ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 914
Avg Goals 3.29
Avg Home 1.81
Avg Away 1.49
Home Win % 46.5%
Draw % 19.3%
Away Win % 34.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 914
Avg Brier Score 0.4562
Pick Accuracy 65.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4584
Market Brier 0.4562
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 914 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.0% 5.4% 427
10–20% 15.3% 12.6% 604
20–30% 24.6% 26.0% 695
30–40% 34.8% 32.7% 150
40–50% 44.8% 39.4% 165
50–60% 55.5% 55.6% 171
60–70% 65.2% 71.2% 177
70–80% 75.2% 78.6% 173
80–90% 85.4% 87.5% 112
90–100% 92.3% 95.6% 68
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 FC Juarez (W) vs Cruz Azul (W) 1-0 42% 47% -8.9 27% 30% -11.3 31% 36% -15.5
05.08.23 Pachuca (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W) 3-1 77% 84% -8.5 15% 16% -8.4 8% 10% -17.5
05.08.23 Queretaro FC (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 0-2 32% 35% -9.6 28% 31% -10.8 40% 45% -11.1
05.08.23 UNAM Pumas (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) 1-0 73% 80% -9.0 17% 19% -9.0 10% 11% -13.7
06.08.23 CD Guadalajara (W) vs UANL Tigres (W) 2-2 25% 25% 1.0 26% 29% -8.7 49% 59% -17.3
06.08.23 Club America (W) vs Deportivo Toluca (W) 4-1 79% 85% -8.0 14% 15% -7.3 8% 9% -16.5
06.08.23 Monterrey (W) vs Atlas (W) 2-0 79% 85% -7.7 14% 16% -12.2 7% 9% -19.2
07.08.23 Mazatlan FC (W) vs Club Leon (W) 0-1 16% 17% -2.2 21% 21% -2.2 63% 73% -13.5
07.08.23 Necaxa (W) vs Puebla (W) 2-1 47% 53% -11.6 27% 30% -10.9 26% 29% -10.1
09.08.23 Club Tijuana (W) vs Club America (W) 1-5 17% 20% -15.2 21% 23% -8.9 62% 68% -8.8
12.08.23 Club Leon (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 3-2 35% 40% -12.1 27% 29% -9.7 38% 43% -12.0
12.08.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs Monterrey (W) 0-3 13% 15% -12.7 20% 22% -9.8 67% 75% -10.3
12.08.23 Santos Laguna (W) vs Queretaro FC (W) 1-3 31% 34% -7.8 28% 31% -10.6 41% 48% -13.4
13.08.23 Deportivo Toluca (W) vs FC Juarez (W) 1-1 47% 53% -11.9 26% 29% -10.1 26% 29% -10.1
13.08.23 Necaxa (W) vs CD Guadalajara (W) 0-3 7% 9% -14.1 14% 16% -9.8 78% 85% -7.8
13.08.23 Puebla (W) vs UNAM Pumas (W) 1-1 15% 17% -15.7 21% 24% -12.6 64% 70% -9.1
13.08.23 UANL Tigres (W) vs Pachuca (W) 4-2 68% 76% -10.5 19% 20% -6.8 14% 16% -15.1
15.08.23 Atlas (W) vs Club America (W) 1-5 10% 11% -11.3 16% 17% -5.3 74% 83% -10.0
17.08.23 Atletico San Luis (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) 2-0 59% 66% -10.6 22% 24% -8.0 18% 21% -12.8
17.08.23 Club Tijuana (W) vs UNAM Pumas (W) 3-2 38% 44% -13.4 28% 31% -10.5 34% 37% -8.3
17.08.23 Queretaro FC (W) vs Puebla (W) 3-0 66% 72% -9.0 21% 24% -11.1 13% 15% -13.4
18.08.23 CD Guadalajara (W) vs Monterrey (W) 1-0 38% 43% -10.1 27% 29% -9.2 35% 40% -12.5
18.08.23 Mazatlan FC (W) vs Necaxa (W) 0-2 24% 24% -0.2 26% 29% -8.6 50% 59% -15.8
18.08.23 UANL Tigres (W) vs Deportivo Toluca (W) 3-1 86% 93% -7.8 9% 9% -1.1 5% 6% -17.6
19.08.23 Club America (W) vs Cruz Azul (W) 4-0 90% 96% -6.5 8% 9% -12.6 2% 2% -12.7
20.08.23 Puebla (W) vs Pachuca (W) 4-3 9% 11% -21.5 15% 17% -13.9 76% 81% -6.5
21.08.23 Club Tijuana (W) vs Deportivo Toluca (W) 3-0 53% 62% -14.5 24% 26% -6.3 23% 24% -6.2
21.08.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs CD Guadalajara (W) 1-5 12% 14% -16.6 18% 21% -11.9 70% 76% -8.1
22.08.23 Club Leon (W) vs Club America (W) 2-3 8% 10% -20.8 13% 14% -10.1 79% 85% -7.5
22.08.23 Monterrey (W) vs FC Juarez (W) 2-2 77% 84% -8.0 15% 16% -9.3 8% 10% -18.1
22.08.23 Necaxa (W) vs Queretaro FC (W) 0-2 20% 21% -3.6 26% 29% -9.9 54% 62% -12.6
22.08.23 Santos Laguna (W) vs UANL Tigres (W) 0-7 2% 3% -18.6 6% 7% -11.6 92% 97% -5.6
22.08.23 UNAM Pumas (W) vs Mazatlan FC (W) 4-1 90% 96% -6.2 7% 8% -11.9 3% 3% -21.4
26.08.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs Queretaro FC (W) 2-1 35% 39% -10.4 28% 32% -11.8 36% 41% -10.8
26.08.23 FC Juarez (W) vs Pachuca (W) 1-1 32% 38% -17.4 26% 29% -9.8 42% 45% -6.6
26.08.23 Mazatlan FC (W) vs Club America (W) 1-3 1% 2% -27.1 4% 4% -19.3 95% 99% -4.0
26.08.23 Monterrey (W) vs UNAM Pumas (W) 0-0 69% 79% -12.5 18% 19% -3.3 12% 13% -6.2
26.08.23 UANL Tigres (W) vs Atlas (W) 2-0 88% 93% -6.0 9% 10% -14.8 4% 5% -23.8
28.08.23 Atletico San Luis (W) vs CD Guadalajara (W) 1-1 13% 15% -14.0 19% 21% -9.0 68% 75% -9.4
28.08.23 Club Leon (W) vs Puebla (W) 1-0 66% 71% -8.1 20% 23% -11.3 14% 17% -17.0
29.08.23 Deportivo Toluca (W) vs Necaxa (W) 2-0 66% 72% -9.0 20% 22% -8.5 14% 17% -15.1
29.08.23 Santos Laguna (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 0-3 11% 12% -5.4 18% 19% -5.0 71% 79% -10.8
31.08.23 Pachuca (W) vs Atlas (W) 4-3 66% 74% -10.4 19% 20% -4.5 15% 17% -13.6
02.09.23 Queretaro FC (W) vs Deportivo Toluca (W) 1-2 43% 48% -10.7 27% 29% -9.5 31% 35% -12.1
02.09.23 UNAM Pumas (W) vs Club Leon (W) 2-1 54% 58% -8.3 25% 28% -11.6 22% 26% -17.1
03.09.23 CD Guadalajara (W) vs FC Juarez (W) 2-0 74% 81% -8.1 16% 18% -9.8 10% 11% -16.8
04.09.23 Club Tijuana (W) vs Monterrey (W) 1-1 24% 29% -15.5 24% 27% -9.5 52% 57% -9.5
04.09.23 Puebla (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W) 2-2 30% 35% -15.8 26% 29% -10.6 44% 48% -7.3
05.09.23 Atlas (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) 0-0 73% 79% -7.7 17% 19% -11.2 10% 13% -19.3
05.09.23 Necaxa (W) vs Cruz Azul (W) 1-1 26% 28% -8.2 26% 29% -9.5 49% 56% -13.4
05.09.23 Pachuca (W) vs Mazatlan FC (W) 5-0 90% 96% -6.3 7% 8% -12.6 3% 4% -23.3
07.09.23 Club America (W) vs UANL Tigres (W) 1-3 46% 53% -12.5 27% 31% -11.4 27% 29% -9.4
08.09.23 Atlas (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W) 2-1 48% 54% -10.8 25% 27% -8.1 27% 31% -13.8
10.09.23 CD Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro FC (W) 3-1 79% 85% -7.1 14% 15% -11.6 7% 9% -19.6
10.09.23 Mazatlan FC (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 0-2 7% 8% -13.5 14% 15% -8.1 79% 87% -8.9
11.09.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W) 2-0 36% 41% -10.9 28% 31% -11.3 36% 41% -12.1
11.09.23 FC Juarez (W) vs Necaxa (W) 6-0 70% 76% -7.8 18% 21% -11.9 11% 14% -18.2
11.09.23 Pachuca (W) vs UNAM Pumas (W) 2-1 57% 67% -13.8 22% 23% -3.7 20% 22% -6.6
11.09.23 Santos Laguna (W) vs Monterrey (W) 1-3 4% 5% -22.0 9% 11% -16.1 87% 93% -6.3
12.09.23 UANL Tigres (W) vs Club Leon (W) 3-1 88% 93% -6.0 8% 10% -13.4 4% 5% -24.3
13.09.23 Atletico San Luis (W) vs Club America (W) 1-4 6% 8% -22.1 11% 12% -10.6 83% 89% -6.8
15.09.23 FC Juarez (W) vs Puebla (W) 3-0 77% 85% -9.7 15% 15% -4.3 8% 9% -10.9
16.09.23 Monterrey (W) vs Pachuca (W) 2-2 56% 62% -11.2 23% 24% -6.5 22% 25% -13.2
16.09.23 Necaxa (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) 2-2 49% 53% -7.0 26% 29% -11.8 25% 30% -17.2
16.09.23 Queretaro FC (W) vs UANL Tigres (W) 0-4 8% 10% -19.9 14% 16% -12.0 78% 84% -7.5
16.09.23 UNAM Pumas (W) vs Deportivo Toluca (W) 5-1 49% 56% -11.3 26% 29% -10.1 25% 29% -12.4
17.09.23 Puebla (W) vs Cruz Azul (W) 2-0 25% 29% -13.5 27% 31% -12.7 48% 53% -9.0
18.09.23 Club America (W) vs CD Guadalajara (W) 2-1 56% 62% -10.2 24% 27% -10.4 20% 23% -13.3
18.09.23 Club Leon (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W) 3-0 50% 56% -9.6 25% 28% -10.1 25% 29% -15.6
18.09.23 Club Tijuana (W) vs Atlas (W) 1-1 62% 69% -10.3 21% 23% -7.0 17% 19% -12.9
18.09.23 Mazatlan FC (W) vs FC Juarez (W) 0-1 8% 9% -13.0 14% 14% -5.1 79% 87% -9.7
30.09.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs Club Leon (W) 0-1 44% 50% -12.6 27% 30% -11.2 29% 33% -11.8
30.09.23 Necaxa (W) vs Monterrey (W) 0-4 6% 8% -17.1 12% 13% -9.2 82% 88% -7.9
02.10.23 CD Guadalajara (W) vs Mazatlan FC (W) 5-0 95% 99% -3.8 4% 5% -26.3 1% 1% -29.7
02.10.23 FC Juarez (W) vs Queretaro FC (W) 2-2 60% 68% -11.7 23% 25% -8.5 17% 18% -8.3
02.10.23 Pachuca (W) vs Club America (W) 4-2 19% 23% -14.6 21% 23% -7.0 59% 65% -9.6
03.10.23 Atlas (W) vs Puebla (W) 2-1 67% 74% -9.0 19% 21% -8.3 13% 16% -15.8
03.10.23 Atletico San Luis (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 0-2 22% 26% -13.3 24% 27% -9.7 54% 60% -10.8
03.10.23 Santos Laguna (W) vs Deportivo Toluca (W) 2-2 17% 20% -16.0 21% 23% -8.9 62% 68% -8.8
03.10.23 UANL Tigres (W) vs UNAM Pumas (W) 3-0 84% 91% -8.0 11% 12% -9.3 5% 6% -16.5
05.10.23 FC Juarez (W) vs Club Leon (W) 1-0 50% 56% -9.9 24% 27% -8.6 26% 30% -15.5
06.10.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W) 3-1 45% 51% -10.4 26% 29% -10.7 28% 33% -14.5
06.10.23 Deportivo Toluca (W) vs Puebla (W) 3-0 67% 72% -7.6 20% 22% -10.9 13% 16% -17.2
07.10.23 Atlas (W) vs Mazatlan FC (W) 3-1 83% 89% -7.4 12% 14% -13.3 5% 7% -20.1
08.10.23 Club America (W) vs FC Juarez (W) 5-2 79% 85% -7.7 13% 15% -10.4 8% 10% -21.5
08.10.23 Puebla (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) 2-1 51% 56% -9.6 25% 29% -10.9 24% 28% -14.5
09.10.23 Club Leon (W) vs Pachuca (W) 0-6 22% 25% -10.7 23% 24% -6.4 55% 63% -13.3
09.10.23 Club Tijuana (W) vs UANL Tigres (W) 0-0 16% 19% -17.7 20% 22% -10.2 64% 70% -8.6
10.10.23 Deportivo Toluca (W) vs CD Guadalajara (W) 2-4 17% 21% -18.0 22% 25% -12.1 61% 65% -7.0
10.10.23 Monterrey (W) vs Queretaro FC (W) 3-1 81% 88% -9.0 13% 13% -5.0 7% 8% -14.9
10.10.23 UNAM Pumas (W) vs Necaxa (W) 6-0 81% 88% -9.0 13% 13% -5.0 7% 8% -15.0
12.10.23 Mazatlan FC (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) 2-2 29% 32% -9.8 26% 29% -8.9 45% 51% -12.5
13.10.23 Atletico San Luis (W) vs Monterrey (W) 1-2 8% 10% -10.8 15% 17% -7.4 76% 84% -9.5
13.10.23 CD Guadalajara (W) vs Club Leon (W) 2-0 78% 85% -8.2 14% 16% -11.2 8% 10% -20.2
13.10.23 Deportivo Toluca (W) vs Atlas (W) 2-1 53% 61% -13.8 24% 26% -6.9 23% 26% -9.4
13.10.23 Pachuca (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 2-3 58% 66% -12.3 22% 24% -6.3 20% 23% -12.0
13.10.23 Queretaro FC (W) vs UNAM Pumas (W) 3-2 27% 31% -13.6 27% 30% -11.5 46% 51% -8.6
13.10.23 UANL Tigres (W) vs Cruz Azul (W) 1-0 89% 95% -6.7 7% 8% -7.4 4% 5% -22.1
15.10.23 Cruz Azul (W) vs Club Tijuana (W) 3-6 26% 29% -11.2 26% 29% -9.6 48% 54% -11.1
15.10.23 Puebla (W) vs Club America (W) 1-6 3% 4% -22.9 7% 8% -13.2 89% 95% -6.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 914 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

19 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club America (W) 1699.73
2 UANL Tigres (W) 1661.92
3 Monterrey (W) 1523.45
4 FC Juarez (W) 1501.25
5 Pachuca (W) 1498.54
6 Deportivo Toluca (W) 1495.75
7 CD Guadalajara (W) 1431.58
8 UNAM Pumas (W) 1381.91
9 Cruz Azul (W) 1365.76
10 Club Tijuana (W) 1297.77
11 Club Leon (W) 1297.26
12 Atletico San Luis (W) 1277.25
13 Atlas (W) 1182.36
14 Santos Laguna (W) 1179.56
15 Atlante FC (W) 1124.49
16 Queretaro FC (W) 1114.13
17 Mazatlan FC (W) 1095.43
18 Puebla (W) 921.73
19 Necaxa (W) 913.83

Away Ratings

19 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club America (W) 1634.48
2 UANL Tigres (W) 1552.99
3 Monterrey (W) 1542.52
4 Pachuca (W) 1456.28
5 Deportivo Toluca (W) 1426.76
6 CD Guadalajara (W) 1401.34
7 UNAM Pumas (W) 1372.41
8 FC Juarez (W) 1350.43
9 Club Leon (W) 1334.88
10 Cruz Azul (W) 1275.47
11 Atletico San Luis (W) 1220.03
12 Club Tijuana (W) 1174.81
13 Santos Laguna (W) 1159.88
14 Atlas (W) 1149.71
15 Atlante FC (W) 1100.03
16 Queretaro FC (W) 1060.82
17 Mazatlan FC (W) 1036.01
18 Necaxa (W) 930.34
19 Puebla (W) 908.29