ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1009
Avg Goals 2.83
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.21
Home Win % 47.0%
Draw % 25.0%
Away Win % 28.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1009
Avg Brier Score 0.5851
Pick Accuracy 52.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5889
Market Brier 0.5851
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1009 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 2.9% 34
10–20% 16.2% 13.6% 412
20–30% 25.5% 24.7% 1293
30–40% 34.8% 37.7% 435
40–50% 44.6% 43.5% 377
50–60% 54.9% 57.6% 245
60–70% 64.6% 66.7% 168
70–80% 73.8% 78.6% 56
80–90% 81.6% 100.0% 7
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
19.08.23 FC Juarez vs Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 36% 34% 3.0 28% 31% -9.3 36% 42% -13.2
19.08.23 Leon vs Mazatlan FC 2-1 73% 76% -3.5 17% 18% -9.1 10% 12% -17.0
19.08.23 Puebla vs Real San Luis 1-2 43% 43% 1.6 26% 28% -7.0 31% 36% -14.9
19.08.23 UNAM Pumas vs Toluca 1-1 39% 38% 1.4 26% 28% -6.3 35% 41% -14.3
21.08.23 Club America vs Atlas 1-1 50% 50% 0.9 25% 29% -11.2 24% 29% -17.8
21.08.23 Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna 2-2 45% 44% 0.7 27% 29% -9.6 29% 34% -15.4
21.08.23 Necaxa vs Tigres 0-3 25% 24% 4.0 27% 29% -6.8 49% 55% -11.5
21.08.23 Queretaro FC vs Pachuca 1-1 32% 34% -6.6 28% 30% -8.3 40% 43% -6.0
23.08.23 FC Juarez vs UNAM Pumas 4-1 33% 33% -1.8 27% 29% -7.8 40% 45% -11.7
23.08.23 Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana 1-0 62% 65% -5.8 22% 24% -7.3 16% 18% -9.8
23.08.23 Mazatlan FC vs Puebla 1-0 50% 55% -8.7 25% 26% -4.3 25% 27% -5.2
24.08.23 Club America vs Necaxa 3-2 68% 70% -2.2 19% 21% -11.4 13% 16% -19.2
24.08.23 Pachuca vs Cruz Azul 1-0 44% 43% 0.1 27% 29% -8.4 30% 34% -12.9
24.08.23 Real San Luis vs Leon 3-0 32% 35% -9.2 26% 28% -6.1 42% 44% -5.4
26.08.23 Club Tijuana vs Mazatlan FC 1-1 49% 53% -7.6 26% 27% -5.3 26% 27% -4.5
26.08.23 Puebla vs FC Juarez 1-0 41% 44% -7.5 27% 29% -7.7 32% 34% -6.4
27.08.23 Atlas vs Toluca 0-0 44% 45% -2.9 27% 29% -9.1 29% 33% -12.7
27.08.23 Club America vs Leon 1-1 52% 54% -4.3 24% 26% -6.4 24% 28% -12.7
27.08.23 Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas 2-1 40% 42% -4.2 27% 29% -7.6 32% 36% -9.3
28.08.23 Monterrey vs Cruz Azul 1-2 60% 65% -6.9 22% 23% -5.4 18% 20% -9.7
28.08.23 Necaxa vs Queretaro FC 0-1 41% 43% -4.8 28% 31% -9.4 31% 34% -8.1
28.08.23 UNAM Pumas vs Tigres 2-1 38% 38% -0.2 28% 30% -8.5 34% 38% -11.9
29.08.23 Pachuca vs Real San Luis 0-2 53% 54% -1.4 24% 26% -8.8 23% 27% -15.9
31.08.23 Queretaro FC vs Atlas 1-2 30% 31% -2.9 29% 32% -9.6 40% 43% -6.9
31.08.23 Tigres vs Santos Laguna 3-2 52% 53% -2.3 25% 27% -8.5 23% 27% -13.6
31.08.23 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-0 38% 41% -6.4 26% 28% -6.0 36% 39% -9.1
02.09.23 FC Juarez vs Mazatlan FC 3-1 47% 49% -4.5 26% 29% -8.0 27% 30% -10.5
02.09.23 Puebla vs Club Tijuana 3-0 45% 49% -8.4 26% 28% -6.0 29% 31% -5.1
03.09.23 Cruz Azul vs Club America 2-3 28% 30% -6.3 26% 28% -6.7 46% 50% -8.6
03.09.23 Leon vs Necaxa 1-1 67% 70% -5.3 20% 22% -7.7 13% 15% -10.8
03.09.23 Santos Laguna vs UNAM Pumas 2-1 47% 51% -7.0 25% 26% -4.8 28% 30% -7.7
03.09.23 Tigres vs Queretaro FC 5-0 65% 67% -3.0 22% 24% -11.5 14% 16% -14.2
03.09.23 Toluca vs Pachuca 5-0 45% 47% -3.8 26% 28% -7.0 29% 33% -11.8
04.09.23 Guadalajara Chivas vs Monterrey 1-2 34% 36% -4.7 29% 32% -10.1 37% 40% -7.6
04.09.23 Real San Luis vs Atlas 2-0 37% 39% -6.0 27% 29% -7.6 36% 39% -8.3
16.09.23 Club Tijuana vs Toluca 2-1 35% 38% -8.3 27% 29% -6.8 38% 41% -6.6
16.09.23 Mazatlan FC vs Cruz Azul 2-2 30% 31% -3.9 27% 29% -6.7 43% 48% -9.1
17.09.23 Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas 4-0 57% 58% -1.4 24% 27% -10.7 19% 23% -15.6
17.09.23 Monterrey vs Leon 3-1 48% 52% -7.1 26% 28% -6.8 26% 28% -6.6
17.09.23 Necaxa vs FC Juarez 1-1 35% 35% -1.2 28% 31% -8.8 37% 41% -9.8
17.09.23 UNAM Pumas vs Real San Luis 3-2 50% 52% -3.4 25% 27% -7.6 25% 29% -12.7
18.09.23 Atlas vs Tigres 2-0 37% 38% -4.8 29% 32% -9.5 34% 36% -6.0
18.09.23 Queretaro FC vs Puebla 1-1 49% 52% -6.0 26% 28% -7.1 25% 28% -8.2
19.09.23 Pachuca vs Santos Laguna 3-2 44% 47% -5.7 26% 28% -6.5 30% 33% -9.5
21.09.23 Queretaro FC vs Club America 1-2 20% 22% -6.6 24% 26% -6.5 56% 60% -6.4
23.09.23 FC Juarez vs Atlas 1-2 37% 38% -4.5 30% 33% -11.1 34% 36% -7.6
23.09.23 Puebla vs UNAM Pumas 0-2 28% 30% -7.4 25% 27% -6.0 47% 51% -7.9
23.09.23 Real San Luis vs Mazatlan FC 3-2 60% 63% -5.3 22% 24% -8.0 18% 20% -11.9
24.09.23 Guadalajara Chivas vs Pachuca 0-0 44% 45% -3.5 28% 31% -9.5 28% 31% -9.5
24.09.23 Leon vs Club Tijuana 1-0 67% 72% -6.4 19% 20% -4.2 14% 15% -8.8
24.09.23 Tigres vs Monterrey 3-0 41% 42% -2.9 28% 31% -9.4 31% 34% -9.5
24.09.23 Toluca vs Club America 1-1 33% 35% -4.8 26% 28% -5.6 40% 44% -9.1
25.09.23 Cruz Azul vs Queretaro FC 1-3 58% 60% -3.4 24% 27% -9.8 18% 20% -11.3
25.09.23 Santos Laguna vs Necaxa 2-5 67% 71% -5.7 19% 21% -6.6 13% 15% -11.0
27.09.23 Guadalajara Chivas vs Mazatlan FC 1-3 66% 68% -4.3 21% 23% -8.5 14% 15% -11.2
29.09.23 Atlas vs Puebla 2-3 61% 64% -4.1 22% 24% -7.4 17% 19% -11.5
30.09.23 Club Tijuana vs FC Juarez 5-1 43% 45% -5.8 28% 31% -9.0 29% 31% -6.6
30.09.23 Queretaro FC vs Leon 1-1 27% 31% -11.1 27% 29% -9.1 46% 48% -3.6
30.09.23 Real San Luis vs Cruz Azul 1-2 40% 42% -5.5 27% 29% -6.9 34% 37% -9.5
01.10.23 Club America vs UNAM Pumas 1-0 57% 58% -3.3 23% 25% -7.8 20% 24% -14.3
01.10.23 Mazatlan FC vs Tigres 2-3 25% 29% -10.8 26% 28% -7.7 49% 51% -3.2
01.10.23 Pachuca vs Necaxa 1-1 58% 60% -3.8 23% 26% -9.2 19% 22% -13.7
02.10.23 Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 45% 48% -4.7 26% 29% -7.6 28% 31% -9.7
04.10.23 Club America vs Pachuca 4-0 62% 65% -4.3 22% 24% -9.9 16% 19% -14.5
04.10.23 Puebla vs Monterrey 1-1 22% 25% -10.0 24% 26% -6.7 54% 57% -6.2
05.10.23 Necaxa vs Cruz Azul 1-3 30% 32% -7.5 27% 29% -8.2 43% 47% -7.2
05.10.23 Santos Laguna vs Club Tijuana 2-1 56% 60% -6.3 23% 25% -6.4 20% 22% -9.3
05.10.23 Tigres vs Toluca 2-2 59% 62% -6.2 23% 24% -6.0 18% 20% -7.8
05.10.23 UNAM Pumas vs Queretaro FC 4-0 56% 57% -2.4 24% 27% -9.2 20% 23% -13.2
07.10.23 Mazatlan FC vs Club America 1-2 19% 22% -13.3 22% 24% -7.4 59% 62% -4.2
08.10.23 Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas 1-4 42% 43% -2.9 26% 29% -7.5 31% 36% -12.2
08.10.23 Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlas 4-1 40% 42% -3.2 29% 33% -11.6 30% 33% -9.4
08.10.23 Monterrey vs FC Juarez 3-1 65% 68% -3.9 21% 23% -9.0 14% 16% -12.9
08.10.23 Pachuca vs Tigres 1-1 34% 37% -8.5 27% 29% -7.9 39% 42% -6.4
08.10.23 Toluca vs Queretaro FC 3-1 58% 61% -5.4 23% 25% -7.4 19% 21% -10.5
09.10.23 Club Tijuana vs Real San Luis 2-1 46% 51% -8.1 26% 28% -6.5 28% 29% -6.2
09.10.23 Necaxa vs Puebla 1-2 46% 49% -5.1 26% 28% -6.4 28% 30% -8.6
09.10.23 Santos Laguna vs Leon 0-2 40% 43% -8.5 26% 27% -5.0 35% 37% -6.8
21.10.23 Atlas vs Mazatlan FC 1-3 62% 65% -4.3 22% 24% -8.6 17% 19% -13.3
21.10.23 FC Juarez vs Pachuca 0-1 40% 43% -5.2 27% 29% -7.3 32% 35% -7.7
21.10.23 Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas 0-2 27% 29% -4.9 26% 29% -7.4 46% 51% -8.2
22.10.23 Club America vs Santos Laguna 4-3 69% 74% -6.3 18% 19% -4.0 13% 14% -10.1
22.10.23 Leon vs Toluca 1-0 51% 53% -5.2 25% 26% -6.6 25% 28% -11.1
22.10.23 Queretaro FC vs Club Tijuana 1-0 42% 45% -7.1 28% 30% -8.1 30% 31% -4.3
22.10.23 Tigres vs Cruz Azul 2-1 61% 65% -5.9 23% 24% -7.3 17% 18% -8.4
22.10.23 UNAM Pumas vs Monterrey 0-1 41% 44% -8.0 27% 29% -6.6 32% 34% -5.9
23.10.23 Real San Luis vs Necaxa 4-0 57% 60% -5.8 23% 24% -6.0 20% 23% -10.7
25.10.23 Leon vs Atlas 1-1 55% 57% -4.6 25% 27% -8.4 21% 23% -10.2
26.10.23 FC Juarez vs Real San Luis 3-2 40% 42% -5.8 27% 29% -7.8 33% 36% -8.9
26.10.23 Monterrey vs Club Tijuana 3-1 62% 65% -5.7 22% 23% -5.7 17% 18% -8.6
28.10.23 Mazatlan FC vs Queretaro FC 3-0 41% 44% -7.0 27% 29% -7.7 32% 34% -7.0
28.10.23 Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas 1-0 23% 24% -5.2 24% 26% -5.1 53% 57% -8.1
29.10.23 Cruz Azul vs Leon 1-0 41% 45% -9.2 27% 29% -6.9 32% 34% -5.2
29.10.23 Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres 0-4 34% 36% -6.0 29% 31% -8.7 38% 40% -5.2
29.10.23 Monterrey vs Club America 0-3 40% 44% -9.6 26% 28% -5.5 34% 35% -3.7
29.10.23 Pachuca vs Puebla 1-1 59% 61% -3.8 23% 24% -7.5 18% 21% -12.5
29.10.23 Toluca vs Real San Luis 3-1 54% 58% -6.3 24% 25% -5.8 22% 24% -9.9
30.10.23 Club Tijuana vs Atlas 2-0 44% 47% -6.3 28% 31% -9.2 28% 29% -4.7
30.10.23 Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez 5-1 56% 60% -6.5 24% 25% -5.8 21% 23% -8.5
01.11.23 Leon vs UNAM Pumas 1-1 48% 51% -5.1 25% 27% -6.0 27% 29% -9.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 1009 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Toluca 2041.17
2 Guadalajara Chivas 2015.34
3 Cruz Azul 1991.30
4 Club America 1984.51
5 Monterrey 1948.77
6 Tigres 1919.17
7 Pachuca 1892.52
8 Atlas 1880.16
9 Leon 1873.28
10 UNAM Pumas 1862.85
11 Santos Laguna 1861.32
12 Queretaro FC 1820.13
13 Real San Luis 1804.30
14 Atlante UTN 1795.50
15 Club Tijuana 1793.38
16 Necaxa 1789.49
17 Puebla 1741.52
18 FC Juarez 1721.63

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club America 1955.57
2 Toluca 1948.93
3 Guadalajara Chivas 1937.41
4 Cruz Azul 1911.53
5 Monterrey 1884.10
6 Tigres 1844.52
7 UNAM Pumas 1825.86
8 Leon 1819.44
9 Atlas 1800.80
10 Atlante UTN 1786.12
11 Pachuca 1767.88
12 Queretaro FC 1767.81
13 Real San Luis 1754.44
14 Club Tijuana 1741.92
15 Necaxa 1740.90
16 Santos Laguna 1704.64
17 Puebla 1694.36
18 FC Juarez 1633.38