ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 95
Avg Goals 2.63
Avg Home 1.53
Avg Away 1.11
Home Win % 47.4%
Draw % 18.9%
Away Win % 33.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 95
Avg Brier Score 0.6109
Pick Accuracy 49.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6122
Market Brier 0.6198
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 95 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 17.5% 8.3% 12
20–30% 25.2% 23.0% 139
30–40% 35.0% 42.6% 54
40–50% 45.1% 43.4% 53
50–60% 54.0% 52.2% 23
60–70% 64.9% 100.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
06.08.23 Fukushima United FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 33% 33% -0.2 25% 31% -19.8 42% 48% -12.5
13.08.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs SC Sagamihara 3-0 58% 57% 1.1 24% 31% -23.5 18% 24% -23.1
19.08.23 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-3 38% 38% 0.9 26% 33% -21.1 36% 42% -14.5
27.08.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Osaka 0-2 52% 53% -0.3 25% 31% -21.0 23% 28% -17.8
03.09.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club 0-1 48% 49% -0.9 25% 32% -21.7 26% 32% -18.1
09.09.23 Ehime FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 48% 49% -1.2 25% 31% -21.2 27% 33% -18.4
16.09.23 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 33% 34% -1.4 27% 34% -21.3 40% 44% -10.3
24.09.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs Gainare Tottori 1-2 47% 47% 0.8 25% 31% -20.9 28% 35% -19.1
01.10.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs Grulla Morioka 1-2 45% 45% -0.9 25% 31% -20.2 30% 36% -16.0
08.10.23 FC Gifu vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 48% 48% 1.2 25% 32% -21.2 26% 32% -18.1
15.10.23 Kataller Toyama vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 47% 48% -0.9 25% 31% -20.3 28% 33% -16.3
22.10.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga FC 3-1 41% 40% 2.2 26% 32% -20.4 33% 40% -16.4
29.10.23 AC Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 39% 39% -0.7 24% 30% -19.6 37% 43% -15.6
05.11.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 53% 54% -1.3 24% 30% -21.5 23% 29% -20.1
11.11.23 Yokohama SCC vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 42% 42% -0.5 25% 31% -20.1 33% 39% -15.8
19.11.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 47% 45% 2.9 25% 32% -21.7 28% 35% -20.3
26.11.23 Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-0 63% 65% -3.2 20% 26% -20.8 16% 21% -22.1
02.12.23 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Imabari 2-3 37% 38% -1.5 25% 31% -19.3 38% 43% -12.6
25.02.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Zweigen Kanazawa 3-0 36% 38% -4.6 25% 31% -19.4 39% 43% -9.8
02.03.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Gainare Tottori 4-0 47% 48% -2.1 25% 31% -20.4 29% 34% -15.9
10.03.24 FC Imabari vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 52% 53% -0.7 24% 30% -20.9 24% 29% -19.3
16.03.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 51% 53% -3.2 25% 31% -20.2 24% 28% -13.3
20.03.24 Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 33% 31% 5.9 25% 31% -19.8 42% 50% -16.3
24.03.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Ryukyu 2-1 48% 48% 0.2 24% 31% -20.7 28% 34% -19.1
30.03.24 AC Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 45% 43% 4.7 26% 32% -20.8 30% 37% -19.3
06.04.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Grulla Morioka 4-1 50% 51% -1.8 24% 31% -20.5 26% 31% -17.0
10.04.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs SC Sagamihara 2-1 49% 48% 3.0 26% 33% -23.0 25% 32% -21.7
14.04.24 Omiya Ardija vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 56% 56% 0.5 24% 30% -22.4 21% 27% -22.5
28.04.24 FC Osaka vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-2 46% 47% -1.7 26% 33% -21.7 28% 33% -15.4
03.05.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Fukushima United FC 0-1 47% 45% 2.9 25% 31% -20.4 28% 35% -19.2
06.05.24 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 38% 36% 6.0 26% 33% -21.6 36% 44% -18.9
19.05.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Vanraure Hachinohe 0-0 46% 45% 2.0 25% 32% -21.3 28% 35% -18.9
02.06.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kataller Toyama 1-0 41% 42% -2.4 26% 32% -20.3 34% 38% -12.6
08.06.24 FC Gifu vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-5 43% 41% 5.2 25% 31% -20.2 32% 40% -19.7
16.06.24 Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 45% 44% 0.8 25% 32% -21.2 30% 36% -18.1
23.06.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club 3-0 54% 53% 0.4 25% 32% -22.6 21% 27% -20.0
29.06.24 Yokohama SCC vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 31% 29% 5.5 25% 31% -19.8 44% 53% -15.8
06.07.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Omiya Ardija 3-1 39% 38% 0.6 25% 31% -19.7 36% 43% -14.9
13.07.24 SC Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 40% 38% 3.0 26% 33% -21.1 34% 41% -16.4
27.07.24 Nara Club vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-3 40% 38% 2.8 26% 32% -20.7 35% 42% -17.3
17.08.24 Grulla Morioka vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-3 27% 25% 6.0 24% 29% -18.9 50% 57% -13.2
24.08.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Imabari 1-2 39% 38% 1.8 26% 33% -21.1 35% 41% -15.4
31.08.24 Kataller Toyama vs Azul Claro Numazu 5-1 52% 52% -0.3 24% 31% -20.8 24% 29% -18.5
07.09.24 Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 34% 33% 1.6 24% 29% -18.9 42% 50% -15.4
15.09.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Osaka 0-1 48% 48% 1.7 25% 31% -20.9 27% 33% -19.5
21.09.24 FC Ryukyu vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 42% 43% -3.1 24% 30% -19.6 33% 39% -14.6
29.09.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Yokohama SCC 2-0 67% 69% -4.0 19% 24% -21.0 14% 18% -22.5
06.10.24 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 43% 42% 2.4 25% 31% -20.0 32% 39% -17.6
13.10.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 47% 47% 1.7 25% 31% -20.9 28% 35% -19.7
20.10.24 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 49% 49% 0.2 24% 31% -20.9 27% 33% -19.6
27.10.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs AC Nagano Parceiro 1-1 52% 52% 0.3 24% 31% -21.6 24% 29% -20.0
02.11.24 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 43% 42% 1.0 26% 34% -21.9 31% 37% -16.5
10.11.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 59% 61% -2.1 23% 29% -21.6 18% 22% -18.9
17.11.24 Fukushima United FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 43% 43% -0.3 25% 31% -20.0 32% 38% -16.1
24.11.24 Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0-1 38% 37% 1.8 26% 32% -20.6 37% 43% -15.7
16.02.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Gainare Tottori 3-0 45% 43% 5.5 27% 36% -23.4 28% 35% -20.4
23.02.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1-1 35% 33% 5.2 26% 32% -20.1 39% 47% -15.8
01.03.25 Tochigi City FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 48% 49% -2.6 25% 31% -20.2 28% 32% -14.6
09.03.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Tochigi Soccer Club 0-0 46% 45% 1.2 26% 33% -21.7 28% 34% -17.6
23.03.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 44% 44% -1.3 26% 32% -20.9 31% 36% -15.8
30.03.25 FC Osaka vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 42% 41% 3.6 27% 34% -21.8 31% 37% -17.0
06.04.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 43% 41% 4.6 26% 33% -22.0 31% 39% -20.2
13.04.25 Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 58% 59% -0.8 24% 31% -22.5 18% 22% -20.0
19.04.25 Nara Club vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 40% 39% 1.1 26% 32% -20.3 35% 41% -15.1
23.04.25 Fukushima United FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 47% 49% -3.7 25% 31% -20.1 28% 33% -14.7
03.05.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Vanraure Hachinohe 0-1 35% 33% 5.8 26% 33% -21.3 39% 47% -17.2
06.05.25 FC Gifu vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-2 51% 50% 2.7 24% 31% -22.0 24% 31% -22.2
18.05.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs AC Nagano Parceiro 0-0 47% 47% 0.5 25% 32% -21.6 28% 34% -18.9
31.05.25 The Spa Kusatsu vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 52% 51% 1.3 25% 31% -21.5 23% 29% -20.1
08.06.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Zweigen Kanazawa 3-1 31% 29% 7.0 25% 31% -19.6 43% 51% -15.3
14.06.25 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 52% 51% 2.5 25% 33% -23.6 23% 29% -22.6
21.06.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Ryukyu 0-2 52% 54% -3.4 24% 30% -20.7 24% 29% -16.8
28.06.25 SC Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 58% 60% -3.4 24% 30% -22.1 18% 22% -18.1
05.07.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kochi United 4-0 40% 40% 0.1 26% 32% -20.8 34% 41% -15.7
12.07.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kagoshima United 0-0 24% 23% 2.6 23% 29% -19.5 53% 60% -11.5
19.07.25 Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu 4-3 49% 48% 3.5 26% 34% -23.0 25% 31% -21.1
26.07.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-3 42% 43% -0.8 26% 33% -21.3 32% 37% -14.8
16.08.25 Tochigi Soccer Club vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-2 57% 57% -0.6 24% 31% -22.0 19% 24% -19.4
23.08.25 Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 57% 57% -0.2 23% 29% -21.3 20% 25% -20.8
30.08.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Tochigi City FC 4-5 33% 33% -1.9 24% 30% -19.5 43% 49% -12.0
06.09.25 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 66% 68% -4.0 21% 26% -21.3 14% 17% -19.0
13.09.25 Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-0 54% 55% -2.0 24% 31% -21.2 22% 27% -17.8
20.09.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club 1-0 40% 38% 4.8 25% 31% -19.7 35% 42% -18.0
27.09.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Gifu 1-2 30% 29% 3.7 25% 31% -19.5 45% 52% -13.6
05.10.25 Kochi United vs Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 51% 51% -0.6 24% 30% -20.6 25% 31% -18.9
12.10.25 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 64% 66% -3.0 20% 25% -20.4 16% 21% -22.5
19.10.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Osaka 1-2 27% 26% 1.5 24% 29% -19.8 50% 57% -13.0
25.10.25 AC Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 47% 45% 2.8 25% 31% -20.8 29% 36% -20.1
02.11.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs SC Sagamihara 0-0 44% 44% -0.6 26% 32% -20.6 30% 36% -15.4
09.11.25 FC Ryukyu vs Azul Claro Numazu 2-3 46% 45% 0.8 25% 31% -20.2 30% 36% -18.4
16.11.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs The Spa Kusatsu 1-2 39% 38% 0.3 24% 29% -18.6 37% 44% -15.7
23.11.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Fukushima United FC 1-3 46% 45% 0.5 23% 29% -18.3 31% 38% -17.9
29.11.25 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 57% 60% -3.6 22% 28% -20.0 20% 25% -18.5
07.12.25 Reilac Shiga vs Azul Claro Numazu 3-2 43% 42% 1.4 27% 35% -22.1 30% 36% -15.8
14.12.25 Azul Claro Numazu vs Reilac Shiga 1-1 51% 51% -1.0 24% 29% -19.7 26% 31% -18.1

Home Ratings

20 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Kagoshima United 1735.88
2 Renofa Yamaguchi 1697.12
3 FC Gifu 1674.16
4 FC Osaka 1647.53
5 Roasso Kumamoto 1637.92
6 Zweigen Kanazawa 1632.95
7 Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1632.79
8 SC Sagamihara 1625.78
9 Ehime FC 1613.63
10 Tochigi Soccer Club 1603.71
11 FC Ryukyu 1582.34
12 Reilac Shiga 1551.31
13 Fukushima United FC 1540.99
14 Nara Club 1533.65
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 1531.06
16 The Spa Kusatsu 1511.96
17 Gainare Tottori 1506.57
18 Kamatamare Sanuki 1503.95
19 Kochi United 1501.61
20 AC Nagano Parceiro 1483.33

Away Ratings

20 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Kagoshima United 1706.58
2 FC Gifu 1644.87
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 1643.33
4 Ehime FC 1639.29
5 Roasso Kumamoto 1617.38
6 SC Sagamihara 1594.79
7 Zweigen Kanazawa 1594.06
8 FC Osaka 1588.12
9 Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1587.84
10 Tochigi Soccer Club 1587.78
11 Fukushima United FC 1546.12
12 Nara Club 1529.06
13 Kamatamare Sanuki 1508.37
14 Giravanz Kitakyushu 1496.21
15 The Spa Kusatsu 1494.24
16 Reilac Shiga 1492.60
17 FC Ryukyu 1475.20
18 AC Nagano Parceiro 1474.99
19 Kochi United 1464.68
20 Gainare Tottori 1461.92