ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 359
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.30
Avg Away 1.22
Home Win % 39.3%
Draw % 21.4%
Away Win % 39.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 359
Avg Brier Score 0.5493
Pick Accuracy 56.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5460
Market Brier 0.5524
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 359 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.7% 5.7% 53
10–20% 15.3% 13.2% 205
20–30% 26.0% 27.1% 361
30–40% 34.6% 34.5% 165
40–50% 44.4% 37.9% 95
50–60% 55.2% 57.6% 66
60–70% 65.4% 60.3% 58
70–80% 73.8% 89.7% 58
80–90% 82.6% 81.2% 16
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
09.09.23 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 2-2 33% 37% -12.1 28% 32% -12.9 39% 43% -9.5
09.09.23 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 0-3 12% 14% -16.9 20% 24% -15.0 68% 74% -7.7
09.09.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 1-0 55% 65% -15.4 24% 27% -9.4 20% 20% 1.3
01.10.23 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 0-1 61% 67% -8.9 22% 24% -10.7 18% 20% -12.3
11.11.23 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 1-3 35% 40% -13.7 29% 33% -13.9 37% 40% -8.0
11.11.23 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 0-1 25% 29% -14.1 28% 33% -14.9 46% 50% -7.3
12.11.23 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 1-0 48% 55% -12.8 27% 31% -12.0 25% 26% -4.8
12.11.23 NTV Beleza (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 3-1 73% 81% -9.2 17% 19% -11.1 10% 11% -9.1
18.11.23 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1-0 27% 30% -12.0 27% 31% -12.2 46% 50% -8.2
18.11.23 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 1-3 14% 16% -15.4 21% 24% -12.5 66% 71% -7.5
18.11.23 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 0-3 19% 23% -17.2 25% 29% -15.1 56% 60% -6.7
18.11.23 Omiya Ardija (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 1-0 29% 34% -13.0 27% 31% -11.3 43% 47% -7.1
18.11.23 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 2-1 82% 89% -8.6 12% 12% -5.0 6% 7% -6.0
19.11.23 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 2-0 41% 44% -7.6 29% 33% -13.6 30% 34% -11.1
23.11.23 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 2-1 42% 48% -11.7 28% 32% -12.7 30% 32% -7.7
23.11.23 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 0-1 44% 48% -6.7 29% 33% -14.4 27% 31% -12.1
23.11.23 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 0-2 25% 29% -14.3 28% 33% -14.5 46% 49% -5.1
23.11.23 NTV Beleza (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 2-2 39% 45% -14.6 26% 29% -10.2 35% 38% -7.9
23.11.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 0-2 57% 66% -13.3 23% 25% -7.9 20% 21% -4.2
26.11.23 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 0-0 38% 42% -9.9 30% 34% -14.4 33% 36% -9.5
26.11.23 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 0-1 35% 42% -18.1 29% 33% -13.7 37% 36% 0.8
26.11.23 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 2-0 67% 74% -9.2 21% 24% -13.6 12% 13% -8.6
26.11.23 Mynavi sendai (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 0-5 10% 12% -17.8 17% 19% -11.8 73% 79% -7.4
26.11.23 Omiya Ardija (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1-2 39% 47% -15.8 29% 33% -13.8 32% 33% -3.7
26.11.23 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 2-0 72% 81% -10.9 18% 19% -8.1 11% 11% -4.0
09.12.23 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 1-1 17% 19% -11.0 24% 28% -12.5 59% 65% -9.0
09.12.23 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 3-3 58% 66% -12.4 25% 28% -11.6 18% 18% -2.1
09.12.23 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1-1 33% 38% -14.0 29% 34% -14.6 37% 40% -6.3
09.12.23 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 1-2 31% 37% -16.5 29% 33% -14.2 40% 42% -4.1
10.12.23 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 2-0 12% 15% -18.3 20% 24% -15.3 68% 72% -6.5
10.12.23 NTV Beleza (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 0-0 77% 85% -9.5 15% 16% -7.6 8% 9% -6.5
13.12.23 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 1-1 60% 68% -12.3 24% 27% -11.6 17% 17% -3.6
20.12.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 1-2 16% 21% -25.1 22% 28% -19.6 62% 64% -2.6
23.12.23 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 0-1 29% 33% -12.9 29% 33% -14.3 42% 47% -8.9
23.12.23 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 3-1 59% 68% -13.5 23% 26% -9.3 18% 18% -1.6
23.12.23 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 0-2 31% 38% -18.9 27% 31% -13.0 42% 43% -2.2
23.12.23 Omiya Ardija (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1-2 39% 44% -12.1 29% 33% -13.7 32% 35% -8.3
24.12.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 2-2 14% 17% -22.1 20% 24% -16.7 66% 70% -5.4
24.12.23 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 3-1 66% 70% -6.7 22% 27% -17.7 12% 14% -13.8
30.12.23 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 1-0 29% 32% -8.7 27% 31% -11.2 43% 49% -11.4
30.12.23 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1-0 33% 36% -6.6 28% 31% -11.8 39% 45% -14.1
06.01.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 2-1 57% 65% -11.9 24% 27% -11.5 19% 21% -7.7
07.01.24 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 1-0 41% 48% -14.3 29% 34% -14.0 30% 31% -3.8
07.01.24 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 3-1 71% 78% -9.4 18% 20% -9.8 11% 12% -7.5
08.01.24 NTV Beleza (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 0-1 42% 48% -11.5 28% 31% -12.0 30% 33% -8.9
02.03.24 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 2-1 31% 36% -13.5 29% 34% -14.3 39% 43% -7.2
03.03.24 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 2-1 37% 40% -7.1 29% 34% -14.0 34% 38% -12.4
03.03.24 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 0-2 9% 11% -21.1 16% 19% -16.3 76% 81% -6.3
03.03.24 Omiya Ardija (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 0-2 46% 53% -13.5 27% 31% -12.3 27% 29% -5.3
03.03.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1-2 39% 41% -4.8 29% 34% -14.6 32% 38% -14.8
03.03.24 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 1-1 45% 49% -8.7 28% 32% -13.7 28% 31% -11.6
09.03.24 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1-0 54% 61% -10.8 26% 29% -12.7 20% 22% -6.8
09.03.24 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 1-1 39% 45% -13.3 30% 35% -14.8 31% 32% -4.7
09.03.24 Mynavi sendai (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 1-1 32% 37% -13.8 29% 34% -14.8 39% 42% -7.1
10.03.24 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 1-0 16% 19% -15.6 23% 27% -13.7 61% 66% -8.0
10.03.24 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 2-1 43% 50% -13.1 29% 33% -13.9 28% 29% -5.3
10.03.24 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 0-4 17% 20% -13.8 25% 29% -14.0 58% 63% -8.1
16.03.24 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 1-2 40% 45% -11.2 29% 33% -13.8 31% 34% -8.8
16.03.24 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1-0 47% 53% -10.1 28% 33% -14.7 24% 26% -7.8
16.03.24 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 2-0 58% 65% -9.4 25% 29% -13.7 17% 18% -7.2
16.03.24 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 0-5 8% 10% -15.9 16% 19% -13.5 75% 81% -7.6
16.03.24 NTV Beleza (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 1-1 67% 76% -11.7 20% 22% -8.7 13% 14% -3.9
16.03.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 2-2 43% 50% -13.4 28% 32% -13.5 29% 31% -7.8
20.03.24 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 0-3 14% 17% -16.3 22% 26% -15.1 64% 68% -7.0
20.03.24 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 0-2 34% 38% -10.7 29% 33% -14.0 37% 42% -11.2
20.03.24 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 0-0 29% 31% -7.8 30% 36% -15.1 41% 45% -10.0
20.03.24 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 1-1 29% 33% -14.1 30% 36% -16.4 41% 43% -5.7
20.03.24 Omiya Ardija (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 0-1 14% 18% -20.6 21% 24% -15.1 65% 69% -6.6
20.03.24 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 2-0 76% 85% -10.5 15% 16% -5.0 9% 9% -1.9
23.03.24 Mynavi sendai (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 2-1 38% 43% -12.8 31% 37% -16.0 31% 32% -3.9
24.03.24 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 1-0 44% 50% -12.1 29% 35% -15.5 27% 29% -6.7
24.03.24 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 3-0 61% 68% -9.7 23% 27% -13.9 15% 17% -8.3
24.03.24 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 1-2 11% 12% -12.6 20% 23% -13.4 69% 75% -8.1
24.03.24 NTV Beleza (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 2-1 62% 68% -9.9 22% 26% -12.3 16% 17% -8.9
24.03.24 Omiya Ardija (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 1-0 69% 81% -14.2 20% 20% -2.5 11% 9% 24.9
27.03.24 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 2-0 61% 67% -9.2 23% 27% -13.3 16% 18% -10.2
06.05.24 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 0-3 11% 12% -14.2 19% 22% -12.9 70% 77% -8.6
06.05.24 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 0-2 28% 32% -14.7 28% 32% -13.5 45% 48% -6.4
06.05.24 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 1-2 8% 10% -13.7 16% 17% -10.6 76% 83% -8.5
06.05.24 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 0-0 39% 45% -14.0 30% 34% -14.1 31% 32% -3.1
06.05.24 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 0-1 19% 23% -17.7 26% 31% -16.5 55% 58% -5.5
11.05.24 AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 1-2 13% 16% -19.4 19% 22% -13.6 68% 74% -7.7
11.05.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W) 0-2 50% 60% -15.8 26% 29% -10.5 24% 23% 2.0
12.05.24 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 1-2 35% 41% -13.9 28% 32% -12.9 37% 40% -8.1
12.05.24 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 2-1 11% 12% -10.1 19% 21% -9.4 70% 78% -9.8
12.05.24 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 1-1 47% 55% -14.6 27% 31% -12.3 26% 26% -2.5
18.05.24 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 0-2 45% 52% -13.7 27% 31% -12.2 28% 29% -5.3
18.05.24 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 0-2 34% 39% -12.9 28% 32% -12.2 38% 40% -6.2
18.05.24 NTV Beleza (W) vs Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 2-1 75% 83% -8.9 16% 18% -12.6 9% 10% -11.5
19.05.24 Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Mynavi sendai (W) 1-2 40% 45% -12.0 28% 32% -12.9 32% 35% -9.1
19.05.24 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 2-1 27% 31% -14.6 28% 32% -13.7 45% 49% -6.8
19.05.24 Omiya Ardija (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 0-1 38% 44% -14.5 28% 32% -12.6 34% 36% -5.4
25.05.24 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 2-3 46% 50% -8.2 28% 32% -14.2 26% 30% -12.7
25.05.24 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) vs AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1-0 38% 43% -13.1 29% 33% -13.8 33% 36% -8.0
25.05.24 Mynavi sendai (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1-3 25% 29% -15.3 28% 32% -14.1 47% 50% -5.3
25.05.24 Omiya Ardija (W) vs Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 0-2 14% 17% -18.4 21% 25% -15.2 65% 70% -6.8
25.05.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Cerezo Osaka (W) 1-0 42% 48% -10.8 28% 32% -12.9 29% 32% -8.8
25.05.24 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) vs NTV Beleza (W) 3-3 40% 48% -15.2 27% 30% -11.1 33% 35% -6.1
14.09.24 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1-1 59% 66% -10.6 24% 28% -13.6 17% 18% -7.8
15.09.24 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) vs Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1-2 21% 25% -16.6 29% 35% -17.9 50% 53% -4.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 359 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 1699.63
2 NTV Beleza (W) 1684.91
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1670.06
4 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 1622.58
5 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1600.22
6 Cerezo Osaka (W) 1550.15
7 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 1528.17
8 Omiya Ardija (W) 1482.97
9 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 1475.90
10 Mynavi sendai (W) 1453.56
11 AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1441.94
12 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 1334.56

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Urawa Red Diamonds Ladies (W) 1729.39
2 NTV Beleza (W) 1675.78
3 Inac Kobe Leonessa (W) 1611.90
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1610.89
5 Omiya Ardija (W) 1525.77
6 Nojima Stella Sagamihara (W) 1499.75
7 Cerezo Osaka (W) 1499.26
8 Jef United Chiba Ladies (W) 1472.72
9 Albirex Niigata Ladies (W) 1468.95
10 Mynavi sendai (W) 1434.99
11 AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1403.67
12 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 1342.52