ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 280
Avg Goals 2.73
Avg Home 1.40
Avg Away 1.33
Home Win % 39.6%
Draw % 23.6%
Away Win % 36.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 280
Avg Brier Score 0.5859
Pick Accuracy 55.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5885
Market Brier 0.5850
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 4
Value Bet Hit Rate 25.0%
ROI (flat stake) 75.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 280 matches had at least one · staked 4.00, profit 3.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 1 100.0% 1.00 6.00 600.0%
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.6% 8.3% 12
10–20% 16.1% 16.5% 79
20–30% 26.4% 21.8% 362
30–40% 34.3% 33.3% 180
40–50% 45.0% 57.7% 97
50–60% 54.0% 61.4% 70
60–70% 64.5% 66.7% 24
70–80% 73.4% 66.7% 12
80–90% 82.9% 100.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
03.09.23 Al Jazira Amman vs Al Tora 3-1 69% 76% -9.4 19% 21% -8.0 12% 13% -13.8
03.09.23 Alia Club vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 1-5 25% 29% -14.1 29% 32% -11.4 47% 52% -9.5
03.09.23 Kfarsoum vs Al Yarmouk Amman 1-0 28% 32% -11.9 29% 31% -8.7 43% 49% -11.8
04.09.23 Amman FC vs Al Hashemeya 0-1 29% 34% -16.4 28% 30% -8.8 44% 48% -8.5
04.09.23 Sama Club vs Sama Al Sarhan 1-4 32% 37% -14.9 27% 29% -7.1 41% 47% -11.6
05.09.23 Al Arabi Irbid vs Al Baqaa 2-0 39% 42% -7.3 30% 33% -11.0 31% 38% -17.3
10.09.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Sama Club 1-2 59% 70% -16.1 23% 23% 0.9 18% 18% -1.1
11.09.23 Al Tora vs Al Arabi Irbid 0-2 22% 23% -5.1 26% 27% -5.2 53% 62% -15.5
11.09.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Amman FC 0-1 34% 40% -15.5 29% 32% -9.6 37% 41% -9.2
12.09.23 Al Baqaa vs Umm Al Qotain 1-1 49% 56% -12.9 28% 31% -8.9 23% 24% -7.4
12.09.23 Al Hashemeya vs Al Sareeh 0-1 18% 15% 21.0 29% 31% -8.0 53% 65% -18.4
13.09.23 Alia Club vs Kfarsoum 0-1 38% 43% -11.4 29% 32% -9.2 32% 37% -13.0
17.09.23 Al Arabi Irbid vs Sama Al Sarhan 0-2 31% 36% -13.7 29% 32% -9.3 39% 43% -9.5
18.09.23 Al Baqaa vs Al Hashemeya 1-1 21% 23% -7.5 28% 30% -9.2 51% 59% -13.1
18.09.23 Al Jazira Amman vs Sama Club 2-0 64% 74% -13.4 21% 22% -1.7 15% 15% -5.7
18.09.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Kfarsoum 4-0 57% 65% -11.9 25% 26% -6.7 19% 21% -11.6
19.09.23 Al Sareeh vs Al Yarmouk Amman 2-0 67% 75% -10.0 20% 21% -6.4 13% 15% -14.8
19.09.23 Amman FC vs Alia Club 3-1 56% 66% -14.9 25% 26% -4.4 19% 19% -2.8
19.09.23 Umm Al Qotain vs Al Tora 3-0 37% 43% -14.2 29% 32% -9.1 33% 37% -9.9
01.10.23 Al Jazira Amman vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 1-0 50% 57% -12.4 28% 31% -9.6 22% 24% -8.9
01.10.23 Kfarsoum vs Amman FC 0-2 22% 24% -11.0 26% 29% -8.1 52% 59% -11.5
02.10.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Al Baqaa 1-1 35% 41% -13.6 30% 34% -10.3 34% 38% -8.9
02.10.23 Alia Club vs Al Sareeh 0-2 10% 11% -0.3 19% 20% -4.5 70% 80% -12.0
02.10.23 Sama Club vs Al Arabi Irbid 1-2 34% 39% -13.7 30% 33% -10.1 36% 40% -9.6
03.10.23 Al Tora vs Al Hashemeya 1-1 13% 14% -3.6 21% 22% -4.1 66% 76% -13.0
03.10.23 Sama Al Sarhan vs Umm Al Qotain 4-0 52% 58% -11.7 25% 27% -6.0 23% 27% -14.0
08.10.23 Al Arabi Irbid vs Al Jazira Amman 0-1 19% 21% -7.5 26% 29% -8.5 55% 62% -12.7
08.10.23 Amman FC vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 1-1 31% 35% -13.0 29% 32% -9.6 40% 45% -11.3
09.10.23 Al Hashemeya vs Sama Al Sarhan 2-1 42% 47% -10.2 28% 31% -8.1 30% 35% -14.6
09.10.23 Al Sareeh vs Kfarsoum 6-0 81% 88% -7.6 13% 15% -10.7 6% 7% -13.8
10.10.23 Sama Club vs Umm Al Qotain 0-1 39% 43% -11.3 28% 31% -7.8 33% 38% -14.1
11.10.23 Al Tora vs Al Yarmouk Amman 1-2 25% 29% -11.8 28% 31% -9.3 47% 53% -11.9
22.10.23 Al Hashemeya vs Sama Club 1-0 52% 59% -10.9 27% 29% -9.1 21% 24% -12.5
22.10.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Al Arabi Irbid 3-3 47% 53% -12.1 28% 31% -9.0 25% 28% -10.8
23.10.23 Alia Club vs Al Tora 2-3 37% 41% -10.3 28% 31% -7.5 35% 41% -14.4
23.10.23 Kfarsoum vs Al Baqaa 0-1 21% 23% -11.1 28% 31% -11.3 52% 58% -10.5
24.10.23 Al Sareeh vs Amman FC 4-1 64% 75% -15.4 22% 22% -0.3 14% 14% 3.3
24.10.23 Umm Al Qotain vs Al Jazira Amman 0-1 14% 15% -5.3 22% 23% -5.1 64% 74% -12.4
25.10.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Sama Al Sarhan 0-1 26% 29% -10.5 28% 31% -9.2 46% 53% -12.5
29.10.23 Amman FC vs Al Baqaa 2-0 42% 49% -14.7 29% 32% -8.8 29% 31% -7.2
29.10.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Al Sareeh 1-1 21% 23% -10.1 25% 26% -5.9 54% 62% -12.8
30.10.23 Al Arabi Irbid vs Umm Al Qotain 2-0 55% 62% -11.8 26% 28% -7.2 19% 21% -9.3
30.10.23 Al Jazira Amman vs Al Hashemeya 4-0 50% 57% -13.0 28% 31% -8.5 22% 24% -7.1
31.10.23 Al Tora vs Kfarsoum 0-4 41% 47% -11.7 28% 30% -7.4 31% 36% -13.6
01.11.23 Sama Club vs Al Yarmouk Amman 0-0 36% 42% -12.9 29% 31% -8.2 35% 40% -12.4
05.11.23 Al Baqaa vs Al Sareeh 3-4 15% 17% -11.0 22% 24% -8.6 63% 70% -10.1
05.11.23 Al Tora vs Amman FC 0-2 20% 22% -8.2 26% 28% -7.5 54% 62% -13.0
05.11.23 Umm Al Qotain vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 3-1 21% 22% -7.6 26% 28% -7.1 54% 62% -13.6
06.11.23 Al Hashemeya vs Al Arabi Irbid 0-2 30% 32% -6.8 29% 31% -7.9 41% 49% -15.6
06.11.23 Kfarsoum vs Sama Al Sarhan 2-2 13% 14% -12.3 20% 22% -8.6 68% 75% -9.4
07.11.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Al Jazira Amman 1-2 25% 31% -17.8 27% 31% -10.9 47% 51% -6.3
07.11.23 Alia Club vs Sama Club 0-2 26% 31% -14.5 29% 32% -11.0 45% 50% -10.0
12.11.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Al Baqaa 1-1 51% 60% -13.9 27% 29% -7.4 22% 23% -6.8
12.11.23 Umm Al Qotain vs Al Hashemeya 0-0 31% 36% -13.1 29% 32% -9.4 40% 44% -10.7
13.11.23 Al Arabi Irbid vs Al Yarmouk Amman 0-1 53% 61% -14.0 27% 29% -7.0 21% 22% -7.0
14.11.23 Al Sareeh vs Al Tora 6-0 85% 93% -8.6 10% 10% -0.6 5% 6% -11.9
14.11.23 Sama Al Sarhan vs Amman FC 1-0 50% 60% -15.6 27% 29% -6.1 23% 24% -6.1
15.11.23 Sama Club vs Kfarsoum 1-0 38% 41% -6.6 29% 32% -9.8 33% 40% -18.0
19.11.23 Al Hashemeya vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 1-1 26% 29% -8.6 30% 33% -10.6 44% 51% -12.8
19.11.23 Al Tora vs Al Baqaa 1-2 20% 22% -6.8 26% 28% -6.8 54% 62% -13.3
19.11.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Umm Al Qotain 3-1 42% 50% -15.2 31% 34% -11.2 27% 29% -5.6
20.11.23 Amman FC vs Sama Club 2-0 49% 56% -11.6 28% 31% -9.8 23% 26% -11.3
20.11.23 Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Sareeh 1-2 22% 25% -13.4 26% 29% -8.9 52% 58% -10.0
21.11.23 Alia Club vs Al Arabi Irbid 0-2 18% 22% -16.8 25% 29% -12.5 57% 61% -7.9
24.11.23 Kfarsoum vs Al Jazira Amman 2-4 10% 11% -11.1 17% 18% -7.8 74% 81% -9.4
26.11.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Al Hashemeya 3-1 36% 41% -12.9 32% 36% -12.4 33% 36% -8.7
26.11.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Al Tora 3-1 71% 79% -10.3 20% 22% -9.9 9% 10% -6.7
27.11.23 Sama Club vs Al Sareeh 1-0 12% 14% -14.4 20% 23% -12.4 68% 74% -7.6
27.11.23 Umm Al Qotain vs Alia Club 1-1 49% 57% -15.0 27% 29% -6.7 24% 26% -6.5
28.11.23 Al Arabi Irbid vs Kfarsoum 1-2 65% 72% -10.7 21% 23% -7.5 14% 16% -13.2
28.11.23 Al Jazira Amman vs Amman FC 1-0 62% 74% -16.1 22% 22% 1.1 16% 15% 3.1
03.12.23 Al Sareeh vs Al Jazira Amman 1-0 40% 47% -14.7 28% 29% -6.4 33% 37% -11.4
03.12.23 Alia Club vs Al Hashemeya 1-1 26% 29% -13.3 28% 31% -9.3 47% 52% -10.1
03.12.23 Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Tora 7-1 77% 87% -11.1 15% 15% -1.1 7% 8% -3.0
04.12.23 Al Baqaa vs Sama Club 4-1 40% 45% -11.5 29% 32% -9.2 30% 35% -12.6
04.12.23 Kfarsoum vs Umm Al Qotain 1-3 36% 42% -14.4 29% 32% -9.2 35% 38% -10.0
05.12.23 Amman FC vs Al Arabi Irbid 2-2 36% 43% -16.0 30% 33% -10.3 34% 37% -7.2
05.12.23 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Al Yarmouk Amman 1-2 46% 53% -12.4 29% 32% -9.9 25% 28% -10.5
10.12.23 Al Hashemeya vs Kfarsoum 0-0 51% 57% -11.6 27% 30% -9.4 22% 25% -12.0
10.12.23 Al Tora vs Sama Club 1-4 19% 20% -7.4 25% 27% -7.5 56% 65% -13.6
11.12.23 Sama Al Sarhan vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 0-3 48% 57% -15.9 27% 29% -5.6 25% 27% -6.4
11.12.23 Umm Al Qotain vs Amman FC 1-1 30% 37% -18.5 29% 32% -10.9 41% 43% -5.5
12.12.23 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Alia Club 2-0 70% 83% -14.8 19% 18% 4.5 11% 10% 11.3
13.12.23 Al Sareeh vs Al Arabi Irbid 1-4 61% 71% -15.3 22% 21% 2.5 18% 19% -6.0
15.09.24 Kfarsoum vs Amman FC 2-1 23% 26% -13.5 27% 30% -10.1 50% 56% -10.0
16.09.24 Al Arabi Irbid vs Al Hashemeya 1-0 43% 49% -12.3 29% 31% -8.3 29% 32% -11.4
17.09.24 Sahab SC vs Al Jalil Irbid 3-0 35% 37% -6.5 30% 34% -10.5 35% 42% -15.9
18.09.24 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Sama Al Sarhan 1-1 39% 49% -19.8 30% 33% -10.7 31% 31% -0.5
18.09.24 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Jerash SC 0-2 45% 55% -17.3 28% 29% -6.0 27% 28% -3.1
22.09.24 Al Hashemeya vs Umm Al Qotain 3-0 47% 53% -12.5 29% 31% -8.8 25% 28% -10.1
23.09.24 Amman FC vs Jerash SC 0-0 46% 57% -19.9 28% 29% -6.0 27% 26% 3.6
23.09.24 Sama Club vs Al Yarmouk Amman 1-5 34% 41% -15.7 29% 31% -8.2 37% 40% -7.7
24.09.24 Sama Al Sarhan vs Ittihad Al Ramtha 2-1 44% 54% -18.2 29% 31% -7.9 27% 27% -0.1
25.09.24 Al Baqaa vs Sahab SC 2-0 50% 62% -18.2 27% 28% -4.4 23% 23% 1.0
25.09.24 Al Jalil Irbid vs Al Karmal 0-3 52% 60% -12.4 28% 30% -9.2 20% 22% -8.6
29.09.24 Amman FC vs Al Wehdat Amman II 1-0 46% 57% -19.9 28% 30% -7.0 26% 25% 4.2
29.09.24 Ittihad Al Ramtha vs Sama Club 2-2 46% 53% -12.1 28% 30% -8.7 26% 30% -13.9
30.09.24 Kfarsoum vs Al Hashemeya 0-3 22% 24% -7.2 26% 29% -7.2 51% 60% -14.7
01.10.24 Al Karmal vs Al Baqaa 1-0 25% 29% -13.4 30% 34% -12.0 45% 49% -8.3
01.10.24 Al Yarmouk Amman vs Al Jalil Irbid 3-0 37% 44% -16.0 30% 34% -10.3 32% 34% -4.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 280 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Jerash SC 1586.71
2 Amman FC 1579.94
3 Al Sareeh 1557.02
4 Moghayer Al Sarhan 1443.57
5 Al Hashemeya 1437.97
6 Sama Club 1434.49
7 Ittihad Al Ramtha 1428.45
8 Al Karmal 1424.39
9 Al Hussein Irbid II 1422.36
10 Al Yarmouk Amman 1417.67
11 FC Maan 1415.72
12 Al Jalil Irbid 1372.39
13 Al Wehdat Amman II 1372.32
14 Kfarsoum 1351.89
15 Al Tora 1347.62
16 Umm Al Qotain 1325.55
17 Al Aqaba SC 1304.01
18 Sahab SC 993.71

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Amman FC 1551.76
2 Al Sareeh 1533.23
3 Ittihad Al Ramtha 1518.70
4 FC Maan 1498.49
5 Jerash SC 1469.19
6 Al Hussein Irbid II 1465.65
7 Al Karmal 1463.92
8 Al Hashemeya 1422.46
9 Kfarsoum 1396.33
10 Al Yarmouk Amman 1393.19
11 Al Aqaba SC 1390.46
12 Sama Club 1386.63
13 Al Wehdat Amman II 1370.00
14 Moghayer Al Sarhan 1317.56
15 Al Jalil Irbid 1229.96
16 Al Tora 1204.07
17 Umm Al Qotain 1178.35
18 Sahab SC 1086.47