ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 542
Avg Goals 2.45
Avg Home 1.40
Avg Away 1.05
Home Win % 43.5%
Draw % 30.1%
Away Win % 26.4%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 542
Avg Brier Score 0.5859
Pick Accuracy 50.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5885
Market Brier 0.5879
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 542 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.7% 8.3% 48
10–20% 15.5% 14.2% 240
20–30% 26.0% 26.2% 534
30–40% 33.1% 34.2% 371
40–50% 44.4% 38.8% 170
50–60% 55.2% 57.6% 125
60–70% 64.9% 67.4% 86
70–80% 74.7% 76.6% 47
80–90% 82.8% 100.0% 4
90–100% 90.8% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
22.07.23 FK Aktobe vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 1-0 63% 68% -7.9 23% 26% -10.3 14% 17% -20.0
22.07.23 FK Astana vs FC Atyrau 0-0 66% 69% -5.0 21% 25% -15.3 13% 17% -26.1
22.07.23 Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 2-1 65% 68% -4.8 23% 27% -16.1 12% 16% -24.1
22.07.23 Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs FC Aksu 1-1 44% 49% -9.7 29% 31% -6.0 27% 32% -16.2
23.07.23 FC Kairat Almaty vs FK Maktaaral 2-2 63% 68% -6.8 22% 25% -11.8 15% 19% -23.8
23.07.23 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 1-0 45% 51% -13.0 29% 30% -5.1 27% 31% -13.4
23.07.23 Tobol Kostanay vs FC Okzhetpes 2-0 71% 73% -3.0 19% 24% -20.0 10% 14% -28.9
29.07.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs FK Astana 1-0 23% 28% -18.6 30% 33% -8.6 47% 52% -9.4
29.07.23 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FC Kairat Almaty 0-0 26% 30% -14.3 30% 32% -6.0 44% 50% -12.6
30.07.23 FC Atyrau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0-1 55% 59% -5.7 26% 29% -11.7 19% 24% -22.1
30.07.23 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Aktobe 2-2 19% 24% -18.8 27% 29% -4.6 53% 60% -10.2
05.08.23 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FC Aksu 3-1 40% 43% -8.6 30% 31% -5.6 31% 37% -16.9
05.08.23 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs FC Atyrau 2-2 34% 41% -15.7 30% 32% -5.9 35% 40% -11.9
05.08.23 Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1-1 28% 32% -14.3 31% 33% -6.6 41% 47% -11.4
06.08.23 FK Aktobe vs FC Kairat Almaty 4-2 46% 51% -9.3 28% 30% -6.9 25% 31% -17.8
06.08.23 Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 0-2 50% 52% -4.3 27% 31% -11.3 23% 30% -23.6
12.08.23 FC Atyrau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 1-0 57% 61% -5.3 25% 29% -12.2 17% 23% -23.0
12.08.23 FC Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2-1 31% 33% -8.0 30% 32% -5.5 39% 47% -16.5
13.08.23 FC Aksu vs FK Aktobe 1-1 29% 36% -20.2 30% 32% -6.2 41% 43% -6.3
13.08.23 FC Kairat Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay 2-1 55% 62% -12.7 27% 29% -6.8 18% 20% -9.9
13.08.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs Shakhtyor Karaganda 1-1 58% 65% -10.6 24% 26% -7.2 17% 21% -17.8
13.08.23 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy Shymkent 2-3 15% 17% -15.4 26% 27% -3.7 60% 68% -12.4
19.08.23 FC Aksu vs FC Atyrau 4-1 34% 40% -15.9 32% 34% -7.9 35% 38% -10.0
19.08.23 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1-2 25% 29% -15.0 30% 32% -6.4 45% 51% -12.6
19.08.23 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs FC Okzhetpes 2-0 51% 57% -10.1 27% 29% -6.6 22% 27% -17.8
20.08.23 FK Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay 1-1 51% 60% -14.9 28% 29% -5.1 21% 23% -8.3
20.08.23 FK Astana vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 1-1 78% 82% -5.1 15% 18% -17.7 7% 10% -27.6
20.08.23 Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Kairat Almaty 1-0 56% 63% -11.7 26% 27% -5.4 19% 22% -14.5
20.08.23 Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs FK Maktaaral 0-1 43% 48% -8.8 29% 32% -8.7 27% 33% -18.7
26.08.23 FC Okzhetpes vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 3-3 41% 45% -9.4 29% 31% -5.9 30% 36% -17.9
26.08.23 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1-1 46% 51% -9.9 29% 31% -7.0 25% 30% -16.0
27.08.23 FC Atyrau vs FK Aktobe 0-0 26% 30% -14.0 30% 32% -5.9 44% 50% -12.8
27.08.23 FC Kairat Almaty vs FK Astana 1-0 37% 45% -19.2 30% 31% -4.2 33% 35% -5.0
27.08.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs FC Aksu 1-0 58% 64% -9.4 25% 27% -7.6 17% 21% -17.6
27.08.23 Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy Shymkent 0-0 17% 20% -17.3 27% 29% -5.4 56% 63% -10.8
15.09.23 FC Aksu vs FC Okzhetpes 0-1 51% 56% -10.1 28% 30% -8.2 21% 26% -16.5
15.09.23 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Maktaaral 0-2 36% 40% -9.8 30% 32% -6.6 34% 41% -17.2
16.09.23 FC Atyrau vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 0-0 35% 38% -9.3 32% 36% -9.2 33% 38% -14.9
16.09.23 FK Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 32% 37% -14.9 31% 33% -6.8 37% 43% -12.1
16.09.23 FK Astana vs Tobol Kostanay 2-1 63% 65% -3.7 23% 27% -15.4 14% 19% -25.6
17.09.23 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 2-2 45% 52% -12.8 29% 30% -5.3 26% 30% -13.8
17.09.23 Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs FC Kairat Almaty 1-2 25% 32% -22.3 29% 31% -6.8 46% 49% -6.1
23.09.23 FC Kairat Almaty vs Shakhtyor Karaganda 0-0 63% 70% -10.4 22% 23% -4.8 15% 18% -17.8
23.09.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs FK Aktobe 0-0 32% 38% -14.8 33% 36% -8.4 35% 38% -8.7
23.09.23 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 3-1 49% 53% -7.9 28% 30% -8.5 23% 29% -19.4
24.09.23 FC Okzhetpes vs FC Atyrau 0-0 32% 36% -12.8 31% 32% -5.3 38% 43% -13.2
24.09.23 Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Astana 1-2 64% 73% -11.7 23% 24% -5.2 13% 15% -12.2
24.09.23 Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1-2 63% 68% -8.0 23% 26% -11.7 14% 17% -20.8
27.09.23 FK Astana vs FC Okzhetpes 5-2 75% 81% -7.1 17% 20% -14.1 8% 10% -23.1
27.09.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs Tobol Kostanay 1-1 45% 50% -10.7 31% 34% -9.3 25% 29% -13.9
27.09.23 Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Maktaaral 1-0 76% 80% -4.8 16% 19% -18.5 8% 12% -29.0
30.09.23 FK Aktobe vs FK Astana 2-0 41% 49% -16.5 30% 31% -4.7 29% 32% -8.7
30.09.23 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs Tobol Kostanay 2-1 33% 39% -15.3 30% 31% -4.3 37% 42% -11.4
01.10.23 FC Aksu vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 2-0 30% 35% -14.5 30% 32% -5.8 40% 45% -12.9
01.10.23 FC Atyrau vs FK Maktaaral 2-0 46% 50% -8.3 29% 32% -9.1 25% 30% -18.1
01.10.23 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FC Kairat Almaty 1-1 22% 28% -21.6 27% 28% -3.8 52% 56% -8.8
01.10.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs FC Okzhetpes 1-2 62% 67% -7.4 24% 27% -11.8 14% 18% -21.3
01.10.23 Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 11% 15% -27.1 21% 24% -10.4 68% 73% -7.0
05.10.23 FK Maktaaral vs Tobol Kostanay 1-1 41% 48% -14.4 30% 32% -5.9 29% 32% -10.5
21.10.23 FC Kairat Almaty vs FC Aksu 4-1 70% 76% -7.9 19% 21% -9.2 11% 13% -20.6
21.10.23 FK Astana vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2-1 70% 76% -7.6 18% 20% -9.9 12% 16% -25.2
21.10.23 FK Maktaaral vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 2-1 40% 48% -15.8 32% 34% -7.9 28% 30% -7.1
21.10.23 Tobol Kostanay vs FK Kaspyi Aktau 1-1 61% 67% -8.6 23% 24% -7.0 16% 20% -20.1
22.10.23 FC Okzhetpes vs FK Aktobe 1-1 19% 24% -19.8 27% 29% -5.1 54% 60% -9.6
22.10.23 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FC Atyrau 1-0 40% 43% -7.9 31% 33% -7.9 29% 35% -16.6
22.10.23 Ordabasy Shymkent vs Shakhtyor Karaganda 3-1 81% 86% -5.5 13% 16% -18.6 6% 8% -27.7
29.10.23 FC Aksu vs Tobol Kostanay 0-3 31% 38% -19.3 30% 32% -5.9 39% 42% -7.3
29.10.23 FC Atyrau vs FC Kairat Almaty 0-0 29% 34% -16.3 30% 32% -5.7 41% 45% -10.4
29.10.23 FC Okzhetpes vs FK Maktaaral 1-1 33% 39% -16.6 31% 34% -7.5 36% 40% -10.2
29.10.23 FK Aktobe vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2-2 59% 62% -4.7 23% 27% -12.1 18% 24% -25.4
29.10.23 FK Kaspyi Aktau vs Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 17% 24% -28.5 24% 26% -9.1 59% 62% -5.6
29.10.23 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 0-1 52% 57% -9.3 28% 31% -9.3 20% 24% -17.0
29.10.23 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs FK Astana 1-1 26% 33% -21.1 31% 34% -8.7 43% 45% -6.0
01.03.24 FK Astana vs FC Zhenis 2-0 66% 75% -11.4 22% 23% -3.8 12% 13% -10.2
01.03.24 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Aktobe 1-3 23% 29% -22.4 31% 34% -10.5 46% 49% -5.1
02.03.24 FC Kairat Almaty vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 2-1 50% 56% -11.5 30% 32% -8.6 20% 23% -11.2
02.03.24 Ordabasy Shymkent vs Shakhtyor Karaganda 5-0 74% 79% -6.5 18% 21% -15.4 8% 11% -24.2
02.03.24 Tobol Kostanay vs FK Turan Turkestan 2-0 75% 85% -11.0 18% 19% -3.9 6% 6% 3.6
02.03.24 Yelimay Semey vs FC Atyrau 0-0 37% 41% -8.4 31% 34% -8.1 31% 38% -16.6
05.03.24 Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs FK Astana 0-2 10% 12% -19.8 22% 23% -5.0 68% 75% -9.5
06.03.24 FC Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 17% 22% -20.2 28% 30% -8.2 55% 61% -9.5
06.03.24 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 0-3 30% 38% -22.4 33% 37% -10.6 37% 36% 1.8
06.03.24 Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey 4-2 58% 65% -10.8 26% 28% -6.9 17% 19% -12.9
07.03.24 FC Zhenis vs Shakhtyor Karaganda 1-0 42% 47% -9.7 29% 31% -5.7 29% 35% -16.8
07.03.24 FK Turan Turkestan vs FC Kairat Almaty 0-0 19% 24% -21.2 27% 29% -6.6 53% 58% -8.8
30.03.24 FC Atyrau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0-1 50% 51% -1.9 29% 33% -14.0 22% 29% -23.7
31.03.24 FK Aktobe vs FC Zhenis 3-0 71% 79% -10.3 19% 20% -5.5 10% 12% -15.6
31.03.24 FK Astana vs Yelimay Semey 0-1 71% 74% -4.8 19% 22% -14.6 11% 15% -26.3
31.03.24 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs Tobol Kostanay 0-0 32% 40% -19.2 33% 36% -8.7 35% 36% -3.5
31.03.24 Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Kairat Almaty 1-2 55% 59% -7.3 27% 29% -9.3 19% 23% -18.5
06.04.24 FC Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0-0 65% 66% -1.4 21% 25% -17.8 14% 20% -29.3
06.04.24 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk vs FC Zhenis 4-0 51% 58% -12.7 28% 29% -5.0 21% 24% -10.5
06.04.24 Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 1-0 55% 61% -8.5 27% 29% -9.6 18% 22% -17.6
07.04.24 FK Aktobe vs FC Atyrau 1-1 58% 61% -5.8 26% 30% -13.2 16% 20% -20.4
07.04.24 FK Turan Turkestan vs Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 14% 19% -23.9 25% 28% -9.0 60% 65% -7.8
07.04.24 Shakhtyor Karaganda vs FK Astana 1-0 15% 18% -18.2 26% 28% -6.0 59% 66% -10.9
20.04.24 FC Kairat Almaty vs FK Aktobe 1-3 42% 48% -11.4 30% 32% -6.8 28% 32% -14.0
20.04.24 FC Zhenis vs FK Turan Turkestan 1-0 33% 37% -10.5 31% 33% -6.8 36% 42% -15.2
20.04.24 Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FC Atyrau 1-1 31% 36% -12.1 32% 34% -7.8 37% 43% -13.4
20.04.24 Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1-1 60% 62% -4.4 24% 28% -13.8 16% 22% -25.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 542 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Kairat Almaty 2045.44
2 Ordabasy Shymkent 2040.72
3 FK Astana 1960.75
4 FK Aktobe 1896.10
5 Yelimay Semey 1852.85
6 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1811.00
7 FC Zhenis 1810.90
8 Tobol Kostanay 1806.39
9 Irtysh Pavlodar 1774.66
10 FC Okzhetpes 1770.78
11 FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 1768.16
12 FC Atyrau 1765.90
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 1749.82
14 FK Kaspyi Aktau 1726.89
15 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1685.41
16 Altay Oskemen 1657.16

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Ordabasy Shymkent 1978.42
2 FK Astana 1895.11
3 FC Kairat Almaty 1871.20
4 Yelimay Semey 1814.86
5 Irtysh Pavlodar 1774.44
6 FK Aktobe 1758.56
7 Tobol Kostanay 1756.81
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 1743.28
9 FC Zhenis 1724.74
10 FC Okzhetpes 1717.42
11 FK Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 1708.82
12 FC Atyrau 1701.25
13 Altay Oskemen 1696.31
14 FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 1666.11
15 FK Kaspyi Aktau 1662.19
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1608.24