ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 246
Avg Goals 2.24
Avg Home 1.22
Avg Away 1.02
Home Win % 37.0%
Draw % 35.0%
Away Win % 28.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 246
Avg Brier Score 0.6053
Pick Accuracy 48.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6041
Market Brier 0.6057
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 11
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 9 of 246 matches had at least one · staked 11.00, profit -11.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
away 6 0.0% 6.00 -6.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 0.0% 8
10–20% 16.6% 7.6% 66
20–30% 26.1% 25.9% 185
30–40% 33.4% 34.1% 328
40–50% 44.9% 45.6% 79
50–60% 54.1% 56.6% 53
60–70% 64.3% 81.2% 16
70–80% 74.0% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
12.05.24 ASC Gendrim vs ASC Snim 0-0 45% 56% -18.1 32% 33% -5.3 23% 23% -0.5
12.05.24 FC Nouadhibou vs ASAC Concorde 1-0 69% 83% -16.9 22% 19% 13.4 10% 8% 26.8
20.05.24 FC Nouadhibou vs Kaedi FC 2-0 70% 83% -16.5 21% 19% 11.8 9% 7% 23.8
27.05.24 AS Entou de Kiffa vs ASC Gendrim 0-2 35% 42% -16.9 31% 32% -4.7 34% 38% -11.2
14.09.24 Chemal vs Nouakchott Kings 0-1 37% 43% -12.9 33% 35% -7.0 30% 34% -12.2
15.09.24 FC Tevragh Zeina vs AS Pompier 3-0 60% 71% -15.1 26% 26% -2.0 14% 15% -5.4
19.09.24 AS Pompier vs Nouakchott Kings 3-0 28% 32% -14.4 31% 32% -5.4 42% 49% -14.2
19.09.24 ASC Ksar vs Chemal 1-2 28% 31% -8.7 32% 33% -5.1 40% 48% -15.4
20.09.24 FC Tevragh Zeina vs FC Nouadhibou 1-0 35% 40% -12.4 31% 32% -4.3 34% 40% -14.8
21.09.24 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Toulde 1-1 55% 67% -18.3 27% 26% 3.8 19% 18% 1.9
28.09.24 Chemal vs ASC Snim 0-0 49% 61% -20.0 30% 31% -2.8 21% 20% 5.1
28.09.24 FC Nouadhibou vs AS Pompier 1-0 69% 80% -14.1 22% 21% 3.8 10% 10% 1.1
29.09.24 AS Garde Nationale vs AS Douanes Nouakchott 0-2 20% 19% 5.0 28% 28% 0.8 52% 65% -20.5
29.09.24 Nouakchott Kings vs ASC Ksar 1-0 49% 57% -14.1 30% 31% -5.0 21% 24% -10.9
01.10.24 ASC Gendrim vs FC Tevragh Zeina 2-0 29% 32% -9.2 32% 34% -6.1 39% 47% -16.4
18.10.24 FC Nouadhibou vs ASC Gendrim 0-1 49% 60% -17.3 29% 30% -2.8 21% 22% -4.0
19.10.24 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs Chemal 3-2 55% 66% -16.7 28% 28% -0.6 17% 17% -1.1
19.10.24 FC Tevragh Zeina vs Kaedi FC 1-0 54% 62% -12.9 28% 29% -4.8 18% 21% -12.6
20.10.24 AS Pompier vs ASC Ksar 1-1 40% 45% -12.4 32% 34% -5.9 28% 32% -12.3
20.10.24 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs AS Garde Nationale 2-1 40% 44% -10.1 32% 35% -8.2 28% 34% -17.2
23.10.24 FC Nouadhibou vs Al Marreekh 0-0 28% 28% 2.2 31% 32% -4.8 41% 53% -22.3
24.10.24 Al Hilal Omdurman vs AS Douanes Nouakchott 1-1 53% 65% -17.8 26% 26% 3.1 21% 22% -5.6
28.10.24 AS Garde Nationale vs FC N'Zidane 0-3 42% 49% -14.5 31% 32% -4.3 27% 31% -10.8
28.10.24 ASC Ksar vs ASC Snim 1-0 34% 42% -18.7 32% 34% -6.9 34% 36% -6.5
29.10.24 Al Hilal Omdurman vs FC Tevragh Zeina 2-0 63% 76% -17.2 24% 23% 5.9 13% 12% 8.5
29.10.24 Nouakchott Kings vs AS Douanes Nouakchott 1-1 30% 34% -12.6 31% 33% -5.7 39% 45% -14.3
02.11.24 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Ksar 0-1 52% 58% -11.6 29% 30% -5.5 20% 23% -14.7
03.11.24 ASC Gendrim vs Kaedi FC 1-1 55% 67% -17.3 28% 28% -0.7 17% 17% -0.8
03.11.24 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs Nouakchott Kings 1-2 31% 34% -9.1 32% 34% -5.9 37% 44% -16.1
08.11.24 Al Hilal Omdurman vs ASC Gendrim 1-0 64% 78% -18.1 25% 24% 4.5 12% 10% 21.9
08.11.24 AS Garde Nationale vs FC Tevragh Zeina 1-3 25% 26% -4.1 31% 32% -4.2 44% 53% -18.0
09.11.24 ASC Ksar vs FC Inter de Nouakchott 0-0 37% 42% -13.4 31% 33% -5.6 32% 37% -13.6
09.11.24 Nouakchott Kings vs FC N'Zidane 0-0 47% 56% -15.6 30% 31% -3.7 23% 25% -7.9
23.11.24 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs ASC Snim 0-0 36% 44% -18.9 32% 34% -6.9 32% 34% -6.1
24.11.24 Al Marreekh vs Nouakchott Kings 1-1 47% 51% -8.2 31% 34% -9.7 22% 28% -19.6
24.11.24 ASC Gendrim vs ASC Toulde 3-1 41% 47% -12.3 32% 34% -6.0 27% 31% -12.4
30.11.24 ASC Ksar vs Al Marreekh 0-1 27% 29% -8.8 33% 36% -8.2 40% 47% -14.5
02.12.24 Chemal vs FC Nouadhibou 0-2 18% 19% -8.1 31% 33% -8.0 52% 60% -13.9
02.12.24 Nouakchott Kings vs FC Tevragh Zeina 2-1 32% 37% -12.8 33% 36% -7.7 35% 40% -13.1
06.12.24 AS Pompier vs FC Inter de Nouakchott 1-0 38% 44% -14.8 31% 32% -4.4 31% 36% -12.5
06.12.24 FC Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott Kings 1-0 52% 60% -12.9 29% 31% -5.7 19% 21% -10.3
09.12.24 Al Marreekh vs ASC Snim 1-0 64% 76% -16.7 26% 26% 0.6 11% 9% 21.9
09.12.24 ASC Gendrim vs Chemal 0-2 48% 56% -13.9 31% 34% -7.3 21% 23% -8.7
13.12.24 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs Al Marreekh 2-2 31% 34% -9.1 32% 34% -5.9 37% 44% -16.1
13.12.24 ASC Ksar vs FC Nouadhibou 0-1 14% 14% 3.2 28% 29% -3.7 57% 68% -16.1
14.12.24 Chemal vs Kaedi FC 0-1 42% 52% -18.7 31% 33% -5.7 26% 28% -4.8
14.12.24 Nouakchott Kings vs ASC Gendrim 2-1 38% 43% -12.5 34% 38% -9.4 28% 31% -11.2
15.12.24 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs FC N'Zidane 2-2 36% 43% -16.2 32% 34% -6.7 31% 35% -9.9
01.01.25 Al Marreekh vs FC Inter de Nouakchott 0-1 47% 52% -10.2 31% 34% -9.1 22% 26% -16.1
01.01.25 ASC Gendrim vs ASC Ksar 1-0 48% 56% -14.7 30% 32% -5.6 22% 24% -9.3
02.01.25 FC Nouadhibou vs ASC Snim 2-1 59% 68% -14.4 27% 29% -3.9 14% 14% -2.5
02.01.25 FC Tevragh Zeina vs AS Douanes Nouakchott 0-0 36% 40% -10.5 32% 34% -6.1 32% 38% -15.8
07.01.25 ASC Ksar vs Kaedi FC 1-3 30% 34% -12.6 31% 32% -4.3 39% 45% -14.2
07.01.25 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs FC Tevragh Zeina 3-1 26% 28% -7.9 32% 34% -6.4 43% 51% -16.8
08.01.25 Chemal vs ASC Toulde 4-1 42% 51% -18.2 32% 33% -5.4 27% 28% -4.5
08.01.25 Nouakchott Kings vs Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 21% 25% -16.6 29% 31% -6.6 50% 56% -11.1
09.01.25 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs FC Nouadhibou 0-0 24% 24% -0.5 32% 34% -6.3 43% 53% -18.4
10.01.25 Al Marreekh vs FC N'Zidane 1-1 52% 61% -14.9 29% 30% -4.7 19% 21% -9.2
10.01.25 AS Garde Nationale vs AS Pompier 0-1 33% 36% -8.2 34% 37% -8.5 33% 39% -15.1
13.01.25 ASC Gendrim vs AS Douanes Nouakchott 1-3 31% 34% -9.6 33% 36% -7.4 36% 43% -14.7
13.01.25 FC Nouadhibou vs FC Inter de Nouakchott 2-1 53% 58% -9.8 30% 33% -10.4 17% 21% -16.5
14.01.25 AS Garde Nationale vs Chemal 0-2 29% 32% -10.8 31% 33% -5.9 40% 48% -16.2
14.01.25 AS Pompier vs Al Marreekh 2-1 24% 26% -9.4 31% 33% -6.0 45% 53% -14.8
14.01.25 FC Tevragh Zeina vs FC N'Zidane 2-0 45% 53% -13.8 30% 31% -3.8 25% 28% -11.5
18.01.25 Chemal vs Al Marreekh 2-0 35% 43% -16.9 32% 35% -6.9 32% 35% -8.3
19.01.25 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs ASC Gendrim 1-0 29% 32% -8.8 32% 34% -5.5 39% 45% -15.2
19.01.25 Nouakchott Kings vs AS Garde Nationale 0-0 50% 58% -13.1 29% 31% -5.7 20% 23% -11.9
20.01.25 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs Kaedi FC 3-1 46% 54% -14.0 31% 32% -5.3 23% 26% -10.4
20.01.25 ASC Ksar vs ASC Toulde 0-1 47% 58% -18.9 30% 31% -3.3 23% 23% -0.9
22.01.25 Al Marreekh vs FC Tevragh Zeina 3-1 37% 42% -12.1 33% 36% -7.7 30% 34% -13.2
22.01.25 Chemal vs AS Pompier 1-1 42% 49% -13.9 33% 35% -7.0 25% 28% -8.7
07.02.25 AS Pompier vs FC Tevragh Zeina 1-1 28% 31% -9.9 32% 34% -6.2 40% 48% -15.8
07.02.25 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs Kaedi FC 3-2 37% 43% -14.3 33% 36% -7.7 30% 33% -10.8
08.02.25 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs Al Hilal Omdurman 0-3 23% 27% -14.1 30% 32% -5.8 46% 53% -11.9
08.02.25 Nouakchott Kings vs Chemal 2-2 35% 39% -11.6 33% 36% -7.3 32% 37% -12.9
09.02.25 Al Marreekh vs FC Nouadhibou 1-2 25% 26% -4.3 33% 36% -7.8 43% 51% -17.1
09.02.25 ASC Ksar vs AS Garde Nationale 0-1 31% 33% -5.7 34% 37% -8.9 35% 42% -17.5
14.02.25 Nouakchott Kings vs AS Pompier 0-1 40% 45% -12.6 34% 37% -9.2 27% 30% -12.0
15.02.25 AS Garde Nationale vs ASC Snim 1-1 34% 41% -15.6 33% 36% -7.5 33% 36% -8.9
15.02.25 ASC Gendrim vs Al Marreekh 1-1 32% 36% -11.9 32% 35% -7.1 36% 42% -14.7
15.02.25 FC Nouadhibou vs FC Tevragh Zeina 1-1 51% 57% -11.0 31% 34% -9.2 18% 20% -10.9
16.02.25 Al Hilal Omdurman vs FC Inter de Nouakchott 3-0 61% 71% -14.1 25% 24% 0.5 14% 15% -8.0
16.02.25 Chemal vs ASC Ksar 0-0 53% 62% -15.0 29% 29% -2.9 19% 20% -6.7
20.02.25 ASC Ksar vs Nouakchott Kings 1-1 21% 21% -1.0 33% 36% -8.4 46% 55% -16.1
20.02.25 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs ASC Toulde 4-0 55% 67% -17.4 26% 25% 3.7 19% 20% -4.8
20.02.25 FC Tevragh Zeina vs ASC Gendrim 0-1 36% 40% -11.1 33% 36% -8.4 31% 36% -14.4
21.02.25 AS Pompier vs FC Nouadhibou 1-1 24% 27% -10.3 35% 39% -10.5 41% 45% -10.6
21.02.25 FC N'Zidane vs Al Hilal Omdurman 1-2 15% 16% -5.7 28% 29% -4.8 57% 67% -14.6
22.02.25 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs AS Garde Nationale 3-2 55% 62% -11.6 28% 30% -6.3 17% 19% -12.4
22.02.25 Kaedi FC vs Al Marreekh 0-3 29% 33% -12.3 32% 34% -6.6 39% 44% -13.2
25.02.25 ASC Gendrim vs FC Nouadhibou 0-3 23% 24% -5.2 33% 36% -8.5 44% 52% -15.8
25.02.25 ASC Ksar vs AS Pompier 1-0 24% 27% -10.1 33% 36% -9.1 43% 50% -14.7
26.02.25 AS Garde Nationale vs FC Inter de Nouakchott 2-2 35% 41% -13.9 31% 32% -4.2 34% 39% -13.4
27.02.25 Chemal vs AS Douanes Nouakchott 0-0 34% 39% -14.0 32% 34% -5.9 34% 39% -12.3
27.02.25 Nouakchott Kings vs ASC Snim 2-0 38% 44% -15.3 33% 36% -8.5 29% 32% -9.8
03.03.25 AS Pompier vs ASC Gendrim 3-1 37% 43% -14.0 32% 34% -6.8 30% 35% -12.6
04.03.25 FC Inter de Nouakchott vs Chemal 1-1 32% 37% -12.9 32% 33% -5.5 36% 42% -14.1
05.03.25 FC N'Zidane vs AS Garde Nationale 2-1 37% 41% -9.8 33% 36% -8.3 30% 36% -16.3
05.03.25 FC Tevragh Zeina vs Al Hilal Omdurman 0-1 24% 28% -13.3 30% 32% -5.6 45% 53% -13.6
06.03.25 AS Douanes Nouakchott vs Nouakchott Kings 0-0 47% 53% -11.5 32% 34% -8.3 21% 24% -12.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 246 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Nouadhibou 1788.54
2 AS Douanes Nouakchott 1715.73
3 FC Tevragh Zeina 1642.09
4 ASC Snim 1635.68
5 AS Pompier 1633.36
6 ASC Police 1619.85
7 Chemal 1604.08
8 ASC Gendrim 1603.15
9 Nouakchott Academie 1584.21
10 Nouakchott Kings 1564.75
11 FC N'Zidane 1559.20
12 Kaedi FC 1549.53
13 FC Inter de Nouakchott 1473.86
14 ASC Ksar 1460.28

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Nouadhibou 1677.23
2 AS Douanes Nouakchott 1629.40
3 AS Pompier 1582.14
4 Chemal 1568.90
5 Nouakchott Kings 1566.09
6 Nouakchott Academie 1565.70
7 ASC Gendrim 1562.04
8 ASC Police 1547.71
9 FC N'Zidane 1535.25
10 ASC Snim 1529.92
11 FC Tevragh Zeina 1511.17
12 Kaedi FC 1473.91
13 FC Inter de Nouakchott 1438.00
14 ASC Ksar 1415.10