-2 43% 49% -12.3 27% 29% -8.3 30% 34% -12.3
13.04.24 Ehime FC (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1-2 41% 49% -16.0 28% 31% -9.4 31% 32% -4.7
13.04.24 Nittaidai FC (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 2-0 39% 47% -16.2 29% 32% -10.3 32% 33% -3.7
14.04.24 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 2-2 41% 47% -12.1 28% 31% -9.2 31% 34% -9.3
14.04.24 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) vs Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) 3-1 75% 86% -13.2 16% 15% 8.2 9% 8% 9.6
21.04.24 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 1-0 70% 79% -12.4 19% 19% -0.8 12% 12% -1.7
21.04.24 Orca Kamogawa (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 2-1 36% 42% -14.6 29% 32% -10.9 36% 39% -9.1
21.04.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 2-0 53% 61% -12.2 26% 29% -8.9 21% 23% -8.7
21.04.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 1-0 38% 48% -20.5 29% 32% -11.1 33% 32% 3.8
21.04.24 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 1-0 31% 35% -10.8 29% 32% -10.8 40% 45% -12.1
27.04.24 Ehime FC (W) vs Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) 2-3 8% 7% 22.7 16% 14% 10.0 76% 88% -14.3
28.04.24 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 0-3 39% 43% -9.9 28% 31% -9.8 33% 38% -13.5
28.04.24 Nittaidai FC (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 1-2 34% 38% -10.3 28% 31% -9.2 38% 43% -13.6
28.04.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 2-2 42% 49% -13.5 29% 32% -10.4 29% 31% -7.4
29.04.24 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 2-0 37% 42% -11.3 30% 33% -11.4 33% 37% -10.8
04.05.24 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 2-0 78% 90% -13.2 14% 12% 16.0 8% 7% 16.2
04.05.24 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 0-0 46% 53% -14.0 28% 31% -9.8 26% 28% -6.2
05.05.24 Orca Kamogawa (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 1-1 52% 60% -12.4 27% 29% -9.5 21% 23% -8.0
05.05.24 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 2-0 51% 56% -9.8 26% 29% -10.3 23% 26% -13.9
06.05.24 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1-0 44% 51% -13.7 28% 31% -9.1 28% 31% -7.7
06.05.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 2-2 23% 27% -12.9 28% 32% -12.6 49% 53% -9.1
11.05.24 Ehime FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 2-0 45% 53% -16.2 28% 31% -9.6 27% 28% -2.9
11.05.24 Nittaidai FC (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1-5 54% 62% -12.8 25% 28% -8.3 20% 22% -8.3
11.05.24 Orca Kamogawa (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 0-0 35% 42% -14.9 28% 31% -9.6 36% 39% -7.5
11.05.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1-2 22% 25% -12.5 27% 30% -11.3 51% 56% -9.3
12.05.24 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) 2-6 5% 3% 32.2 10% 8% 23.2 85% 95% -10.6
12.05.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 3-5 32% 36% -12.2 30% 34% -12.0 38% 42% -9.3
18.05.24 Ehime FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 0-1 23% 26% -10.5 26% 29% -9.1 51% 58% -12.7
18.05.24 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 0-0 47% 56% -14.5 27% 29% -8.0 25% 27% -5.8
18.05.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) 4-0 53% 62% -14.7 26% 28% -7.3 21% 22% -4.4
19.05.24 AS Harima Albion (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 1-0 49% 57% -14.0 28% 30% -9.1 23% 24% -4.3
19.05.24 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1-3 44% 48% -8.2 28% 31% -10.2 29% 34% -15.5
19.05.24 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W) 1-0 77% 90% -15.0 15% 13% 17.6 8% 6% 31.8
25.05.24 Gunma FC White Star Women (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 1-3 22% 22% -0.1 26% 29% -7.6 52% 62% -15.9
26.05.24 Nittaidai FC (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W) 0-1 54% 65% -17.1 25% 26% -4.6 21% 20% 3.7
26.05.24 Shizuoka Bonita (W) vs Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 1-3 27% 29% -4.5 28% 30% -9.1 45% 54% -16.4
26.05.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Orca Kamogawa (W) 0-1 21% 23% -8.6 26% 29% -10.2 52% 60% -12.9
26.05.24 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 0-1 75% 87% -13.9 17% 15% 7.7 9% 7% 20.1
26.05.24 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs NGU Nagoya FC (W) 2-0 40% 47% -14.4 30% 34% -11.3 30% 31% -3.6
08.06.24 NGU Nagoya FC (W) vs Shizuoka Bonita (W) 2-3 55% 62% -12.4 25% 27% -7.0 20% 22% -7.3
08.06.24 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star Women (W) 5-0 78% 89% -13.0 14% 12% 14.3 8% 7% 12.7
08.06.24 Speranza Osaka Takatsuki (W) vs Ehime FC (W) 0-3 28% 29% -5.4 29% 32% -10.2 43% 50% -13.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 375 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1568.22
2 NGU Nagoya FC (W) 1507.82
3 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1496.87
4 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) 1496.72
5 Orca Kamogawa (W) 1422.76
6 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 1366.00
7 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1360.90
8 AS Harima Albion (W) 1357.42
9 Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1351.75
10 Ehime FC (W) 1265.80
11 Vonds Ichihara FC (W) 1175.35
12 Nittaidai FC (W) 1139.58

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Shizuoka Bonita (W) 1584.56
2 NGU Nagoya FC (W) 1514.93
3 Viamaterasu Miyazaki (W) 1504.61
4 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1397.63
5 Orca Kamogawa (W) 1368.90
6 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1335.94
7 Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1334.50
8 Sfida Setagaya FC (W) 1319.59
9 AS Harima Albion (W) 1291.64
10 Ehime FC (W) 1266.02
11 Vonds Ichihara FC (W) 1110.81
12 Nittaidai FC (W) 1086.41