ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1024
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.35
Avg Away 1.16
Home Win % 41.0%
Draw % 26.9%
Away Win % 32.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1024
Avg Brier Score 0.6340
Pick Accuracy 44.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6358
Market Brier 0.6344
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1024 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.9% 0.0% 1
10–20% 17.3% 18.5% 119
20–30% 26.4% 26.0% 1471
30–40% 34.7% 35.3% 740
40–50% 44.3% 44.1% 481
50–60% 54.2% 54.6% 216
60–70% 63.5% 61.9% 42
70–80% 72.9% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Nagoya Grampus Eight vs Niigata Albirex 1-0 51% 53% -4.4 26% 29% -10.8 23% 24% -7.2
05.08.23 Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 28% 30% -7.4 28% 30% -9.0 44% 47% -4.6
06.08.23 Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo 0-1 43% 45% -6.0 27% 30% -9.8 30% 32% -7.2
06.08.23 Kashima Antlers vs Consadole Sapporo 3-0 45% 48% -5.1 26% 28% -7.0 29% 31% -7.2
06.08.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka 3-4 54% 58% -7.0 25% 27% -8.6 21% 22% -3.8
06.08.23 Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 41% 43% -3.6 28% 31% -10.0 31% 33% -7.4
06.08.23 Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 37% 39% -6.2 29% 32% -10.2 34% 36% -4.1
06.08.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 38% 40% -4.0 26% 28% -6.9 36% 40% -10.6
06.08.23 Yokohama FC vs Vissel Kobe 2-0 21% 20% 2.5 24% 24% -3.3 56% 62% -10.6
12.08.23 Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC 2-0 46% 48% -3.1 28% 31% -11.4 26% 29% -8.5
12.08.23 FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Purple Sanga 2-0 47% 50% -5.9 27% 29% -9.2 26% 28% -5.6
12.08.23 Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka 1-1 37% 40% -7.3 28% 30% -9.1 35% 38% -6.2
12.08.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe 0-1 42% 44% -6.1 27% 29% -8.7 31% 34% -7.4
12.08.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka 2-1 56% 60% -7.2 22% 23% -5.1 22% 24% -9.0
13.08.23 Nagoya Grampus Eight vs Kashima Antlers 1-0 39% 40% -3.0 29% 33% -11.8 32% 34% -7.8
13.08.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 38% 40% -4.7 29% 32% -10.5 33% 35% -6.0
18.08.23 Avispa Fukuoka vs Niigata Albirex 0-1 41% 43% -4.4 30% 34% -11.8 29% 31% -4.3
18.08.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 1-0 46% 48% -3.8 28% 32% -12.0 26% 28% -7.1
19.08.23 Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare 2-1 42% 45% -6.5 27% 29% -9.1 31% 33% -7.8
19.08.23 Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu 2-1 55% 58% -5.4 24% 27% -8.9 21% 22% -6.8
19.08.23 Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Consadole Sapporo 3-0 31% 32% -4.5 26% 28% -6.5 43% 48% -9.2
19.08.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 41% 43% -6.3 28% 30% -9.2 32% 34% -6.3
19.08.23 Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 51% 53% -4.0 26% 29% -10.3 23% 26% -9.1
19.08.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo 2-1 57% 61% -6.3 22% 23% -4.9 21% 23% -7.9
20.08.23 Yokohama FC vs Cerezo Osaka 0-1 28% 29% -1.9 27% 29% -7.6 45% 49% -8.2
25.08.23 Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 25% 29% -14.1 27% 31% -11.4 47% 48% -0.3
26.08.23 Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 3-1 34% 36% -5.2 28% 31% -9.1 37% 39% -5.3
26.08.23 FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe 2-2 30% 31% -3.3 27% 29% -8.2 43% 48% -9.2
26.08.23 Kashima Antlers vs Niigata Albirex 2-0 50% 53% -4.6 27% 31% -11.9 23% 24% -7.0
26.08.23 Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 29% 31% -5.1 28% 31% -9.7 43% 45% -6.3
26.08.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Consadole Sapporo 2-2 53% 57% -7.1 24% 25% -5.9 23% 25% -6.4
26.08.23 Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 36% 38% -4.1 30% 34% -11.5 34% 36% -5.3
26.08.23 Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka 1-1 33% 35% -4.9 27% 29% -8.1 40% 43% -8.4
26.08.23 Yokohama FC vs Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 21% 21% -1.7 22% 22% -0.8 57% 64% -10.1
02.09.23 Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 37% 42% -10.3 27% 29% -7.0 36% 37% -2.6
02.09.23 Consadole Sapporo vs Gamba Osaka 4-0 48% 51% -7.3 24% 26% -5.2 28% 30% -7.1
02.09.23 Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 33% 36% -8.6 26% 28% -6.5 41% 43% -6.2
02.09.23 Nagoya Grampus Eight vs Yokohama FC 1-1 63% 67% -6.2 22% 24% -9.2 15% 16% -4.1
02.09.23 Niigata Albirex vs Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 26% 30% -14.9 28% 32% -12.6 46% 45% 1.3
02.09.23 Sagan Tosu vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 24% 25% -5.2 25% 26% -5.9 52% 56% -8.2
02.09.23 Shonan Bellmare vs Kashima Antlers 2-2 32% 33% -4.8 28% 31% -9.3 40% 43% -6.1
03.09.23 FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 43% 45% -5.8 29% 32% -10.7 28% 29% -3.5
03.09.23 Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Purple Sanga 2-1 55% 58% -5.6 25% 28% -10.5 21% 22% -7.5
15.09.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo 1-0 52% 56% -7.5 25% 27% -7.7 23% 24% -5.1
15.09.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Purple Sanga 0-0 55% 58% -6.5 25% 28% -9.4 20% 21% -3.2
15.09.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sagan Tosu 1-1 58% 64% -8.3 21% 22% -3.0 20% 22% -5.8
16.09.23 Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 1-0 30% 32% -7.0 30% 35% -12.6 40% 41% -3.1
16.09.23 Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka 1-0 42% 44% -5.6 29% 32% -11.2 29% 31% -5.9
16.09.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe 2-0 45% 49% -7.6 27% 29% -9.5 28% 30% -6.6
17.09.23 Gamba Osaka vs Niigata Albirex 1-1 43% 43% 2.2 27% 30% -11.0 30% 34% -14.3
17.09.23 Yokohama FC vs Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 28% 29% -3.4 28% 31% -9.5 43% 47% -6.9
23.09.23 FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu 3-2 46% 48% -3.3 26% 29% -8.7 28% 31% -9.5
23.09.23 Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 42% 44% -4.6 31% 35% -12.9 27% 28% -2.7
23.09.23 Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 22% 22% 0.0 25% 27% -6.2 52% 58% -9.3
23.09.23 Nagoya Grampus Eight vs Consadole Sapporo 1-1 40% 42% -6.2 27% 29% -7.2 34% 36% -6.8
23.09.23 Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka 1-0 42% 44% -6.1 27% 30% -9.7 31% 33% -7.3
24.09.23 Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds 1-3 33% 32% 2.9 28% 31% -9.5 39% 43% -11.4
24.09.23 Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 39% 42% -8.5 26% 28% -6.5 35% 38% -6.1
24.09.23 Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 26% 27% -4.6 25% 27% -6.0 49% 53% -8.2
29.09.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Niigata Albirex 2-3 54% 56% -3.0 25% 28% -11.3 21% 24% -11.9
29.09.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama FC 1-1 60% 62% -3.3 23% 27% -12.1 16% 18% -9.4
29.09.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe 0-2 41% 44% -7.1 25% 27% -6.2 33% 36% -8.3
30.09.23 Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers 0-0 31% 31% -1.6 30% 34% -11.4 39% 42% -7.0
30.09.23 Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare 0-2 52% 58% -9.3 25% 27% -6.8 23% 23% 0.0
30.09.23 Consadole Sapporo vs Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 49% 52% -5.3 25% 27% -7.2 26% 29% -8.4
30.09.23 Sagan Tosu vs Kyoto Purple Sanga 3-2 42% 44% -4.6 27% 29% -9.0 31% 34% -9.0
30.09.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 3-1 49% 53% -6.7 27% 29% -9.3 24% 25% -3.2
01.10.23 FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka 3-0 43% 45% -6.4 27% 29% -6.9 31% 32% -4.4
20.10.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka 4-2 54% 55% -1.9 26% 29% -12.8 20% 23% -11.4
20.10.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 49% 51% -3.9 28% 32% -13.1 23% 24% -7.1
21.10.23 Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 0-1 35% 36% -3.6 28% 31% -9.7 37% 40% -8.2
21.10.23 Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare 0-1 36% 39% -7.9 28% 30% -9.1 36% 38% -5.6
21.10.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka 0-0 52% 56% -7.7 26% 28% -8.2 23% 23% -2.0
21.10.23 Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers 3-1 43% 44% -2.4 28% 31% -11.3 29% 32% -10.5
21.10.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Consadole Sapporo 4-1 46% 48% -3.5 24% 25% -5.5 30% 35% -13.2
21.10.23 Yokohama FC vs FC Tokyo 1-0 31% 34% -8.8 27% 29% -8.4 42% 44% -5.2
27.10.23 Nagoya Grampus Eight vs Sagan Tosu 1-1 55% 58% -6.1 25% 28% -10.6 20% 22% -6.8
28.10.23 Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama F. Marinos 0-4 30% 34% -10.7 26% 29% -7.9 43% 45% -4.5
28.10.23 Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka 1-0 45% 49% -7.5 26% 29% -8.1 29% 30% -5.5
28.10.23 FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 25% 27% -4.6 26% 28% -7.1 49% 53% -8.3
28.10.23 Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 36% 39% -9.2 30% 33% -11.2 35% 35% -0.8
28.10.23 Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Niigata Albirex 0-1 33% 34% -4.8 28% 31% -9.8 39% 42% -7.6
28.10.23 Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe 1-1 26% 27% -3.0 25% 27% -6.0 48% 53% -9.5
29.10.23 Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 32% 33% -3.0 28% 30% -9.1 40% 44% -9.7
11.11.23 Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 31% 32% -3.3 25% 27% -5.9 43% 49% -11.1
11.11.23 Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 37% 38% -3.1 29% 33% -11.8 33% 36% -8.3
11.11.23 Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 38% 40% -5.7 30% 33% -11.5 33% 34% -5.0
11.11.23 Niigata Albirex vs FC Tokyo 0-0 42% 45% -7.0 27% 29% -8.2 31% 32% -4.8
11.11.23 Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 2-1 32% 34% -6.4 28% 31% -9.0 40% 43% -5.4
12.11.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Purple Sanga 3-3 61% 63% -3.8 22% 25% -11.1 17% 19% -11.4
12.11.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Vissel Kobe 1-2 37% 37% -0.6 29% 32% -10.9 34% 38% -10.4
12.11.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka 2-0 51% 55% -6.5 24% 26% -6.4 25% 27% -7.9
24.11.23 Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers 3-0 46% 48% -2.6 26% 29% -9.3 28% 31% -11.3
24.11.23 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Niigata Albirex 0-0 57% 60% -5.5 23% 24% -7.6 21% 23% -9.7
25.11.23 Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Purple Sanga 0-1 48% 49% -1.7 26% 29% -10.2 26% 29% -10.3
25.11.23 FC Tokyo vs Consadole Sapporo 1-3 34% 37% -7.2 25% 26% -5.0 41% 44% -8.6
25.11.23 Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu 2-2 57% 61% -7.0 23% 26% -8.7 20% 21% -6.3
25.11.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka 3-0 65% 70% -6.6 20% 22% -6.5 14% 15% -2.9
25.11.23 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka 2-3 50% 53% -5.2 28% 31% -11.7 22% 23% -3.5
25.11.23 Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus Eight 2-1 54% 57% -5.5 26% 29% -10.7 20% 22% -5.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 1024 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

20 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Tokyo 2125.54
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2120.10
3 Kashima Antlers 2074.48
4 Gamba Osaka 2034.20
5 Kawasaki Frontale 2031.74
6 FC Machida Zelvia 2025.57
7 Kashiwa Reysol 2007.99
8 Vissel Kobe 1976.23
9 Fagiano Okayama 1972.28
10 Urawa Red Diamonds 1966.81
11 Kyoto Purple Sanga 1919.15
12 Nagoya Grampus Eight 1908.20
13 Avispa Fukuoka 1900.69
14 Shimizu S-Pulse 1893.78
15 Cerezo Osaka 1892.18
16 Yokohama F. Marinos 1874.12
17 V-Varen Nagasaki 1833.80
18 Tokyo Verdy 1824.56
19 Mito Hollyhock 1808.77
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 1798.98

Away Ratings

20 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2100.78
2 FC Tokyo 2095.46
3 Kashiwa Reysol 2056.17
4 FC Machida Zelvia 2047.80
5 Vissel Kobe 1975.17
6 Kashima Antlers 1959.88
7 Urawa Red Diamonds 1936.14
8 Kawasaki Frontale 1933.16
9 Cerezo Osaka 1924.59
10 Fagiano Okayama 1917.95
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 1898.69
12 Yokohama F. Marinos 1892.02
13 Nagoya Grampus Eight 1887.50
14 Gamba Osaka 1877.67
15 Avispa Fukuoka 1848.95
16 Kyoto Purple Sanga 1830.05
17 Mito Hollyhock 1815.14
18 Tokyo Verdy 1800.29
19 V-Varen Nagasaki 1779.94
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 1736.07