ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1245
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.31
Avg Away 1.19
Home Win % 38.6%
Draw % 25.7%
Away Win % 35.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1245
Avg Brier Score 0.6234
Pick Accuracy 46.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6242
Market Brier 0.6227
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1245 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.8% 0.0% 1
10–20% 17.2% 11.8% 170
20–30% 26.9% 25.3% 1681
30–40% 34.1% 34.8% 1027
40–50% 44.3% 45.7% 578
50–60% 54.2% 63.7% 223
60–70% 63.6% 66.7% 51
70–80% 71.3% 75.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata 1-2 30% 34% -12.5 27% 29% -6.9 44% 50% -12.5
06.08.23 Jubilo Iwata vs Vegalta Sendai 4-1 54% 62% -14.0 25% 26% -6.2 22% 23% -6.6
06.08.23 Omiya Ardija vs Blaublitz Akita 1-0 32% 36% -12.4 30% 34% -12.0 38% 42% -9.3
06.08.23 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita 2-2 27% 29% -8.2 30% 34% -11.5 43% 49% -11.9
06.08.23 Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito Hollyhock 0-0 41% 45% -9.7 28% 31% -9.6 31% 35% -12.5
06.08.23 The Spa Kusatsu vs Tochigi Soccer Club 1-0 33% 38% -13.1 31% 36% -13.0 36% 39% -7.9
06.08.23 Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba 3-3 29% 33% -12.9 29% 33% -11.8 42% 47% -10.7
06.08.23 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Iwaki FC 0-0 40% 47% -14.0 28% 31% -8.9 32% 35% -9.0
06.08.23 Ventforet Kofu vs Zweigen Kanazawa 0-2 45% 51% -11.6 27% 29% -8.3 28% 31% -11.3
12.08.23 FC Machida Zelvia vs Jubilo Iwata 2-1 37% 43% -11.9 30% 34% -12.2 32% 36% -9.8
12.08.23 Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba 1-0 30% 33% -10.4 28% 31% -9.1 42% 49% -13.6
12.08.23 Oita Trinita vs Fujieda MYFC 1-0 48% 55% -12.8 26% 29% -7.8 26% 29% -9.9
12.08.23 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 71% 78% -9.7 19% 21% -10.4 11% 12% -11.0
12.08.23 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 38% 43% -13.6 28% 30% -8.7 35% 39% -11.3
13.08.23 Blaublitz Akita vs Tokyo Verdy 0-1 27% 31% -13.5 31% 36% -14.2 42% 45% -8.1
13.08.23 Iwaki FC vs Ventforet Kofu 1-1 38% 43% -13.6 29% 32% -9.9 33% 36% -8.2
13.08.23 Omiya Ardija vs Fagiano Okayama 1-1 30% 35% -14.4 29% 32% -10.8 41% 45% -9.4
13.08.23 Tochigi Soccer Club vs Tokushima Vortis 2-2 41% 47% -12.1 31% 36% -13.5 28% 29% -5.9
13.08.23 Vegalta Sendai vs The Spa Kusatsu 0-2 47% 54% -12.4 27% 29% -8.6 26% 29% -9.8
19.08.23 Fagiano Okayama vs Oita Trinita 1-0 37% 41% -10.0 31% 35% -12.4 33% 36% -10.5
19.08.23 Iwaki FC vs Tokyo Verdy 0-0 30% 35% -14.9 29% 32% -10.8 42% 45% -8.6
19.08.23 JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs Fujieda MYFC 3-2 54% 62% -12.1 25% 28% -9.2 21% 23% -9.7
19.08.23 Mito Hollyhock vs Blaublitz Akita 1-1 38% 42% -10.8 31% 35% -12.3 32% 35% -9.3
19.08.23 Montedio Yamagata vs Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 38% 43% -12.0 28% 30% -8.8 34% 39% -13.0
19.08.23 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tochigi Soccer Club 1-2 41% 47% -12.5 30% 34% -12.1 29% 31% -7.3
19.08.23 Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija 1-0 41% 47% -11.2 29% 32% -11.2 30% 34% -12.9
19.08.23 Ventforet Kofu vs Jubilo Iwata 0-1 26% 29% -11.4 28% 30% -9.1 46% 53% -11.9
20.08.23 Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 48% 55% -12.6 29% 32% -11.6 24% 26% -7.4
26.08.23 FC Machida Zelvia vs Montedio Yamagata 5-0 51% 58% -11.6 26% 29% -9.5 23% 26% -11.4
26.08.23 Jubilo Iwata vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba 2-3 41% 45% -10.1 28% 31% -9.9 31% 36% -13.2
26.08.23 Oita Trinita vs Vegalta Sendai 2-3 44% 49% -10.4 28% 31% -9.5 28% 31% -10.3
26.08.23 Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki 0-4 34% 39% -13.1 28% 31% -9.1 38% 42% -10.0
26.08.23 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ventforet Kofu 3-2 30% 35% -13.8 29% 32% -10.6 41% 45% -9.5
26.08.23 Tochigi Soccer Club vs Mito Hollyhock 2-2 37% 42% -12.0 31% 35% -12.4 33% 36% -8.8
26.08.23 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Tokushima Vortis 0-1 42% 49% -12.9 28% 31% -9.6 29% 32% -9.3
27.08.23 Blaublitz Akita vs Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 19% 21% -9.2 26% 29% -10.0 55% 62% -11.5
27.08.23 Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki FC 2-4 37% 42% -11.9 28% 31% -8.8 35% 40% -11.8
02.09.23 Blaublitz Akita vs Jubilo Iwata 1-1 26% 29% -10.8 30% 34% -11.8 44% 49% -10.0
02.09.23 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Tokyo Verdy 0-3 29% 33% -12.7 29% 32% -10.3 42% 47% -9.7
03.09.23 Iwaki FC vs Fagiano Okayama 1-2 39% 44% -12.9 29% 32% -10.6 32% 36% -10.7
03.09.23 JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 49% 56% -12.6 27% 29% -9.5 24% 27% -10.2
03.09.23 Montedio Yamagata vs Omiya Ardija 1-1 44% 50% -12.1 27% 29% -8.6 29% 33% -12.6
03.09.23 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito Hollyhock 1-2 32% 36% -13.4 29% 32% -10.1 40% 43% -9.1
03.09.23 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokushima Vortis 0-0 66% 74% -11.3 21% 22% -7.2 14% 15% -7.7
03.09.23 The Spa Kusatsu vs FC Machida Zelvia 0-0 19% 21% -10.2 27% 31% -12.0 54% 60% -10.7
03.09.23 Tochigi Soccer Club vs Fujieda MYFC 2-0 46% 53% -13.4 28% 31% -10.1 26% 29% -7.9
03.09.23 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Oita Trinita 2-2 38% 44% -13.8 28% 31% -9.4 33% 37% -9.8
03.09.23 Vegalta Sendai vs Ventforet Kofu 0-0 39% 45% -14.3 28% 30% -8.6 33% 37% -9.9
09.09.23 Fagiano Okayama vs Vegalta Sendai 1-0 43% 49% -11.8 28% 31% -9.1 29% 32% -10.1
09.09.23 FC Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi Soccer Club 0-1 46% 51% -9.4 30% 35% -14.3 24% 27% -11.2
09.09.23 JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs Blaublitz Akita 2-1 48% 54% -10.7 29% 33% -12.5 23% 24% -7.5
09.09.23 Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija 3-2 62% 70% -11.8 22% 24% -6.6 16% 17% -7.3
09.09.23 Mito Hollyhock vs Zweigen Kanazawa 3-0 40% 47% -13.8 28% 31% -9.6 32% 35% -9.7
09.09.23 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Montedio Yamagata 3-0 60% 67% -11.2 22% 24% -7.1 18% 21% -13.0
09.09.23 Tokyo Verdy vs Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 58% 66% -11.4 25% 28% -10.5 17% 18% -7.0
09.09.23 V-Varen Nagasaki vs The Spa Kusatsu 2-1 49% 56% -12.6 27% 29% -8.6 24% 26% -7.4
09.09.23 Ventforet Kofu vs Oita Trinita 3-2 34% 38% -12.1 29% 32% -10.1 37% 42% -10.8
10.09.23 Roasso Kumamoto vs Fujieda MYFC 0-2 48% 56% -13.6 25% 27% -5.8 27% 29% -9.8
10.09.23 Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki FC 2-0 29% 33% -11.6 29% 32% -10.7 42% 48% -12.4
15.09.23 Ventforet Kofu vs Tokyo Verdy 1-1 28% 32% -12.5 29% 32% -10.5 43% 48% -9.9
16.09.23 Blaublitz Akita vs V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 34% 38% -10.9 31% 36% -12.9 35% 39% -10.1
16.09.23 Jubilo Iwata vs Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 68% 78% -12.0 19% 20% -3.6 12% 13% -3.3
16.09.23 Montedio Yamagata vs Fagiano Okayama 2-0 36% 40% -10.5 28% 31% -9.1 36% 41% -12.3
16.09.23 Oita Trinita vs Tokushima Vortis 3-3 47% 53% -11.2 29% 32% -11.3 25% 27% -8.9
16.09.23 Omiya Ardija vs Roasso Kumamoto 0-3 33% 38% -13.7 28% 31% -9.0 39% 43% -10.8
16.09.23 Tochigi Soccer Club vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba 0-1 29% 32% -10.8 31% 35% -12.4 41% 45% -10.4
16.09.23 Vegalta Sendai vs Mito Hollyhock 0-1 39% 45% -13.3 28% 31% -9.0 32% 35% -8.4
17.09.23 Fujieda MYFC vs FC Machida Zelvia 0-0 22% 25% -10.9 26% 29% -8.3 52% 59% -12.4
17.09.23 The Spa Kusatsu vs Iwaki FC 1-0 27% 31% -11.4 28% 31% -9.5 44% 50% -11.1
17.09.23 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 18% 20% -9.4 24% 26% -6.4 58% 66% -12.6
23.09.23 Blaublitz Akita vs Montedio Yamagata 1-1 36% 40% -11.2 30% 34% -11.9 35% 39% -11.7
23.09.23 Iwaki FC vs Zweigen Kanazawa 1-0 51% 60% -13.9 26% 29% -8.1 22% 24% -5.5
23.09.23 JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs Vegalta Sendai 3-1 53% 60% -12.5 26% 29% -9.0 21% 23% -7.8
23.09.23 Mito Hollyhock vs Oita Trinita 0-1 35% 40% -13.2 30% 33% -11.5 36% 40% -10.5
23.09.23 Renofa Yamaguchi vs The Spa Kusatsu 1-0 40% 47% -13.8 30% 33% -10.9 30% 32% -6.4
24.09.23 Fagiano Okayama vs Jubilo Iwata 2-1 27% 31% -12.7 28% 31% -9.3 45% 50% -10.4
24.09.23 Roasso Kumamoto vs Tochigi Soccer Club 3-0 40% 45% -13.0 30% 33% -11.3 31% 34% -8.9
24.09.23 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Ventforet Kofu 0-0 64% 71% -10.8 21% 23% -7.7 15% 17% -9.9
24.09.23 Tokushima Vortis vs Omiya Ardija 0-1 39% 44% -12.4 30% 33% -11.4 32% 35% -10.1
24.09.23 Tokyo Verdy vs Fujieda MYFC 2-2 56% 65% -12.8 24% 26% -8.3 20% 22% -9.8
27.09.23 The Spa Kusatsu vs Zweigen Kanazawa 1-1 27% 29% -7.3 37% 45% -18.3 36% 38% -5.6
27.09.23 Tokushima Vortis vs Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 31% 34% -11.5 28% 31% -9.3 41% 47% -11.6
30.09.23 Fujieda MYFC vs Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 15% 17% -11.3 22% 23% -5.5 63% 71% -11.5
30.09.23 Oita Trinita vs Omiya Ardija 0-1 48% 55% -11.9 27% 30% -10.1 24% 27% -9.9
30.09.23 Vegalta Sendai vs Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 35% 41% -13.2 28% 31% -8.8 36% 41% -10.6
30.09.23 Ventforet Kofu vs Mito Hollyhock 2-1 41% 47% -12.8 28% 31% -9.0 31% 34% -8.6
01.10.23 FC Machida Zelvia vs Iwaki FC 2-3 47% 55% -13.6 28% 31% -9.9 25% 27% -7.0
01.10.23 Jubilo Iwata vs V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 56% 65% -13.8 24% 26% -6.0 20% 22% -6.6
01.10.23 Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis 0-1 47% 53% -11.8 27% 29% -8.7 26% 29% -10.8
01.10.23 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Zweigen Kanazawa 3-2 39% 47% -15.8 28% 31% -8.8 32% 34% -4.7
01.10.23 The Spa Kusatsu vs Tokyo Verdy 0-0 19% 21% -8.5 27% 30% -10.5 54% 61% -11.2
01.10.23 Tochigi Soccer Club vs Blaublitz Akita 1-2 38% 43% -10.6 32% 38% -14.4 30% 32% -8.1
07.10.23 Omiya Ardija vs Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 39% 45% -13.7 28% 31% -9.3 32% 36% -9.2
07.10.23 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Jubilo Iwata 1-0 42% 48% -12.1 27% 30% -9.3 31% 35% -12.7
07.10.23 Tokyo Verdy vs Oita Trinita 1-0 45% 51% -11.2 29% 32% -11.1 26% 29% -10.0
07.10.23 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fujieda MYFC 5-1 48% 56% -13.2 26% 28% -6.8 26% 29% -9.4
08.10.23 FC Machida Zelvia vs Ventforet Kofu 3-3 47% 56% -14.9 28% 30% -8.9 25% 26% -4.5
08.10.23 Iwaki FC vs Vegalta Sendai 2-2 46% 54% -14.2 27% 29% -8.6 27% 29% -9.0
08.10.23 Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi Soccer Club 2-0 40% 45% -12.1 29% 32% -10.3 31% 34% -9.9
08.10.23 The Spa Kusatsu vs Fagiano Okayama 0-0 28% 31% -11.9 30% 34% -12.1 43% 48% -10.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 1245 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

20 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vegalta Sendai 1836.44
2 Yokohama FC 1827.06
3 Sagan Tosu 1799.93
4 Omiya Ardija 1782.97
5 Kataller Toyama 1772.12
6 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1754.55
7 Jubilo Iwata 1747.17
8 Shonan Bellmare 1721.05
9 Iwaki FC 1712.55
10 Blaublitz Akita 1686.24
11 Tokushima Vortis 1684.67
12 Oita Trinita 1675.13
13 Fujieda MYFC 1667.24
14 Consadole Sapporo 1666.89
15 Montedio Yamagata 1665.02
16 Tochigi City FC 1657.56
17 Niigata Albirex 1647.64
18 Vanraure Hachinohe 1617.80
19 FC Imabari 1613.19
20 Ventforet Kofu 1566.35

Away Ratings

20 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vegalta Sendai 1776.08
2 Yokohama FC 1755.10
3 Kataller Toyama 1742.73
4 Sagan Tosu 1740.22
5 Omiya Ardija 1722.85
6 Jubilo Iwata 1702.02
7 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1699.89
8 Iwaki FC 1675.48
9 Niigata Albirex 1656.18
10 Oita Trinita 1652.94
11 Montedio Yamagata 1652.67
12 Fujieda MYFC 1652.07
13 Tochigi City FC 1648.87
14 Tokushima Vortis 1646.77
15 Shonan Bellmare 1646.01
16 Consadole Sapporo 1619.33
17 Blaublitz Akita 1614.98
18 FC Imabari 1612.25
19 Vanraure Hachinohe 1565.23
20 Ventforet Kofu 1514.83