ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 251
Avg Goals 3.63
Avg Home 2.06
Avg Away 1.57
Home Win % 52.6%
Draw % 12.0%
Away Win % 35.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 251
Avg Brier Score 0.4685
Pick Accuracy 67.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4710
Market Brier 0.4805
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 31
Value Bet Hit Rate 35.5%
ROI (flat stake) 81.5%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 31 of 251 matches had at least one · staked 31.00, profit 25.25 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 15 46.7% 15.00 23.00 153.3%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 16 25.0% 16.00 2.25 14.1%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.9% 6.6% 91
10–20% 15.4% 15.4% 182
20–30% 23.3% 14.5% 166
30–40% 35.1% 40.0% 70
40–50% 44.4% 46.5% 71
50–60% 55.1% 77.5% 40
60–70% 65.4% 70.7% 41
70–80% 75.3% 75.0% 56
80–90% 84.3% 77.8% 27
90–100% 91.2% 100.0% 9
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
20.07.23 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs FC Batyr 4-1 76% 81% -7.1 14% 17% -21.1 11% 12% -8.7
20.07.23 FK Arys vs FC Zhenis 0-2 30% 31% -5.3 21% 27% -20.7 49% 54% -9.4
20.07.23 Kairat Almaty II vs Khan Tengry 3-1 14% 11% 23.2 16% 18% -13.4 70% 81% -13.0
21.07.23 Zhas Kyran vs FK Aktobe II 1-0 75% 78% -3.5 14% 18% -25.6 11% 14% -22.5
27.07.23 FC Batyr vs FK Astana II 2-3 80% 83% -4.3 12% 16% -25.0 8% 10% -19.8
28.07.23 FC Zhenis vs Kairat Almaty II 2-1 65% 66% -0.6 17% 24% -26.9 17% 23% -24.4
28.07.23 Khan Tengry vs FK Akzhayik Uralsk 1-1 34% 37% -6.8 22% 29% -21.9 43% 48% -9.3
03.08.23 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Kyran 3-5 33% 33% 0.3 22% 29% -21.5 44% 51% -12.6
04.08.23 FC Taraz vs Yelimay Semey 1-3 8% 11% -23.7 13% 17% -24.8 79% 83% -4.4
04.08.23 FK Astana II vs Khan Tengry 1-2 6% 6% -4.1 11% 13% -17.8 84% 90% -7.2
04.08.23 FK Turan Turkestan vs FK Aktobe II 7-1 92% 97% -5.0 5% 7% -28.4 3% 3% -26.9
04.08.23 Zhas Kyran vs FC Batyr 1-1 78% 87% -9.9 12% 13% -13.4 10% 10% 6.5
10.08.23 FC Batyr vs FC Taraz 5-3 39% 47% -16.8 21% 27% -20.6 40% 38% 3.5
10.08.23 Khan Tengry vs Zhas Kyran 0-1 49% 53% -7.2 21% 27% -21.5 29% 32% -8.8
11.08.23 FC Zhenis vs FK Astana II 2-0 85% 88% -4.0 9% 13% -28.4 6% 8% -27.0
11.08.23 Yelimay Semey vs FK Turan Turkestan 1-0 51% 51% 0.3 20% 27% -23.2 28% 34% -18.5
17.08.23 FC Taraz vs Khan Tengry 2-1 31% 35% -11.3 23% 30% -22.9 46% 48% -4.0
17.08.23 FK Turan Turkestan vs FC Batyr 6-1 82% 85% -4.3 11% 15% -27.2 7% 9% -23.3
18.08.23 FK Astana II vs FK Kyran 2-1 8% 8% 4.4 16% 21% -22.1 76% 81% -7.1
18.08.23 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Arys 5-1 49% 52% -5.8 21% 27% -21.4 30% 33% -10.1
24.08.23 Khan Tengry vs FK Turan Turkestan 0-0 19% 18% 5.9 18% 22% -17.1 63% 71% -12.2
25.08.23 FC Zhenis vs FC Taraz 1-1 78% 85% -8.1 13% 16% -19.2 9% 9% 0.8
25.08.23 FK Arys vs FK Akzhayik Uralsk 0-2 19% 23% -16.4 18% 23% -21.1 63% 66% -4.6
25.08.23 Yelimay Semey vs FK Aktobe II 3-1 94% 98% -4.0 4% 6% -32.2 2% 3% -32.3
31.08.23 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kairat Almaty II 2-1 78% 83% -5.8 13% 17% -23.4 9% 11% -15.6
01.09.23 FK Aktobe II vs FC Batyr 2-2 34% 38% -12.7 22% 29% -21.8 44% 45% -3.0
01.09.23 FK Turan Turkestan vs FC Zhenis 0-3 49% 49% 0.3 21% 28% -23.1 30% 36% -16.9
14.09.23 FC Batyr vs Yelimay Semey 0-4 10% 12% -19.1 13% 17% -22.4 77% 81% -4.9
14.09.23 FK Arys vs Zhas Kyran 1-1 27% 31% -11.8 20% 26% -20.4 52% 56% -5.6
14.09.23 Khan Tengry vs FK Aktobe II 1-1 80% 83% -3.5 12% 17% -28.6 8% 11% -25.5
15.09.23 FK Kyran vs FK Turan Turkestan 2-6 21% 22% -2.7 23% 30% -23.4 56% 60% -7.7
15.09.23 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Astana II 5-1 70% 71% -1.1 16% 22% -27.6 14% 19% -25.8
21.09.23 Zhas Kyran vs Kairat Almaty II 0-0 55% 56% -2.8 20% 26% -23.4 25% 30% -16.7
22.09.23 FK Astana II vs FK Akzhayik Uralsk 0-5 8% 10% -20.2 12% 15% -22.4 80% 84% -4.9
22.09.23 Yelimay Semey vs Khan Tengry 2-1 78% 81% -3.7 13% 18% -27.0 9% 12% -22.6
27.09.23 FK Arys vs FK Turan Turkestan 0-4 18% 21% -12.5 17% 22% -19.6 64% 68% -6.1
27.09.23 Khan Tengry vs FC Batyr 0-1 66% 71% -6.8 17% 22% -21.7 17% 18% -9.1
02.10.23 FC Batyr vs FC Zhenis 1-1 9% 11% -21.2 13% 17% -23.2 78% 82% -4.6
02.10.23 FK Turan Turkestan vs Kairat Almaty II 2-0 78% 82% -4.4 12% 17% -25.0 9% 11% -20.1
08.10.23 FC Zhenis vs Khan Tengry 4-1 71% 74% -3.7 17% 23% -26.7 12% 14% -18.0
08.10.23 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs FK Turan Turkestan 0-1 42% 49% -13.2 24% 31% -22.9 34% 33% 1.7
19.10.23 FK Turan Turkestan vs FK Astana II 8-0 90% 94% -4.2 7% 10% -31.1 3% 4% -30.5
20.10.23 FK Aktobe II vs Kairat Almaty II 2-4 33% 38% -14.2 21% 26% -20.6 46% 48% -3.2
20.10.23 Yelimay Semey vs FK Arys 3-0 85% 91% -6.1 10% 12% -23.6 5% 6% -13.0
24.10.23 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs FK Aktobe II 3-1 89% 94% -5.6 8% 10% -24.2 3% 4% -13.4
24.10.23 FK Astana II vs Yassy Turkistan 2-5 41% 53% -22.4 21% 27% -21.7 38% 33% 13.9
24.10.23 Zhas Kyran vs FK Turan Turkestan 1-2 18% 19% -6.5 18% 23% -19.6 64% 69% -8.0
25.10.23 Kairat Almaty II vs Yelimay Semey 2-2 17% 22% -23.1 18% 24% -24.6 65% 66% -1.3
31.10.23 FC Batyr vs Kairat Almaty II 3-1 36% 39% -8.7 21% 26% -19.9 43% 47% -7.3
04.04.24 FC Taraz vs FC Okzhetpes 1-2 66% 74% -10.7 21% 27% -22.6 13% 11% 27.1
04.04.24 Khan Tengry vs FK Zhetisay 1-0 64% 65% -0.7 19% 26% -27.0 17% 22% -22.6
05.04.24 FK Arys vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 0-2 29% 34% -14.5 24% 31% -23.9 47% 48% -0.8
10.04.24 Kairat Almaty II vs FC Taraz 0-1 45% 56% -18.3 22% 29% -21.2 32% 28% 15.7
18.04.24 FC Okzhetpes vs Khan Tengry 0-0 43% 43% 0.5 23% 30% -23.0 34% 39% -13.5
18.04.24 FK Aktobe II vs FK Kyran 0-2 21% 23% -7.3 19% 24% -20.1 59% 65% -7.8
25.04.24 FC Batyr vs FK Aktobe II 3-0 78% 83% -6.0 15% 19% -23.7 8% 8% -2.8
25.04.24 Khan Tengry vs Kairat Almaty II 0-3 50% 50% -0.4 24% 32% -25.3 26% 30% -13.7
02.05.24 FC Taraz vs FK Akzhayik Uralsk 3-1 35% 43% -20.0 23% 29% -23.2 43% 40% 6.6
03.05.24 FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan vs FC Batyr 2-1 25% 21% 18.3 21% 26% -19.6 54% 65% -16.0
03.05.24 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 1-2 30% 37% -17.7 23% 29% -23.3 47% 47% 1.0
16.05.24 FC Taraz vs FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 1-2 42% 37% 12.5 21% 27% -22.3 37% 48% -21.6
16.05.24 Khan Tengry vs Yassy Turkistan 4-0 55% 53% 2.0 22% 29% -25.8 24% 29% -19.6
22.05.24 FC Taraz vs FC Batyr 2-1 21% 19% 10.9 19% 24% -18.1 59% 68% -13.3
22.05.24 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs Khan Tengry 0-0 22% 12% 77.8 20% 24% -17.7 58% 75% -22.0
23.05.24 FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan vs Kairat Almaty II 3-1 48% 48% 1.5 21% 28% -23.2 30% 37% -18.0
30.05.24 FC Batyr vs FK Zhetisay 2-1 49% 44% 11.3 23% 31% -27.3 28% 37% -25.0
31.05.24 FK Arys vs FC Taraz 1-2 41% 40% 3.4 23% 30% -23.4 35% 42% -16.1
31.05.24 Khan Tengry vs FK Aktobe II 6-2 79% 80% -1.1 12% 18% -31.4 8% 12% -31.0
06.06.24 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs Khan Tengry 3-5 74% 78% -4.6 15% 21% -26.0 11% 13% -17.5
07.06.24 FC Batyr vs FC Okzhetpes 0-2 42% 43% -1.1 24% 31% -22.9 34% 38% -11.2
07.06.24 FK Aktobe II vs FK Zhetisay 0-2 7% 9% -24.8 12% 16% -26.6 82% 85% -4.4
07.06.24 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Arys 2-1 71% 81% -12.5 15% 18% -15.6 14% 11% 21.7
13.06.24 FK Aktobe II vs FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 0-3 5% 5% -9.6 10% 12% -20.4 86% 92% -6.5
13.06.24 FK Zhetisay vs Kairat Almaty II 6-2 44% 44% -0.6 24% 31% -23.5 32% 37% -12.9
13.06.24 Khan Tengry vs FC Batyr 2-1 53% 53% 0.3 22% 29% -25.4 25% 30% -18.4
21.06.24 FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan vs Khan Tengry 0-2 42% 39% 8.2 22% 29% -23.1 36% 44% -19.9
21.06.24 FK Zhetisay vs FK Arys 2-1 77% 79% -2.6 17% 24% -29.6 7% 8% -17.5
27.06.24 FC Taraz vs FK Aktobe II 2-0 89% 93% -5.0 8% 11% -26.1 3% 4% -16.5
28.06.24 FK Arys vs FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 1-4 10% 11% -8.5 17% 22% -22.9 72% 77% -5.9
03.07.24 FK Aktobe II vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 3-1 3% 5% -31.1 8% 12% -31.0 88% 92% -3.7
03.07.24 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kairat Almaty II 2-3 16% 11% 44.5 16% 18% -11.9 68% 81% -15.9
04.07.24 Khan Tengry vs Kaisar Kyzylorda II 4-2 84% 92% -8.6 11% 13% -16.9 5% 3% 47.3
05.07.24 FC Batyr vs FK Arys 3-0 65% 68% -4.6 22% 29% -26.4 13% 14% -5.9
17.07.24 FC Taraz vs Khan Tengry 0-1 14% 14% -1.4 18% 22% -20.4 69% 75% -8.6
18.07.24 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 2-1 39% 39% -0.8 24% 31% -23.3 37% 42% -12.0
25.07.24 FC Batyr vs Khan Tengry 2-1 11% 11% 5.0 20% 26% -23.4 68% 74% -7.5
25.07.24 FC Okzhetpes vs FK Arys 7-1 91% 94% -4.0 7% 11% -31.9 2% 3% -28.9
26.07.24 FK Aktobe II vs Altay Oskemen 0-2 26% 36% -28.5 21% 29% -27.1 53% 47% 13.0
26.07.24 FK Akzhayik Uralsk vs FC Taraz 1-2 40% 32% 25.2 23% 31% -25.8 36% 49% -25.3
26.07.24 SD Family vs Kairat Almaty II 3-6 39% 44% -13.0 21% 27% -20.1 40% 41% -2.0
01.08.24 FC Taraz vs Kaisar Kyzylorda II 1-0 41% 51% -18.4 26% 35% -24.4 32% 27% 21.6
01.08.24 Kairat Almaty II vs FK Zhetisay 6-4 48% 52% -7.2 20% 26% -20.4 31% 35% -9.7
02.08.24 FK Aktobe II vs FC Batyr 2-4 18% 23% -22.0 17% 22% -22.9 65% 66% -2.1
02.08.24 Khan Tengry vs FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 2-3 45% 47% -2.7 26% 34% -24.9 29% 31% -7.7
08.08.24 FC Taraz vs FK Arys 3-0 75% 81% -7.3 17% 22% -23.4 8% 7% 15.1
09.08.24 FC Batyr vs Kairat Almaty II 1-4 22% 27% -18.0 19% 24% -21.9 59% 61% -3.0
09.08.24 Khan Tengry vs FC Okzhetpes 0-3 33% 36% -7.9 24% 31% -23.0 43% 47% -6.7
15.08.24 Altay Oskemen vs FC Taraz 2-1 39% 43% -8.3 24% 31% -23.2 37% 39% -5.7
16.08.24 FK Aktobe II vs Khan Tengry 0-2 6% 9% -29.4 11% 16% -29.1 83% 85% -2.6
16.08.24 FK Arys vs Kaisar Kyzylorda II 2-1 29% 39% -26.1 26% 36% -27.9 45% 37% 21.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 251 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Shakhtyor Karaganda 1886.41
2 FK Turan Turkestan 1804.60
3 Kairat Almaty II 1725.15
4 Akademiya Ontystik 1717.94
5 FK Astana II 1510.08
6 FC Taraz 1487.41
7 FC Batyr 1474.85
8 FC Jaiyq Uralsk 1421.18
9 FK Kaspiy Aktau II 1391.39
10 FK Aktobe II 1355.75
11 Khan Tengry 1328.92
12 FK Arys 1299.07
13 Yelimay Semey II 1231.66
14 Tobol Kostanay II 1201.76

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Shakhtyor Karaganda 1773.64
2 Kairat Almaty II 1706.03
3 FK Turan Turkestan 1630.33
4 Akademiya Ontystik 1450.33
5 FC Taraz 1432.53
6 FC Batyr 1419.77
7 FK Kaspiy Aktau II 1405.09
8 FC Jaiyq Uralsk 1403.16
9 FK Astana II 1382.53
10 FK Arys 1366.13
11 Khan Tengry 1365.75
12 FK Aktobe II 1277.88
13 Tobol Kostanay II 1231.68
14 Yelimay Semey II 1200.21