ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 89
Avg Goals 2.69
Avg Home 1.29
Avg Away 1.39
Home Win % 33.7%
Draw % 16.9%
Away Win % 49.4%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 89
Avg Brier Score 0.5395
Pick Accuracy 56.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5496
Market Brier 0.5414
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 11
Value Bet Hit Rate 27.3%
ROI (flat stake) 49.1%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 90.9% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 10 of 89 matches had at least one · staked 11.00, profit 5.40 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 10 30.0% 10.00 6.40 64.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.6% 0.0% 4
10–20% 16.0% 3.1% 32
20–30% 25.2% 20.8% 101
30–40% 35.8% 37.9% 66
40–50% 44.4% 56.7% 30
50–60% 54.4% 61.5% 13
60–70% 64.1% 73.3% 15
70–80% 72.9% 100.0% 4
80–90% 82.4% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
25.09.23 Dordoi Bishkek vs Abdish-Ata Kant 1-1 35% 37% -5.9 25% 29% -14.2 40% 45% -12.2
28.09.23 FC Talant vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 2-0 45% 59% -23.2 23% 26% -12.9 32% 27% 19.6
29.09.23 Alga Bishkek vs Abdish-Ata Kant 1-2 27% 29% -6.0 23% 27% -13.0 50% 57% -12.6
29.09.23 Dordoi Bishkek vs FK Kara-Balta 2-1 85% 96% -11.8 9% 7% 26.5 6% 4% 51.8
03.10.23 Dordoi Bishkek vs Muras United FC 2-1 48% 55% -12.0 25% 29% -14.7 27% 28% -4.3
19.10.23 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Muras United FC 3-1 57% 70% -17.9 21% 23% -7.6 22% 19% 13.2
22.10.23 FC Talant vs Abdish-Ata Kant 2-3 7% 7% 5.6 13% 14% -8.3 80% 88% -9.5
09.05.24 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Alga Bishkek 5-0 68% 76% -11.6 18% 20% -8.6 14% 14% -0.5
10.05.24 FC Talant vs FC Ilbirs 0-2 51% 62% -18.9 24% 27% -11.8 26% 23% 13.7
14.05.24 Dordoi Bishkek vs Abdish-Ata Kant 3-0 30% 34% -11.7 25% 29% -15.3 45% 49% -7.4
25.05.24 FC Talant vs Muras United FC 0-4 34% 43% -21.3 25% 31% -17.9 41% 38% 5.4
26.05.24 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Alga Bishkek 0-1 35% 39% -9.5 26% 31% -15.5 38% 42% -8.8
06.07.24 Oshmu-Aldiyer vs Muras United FC 1-2 26% 28% -8.2 23% 27% -14.1 51% 58% -11.3
11.08.24 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek 1-0 43% 54% -19.7 24% 28% -13.5 33% 30% 7.5
12.08.24 FC Ilbirs vs Muras United FC 0-1 12% 12% -2.7 16% 17% -9.6 72% 81% -10.8
16.08.24 Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Bishkek 2-0 61% 71% -14.3 21% 24% -10.8 18% 17% 5.3
20.08.24 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 1-3 41% 47% -11.0 26% 30% -15.3 33% 36% -7.8
21.08.24 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Dordoi Bishkek 4-0 46% 53% -13.7 25% 29% -14.8 29% 30% -4.1
21.08.24 Alga Bishkek vs FC Ilbirs 1-2 46% 51% -9.4 26% 31% -15.7 28% 31% -8.1
24.08.24 FC Ilbirs vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 1-2 34% 42% -18.5 25% 29% -16.2 41% 42% -0.6
19.09.24 Dordoi Bishkek vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 2-1 72% 83% -14.2 16% 15% 1.4 13% 11% 12.7
23.09.24 Alga Bishkek vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 0-2 50% 59% -15.0 25% 29% -13.6 25% 24% 3.7
24.09.24 FC Talant vs Dordoi Bishkek 0-2 11% 13% -12.9 17% 20% -16.8 72% 78% -7.0
30.09.24 Dordoi Bishkek vs FC Kyrgyzaltyn 0-0 63% 74% -14.9 21% 23% -9.8 16% 14% 12.8
13.10.24 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Ilbirs 0-1 37% 39% -4.5 27% 32% -17.0 36% 42% -14.1
16.10.24 Alga Bishkek vs FC Talant 0-0 40% 45% -11.7 26% 30% -15.0 34% 36% -6.3
22.10.24 FC Talant vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 0-1 42% 50% -16.5 26% 31% -16.1 32% 31% 2.5
30.10.24 Alga Bishkek vs Dordoi Bishkek 0-1 13% 12% 2.2 20% 23% -14.2 68% 76% -10.6
02.11.24 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant 1-0 36% 39% -8.8 27% 33% -17.8 37% 41% -9.8
05.11.24 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Dordoi Bishkek 1-0 49% 58% -15.8 23% 26% -11.7 28% 28% 0.1
21.11.24 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 0-0 37% 41% -9.5 26% 31% -16.1 37% 41% -9.7
27.03.25 FC Asiagoal Bishkek vs FC Ilbirs 1-2 33% 32% 2.8 30% 36% -18.8 37% 43% -14.2
26.04.25 FC Bishkek City vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 1-1 19% 17% 8.3 20% 22% -7.8 61% 72% -15.0
12.05.25 FC Bishkek City vs Alga Bishkek 3-1 36% 39% -7.0 26% 31% -15.6 38% 43% -11.8
16.05.25 Alga Bishkek vs FC Ozgon 1-2 33% 41% -19.1 27% 33% -19.0 40% 38% 4.0
22.05.25 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Alga Bishkek 0-1 38% 42% -9.2 26% 30% -15.4 37% 41% -10.5
11.06.25 FC Asiagoal Bishkek vs FC Bishkek City 1-0 46% 50% -8.3 26% 31% -16.5 28% 32% -11.7
12.06.25 FC Talant vs FC Ozgon 1-0 35% 42% -16.8 26% 31% -16.3 39% 39% -0.1
13.06.25 Alga Bishkek vs Bars Issyk-Kul 1-2 19% 20% -7.2 22% 26% -15.1 60% 66% -9.9
22.06.25 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant 0-2 38% 42% -9.5 28% 34% -18.2 34% 36% -7.5
02.07.25 Alga Bishkek vs FC Ilbirs 2-1 40% 45% -12.3 27% 32% -16.8 33% 35% -5.1
03.07.25 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Bars Issyk-Kul 1-2 38% 39% -3.8 27% 32% -17.1 36% 42% -14.8
03.07.25 Dordoi Bishkek vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 3-2 54% 63% -14.4 24% 29% -14.7 21% 21% 2.9
26.07.25 FC Talant vs FC Kyrgyzaltyn 2-0 41% 48% -13.9 27% 32% -16.4 32% 32% -0.7
01.08.25 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Abdish-Ata Kant 2-6 16% 17% -4.1 24% 29% -18.5 60% 65% -8.2
02.08.25 FC Bishkek City vs FC Asiagoal Bishkek 2-3 38% 44% -13.9 27% 32% -16.4 35% 35% -0.9
09.08.25 Alga Bishkek vs FC Kyrgyzaltyn 6-0 39% 48% -17.3 25% 29% -14.1 36% 36% 1.0
09.08.25 FC Talant vs FC Bishkek City 0-3 55% 68% -19.3 21% 23% -7.7 23% 20% 16.9
15.08.25 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 2-4 33% 37% -9.6 27% 32% -16.4 40% 43% -7.0
22.09.25 FC Talant vs Abdish-Ata Kant 1-2 12% 12% -2.3 20% 24% -16.9 68% 75% -9.1
07.10.25 Dordoi Bishkek vs FC Asiagoal Bishkek 2-1 76% 88% -13.9 17% 17% -4.2 8% 4% 78.9
13.10.25 Alga Bishkek vs Dordoi Bishkek 1-3 15% 17% -11.1 23% 29% -20.6 62% 65% -5.4
05.11.25 Dordoi Bishkek vs Abdish-Ata Kant 0-1 37% 43% -12.3 27% 32% -16.7 36% 38% -5.1
01.03.26 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs FC Ozgon 1-2 34% 40% -14.4 27% 32% -17.1 39% 40% -2.4
02.03.26 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Oshmu-Aldiyer 0-0 28% 29% -5.7 24% 28% -13.6 48% 55% -12.2
03.03.26 Alga Bishkek vs FC Talant 2-1 35% 42% -16.1 25% 30% -16.0 39% 40% -2.1
03.03.26 FC Bishkek City vs Bars Issyk-Kul 1-2 18% 19% -4.6 19% 21% -9.5 63% 71% -11.5
13.03.26 Dordoi Bishkek vs FC Bishkek City 1-3 64% 74% -14.1 21% 23% -9.5 16% 14% 10.5
13.03.26 FC Ilbirs vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 2-1 37% 43% -15.1 25% 29% -15.1 38% 40% -4.8
14.03.26 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Muras United FC 1-2 34% 35% -3.2 25% 29% -14.3 41% 48% -14.2
15.03.26 FC Asiagoal Bishkek vs FC Talant 1-1 33% 40% -17.0 25% 29% -15.7 42% 43% -1.3
18.03.26 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Ilbirs 0-2 43% 50% -13.9 25% 29% -14.7 32% 33% -4.5
23.03.26 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Muras United FC 1-2 14% 13% 7.7 20% 22% -11.9 67% 76% -12.8
05.04.26 Dordoi Bishkek vs Bars Issyk-Kul 1-2 38% 42% -7.9 27% 32% -16.6 35% 38% -9.8
18.04.26 FC Talant vs Abdish-Ata Kant 0-2 31% 38% -16.9 26% 31% -17.5 43% 43% -1.5
01.05.26 FC Talant vs FC Toktogul 1-0 38% 44% -15.6 26% 31% -16.1 36% 36% -0.3
02.05.26 FC Ilbirs vs Muras United FC 0-2 14% 15% -6.0 19% 22% -14.4 67% 74% -9.5
09.05.26 FC Bishkek City vs FC Talant 0-0 32% 38% -15.8 26% 31% -17.3 42% 43% -3.9
11.05.26 FC Asia Talas vs FC Ozgon 4-2 32% 36% -10.7 25% 29% -15.2 43% 48% -9.4
15.05.26 FC Asiagoal Bishkek vs Alga Bishkek 1-2 24% 26% -7.5 25% 29% -15.9 52% 56% -8.8
15.05.26 FC Bishkek City vs FC Kyrgyzaltyn 2-0 52% 62% -16.3 25% 29% -13.3 24% 21% 11.8
16.05.26 Dordoi Bishkek vs FC Ozgon 0-2 47% 53% -12.4 26% 31% -15.8 28% 29% -3.8
27.05.26 Alga Bishkek vs FC Bishkek City 3-1 48% 58% -17.6 26% 30% -15.2 27% 24% 9.4
28.05.26 FC Ilbirs vs Abdish-Ata Kant 1-1 26% 31% -17.2 24% 29% -16.9 50% 52% -2.8
10.06.26 FC Asiagoal Bishkek vs FC Toktogul 2-0 34% 43% -20.1 26% 31% -17.7 40% 38% 4.8
11.06.26 Abdish-Ata Kant vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 2-0 44% 50% -12.4 25% 29% -13.9 32% 34% -6.8
20.06.26 FC Ilbirs vs FC Talant 0-0 32% 39% -17.1 28% 34% -19.1 40% 38% 3.0
02.07.26 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs Dordoi Bishkek 1-2 15% 16% -6.0 22% 27% -17.5 63% 68% -8.1
04.07.26 FC Bishkek City vs FC Toktogul 1-1 38% 47% -18.7 26% 31% -16.7 36% 34% 4.9
07.07.26 FC Asia Talas vs Abdish-Ata Kant 4-0 50% 60% -17.0 24% 28% -12.8 26% 24% 8.3
07.07.26 FC Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant 0-0 13% 12% 4.0 20% 24% -14.7 67% 75% -10.6
08.07.26 Alga Bishkek vs Dordoi Bishkek 1-1 40% 50% -20.1 27% 33% -18.6 33% 30% 8.6
10.07.26 FC Asiagoal Bishkek vs Bars Issyk-Kul 3-7 19% 21% -10.4 23% 29% -17.9 58% 62% -6.8
10.07.26 FC Bishkek City vs Muras United FC 1-5 18% 20% -11.9 22% 26% -17.4 61% 66% -7.8
10.07.26 FC Ilbirs vs FC Ozgon 0-1 27% 31% -13.9 26% 31% -17.9 47% 50% -5.2
24.07.26 Muras United FC vs FC Bishkek City 0-0 59% 68% -14.4 21% 23% -9.1 20% 20% 1.9
25.07.26 FC Talant vs FC Kyrgyzaltyn 6-1 58% 66% -11.8 24% 29% -15.9 18% 17% 1.0
26.07.26 Abdish-Ata Kant vs FC Asia Talas 1-1 28% 32% -12.6 26% 31% -17.7 46% 50% -7.8
26.07.26 Dordoi Bishkek vs Alga Bishkek 1-2 30% 33% -10.0 28% 34% -18.3 42% 45% -6.9

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Dordoi Bishkek 1718.46
2 Muras United FC 1680.28
3 Alga Bishkek 1676.59
4 FC Asia Talas 1641.53
5 Bars Issyk-Kul 1600.00
6 FC Ozgon 1600.00
7 FC Talant 1586.59
8 Abdish-Ata Kant 1581.61
9 FC Ilbirs 1535.73
10 Alay Osh 1524.17
11 FC Bishkek City 1507.72
12 FC Toktogul 1506.78
13 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 1502.57
14 FC Asiagoal Bishkek 1450.06
15 Oshmu-Aldiyer 1449.06
16 FC Kyrgyzaltyn 1306.34

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Muras United FC 1900.34
2 Bars Issyk-Kul 1703.34
3 FC Ozgon 1654.24
4 FC Asia Talas 1633.43
5 Alga Bishkek 1630.03
6 FC Talant 1627.66
7 Dordoi Bishkek 1587.72
8 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 1531.97
9 Oshmu-Aldiyer 1489.82
10 FC Toktogul 1468.86
11 Abdish-Ata Kant 1462.20
12 FC Bishkek City 1444.73
13 Alay Osh 1393.40
14 FC Asiagoal Bishkek 1370.69
15 FC Ilbirs 1361.30
16 FC Kyrgyzaltyn 1255.30