ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1419
Avg Goals 2.72
Avg Home 1.61
Avg Away 1.11
Home Win % 50.5%
Draw % 22.0%
Away Win % 27.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1419
Avg Brier Score 0.5631
Pick Accuracy 56.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5652
Market Brier 0.5657
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 1419 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.6% 8.2% 110
10–20% 16.0% 13.2% 644
20–30% 24.9% 23.4% 1729
30–40% 34.9% 35.9% 516
40–50% 44.9% 49.4% 488
50–60% 54.7% 54.4% 373
60–70% 64.6% 67.3% 248
70–80% 74.1% 80.9% 115
80–90% 83.5% 90.6% 32
90–100% 91.3% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
11.08.23 Correcaminos UAT II vs Chihuahua FC 0-5 26% 26% -1.6 24% 27% -12.2 50% 60% -15.4
12.08.23 CA San Juan de Aragon vs Sporting Canamy 1-0 41% 40% 2.9 26% 31% -16.3 33% 41% -19.9
12.08.23 Leones Negros II vs Calor de San Pedro 1-0 34% 40% -15.1 27% 32% -16.7 39% 41% -4.1
13.08.23 Colima FC vs Coras FC 2-1 53% 55% -3.8 24% 29% -17.0 23% 28% -18.1
13.08.23 Dragones Toluca vs Cimarrones II 0-1 24% 26% -7.5 24% 28% -13.7 52% 58% -10.6
13.08.23 Escorpiones FC vs Aguacateros de Periban FC 0-0 46% 51% -9.5 25% 29% -14.5 28% 32% -11.8
13.08.23 Jaguares Chiapas vs Inter de Queretaro 3-1 71% 74% -4.1 17% 21% -18.4 12% 16% -23.2
13.08.23 Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados 1-1 40% 41% -2.6 28% 33% -17.0 33% 38% -15.3
13.08.23 Los Cabos United vs Alacranes de Durango 0-0 54% 58% -8.0 25% 30% -16.3 21% 23% -9.9
13.08.23 Mineros de Fresnillo vs Saltillo Soccer FC 1-1 34% 38% -9.1 27% 31% -15.1 39% 43% -10.0
13.08.23 Montaneses FC vs Petroleros Salamanca 0-1 69% 78% -11.1 18% 20% -10.0 13% 13% -5.7
13.08.23 Tritones Vallarta MFC vs Real Apodaca FC 2-0 71% 78% -8.4 18% 21% -13.5 11% 12% -9.8
13.08.23 UA Zacatecas vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros 3-0 49% 49% 0.2 25% 30% -17.7 26% 33% -21.5
19.08.23 Alacranes de Durango vs UA Zacatecas 0-0 42% 44% -6.1 26% 31% -15.6 32% 37% -13.9
19.08.23 Calor de San Pedro vs Mineros de Fresnillo 1-1 53% 55% -3.2 24% 29% -18.1 23% 29% -20.5
19.08.23 Chihuahua FC vs Tecos UA de Guadalajara 1-0 64% 68% -6.1 22% 27% -18.5 14% 16% -14.7
19.08.23 Cimarrones II vs Los Cabos United 0-1 30% 32% -7.0 27% 32% -15.9 43% 48% -10.0
19.08.23 Deportiva Venados vs CA San Juan de Aragon 4-0 54% 59% -8.4 23% 27% -13.2 23% 26% -11.6
19.08.23 Petroleros Salamanca vs Club Jaiba Brava 1-1 13% 14% -7.8 18% 21% -13.1 69% 77% -10.1
20.08.23 Aguacateros de Periban FC vs Montaneses FC 3-1 32% 36% -12.9 25% 29% -14.8 43% 48% -9.1
20.08.23 Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Correcaminos UAT II 1-2 65% 69% -6.7 20% 24% -16.8 15% 18% -17.9
21.08.23 CD Pioneros de Cancun vs CF Reboceros La Piedad 0-0 41% 44% -7.5 26% 30% -14.5 33% 38% -12.6
22.08.23 Inter Playa del Carmen vs Yalmakan FC 2-0 66% 69% -5.5 20% 24% -18.2 14% 18% -20.4
26.08.23 Tecos UA de Guadalajara vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros 2-3 46% 52% -10.7 26% 31% -15.4 27% 29% -7.2
27.08.23 CD Pioneros de Cancun vs Inter Playa del Carmen 1-3 29% 31% -7.0 26% 31% -15.1 45% 51% -11.2
27.08.23 CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Jaguares Chiapas 2-1 37% 37% 0.4 28% 33% -16.6 35% 42% -16.0
27.08.23 Club Jaiba Brava vs Aguacateros de Periban FC 0-0 72% 76% -4.3 17% 22% -20.6 10% 13% -23.1
27.08.23 Colima FC vs Chihuahua FC 0-1 23% 24% -4.6 25% 29% -14.9 52% 58% -11.6
27.08.23 Dragones Toluca vs Calor de San Pedro 2-0 20% 22% -5.8 22% 26% -12.6 57% 65% -11.4
27.08.23 Escorpiones FC vs Racing Veracruz 0-0 43% 45% -5.5 26% 31% -15.4 31% 36% -14.8
27.08.23 Lobos ULMX vs Petroleros Salamanca 1-0 63% 67% -6.3 21% 26% -16.9 16% 19% -17.1
27.08.23 Los Cabos United vs Saltillo Soccer FC 1-0 50% 53% -5.0 25% 30% -16.5 25% 29% -16.1
27.08.23 Mineros de Fresnillo vs Real Apodaca FC 4-2 57% 65% -12.3 23% 26% -11.6 21% 22% -4.6
27.08.23 Montaneses FC vs Inter de Queretaro 2-1 66% 67% -2.4 19% 24% -20.2 15% 20% -24.9
27.08.23 Tritones Vallarta MFC vs CF Orgullo Reynosa 0-0 58% 62% -5.9 23% 28% -16.6 19% 22% -15.7
27.08.23 UA Zacatecas vs Correcaminos UAT II 2-0 68% 71% -5.3 19% 23% -17.8 14% 17% -21.3
27.08.23 Yalmakan FC vs Sporting Canamy 1-2 42% 44% -4.6 26% 30% -15.0 32% 38% -15.6
02.09.23 Calor de San Pedro vs Los Cabos United 1-4 26% 25% 3.8 25% 29% -13.8 49% 58% -16.2
02.09.23 Chihuahua FC vs Tritones Vallarta MFC 2-0 50% 53% -6.5 27% 32% -17.2 24% 27% -11.7
02.09.23 Cimarrones II vs UA Zacatecas 1-0 29% 29% 0.3 27% 31% -15.0 44% 52% -15.2
02.09.23 Deportiva Venados vs Yalmakan FC 4-1 60% 66% -9.5 22% 25% -13.0 19% 21% -11.2
02.09.23 Inter Playa del Carmen vs CF Reboceros La Piedad 0-3 56% 58% -3.0 23% 29% -17.9 20% 26% -20.1
02.09.23 Petroleros Salamanca vs CA San Juan de Aragon 1-0 46% 53% -13.7 25% 29% -13.6 28% 29% -3.3
03.09.23 Aguacateros de Periban FC vs Lobos ULMX 4-0 47% 51% -8.7 26% 31% -16.0 27% 30% -11.1
03.09.23 Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Colima FC 3-0 58% 61% -5.1 24% 29% -18.3 18% 22% -16.9
03.09.23 Irapuato FC vs Halcones de Zapopan 0-0 67% 68% -2.0 20% 26% -22.8 13% 17% -25.1
03.09.23 Jaguares Chiapas vs Escorpiones FC 0-1 51% 51% 1.0 25% 31% -18.8 24% 31% -22.0
03.09.23 Racing Veracruz vs Montaneses FC 0-2 63% 71% -11.4 23% 27% -14.1 14% 12% 8.4
03.09.23 Sporting Canamy vs CD Pioneros de Cancun 2-2 51% 54% -5.2 24% 29% -15.3 25% 29% -16.5
04.09.23 Real Apodaca FC vs Dragones Toluca 1-1 54% 56% -4.1 25% 31% -18.6 20% 24% -16.5
09.09.23 Alacranes de Durango vs Calor de San Pedro 2-1 75% 81% -7.7 17% 20% -16.9 8% 10% -12.8
09.09.23 CA San Juan de Aragon vs Aguacateros de Periban FC 1-2 32% 33% -3.7 27% 32% -15.6 41% 47% -12.6
09.09.23 Inter Playa del Carmen vs Sporting Canamy 1-1 68% 73% -6.2 19% 22% -16.5 13% 16% -18.8
09.09.23 Leones Negros II vs Chihuahua FC 0-2 14% 17% -15.1 19% 23% -16.1 67% 72% -7.2
10.09.23 CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Escorpiones FC 0-1 52% 53% -2.3 25% 30% -18.1 23% 29% -19.7
10.09.23 Club Jaiba Brava vs Racing Veracruz 0-0 65% 74% -12.2 20% 22% -10.1 15% 15% -2.4
10.09.23 Colima FC vs Correcaminos UAT II 2-4 47% 49% -4.2 25% 30% -15.9 28% 33% -16.6
10.09.23 Dragones Toluca vs Coras FC 1-2 29% 30% -3.6 24% 28% -11.9 46% 53% -13.3
10.09.23 Halcones de Zapopan vs Petroleros Salamanca 0-1 36% 34% 6.0 26% 30% -14.6 38% 48% -19.8
10.09.23 Lobos ULMX vs Inter de Queretaro 1-1 65% 68% -4.8 21% 26% -19.0 14% 17% -19.5
10.09.23 Los Cabos United vs Real Apodaca FC 3-1 80% 85% -5.9 13% 17% -19.3 7% 9% -21.3
10.09.23 Montaneses FC vs Jaguares Chiapas 1-2 38% 38% -0.1 28% 34% -17.2 34% 41% -16.1
10.09.23 Tritones Vallarta MFC vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1-1 44% 44% -2.0 28% 34% -17.8 29% 34% -15.7
10.09.23 UA Zacatecas vs Tecos UA de Guadalajara 1-1 60% 65% -7.5 23% 28% -17.1 17% 19% -13.2
12.09.23 CD Pioneros de Cancun vs Deportiva Venados 1-1 26% 26% 0.6 25% 29% -13.6 48% 56% -14.4
15.09.23 Correcaminos UAT II vs Tritones Vallarta MFC 2-0 27% 29% -6.2 24% 28% -12.7 49% 56% -11.8
16.09.23 Calor de San Pedro vs Cimarrones II 1-0 37% 38% -5.1 28% 33% -16.6 36% 41% -12.6
16.09.23 Chihuahua FC vs Mineros de Fresnillo 2-0 74% 79% -6.7 17% 21% -17.1 9% 11% -14.7
16.09.23 Deportiva Venados vs Inter Playa del Carmen 1-1 43% 47% -7.8 26% 31% -15.0 31% 35% -11.8
16.09.23 Petroleros Salamanca vs Yalmakan FC 2-0 52% 60% -12.2 23% 27% -12.2 24% 26% -7.5
16.09.23 Saltillo Soccer FC vs UA Zacatecas 2-1 36% 37% -2.5 27% 32% -15.5 37% 43% -13.9
16.09.23 Tecos UA de Guadalajara vs Colima FC 2-0 52% 55% -5.7 25% 30% -16.5 23% 27% -14.4
17.09.23 Aguacateros de Periban FC vs Halcones de Zapopan 1-1 72% 76% -5.1 18% 22% -19.8 10% 12% -19.6
17.09.23 Escorpiones FC vs Montaneses FC 1-1 54% 60% -10.1 24% 28% -14.1 22% 24% -9.8
17.09.23 Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Leones Negros II 3-0 70% 73% -4.1 18% 22% -19.9 12% 16% -23.8
17.09.23 Inter de Queretaro vs CA San Juan de Aragon 2-4 39% 42% -7.4 26% 30% -14.4 35% 40% -12.5
17.09.23 Irapuato FC vs CD Pioneros de Cancun 4-1 64% 66% -2.2 20% 25% -20.0 16% 21% -24.6
17.09.23 Jaguares Chiapas vs Club Jaiba Brava 2-1 31% 31% -1.8 27% 32% -15.7 42% 49% -13.7
17.09.23 Racing Veracruz vs Lobos ULMX 1-0 46% 49% -5.3 27% 32% -16.8 27% 31% -13.7
17.09.23 Sporting Canamy vs CF Reboceros La Piedad 2-0 33% 33% -1.2 26% 30% -14.3 41% 49% -15.8
18.09.23 Real Apodaca FC vs Alacranes de Durango 0-2 17% 20% -15.6 22% 26% -17.5 61% 65% -6.1
19.09.23 CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Dragones Toluca 1-0 52% 51% 2.6 24% 30% -20.4 24% 32% -25.5
23.09.23 CA San Juan de Aragon vs Racing Veracruz 1-2 30% 36% -14.9 25% 29% -15.0 45% 48% -6.3
23.09.23 Cimarrones II vs Real Apodaca FC 3-0 63% 66% -4.3 20% 24% -17.2 16% 21% -21.1
23.09.23 Inter Playa del Carmen vs Irapuato FC 0-0 50% 53% -6.6 26% 30% -15.8 25% 29% -13.3
23.09.23 Petroleros Salamanca vs CD Pioneros de Cancun 1-3 65% 72% -9.0 21% 24% -13.8 14% 15% -8.8
23.09.23 Saltillo Soccer FC vs Calor de San Pedro 1-0 67% 72% -7.0 20% 23% -15.6 13% 15% -14.8
24.09.23 CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Montaneses FC 1-1 51% 54% -5.4 25% 29% -15.8 24% 29% -15.7
24.09.23 Dragones Toluca vs Chihuahua FC 1-3 6% 7% -9.3 15% 18% -18.3 79% 84% -6.4
24.09.23 Halcones de Zapopan vs Inter de Queretaro 0-1 55% 58% -5.7 25% 30% -17.8 21% 24% -15.7
24.09.23 Lobos ULMX vs Jaguares Chiapas 0-1 33% 31% 5.8 26% 31% -15.6 41% 51% -19.6
24.09.23 Sporting Canamy vs Deportiva Venados 1-2 36% 38% -5.9 25% 29% -12.5 40% 45% -13.1
24.09.23 UA Zacatecas vs Colima FC 3-1 71% 76% -6.0 19% 23% -19.1 10% 12% -16.9
24.09.23 Yalmakan FC vs Aguacateros de Periban FC 3-2 24% 26% -9.6 22% 26% -12.4 54% 61% -11.3
26.09.23 Mineros de Fresnillo vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros 3-0 35% 38% -6.8 27% 31% -15.0 38% 43% -12.0
29.09.23 Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo 2-0 46% 52% -10.4 25% 29% -14.7 29% 32% -11.6
29.09.23 Tecos UA de Guadalajara vs Leones Negros II 4-0 63% 67% -6.0 21% 25% -16.0 16% 19% -16.5
30.09.23 Chihuahua FC vs Los Cabos United 1-0 62% 67% -6.7 22% 26% -15.8 16% 19% -14.8
30.09.23 Deportiva Venados vs CF Reboceros La Piedad 2-1 47% 49% -2.9 26% 31% -17.1 27% 33% -18.6
30.09.23 Petroleros Salamanca vs Inter Playa del Carmen 3-1 28% 32% -13.5 25% 29% -15.4 47% 51% -7.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 1419 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

55 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Santiago 1831.15
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 1764.31
3 Aguacateros de Periban FC 1741.73
4 Inter Playa del Carmen 1726.17
5 Cimarrones 1716.26
6 Deportiva Venados 1712.07
7 Vaqueros Reynosa FC 1684.15
8 Faraones Texcoco 1663.35
9 Halcones de Zapopan 1663.02
10 Club Atletico Celaya 1660.20
11 Tigres de Alica 1654.22
12 Guerreros del Pacifico FC 1650.66
13 Leones Negros II 1648.89
14 Jaguares Chiapas 1645.81
15 Mineros de Fresnillo 1630.62
16 Tapachula Soconusco FC 1623.89
17 Saltillo Soccer FC 1621.17
18 Artesanos Metepec FC 1617.48
19 Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1614.78
20 CD Pioneros de Cancun 1610.27
21 Montaneses FC 1601.29
22 H2O Purepechas 1600.00
23 Tecos UA de Guadalajara 1597.60
24 Real Refineros CDS 1594.79
25 Zacatepec FC 1594.12
26 Atletico Saltillo 1587.11
27 Deportivo Delfines de Coatzacoalcos 1578.62
28 Halcones Negros FC 1560.94
29 Heroes de Zaci 1559.13
30 Tritones Vallarta MFC 1554.57
31 Correcaminos UAT II 1552.67
32 Petroleros Salamanca 1552.03
33 Chilpancingo 1550.45
34 Los Cabos United 1545.42
35 La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez 1543.21
36 Acambaro FC 1531.49
37 Real Apodaca FC 1525.23
38 Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1523.13
39 Acatlan FC 1522.90
40 Agricultores FC Guasave 1513.54
41 Lobos ULMX 1497.13
42 Cordobes FC 1495.95
43 CF Reboceros La Piedad 1488.73
44 Sporting Canamy 1479.91
45 Dragones Toluca 1471.61
46 UA Zacatecas 1462.70
47 Zitacuaro CF 1443.57
48 Ensenada FC 1434.46
49 Guerreros de Autlan 1433.95
50 Ciervos FC 1404.93
51 Canoneros Marina 1398.47
52 Calor de San Pedro 1389.78
53 Colima FC 1376.22
54 Neza FC 1354.45
55 CA San Juan de Aragon 1262.57

Away Ratings

55 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Deportiva Venados 1677.42
2 Aguacateros de Periban FC 1672.40
3 Guerreros del Pacifico FC 1657.30
4 Club Atletico Celaya 1653.55
5 Cimarrones 1650.96
6 Correcaminos UAT II 1626.23
7 Deportivo Delfines de Coatzacoalcos 1623.90
8 Faraones Texcoco 1617.35
9 Tigres de Alica 1617.13
10 La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez 1607.08
11 CD Pioneros de Cancun 1605.76
12 Mineros de Fresnillo 1604.52
13 Atletico Saltillo 1588.45
14 Leones Negros II 1586.22
15 Jaguares Chiapas 1582.17
16 Montaneses FC 1573.63
17 FC Santiago 1573.45
18 Halcones de Zapopan 1571.68
19 Tecos UA de Guadalajara 1563.77
20 Saltillo Soccer FC 1556.10
21 Inter Playa del Carmen 1551.10
22 Acambaro FC 1546.75
23 Zacatepec FC 1540.66
24 Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1539.69
25 Guerreros de Autlan 1537.44
26 Los Cabos United 1528.32
27 Real Apodaca FC 1522.61
28 CF Reboceros La Piedad 1506.70
29 Tritones Vallarta MFC 1500.05
30 Vaqueros Reynosa FC 1499.56
31 Artesanos Metepec FC 1495.92
32 Tapachula Soconusco FC 1493.65
33 Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1493.09
34 Lobos ULMX 1490.72
35 Halcones Negros FC 1483.93
36 Chilpancingo 1444.50
37 Dragones de Oaxaca 1444.23
38 Real Refineros CDS 1441.86
39 Sporting Canamy 1441.77
40 Calor de San Pedro 1440.59
41 Petroleros Salamanca 1429.96
42 UA Zacatecas 1418.70
43 Dragones Toluca 1412.84
44 Heroes de Zaci 1398.93
45 Cordobes FC 1394.66
46 Zitacuaro CF 1381.47
47 Ensenada FC 1366.89
48 H2O Purepechas 1324.31
49 Neza FC 1322.69
50 Colima FC 1316.45
51 Agricultores FC Guasave 1305.63
52 Acatlan FC 1297.37
53 Ciervos FC 1235.41
54 CA San Juan de Aragon 1155.14
55 Canoneros Marina 1151.91