ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 536
Avg Goals 2.49
Avg Home 1.32
Avg Away 1.18
Home Win % 38.6%
Draw % 27.6%
Away Win % 33.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 536
Avg Brier Score 0.6069
Pick Accuracy 50.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6071
Market Brier 0.6062
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 536 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.3% 0.0% 36
10–20% 15.8% 15.7% 235
20–30% 25.7% 28.7% 666
30–40% 34.7% 32.6% 221
40–50% 44.8% 44.1% 179
50–60% 55.0% 51.2% 129
60–70% 64.7% 55.8% 95
70–80% 74.3% 79.1% 43
80–90% 81.9% 100.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
18.07.23 FK Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 17% 19% -9.4 23% 26% -10.8 60% 67% -10.8
21.07.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Suduva Marijampole 4-0 69% 74% -7.1 19% 22% -13.3 12% 16% -22.8
22.07.23 Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 27% 30% -11.1 27% 31% -12.2 46% 50% -8.8
23.07.23 FK Dziugas vs FK Riteriai 2-2 32% 38% -15.7 27% 31% -12.8 41% 44% -7.9
24.07.23 FK Panevezys vs FK Siauliai 2-0 43% 50% -14.1 28% 31% -11.1 29% 31% -5.0
25.07.23 FK Banga Gargzdai vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 0-3 18% 20% -12.2 23% 26% -12.3 59% 66% -10.4
28.07.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Siauliai 1-2 25% 30% -15.9 26% 30% -13.3 48% 52% -6.9
29.07.23 FK Dziugas vs FK Suduva Marijampole 1-1 34% 40% -14.1 29% 33% -13.4 37% 39% -6.3
30.07.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai 1-0 61% 67% -9.8 23% 26% -10.3 16% 19% -13.6
30.07.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys 1-2 48% 53% -9.0 28% 32% -13.4 24% 28% -12.9
04.08.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs Dainava Alytus 2-0 33% 38% -14.8 28% 32% -13.2 39% 43% -7.8
05.08.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Banga Gargzdai 0-1 46% 51% -10.0 28% 31% -11.6 26% 29% -10.8
06.08.23 FK Siauliai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 24% 27% -9.2 26% 29% -11.3 50% 56% -11.5
06.08.23 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dziugas 0-0 66% 72% -9.3 21% 23% -10.1 14% 16% -15.6
07.08.23 FK Panevezys vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 52% 56% -7.8 26% 30% -13.1 22% 26% -15.7
11.08.23 FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas 0-1 72% 79% -8.8 18% 20% -10.5 10% 12% -17.8
11.08.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Banga Gargzdai 1-0 39% 43% -9.6 28% 32% -12.8 33% 38% -13.7
13.08.23 FK Panevezys vs Dainava Alytus 2-0 73% 80% -9.3 18% 19% -7.0 10% 11% -12.2
13.08.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 4-0 64% 71% -9.9 22% 24% -10.6 14% 17% -14.1
13.08.23 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai 3-2 58% 65% -10.7 24% 27% -10.0 17% 19% -9.2
18.08.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Suduva Marijampole 1-2 44% 50% -12.6 28% 32% -12.6 28% 31% -8.7
19.08.23 FK Banga Gargzdai vs FK Siauliai 1-1 19% 21% -12.0 24% 28% -12.9 57% 63% -9.5
19.08.23 FK Dziugas vs FK Panevezys 0-3 11% 15% -23.5 19% 23% -19.3 70% 74% -4.8
20.08.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 10% 12% -19.0 17% 20% -15.2 73% 78% -6.2
20.08.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 38% 43% -10.0 28% 31% -11.6 34% 39% -13.1
25.08.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Siauliai 0-1 25% 30% -17.4 26% 31% -14.4 49% 52% -6.1
26.08.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 24% 28% -12.2 26% 29% -11.8 50% 55% -9.6
26.08.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Zalgiris 2-6 24% 28% -13.2 26% 29% -12.1 50% 55% -8.5
27.08.23 FK Panevezys vs FK Banga Gargzdai 2-0 76% 82% -7.8 17% 19% -12.0 8% 9% -16.1
27.08.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dziugas 4-1 81% 87% -7.2 13% 14% -11.6 7% 9% -23.6
02.09.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Dziugas 1-0 54% 61% -11.2 26% 29% -10.4 21% 23% -9.5
02.09.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Suduva Marijampole 2-0 64% 71% -10.2 22% 24% -9.7 14% 17% -13.8
02.09.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Panevezys 0-2 11% 14% -17.4 19% 23% -15.8 69% 74% -6.7
03.09.23 FK Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 40% 44% -9.6 27% 31% -11.3 33% 38% -13.8
03.09.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Banga Gargzdai 1-0 80% 87% -8.2 13% 14% -5.8 7% 8% -16.0
16.09.23 FK Banga Gargzdai vs Dainava Alytus 1-0 32% 37% -12.6 29% 34% -14.1 39% 42% -8.7
16.09.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Panevezys 0-1 11% 14% -20.8 20% 24% -18.7 69% 72% -5.0
17.09.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dziugas 1-1 71% 78% -9.4 18% 20% -7.9 11% 12% -13.8
17.09.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-6 11% 13% -16.3 18% 21% -13.7 71% 77% -7.4
22.09.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Riteriai 0-1 50% 56% -10.6 27% 30% -11.5 24% 26% -10.7
23.09.23 FK Dziugas vs FK Banga Gargzdai 0-1 35% 38% -10.2 28% 31% -11.3 38% 43% -11.3
23.09.23 FK Panevezys vs FK Suduva Marijampole 2-1 77% 84% -7.9 16% 18% -12.4 7% 8% -16.1
24.09.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Siauliai 3-1 44% 49% -10.2 27% 29% -9.8 30% 34% -12.4
24.09.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris 0-2 62% 68% -9.7 22% 25% -10.1 16% 18% -13.8
28.09.23 Kauno Zalgiris vs Dainava Alytus 1-1 62% 70% -12.1 23% 25% -8.2 15% 16% -5.4
29.09.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Banga Gargzdai 1-0 65% 71% -8.9 21% 23% -9.7 14% 17% -16.6
30.09.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Dziugas 0-0 58% 66% -12.0 24% 26% -8.8 18% 19% -7.2
30.09.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 12% 16% -21.9 19% 22% -16.5 69% 74% -6.2
07.10.23 FK Riteriai vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 20% 23% -15.3 24% 28% -13.4 56% 61% -8.1
07.10.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Dziugas 0-0 52% 58% -11.7 27% 30% -11.9 22% 24% -9.0
07.10.23 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Banga Gargzdai 3-1 65% 72% -9.8 21% 24% -10.4 13% 15% -13.6
08.10.23 FK Panevezys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 39% 43% -10.8 28% 32% -12.3 33% 37% -11.1
08.10.23 FK Siauliai vs Dainava Alytus 0-0 57% 64% -10.0 25% 28% -10.8 18% 20% -10.6
20.10.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Suduva Marijampole 1-2 42% 48% -11.1 30% 34% -13.9 28% 30% -7.8
21.10.23 FK Banga Gargzdai vs FK Riteriai 1-2 31% 34% -8.5 28% 32% -12.5 41% 47% -12.4
21.10.23 FK Dziugas vs Kauno Zalgiris 0-2 17% 22% -21.5 23% 29% -17.8 59% 62% -4.3
21.10.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys 0-0 32% 38% -14.3 28% 32% -13.3 40% 43% -8.7
22.10.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Siauliai 2-2 58% 64% -8.2 23% 26% -11.0 18% 22% -16.6
25.10.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Siauliai 2-0 21% 23% -10.8 25% 29% -12.3 54% 61% -10.4
25.10.23 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys 1-1 34% 41% -17.1 28% 32% -13.0 38% 39% -2.9
29.10.23 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 4-0 42% 50% -15.6 27% 29% -9.8 31% 33% -6.2
30.10.23 FK Siauliai vs FK Panevezys 1-1 28% 32% -12.9 28% 32% -13.3 44% 48% -7.8
03.11.23 FK Banga Gargzdai vs FK Suduva Marijampole 1-0 37% 42% -10.6 28% 31% -11.6 35% 40% -12.3
04.11.23 FK Dziugas vs FK Siauliai 3-3 17% 21% -17.8 23% 28% -15.7 59% 63% -6.1
04.11.23 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 34% 41% -15.7 27% 30% -11.3 39% 42% -7.1
05.11.23 Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys 1-2 17% 21% -20.4 24% 29% -18.0 59% 61% -2.5
05.11.23 FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris 1-3 28% 34% -18.7 27% 31% -13.8 45% 48% -4.6
12.11.23 FK Panevezys vs FK Dziugas 0-0 67% 71% -6.4 20% 24% -13.9 13% 16% -20.8
12.11.23 FK Siauliai vs FK Banga Gargzdai 3-0 68% 75% -8.7 20% 23% -11.5 11% 13% -14.5
12.11.23 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Riteriai 0-3 26% 29% -7.9 27% 30% -11.7 47% 54% -13.2
12.11.23 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dainava Alytus 1-0 70% 76% -8.7 19% 21% -10.3 11% 14% -17.3
18.11.23 Be1 NFA Kaunas vs FK Dziugas 1-1 13% 13% -5.4 19% 20% -6.2 69% 78% -11.5
25.11.23 FK Dziugas vs Be1 NFA Kaunas 1-0 67% 71% -6.0 20% 23% -13.9 13% 17% -22.4
01.03.24 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Siauliai 0-0 19% 23% -14.9 26% 31% -15.8 55% 59% -6.9
02.03.24 FK Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 13% 16% -17.8 21% 26% -16.7 65% 70% -6.4
02.03.24 FK Dziugas vs FK Panevezys 0-0 12% 12% 3.3 21% 24% -9.8 66% 76% -12.4
03.03.24 Dainava Alytus vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 11% 12% -12.5 20% 23% -14.7 70% 76% -8.0
03.03.24 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Transinvest 2-3 49% 52% -4.8 26% 29% -12.1 25% 31% -19.2
09.03.24 FK Transinvest vs FK Dziugas 0-1 53% 56% -6.9 26% 29% -12.1 22% 26% -16.0
09.03.24 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 43% 48% -9.7 28% 31% -11.5 29% 33% -12.0
10.03.24 FK Panevezys vs Dainava Alytus 0-0 68% 72% -6.5 21% 24% -14.8 12% 14% -19.5
10.03.24 FK Siauliai vs FK Banga Gargzdai 0-0 68% 74% -7.6 21% 24% -14.1 11% 13% -16.8
10.03.24 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Suduva Marijampole 3-3 69% 72% -4.7 20% 25% -18.3 11% 14% -23.6
12.03.24 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Transinvest 2-1 50% 56% -10.2 26% 29% -10.7 23% 26% -11.4
13.03.24 Dainava Alytus vs FK Dziugas 0-0 41% 44% -7.3 31% 36% -15.7 28% 32% -12.7
13.03.24 FK Banga Gargzdai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-4 11% 13% -17.9 18% 21% -14.8 72% 78% -7.6
13.03.24 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Siauliai 2-2 35% 38% -7.6 28% 32% -12.2 37% 43% -13.5
13.03.24 FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Panevezys 1-0 24% 29% -17.1 28% 34% -16.4 47% 49% -3.1
16.03.24 FK Dziugas vs FK Suduva Marijampole 1-0 26% 29% -8.0 29% 34% -14.2 45% 50% -10.7
16.03.24 FK Panevezys vs FK Banga Gargzdai 0-1 66% 71% -7.5 22% 26% -14.8 12% 14% -16.1
17.03.24 FK Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 41% 47% -11.8 28% 32% -12.0 31% 33% -8.2
17.03.24 FK Transinvest vs Dainava Alytus 0-2 49% 53% -8.7 28% 32% -14.1 24% 28% -14.6
17.03.24 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 1-3 57% 62% -8.2 25% 29% -13.8 18% 21% -15.3
29.03.24 FK Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dziugas 0-2 37% 39% -5.6 31% 36% -15.6 32% 38% -14.4
30.03.24 FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys 4-2 36% 40% -11.2 28% 32% -12.1 36% 40% -9.7
30.03.24 FK Siauliai vs FK Transinvest 0-1 56% 63% -11.3 24% 27% -9.3 20% 22% -11.4
31.03.24 FK Suduva Marijampole vs Dainava Alytus 0-1 46% 51% -10.3 29% 33% -13.5 25% 28% -9.3
31.03.24 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 27% 31% -12.9 27% 31% -12.4 46% 51% -8.4
06.04.24 Dainava Alytus vs FK Banga Gargzdai 2-2 47% 52% -9.4 29% 34% -14.7 24% 26% -10.1
06.04.24 FK Dziugas vs FK Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 20% 22% -10.9 24% 27% -11.1 56% 62% -10.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 536 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Kauno Zalgiris 1930.85
2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1825.95
3 FK Transinvest 1793.34
4 FK Banga Gargzdai 1756.50
5 FK Suduva Marijampole 1740.63
6 FK Panevezys 1686.67
7 FK Dziugas 1657.14
8 FK Hegelmann Litauen 1618.74
9 FK Siauliai 1545.72
10 FK Riteriai 1395.15

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Kauno Zalgiris 1799.89
2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1794.16
3 FK Suduva Marijampole 1781.16
4 FK Transinvest 1734.96
5 FK Banga Gargzdai 1664.50
6 FK Panevezys 1646.82
7 FK Dziugas 1601.20
8 FK Hegelmann Litauen 1528.40
9 FK Siauliai 1523.70
10 FK Riteriai 1397.88