ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 707
Avg Goals 2.86
Avg Home 1.73
Avg Away 1.12
Home Win % 50.1%
Draw % 26.6%
Away Win % 23.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 707
Avg Brier Score 0.5870
Pick Accuracy 53.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5814
Market Brier 0.5876
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 707 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 0.0% 10
10–20% 16.4% 10.9% 201
20–30% 26.3% 25.7% 983
30–40% 34.8% 30.7% 374
40–50% 44.6% 48.6% 280
50–60% 54.6% 57.2% 173
60–70% 63.8% 79.3% 82
70–80% 73.7% 94.4% 18
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5-0 46% 51% -9.8 28% 30% -8.5 27% 31% -14.6
06.08.23 Atlante UTN vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 2-2 59% 67% -10.8 24% 27% -9.4 16% 19% -13.8
06.08.23 Cancun FC vs Correcaminos 2-1 35% 37% -6.5 29% 32% -8.9 36% 43% -15.5
06.08.23 Cimarrones vs Dorados 2-0 62% 70% -10.7 22% 24% -7.2 15% 18% -14.9
06.08.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 5-1 56% 65% -13.9 24% 25% -3.7 20% 23% -10.2
07.08.23 Atletico Morelia vs Club Celaya 1-0 35% 36% -2.6 29% 32% -10.1 36% 44% -19.9
07.08.23 Club Atletico La Paz vs CD Tapatio 2-2 41% 47% -11.6 28% 30% -7.6 31% 36% -13.5
11.08.23 CD Tapatio vs Club Celaya 1-1 47% 53% -11.3 28% 30% -8.7 25% 29% -12.8
12.08.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 51% 60% -13.8 26% 27% -4.4 23% 26% -9.5
12.08.23 Venados FC vs Club Atletico La Paz 1-3 52% 61% -14.0 25% 27% -4.9 23% 25% -10.0
13.08.23 Dorados vs Cancun FC 1-0 30% 31% -5.0 28% 29% -6.4 43% 52% -17.4
13.08.23 Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros 0-0 39% 43% -9.2 29% 32% -9.9 32% 38% -15.9
14.08.23 Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos 2-0 48% 53% -9.7 28% 31% -9.9 24% 29% -15.1
16.08.23 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Club Celaya 2-1 39% 43% -10.0 29% 32% -9.6 32% 37% -14.4
16.08.23 Dorados vs Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 26% 28% -7.0 25% 26% -2.3 49% 59% -16.5
17.08.23 Atlante UTN vs Club Atletico La Paz 3-0 61% 69% -12.1 23% 24% -4.6 16% 18% -10.5
17.08.23 Correcaminos vs CD Tapatio 2-2 42% 49% -12.9 28% 30% -7.9 30% 34% -12.6
18.08.23 Leones Negros vs Venados FC 4-1 50% 56% -11.7 26% 28% -6.7 24% 29% -14.4
19.08.23 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC vs Cimarrones 1-2 30% 33% -9.6 30% 33% -10.0 40% 45% -12.3
20.08.23 Cancun FC vs Atletico Morelia 2-0 37% 42% -10.3 29% 31% -8.6 34% 40% -14.8
20.08.23 Club Celaya vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 1-1 51% 56% -10.5 27% 30% -9.9 22% 26% -13.7
23.08.23 Club Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros 3-0 37% 41% -10.2 29% 32% -9.5 34% 40% -14.6
23.08.23 Venados FC vs Correcaminos 4-3 43% 49% -12.5 28% 30% -8.4 30% 34% -14.2
24.08.23 Cimarrones vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-2 56% 64% -12.6 24% 26% -4.7 20% 22% -10.6
24.08.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 4-1 48% 54% -11.2 27% 29% -7.8 25% 29% -13.1
25.08.23 Atletico Morelia vs Dorados 4-0 68% 75% -10.1 20% 21% -6.3 13% 15% -16.2
25.08.23 CD Tapatio vs Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 2-0 58% 66% -11.8 23% 24% -4.7 18% 21% -12.7
30.08.23 Correcaminos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 7-0 56% 65% -14.1 24% 24% -2.7 20% 22% -9.3
30.08.23 Venados FC vs CD Tapatio 2-1 45% 52% -13.4 27% 29% -5.4 28% 31% -10.1
31.08.23 Club Atletico La Paz vs Cimarrones 2-1 41% 48% -14.0 28% 29% -6.2 31% 35% -10.3
31.08.23 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC vs Club Celaya 1-2 30% 32% -6.1 28% 29% -6.2 42% 51% -16.6
31.08.23 Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC 3-0 48% 54% -11.6 27% 29% -7.5 25% 29% -12.4
01.09.23 Atlante UTN vs Dorados 3-0 76% 83% -9.2 16% 17% -7.2 8% 10% -14.3
02.09.23 Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia 0-0 44% 49% -10.8 28% 31% -8.9 28% 32% -13.2
06.09.23 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC 2-1 36% 41% -10.6 28% 30% -7.5 35% 42% -14.8
06.09.23 Correcaminos vs Atlante UTN 1-0 39% 44% -12.5 29% 31% -8.0 32% 36% -11.0
07.09.23 Cancun FC vs Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 1-2 61% 70% -13.1 23% 24% -3.4 16% 17% -6.7
08.09.23 CD Tapatio vs Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 43% 49% -11.3 27% 29% -6.1 30% 35% -14.8
10.09.23 Dorados vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 1-2 29% 32% -9.0 28% 31% -7.6 42% 49% -13.5
11.09.23 Atletico Morelia vs Club Atletico La Paz 2-0 52% 60% -14.4 25% 27% -4.8 23% 26% -10.1
14.09.23 Club Atletico La Paz vs Cancun FC 1-4 43% 50% -13.1 28% 30% -7.7 29% 32% -11.4
14.09.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Atlante UTN 1-0 33% 36% -8.5 29% 31% -8.2 39% 45% -15.0
14.09.23 Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Correcaminos 2-1 36% 40% -10.8 29% 32% -9.5 35% 41% -13.9
15.09.23 Leones Negros vs Dorados 4-0 72% 81% -11.2 18% 18% -3.1 10% 11% -11.0
17.09.23 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 40% 45% -11.9 28% 30% -7.7 32% 37% -13.7
17.09.23 Venados FC vs Club Celaya 1-0 43% 48% -10.5 29% 31% -8.7 29% 33% -13.4
18.09.23 Atletico Morelia vs CD Tapatio 0-0 46% 53% -12.8 27% 29% -7.1 27% 30% -11.6
20.09.23 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Club Atletico La Paz 2-2 42% 48% -11.3 27% 29% -5.6 31% 36% -13.8
20.09.23 Cancun FC vs Cimarrones 5-2 42% 48% -12.7 29% 31% -8.3 30% 33% -10.8
20.09.23 Club Celaya vs Mineros de Zacatecas 2-3 49% 56% -11.4 26% 27% -5.3 25% 29% -14.4
21.09.23 Correcaminos vs Leones Negros 1-2 49% 56% -12.0 26% 28% -5.8 25% 29% -12.7
21.09.23 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC vs Atletico Morelia 2-3 32% 36% -10.8 29% 31% -8.1 39% 44% -12.7
22.09.23 Atlante UTN vs Venados FC 2-0 58% 66% -12.1 24% 26% -7.2 18% 20% -11.2
25.09.23 CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 2-2 47% 53% -10.2 28% 30% -9.0 25% 29% -14.6
27.09.23 Cimarrones vs Atletico Morelia 3-2 43% 48% -9.3 29% 31% -8.3 28% 32% -12.7
27.09.23 Club Atletico La Paz vs Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 1-0 57% 65% -12.8 23% 24% -4.3 20% 23% -13.4
28.09.23 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados 4-0 61% 69% -12.4 23% 24% -5.3 17% 19% -12.6
28.09.23 Club Celaya vs Cancun FC 1-0 53% 61% -12.1 25% 27% -5.7 21% 24% -10.8
28.09.23 Venados FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 5-1 46% 51% -10.3 27% 29% -8.2 27% 32% -16.2
01.10.23 Atlante UTN vs CD Tapatio 1-1 56% 62% -10.1 25% 28% -8.5 18% 21% -12.6
02.10.23 Leones Negros vs Mineros de Zacatecas 3-2 44% 49% -9.4 27% 29% -6.3 29% 34% -15.8
04.10.23 Dorados vs Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 3-1 40% 45% -12.3 28% 29% -6.2 33% 37% -12.2
05.10.23 Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-0 60% 68% -12.0 23% 24% -4.3 17% 19% -11.1
05.10.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC 3-0 54% 62% -12.8 25% 26% -4.1 21% 24% -10.8
06.10.23 Cancun FC vs Leones Negros 2-0 42% 48% -11.9 28% 30% -8.0 30% 35% -14.0
06.10.23 CD Tapatio vs Cimarrones 1-2 43% 48% -9.9 29% 32% -9.7 28% 32% -13.3
06.10.23 Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Club Atletico La Paz 4-0 45% 50% -10.6 27% 29% -6.6 29% 34% -15.6
07.10.23 Correcaminos vs Club Celaya 0-1 45% 51% -11.5 27% 29% -7.0 28% 32% -13.3
12.10.23 CD Tapatio vs Leones Negros 2-4 37% 39% -6.8 28% 31% -8.1 35% 43% -17.3
14.10.23 Cimarrones vs Correcaminos 0-1 43% 49% -12.1 27% 29% -7.0 30% 34% -13.7
14.10.23 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 0-1 36% 40% -11.0 27% 29% -6.6 37% 43% -15.0
15.10.23 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC 2-5 39% 44% -12.2 29% 31% -8.4 32% 37% -12.6
16.10.23 Atletico Morelia vs Atlante UTN 0-1 36% 40% -9.7 30% 33% -9.7 34% 38% -12.2
16.10.23 Club Atletico La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas 1-4 39% 44% -12.2 27% 29% -6.8 34% 39% -14.3
16.10.23 Venados FC vs Dorados 4-1 62% 71% -11.9 22% 22% -3.2 16% 18% -12.1
20.10.23 Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia 2-1 38% 43% -11.8 28% 31% -8.0 33% 38% -13.3
25.10.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cimarrones 2-2 48% 55% -12.2 27% 29% -7.0 25% 29% -13.4
26.10.23 Dorados vs Club Celaya 1-4 22% 24% -8.0 25% 26% -3.6 53% 62% -14.6
26.10.23 Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-1 48% 53% -10.3 27% 29% -8.2 25% 29% -14.9
27.10.23 Atlante UTN vs Cancun FC 0-1 57% 63% -10.6 26% 29% -9.7 18% 20% -11.8
27.10.23 Correcaminos vs Club Atletico La Paz 1-0 50% 56% -10.9 26% 28% -6.8 24% 28% -14.5
29.10.23 Cimarrones vs Venados FC 4-1 49% 55% -11.2 27% 29% -8.3 25% 29% -14.2
30.10.23 Leones Negros vs Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 2-1 67% 76% -12.0 20% 21% -3.4 13% 15% -11.0
01.11.23 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante UTN 0-3 23% 25% -6.2 27% 29% -7.4 49% 58% -15.2
02.11.23 Cancun FC vs Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 41% 47% -11.6 27% 29% -5.5 32% 37% -13.9
02.11.23 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC vs Correcaminos 0-1 20% 20% -1.9 25% 26% -3.4 56% 66% -16.0
03.11.23 Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 1-0 53% 60% -11.5 25% 27% -6.8 21% 25% -14.0
03.11.23 CD Tapatio vs Dorados 0-1 68% 76% -11.0 20% 21% -4.7 12% 14% -11.4
03.11.23 Club Celaya vs Leones Negros 0-0 53% 61% -13.1 26% 28% -6.9 21% 23% -9.9
10.11.23 Atletico Morelia vs Venados FC 1-1 55% 63% -12.4 25% 26% -5.8 20% 22% -10.9
10.11.23 Correcaminos vs Club Atletico La Paz 0-1 56% 63% -10.8 25% 27% -7.9 19% 22% -14.5
13.11.23 Venados FC vs Club Atletico La Paz 1-0 51% 60% -13.7 26% 28% -6.2 23% 25% -9.8
16.11.23 Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros 2-1 45% 51% -11.6 29% 32% -10.4 26% 29% -12.3
17.11.23 Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 39% 43% -10.8 28% 30% -7.3 33% 38% -13.9
17.11.23 Venados FC vs Cancun FC 1-0 41% 45% -10.7 28% 31% -8.2 31% 36% -14.3
19.11.23 Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia 2-0 46% 52% -11.9 28% 30% -8.2 27% 30% -12.4
20.11.23 Cancun FC vs Venados FC 2-1 53% 60% -12.6 25% 27% -6.1 22% 25% -12.2
20.11.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlan de Morelos 5-2 53% 60% -12.2 25% 27% -6.3 22% 25% -12.9
23.11.23 Atlante UTN vs Leones Negros 3-1 54% 61% -11.4 28% 32% -12.5 18% 20% -9.6
24.11.23 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancun FC 1-0 48% 55% -12.1 27% 29% -6.7 25% 29% -12.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 707 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Piratas Veracruz 1831.67
2 Atletico Morelia 1780.01
3 Club Atletico La Paz 1752.06
4 Leones Negros 1742.12
5 Alacranes de Durango 1725.99
6 Club Jaiba Brava 1684.46
7 Cancun FC 1680.33
8 Mineros de Zacatecas 1663.19
9 Venados FC 1649.91
10 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1634.13
11 Correcaminos 1630.54
12 CD Tapatio 1629.85
13 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 1623.00
14 Dorados 1552.96
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1502.57
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 1493.93

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Piratas Veracruz 1724.83
2 Atletico Morelia 1715.46
3 Club Atletico La Paz 1686.64
4 Cancun FC 1685.15
5 Mineros de Zacatecas 1641.36
6 Coyotes de Tlaxcala FC 1618.08
7 Venados FC 1594.21
8 Alacranes de Durango 1586.68
9 Leones Negros 1575.36
10 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1546.92
11 Correcaminos 1537.96
12 CD Tapatio 1531.78
13 Club Jaiba Brava 1531.68
14 Dorados 1490.35
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1470.79
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 1408.66