ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 331
Avg Goals 2.93
Avg Home 1.60
Avg Away 1.33
Home Win % 42.3%
Draw % 23.6%
Away Win % 34.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 331
Avg Brier Score 0.5272
Pick Accuracy 61.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5213
Market Brier 0.5294
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 100.0%
ROI (flat stake) 320.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 331 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit 3.20 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 100.0% 1.00 3.20 320.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.9% 0.0% 46
10–20% 15.7% 13.3% 173
20–30% 25.4% 23.8% 383
30–40% 34.5% 26.9% 93
40–50% 45.0% 58.8% 102
50–60% 54.8% 55.0% 80
60–70% 64.5% 67.8% 59
70–80% 74.3% 80.9% 47
80–90% 83.2% 100.0% 10
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
24.08.23 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Jahra 3-1 72% 82% -12.1 18% 18% -1.8 10% 11% -6.6
24.08.23 Al Naser SC vs Kazma SC 3-3 32% 38% -14.0 27% 29% -7.5 40% 45% -11.2
25.08.23 Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah 3-2 54% 59% -8.6 25% 27% -8.8 22% 26% -18.0
25.08.23 Al Qadsia vs Khaitan SC 1-1 65% 72% -10.0 20% 21% -4.6 15% 17% -15.4
26.08.23 Al Fehaheel vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 1-1 48% 54% -11.8 27% 29% -8.0 25% 29% -11.6
29.08.23 Kazma SC vs Al Kuwait SC 2-5 20% 22% -9.0 25% 27% -6.8 55% 63% -13.2
30.08.23 Al Jahra vs Al Qadsia 1-2 19% 21% -11.7 23% 25% -6.4 58% 66% -11.8
30.08.23 Al Salmiyah vs Al Naser SC 3-2 42% 49% -12.9 26% 28% -5.4 31% 36% -12.6
31.08.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Arabi 1-1 18% 20% -8.8 23% 24% -4.9 59% 67% -12.8
31.08.23 Khaitan SC vs Al Fehaheel 3-0 29% 34% -15.3 27% 30% -9.5 44% 49% -10.1
27.09.23 Al Arabi vs Khaitan SC 4-0 73% 82% -10.8 17% 17% -0.6 10% 12% -12.1
27.09.23 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Salmiyah 2-0 67% 77% -12.3 19% 19% 0.4 13% 15% -9.1
29.09.23 Kazma SC vs Al Jahra 2-1 52% 56% -8.6 25% 28% -8.6 23% 28% -17.2
30.09.23 Al Fehaheel vs Al Qadsia 0-3 24% 27% -10.0 25% 27% -5.7 50% 58% -13.2
30.09.23 Al Naser SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 4-0 46% 52% -12.0 26% 28% -5.7 28% 32% -12.6
05.10.23 Al Salmiyah vs Kazma SC 1-2 37% 42% -11.6 26% 28% -5.5 37% 43% -15.1
06.10.23 Al Jahra vs Al Fehaheel 0-0 38% 44% -15.5 28% 30% -8.1 35% 38% -8.3
06.10.23 Khaitan SC vs Al Naser SC 0-2 32% 38% -15.9 29% 32% -10.6 39% 43% -7.3
07.10.23 Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi 1-1 35% 40% -12.0 27% 29% -7.3 38% 43% -13.7
07.10.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Kuwait SC 1-4 13% 15% -13.2 19% 20% -5.0 68% 76% -10.0
20.10.23 Al Arabi vs Al Fehaheel 2-1 60% 68% -12.0 23% 24% -4.7 17% 19% -10.7
20.10.23 Al Kuwait SC vs Khaitan SC 1-1 77% 85% -9.2 15% 15% -3.3 8% 10% -14.1
21.10.23 Al Salmiyah vs Al Jahra 2-1 47% 53% -12.2 26% 28% -6.1 27% 31% -12.9
21.10.23 Kazma SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 1-2 58% 65% -10.1 23% 25% -7.0 19% 22% -15.7
22.10.23 Al Naser SC vs Al Qadsia 0-1 22% 24% -9.6 25% 27% -6.5 53% 61% -13.1
27.10.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Salmiyah 1-2 32% 36% -12.5 26% 28% -5.2 42% 48% -12.1
28.10.23 Al Fehaheel vs Al Naser SC 4-2 28% 30% -7.1 27% 29% -7.5 45% 53% -16.0
28.10.23 Al Jahra vs Al Arabi 2-3 18% 21% -14.1 23% 24% -6.9 59% 66% -10.3
29.10.23 Al Qadsia vs Al Kuwait SC 1-1 28% 30% -8.4 26% 28% -5.8 46% 55% -15.7
29.10.23 Khaitan SC vs Kazma SC 0-3 22% 25% -12.5 25% 27% -6.9 53% 60% -11.5
02.11.23 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Fehaheel 4-1 76% 84% -9.6 15% 16% -3.8 9% 10% -14.1
02.11.23 Al Naser SC vs Al Arabi 3-1 24% 26% -10.6 26% 28% -7.1 51% 58% -12.9
03.11.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Jahra 2-0 39% 44% -12.3 28% 31% -9.1 33% 37% -11.9
04.11.23 Al Salmiyah vs Khaitan SC 3-1 60% 70% -13.7 22% 23% -3.3 17% 19% -9.2
04.11.23 Kazma SC vs Al Qadsia 0-2 33% 36% -8.6 27% 29% -7.2 40% 48% -15.9
25.11.23 Al Fehaheel vs Kazma SC 3-4 25% 29% -13.1 25% 27% -6.5 50% 57% -12.7
25.11.23 Al Jahra vs Al Naser SC 0-3 27% 30% -10.6 27% 29% -7.2 46% 54% -14.2
26.11.23 Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah 1-1 51% 56% -9.8 26% 28% -7.9 23% 28% -15.6
26.11.23 Khaitan SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 1-4 30% 34% -11.1 27% 29% -7.2 43% 49% -12.7
03.12.23 Al Arabi vs Al Kuwait SC 3-0 28% 32% -12.0 28% 30% -8.8 44% 50% -12.1
05.12.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Qadsia 0-4 22% 24% -9.3 26% 29% -8.3 52% 60% -13.2
05.12.23 Khaitan SC vs Al Jahra 0-0 40% 48% -15.4 28% 31% -8.6 32% 34% -8.4
06.12.23 Al Salmiyah vs Al Fehaheel 0-0 58% 67% -13.3 23% 24% -3.9 18% 20% -8.1
07.12.23 Al Arabi vs Kazma SC 4-0 48% 55% -11.2 26% 28% -7.2 26% 30% -15.1
07.12.23 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Naser SC 2-1 61% 68% -9.8 22% 24% -7.5 17% 20% -16.8
14.12.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Fehaheel 0-2 44% 50% -11.9 27% 29% -7.9 29% 33% -13.5
14.12.23 Khaitan SC vs Al Qadsia 0-3 13% 14% -9.1 20% 21% -4.6 67% 76% -12.1
15.12.23 Al Jahra vs Al Kuwait SC 2-3 11% 13% -13.4 18% 19% -5.8 71% 78% -9.3
15.12.23 Kazma SC vs Al Naser SC 0-2 40% 44% -9.9 27% 29% -7.8 33% 39% -16.3
23.12.23 Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra 2-1 72% 78% -7.3 18% 21% -13.1 9% 12% -19.6
24.12.23 Al Fehaheel vs Khaitan SC 1-0 49% 56% -13.6 26% 28% -6.3 25% 29% -10.9
24.12.23 Al Kuwait SC vs Kazma SC 6-0 63% 72% -11.9 21% 22% -4.3 15% 17% -11.8
25.12.23 Al Arabi vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 1-0 73% 81% -9.8 17% 17% -3.9 11% 12% -15.8
25.12.23 Al Naser SC vs Al Salmiyah 1-1 41% 47% -12.4 27% 29% -6.1 32% 37% -12.4
29.12.23 Al Qadsia vs Al Fehaheel 2-1 64% 69% -7.5 21% 24% -10.9 15% 18% -19.9
29.12.23 Khaitan SC vs Al Arabi 0-4 9% 11% -14.2 17% 18% -8.1 74% 81% -9.0
30.12.23 Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait SC 2-2 17% 20% -15.4 23% 26% -9.7 60% 66% -9.5
30.12.23 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Naser SC 0-1 24% 26% -9.6 25% 27% -5.6 51% 60% -14.2
31.12.23 Al Jahra vs Kazma SC 0-2 26% 31% -16.1 26% 28% -7.6 49% 53% -9.3
02.01.24 Al Arabi vs Al Qadsia 2-2 45% 49% -7.6 28% 31% -9.7 27% 32% -15.9
03.01.24 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 6-0 80% 87% -8.2 13% 14% -5.8 7% 8% -16.0
03.01.24 Al Naser SC vs Khaitan SC 1-1 68% 76% -10.5 20% 21% -6.3 13% 15% -14.7
04.01.24 Al Fehaheel vs Al Jahra 2-0 48% 55% -12.4 27% 30% -9.3 25% 28% -11.3
04.01.24 Kazma SC vs Al Salmiyah 0-0 37% 42% -11.2 27% 29% -6.2 36% 42% -14.2
07.01.24 Al Qadsia vs Al Naser SC 1-0 57% 64% -11.1 24% 26% -6.9 19% 23% -14.2
07.01.24 Khaitan SC vs Al Kuwait SC 0-1 8% 11% -22.5 14% 15% -11.2 78% 84% -7.2
08.01.24 Al Fehaheel vs Al Arabi 1-2 18% 22% -17.2 22% 23% -6.3 60% 66% -9.4
08.01.24 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Kazma SC 1-0 24% 27% -10.6 25% 27% -6.1 51% 58% -13.2
09.01.24 Al Jahra vs Al Salmiyah 1-2 21% 24% -11.8 25% 27% -7.3 54% 61% -11.0
11.02.24 Al Naser SC vs Al Fehaheel 1-2 47% 53% -12.0 27% 29% -8.7 26% 30% -13.8
12.02.24 Al Arabi vs Al Jahra 6-0 76% 82% -7.8 16% 17% -8.4 8% 10% -17.3
12.02.24 Al Salmiyah vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 1-0 53% 61% -11.9 25% 27% -6.9 21% 24% -12.1
13.02.24 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Qadsia 1-0 47% 53% -11.2 26% 29% -7.5 27% 31% -14.3
13.02.24 Kazma SC vs Khaitan SC 0-0 59% 65% -10.0 24% 26% -8.3 18% 21% -15.2
16.02.24 Al Jahra vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 5-0 20% 22% -6.4 25% 26% -5.6 55% 64% -13.9
17.02.24 Al Arabi vs Al Naser SC 6-3 59% 65% -9.3 24% 27% -9.8 17% 20% -14.4
17.02.24 Khaitan SC vs Al Salmiyah 0-0 17% 19% -11.1 25% 28% -10.5 58% 65% -10.9
18.02.24 Al Fehaheel vs Al Kuwait SC 1-1 16% 19% -16.7 20% 21% -5.4 64% 71% -10.1
18.02.24 Al Qadsia vs Kazma SC 0-0 56% 62% -8.5 24% 26% -8.2 20% 24% -18.2
01.03.24 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Khaitan SC 1-2 49% 54% -9.1 26% 29% -9.9 24% 29% -17.1
02.03.24 Al Naser SC vs Al Jahra 2-0 65% 71% -8.8 21% 23% -9.0 14% 17% -17.7
02.03.24 Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia 0-1 28% 31% -11.0 28% 31% -9.6 44% 50% -12.1
03.03.24 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Arabi 2-1 45% 51% -11.5 28% 31% -10.0 26% 30% -12.6
03.03.24 Kazma SC vs Al Fehaheel 1-1 41% 44% -8.0 29% 32% -10.0 30% 35% -14.3
07.03.24 Al Fehaheel vs Al Salmiyah 4-1 39% 47% -15.3 28% 30% -8.0 33% 36% -8.3
07.03.24 Al Qadsia vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 7-0 68% 75% -8.9 19% 21% -8.4 12% 15% -17.4
08.03.24 Al Naser SC vs Al Kuwait SC 0-2 19% 22% -13.7 23% 25% -6.8 58% 65% -10.9
08.03.24 Kazma SC vs Al Arabi 0-1 21% 23% -10.0 24% 25% -4.6 55% 64% -13.1
12.03.24 Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah 4-2 56% 63% -11.2 25% 28% -8.8 18% 21% -11.2
13.03.24 Al Arabi vs Al Naser SC 3-1 60% 68% -12.0 23% 24% -6.5 17% 20% -13.4
13.03.24 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Fehaheel 1-1 63% 69% -9.7 22% 24% -7.8 15% 18% -15.4
05.05.24 Kazma SC vs Al Jahra 7-3 62% 67% -7.7 22% 24% -10.2 17% 21% -20.4
05.05.24 Khaitan SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 0-1 38% 44% -14.5 28% 31% -8.7 34% 38% -10.1
06.05.24 Al Fehaheel vs Al Kuwait SC 0-2 9% 9% 1.3 16% 15% 3.6 75% 85% -12.0
07.05.24 Al Naser SC vs Al Arabi 0-4 12% 13% -4.1 19% 19% -0.5 69% 79% -13.5
07.05.24 Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia 0-0 23% 26% -12.8 25% 27% -6.7 52% 60% -12.4
11.05.24 Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah 1-0 69% 76% -9.2 19% 21% -8.1 12% 14% -16.0
11.05.24 Al Kuwait SC vs Al Naser SC 5-1 81% 88% -7.2 13% 14% -11.8 6% 8% -21.5
12.05.24 Al Qadsia vs Al Fehaheel 0-2 65% 72% -9.3 20% 22% -8.0 14% 17% -17.7
13.05.24 Al Jahra vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 0-2 42% 50% -15.2 26% 27% -4.2 32% 35% -9.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 331 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Qadsia 2061.30
2 Al Kuwait SC 1851.22
3 Al Arabi 1766.26
4 Kazma SC 1746.18
5 Al Salmiyah 1698.05
6 Al Fehaheel 1634.42
7 Al Naser SC 1574.19
8 Al Sahel 1540.38
9 Al Salibikhaet 1510.94
10 Al Tadhamon 1448.76
11 Al Shabab Ahmadi 1445.29
12 Al Jahra 1423.48

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Arabi 1831.24
2 Al Qadsia 1789.62
3 Al Kuwait SC 1758.42
4 Al Salmiyah 1728.57
5 Kazma SC 1719.38
6 Al Naser SC 1648.34
7 Al Fehaheel 1630.86
8 Al Sahel 1469.22
9 Al Shabab Ahmadi 1452.60
10 Al Tadhamon 1451.84
11 Al Jahra 1445.25
12 Al Salibikhaet 1436.04