ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 107
Avg Goals 2.92
Avg Home 1.47
Avg Away 1.45
Home Win % 35.5%
Draw % 29.0%
Away Win % 35.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 107
Avg Brier Score 0.5776
Pick Accuracy 49.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5965
Market Brier 0.5808
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 107 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.7% 5.0% 20
10–20% 15.1% 13.3% 30
20–30% 26.5% 26.2% 103
30–40% 33.4% 33.3% 90
40–50% 43.9% 48.6% 35
50–60% 54.2% 53.3% 15
60–70% 65.5% 61.5% 13
70–80% 74.2% 72.7% 11
80–90% 84.7% 100.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
27.08.23 Al Sahel vs Al Tadhamon 1-1 43% 45% -5.5 28% 30% -8.2 29% 37% -21.0
31.08.23 Al Tadhamon vs Al Salibikhaet 1-0 85% 88% -4.2 10% 13% -25.8 5% 8% -31.1
31.08.23 Burgan SC vs Al Sahel 2-2 14% 17% -17.4 26% 25% 5.9 59% 68% -13.6
28.09.23 Burgan SC vs Al Tadhamon 2-3 24% 31% -22.4 30% 31% -2.4 46% 51% -9.7
04.10.23 Al Salibikhaet vs Burgan SC 0-2 24% 30% -20.5 30% 31% -1.6 46% 51% -11.0
04.10.23 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Sahel 2-1 33% 37% -11.6 30% 31% -2.9 37% 44% -15.9
25.10.23 Al Sahel vs Al Salibikhaet 4-2 77% 78% -0.7 15% 21% -28.8 8% 12% -32.6
26.10.23 Al Tadhamon vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 1-1 38% 44% -14.1 30% 31% -4.0 32% 36% -12.6
21.12.23 Al Sahel vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 1-1 40% 45% -11.9 30% 32% -6.7 30% 35% -14.9
22.12.23 Burgan SC vs Al Salibikhaet 1-2 62% 62% -1.4 22% 27% -19.0 16% 23% -27.4
31.12.23 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Sahel 0-2 13% 17% -27.4 21% 19% 12.6 66% 75% -11.7
31.12.23 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Tadhamon 2-1 34% 38% -12.7 31% 33% -5.8 35% 41% -14.2
14.02.24 Al Sahel vs Al Tadhamon 0-3 39% 48% -17.3 30% 31% -3.9 31% 34% -9.8
14.02.24 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Burgan SC 2-1 66% 68% -3.7 20% 25% -18.2 14% 18% -25.4
19.02.24 Al Tadhamon vs Al Salibikhaet 3-3 76% 78% -1.7 16% 22% -27.6 8% 12% -31.4
19.02.24 Burgan SC vs Al Sahel 1-2 22% 29% -21.5 29% 29% -0.4 48% 55% -12.2
27.02.24 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 0-1 11% 15% -28.3 23% 22% 3.5 66% 74% -10.3
27.02.24 Burgan SC vs Al Tadhamon 1-1 24% 24% -0.2 27% 27% 3.0 49% 62% -21.0
04.03.24 Al Salibikhaet vs Burgan SC 0-2 29% 36% -19.9 30% 30% -1.0 41% 47% -10.9
04.03.24 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Sahel 1-1 38% 42% -11.1 28% 29% -1.8 34% 42% -17.3
14.03.24 Al Sahel vs Al Salibikhaet 1-1 76% 77% -1.2 15% 21% -27.7 9% 13% -32.1
14.03.24 Al Tadhamon vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 1-1 42% 42% -0.3 27% 29% -8.7 32% 42% -24.2
09.05.24 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Sahel 1-1 12% 16% -26.0 25% 24% 2.2 63% 71% -10.8
09.05.24 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Tadhamon 3-0 33% 35% -6.3 31% 33% -6.8 36% 44% -18.3
18.08.24 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 0-1 13% 18% -28.8 26% 26% -1.9 61% 67% -8.8
11.01.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Burgan SC 0-2 22% 29% -24.8 29% 29% 0.1 49% 55% -9.8
16.01.25 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Salibikhaet 2-2 71% 70% 0.1 18% 24% -26.0 11% 17% -31.4
23.01.25 Al Jahra vs Al Sahel 3-1 40% 45% -13.0 29% 30% -3.6 31% 36% -14.0
23.01.25 Burgan SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 0-2 25% 31% -21.1 31% 31% -2.2 45% 50% -10.4
27.01.25 Al Sahel vs Burgan SC 3-1 50% 54% -7.2 28% 31% -11.3 22% 27% -18.2
27.01.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Jahra 2-2 13% 17% -20.3 25% 23% 8.0 62% 71% -13.5
03.02.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Sahel 3-1 21% 26% -21.8 29% 29% -0.4 50% 56% -11.3
11.02.25 Al Sahel vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 1-2 40% 49% -18.0 29% 29% -1.6 31% 34% -10.0
11.02.25 Burgan SC vs Al Salibikhaet 1-0 35% 34% 2.4 28% 29% -6.1 37% 49% -24.0
16.02.25 Al Jahra vs Burgan SC 2-2 55% 55% -0.3 25% 31% -17.6 20% 27% -25.6
27.02.25 Al Jahra vs Al Salibikhaet 1-3 55% 54% 2.3 23% 29% -18.7 21% 30% -29.1
27.02.25 Burgan SC vs Al Sahel 0-0 29% 36% -19.7 30% 30% -1.0 41% 47% -11.1
06.04.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Burgan SC 1-1 39% 43% -7.9 29% 31% -5.7 31% 38% -16.9
06.04.25 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Sahel 1-1 37% 42% -12.7 30% 32% -5.7 33% 38% -14.9
15.04.25 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Al Salibikhaet 2-2 51% 52% -1.5 26% 29% -13.0 23% 31% -24.1
15.04.25 Burgan SC vs Al Jahra 2-0 26% 32% -18.6 30% 30% -1.0 44% 50% -12.5
20.04.25 Al Jahra vs Al Sahel 1-0 34% 38% -12.7 30% 31% -3.2 37% 43% -15.7
20.04.25 Burgan SC vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 3-0 30% 36% -18.4 31% 32% -3.6 39% 44% -11.7
29.04.25 Al Sahel vs Burgan SC 0-2 44% 44% -0.3 28% 31% -10.4 28% 36% -22.7
29.04.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Jahra 1-1 37% 43% -14.7 30% 31% -3.5 33% 38% -13.7
03.05.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Sahel 1-1 44% 50% -12.3 28% 29% -4.8 28% 33% -15.6
07.05.25 Al Sahel vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 0-0 29% 33% -11.7 30% 31% -2.8 40% 48% -15.7
07.05.25 Burgan SC vs Al Salibikhaet 2-2 40% 47% -13.1 30% 32% -6.3 29% 34% -13.4
12.05.25 Al Jahra vs Burgan SC 3-0 40% 44% -9.5 29% 31% -6.0 30% 36% -16.4
12.05.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Shabab Ahmadi 3-0 31% 36% -15.9 31% 32% -4.0 38% 44% -13.5
15.05.25 Al Sahel vs Al Jahra 0-2 27% 30% -10.6 29% 29% -0.4 44% 53% -17.1
15.05.25 Al Shabab Ahmadi vs Burgan SC 3-2 45% 47% -2.3 28% 31% -11.2 27% 34% -22.3
18.05.25 Al Jahra vs Al Salibikhaet 1-1 24% 26% -7.7 26% 24% 9.2 50% 62% -19.0
18.05.25 Burgan SC vs Al Sahel 0-1 40% 41% -1.8 28% 31% -9.2 32% 41% -22.7
14.09.25 Al Sahel vs Khaitan SC 0-0 37% 44% -16.1 31% 32% -5.0 32% 36% -11.7
15.09.25 Burgan SC vs Al Jazira 0-0 31% 39% -20.0 33% 35% -6.3 36% 38% -7.1
21.09.25 Al Sahel vs Burgan SC 0-0 43% 47% -7.7 30% 33% -10.5 27% 33% -18.4
22.09.25 Al Jazira vs Sporty FC 3-0 37% 47% -20.3 31% 32% -3.5 32% 33% -4.7
22.09.25 Al Shamiya FC vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 0-2 27% 24% 9.1 29% 29% -2.7 45% 58% -23.0
29.09.25 Al Shamiya FC vs Al Jazira 0-3 19% 21% -9.8 28% 28% 2.5 53% 64% -17.2
29.09.25 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Khaitan SC 2-0 40% 49% -17.2 30% 32% -5.5 29% 32% -9.6
29.09.25 Burgan SC vs Al Salibikhaet 3-0 28% 31% -10.5 31% 32% -3.8 41% 49% -16.0
29.09.25 Sporty FC vs Al Sahel 0-2 19% 17% 11.7 27% 25% 7.0 55% 69% -21.3
04.10.25 Al Sahel vs Al Shamiya FC 3-1 56% 55% 2.9 24% 30% -19.8 19% 27% -28.0
04.10.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Sporty FC 2-0 78% 78% -0.4 16% 23% -31.6 7% 10% -33.6
20.10.25 Al Jazira vs Al Sahel 1-4 52% 57% -9.5 27% 30% -9.4 21% 24% -14.6
20.10.25 Al Shamiya FC vs Sporty FC 2-1 50% 48% 5.0 27% 33% -18.5 23% 31% -26.8
20.10.25 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Salibikhaet 1-0 33% 44% -25.5 31% 32% -3.6 36% 36% -1.6
20.10.25 Khaitan SC vs Burgan SC 2-0 37% 41% -8.6 31% 33% -7.7 32% 38% -17.0
26.10.25 Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC 4-2 67% 67% -0.6 22% 29% -23.2 11% 15% -26.4
26.10.25 Sporty FC vs Khaitan SC 0-1 7% 9% -18.9 24% 23% 3.8 69% 78% -11.7
27.10.25 Al Jazira vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 1-3 22% 24% -10.9 31% 31% -1.9 48% 56% -15.7
27.10.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Sahel 0-1 39% 43% -7.5 30% 33% -9.0 30% 37% -18.2
03.11.25 Al Jazira vs Al Salibikhaet 2-0 37% 45% -18.7 29% 29% 0.3 34% 38% -10.6
03.11.25 Al Sahel vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 2-1 39% 39% -0.9 31% 36% -12.4 30% 38% -20.9
03.11.25 Al Shamiya FC vs Khaitan SC 1-3 15% 19% -22.1 27% 26% 3.6 59% 67% -12.1
03.11.25 Sporty FC vs Burgan SC 1-2 8% 10% -22.0 24% 23% 3.8 69% 78% -12.2
21.12.25 Al Shamiya FC vs Al Salibikhaet 1-6 16% 22% -28.9 26% 26% -0.6 58% 63% -8.3
21.12.25 Khaitan SC vs Al Sahel 0-2 35% 38% -7.3 32% 35% -8.6 33% 40% -17.1
22.12.25 Al Jazira vs Burgan SC 3-3 42% 48% -12.5 30% 32% -6.5 28% 32% -12.7
22.12.25 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Sporty FC 3-0 81% 81% -0.7 13% 20% -33.3 6% 9% -35.0
30.12.25 Al Jazira vs Sporty FC 3-2 77% 78% -0.6 15% 21% -30.2 8% 12% -33.7
30.12.25 Al Shamiya FC vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 1-7 8% 11% -27.0 21% 20% 6.5 70% 79% -11.3
30.12.25 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Shamiya FC 7-1 86% 88% -3.0 10% 14% -30.8 5% 7% -33.4
30.12.25 Sporty FC vs Al Jazira 3-2 10% 13% -26.2 23% 22% 5.1 67% 76% -11.8
31.12.25 Al Sahel vs Burgan SC 2-1 56% 60% -7.1 25% 29% -11.6 19% 23% -18.7
31.12.25 Al Salibikhaet vs Khaitan SC 3-2 47% 50% -6.4 28% 31% -10.2 25% 31% -19.5
31.12.25 Khaitan SC vs Al Salibikhaet 2-3 33% 38% -13.5 30% 31% -3.0 37% 43% -15.2
15.01.26 Al Jazira vs Al Shamiya FC 2-1 87% 92% -4.6 9% 13% -27.0 3% 4% -28.9
15.01.26 Khaitan SC vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 1-2 26% 32% -19.5 31% 32% -3.0 43% 48% -10.2
16.01.26 Al Sahel vs Sporty FC 2-1 75% 74% 1.4 16% 24% -31.2 9% 14% -34.2
16.01.26 Al Salibikhaet vs Burgan SC 3-1 48% 50% -4.2 28% 32% -13.6 24% 31% -22.5
22.01.26 Burgan SC vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 0-1 18% 22% -18.5 28% 28% 1.8 54% 62% -13.6
22.01.26 Sporty FC vs Al Salibikhaet 0-1 11% 15% -25.3 23% 22% 6.8 66% 75% -11.9
23.01.26 Al Jazira vs Khaitan SC 0-1 35% 39% -10.5 30% 31% -3.9 35% 43% -16.9
04.02.26 Al Salibikhaet vs Al Yarmouk Mishref 2-2 32% 41% -21.2 32% 33% -4.5 36% 38% -6.4
04.02.26 Burgan SC vs Khaitan SC 1-1 34% 36% -5.2 30% 31% -5.2 37% 45% -19.6
05.02.26 Al Sahel vs Al Jazira 1-3 44% 49% -8.9 30% 32% -8.4 26% 31% -15.4
05.02.26 Sporty FC vs Al Shamiya FC 1-2 27% 38% -29.2 30% 31% -3.8 43% 43% -0.6
20.02.26 Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Al Jazira 3-3 46% 49% -4.9 27% 30% -9.8 26% 33% -21.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 107 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

6 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Yarmouk Mishref 1540.78
2 Al Jazira 1457.36
3 Burgan SC 1431.73
4 Khaitan SC 1361.31
5 Sporty FC 1045.83
6 Al Shamiya FC 1038.58

Away Ratings

6 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Yarmouk Mishref 1612.68
2 Al Jazira 1497.98
3 Khaitan SC 1484.74
4 Burgan SC 1311.30
5 Al Shamiya FC 1126.86
6 Sporty FC 1122.17