ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 293
Avg Goals 2.87
Avg Home 1.65
Avg Away 1.22
Home Win % 47.1%
Draw % 22.9%
Away Win % 30.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 293
Avg Brier Score 0.5337
Pick Accuracy 59.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5398
Market Brier 0.5385
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 50.0%
ROI (flat stake) 5.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 293 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit 0.10 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 50.0% 2.00 0.10 5.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.4% 8.3% 48
10–20% 15.5% 9.5% 137
20–30% 24.8% 26.0% 331
30–40% 34.9% 25.3% 99
40–50% 44.7% 53.8% 93
50–60% 54.6% 50.6% 79
60–70% 64.0% 73.5% 34
70–80% 74.7% 81.1% 37
80–90% 84.5% 94.1% 17
90–100% 91.4% 100.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
12.08.23 Canoneros Marina vs CF Pachuca II 0-1 29% 38% -25.9 23% 29% -18.5 48% 45% 6.0
12.08.23 Chilangos FC vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 1-1 43% 42% 1.9 24% 29% -15.3 33% 42% -21.3
13.08.23 Zitacuaro CF vs Acambaro FC 2-0 44% 45% -3.6 26% 30% -15.6 31% 36% -15.8
19.08.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Chilangos FC 3-0 54% 53% 1.3 23% 29% -19.6 23% 31% -24.8
19.08.23 FC Santiago vs CD Ayense 1-1 60% 66% -10.1 22% 25% -12.5 19% 20% -7.1
20.08.23 Acambaro FC vs Deportivo Dongu FC 5-0 45% 53% -15.4 25% 29% -13.7 30% 29% 0.6
20.08.23 Artesanos Metepec FC vs Ciervos FC 2-0 55% 54% 2.1 22% 27% -18.9 23% 31% -25.5
20.08.23 Zitacuaro CF vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 0-0 60% 62% -3.7 22% 28% -19.2 17% 22% -20.1
25.08.23 Deportivo Dongu FC vs CD Ayense 3-8 20% 22% -7.5 22% 26% -12.9 58% 65% -10.8
27.08.23 Acambaro FC vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 3-0 50% 56% -10.0 25% 29% -15.3 25% 28% -9.8
27.08.23 CD Uruapan vs CF Pachuca II 0-1 59% 66% -9.7 22% 26% -14.7 18% 20% -9.2
27.08.23 Zitacuaro CF vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 2-2 47% 50% -6.1 25% 30% -16.1 28% 32% -14.4
02.09.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Acambaro FC 2-2 46% 48% -3.5 25% 29% -15.8 29% 36% -17.9
03.09.23 Caja Oblatos vs CD Uruapan 0-0 41% 39% 4.6 26% 31% -16.9 33% 42% -20.8
08.09.23 Chilangos FC vs Caja Oblatos 1-1 48% 43% 10.2 25% 31% -21.1 27% 38% -27.3
10.09.23 Acambaro FC vs Chilpancingo 0-2 50% 55% -8.6 24% 29% -14.5 25% 29% -11.3
10.09.23 CD Uruapan vs Artesanos Metepec FC 4-2 59% 60% -1.6 22% 28% -19.8 19% 25% -23.3
10.09.23 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 3-2 38% 43% -9.9 24% 28% -12.6 37% 42% -11.4
10.09.23 Zitacuaro CF vs CF Pachuca II 1-3 23% 27% -14.0 23% 26% -14.1 54% 60% -8.5
16.09.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Deportivo Dongu FC 2-1 72% 76% -5.2 16% 20% -18.5 11% 15% -23.2
16.09.23 FC Santiago vs CD Uruapan 1-0 57% 56% 2.7 23% 29% -21.9 20% 27% -26.2
17.09.23 Artesanos Metepec FC vs Chilangos FC 2-1 47% 56% -16.9 24% 28% -12.6 29% 29% 1.6
17.09.23 Caja Oblatos vs Zitacuaro CF 1-3 43% 44% -3.5 26% 31% -16.5 31% 37% -16.3
17.09.23 CF Pachuca II vs Acambaro FC 1-4 64% 63% 1.2 20% 26% -24.3 16% 23% -29.5
23.09.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Chilpancingo 2-1 37% 39% -6.0 26% 30% -15.0 37% 43% -14.0
23.09.23 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs CF Pachuca II 3-1 19% 24% -20.5 21% 26% -16.9 59% 62% -3.9
24.09.23 Acambaro FC vs Caja Oblatos 5-0 70% 74% -4.5 17% 21% -18.7 13% 17% -23.8
24.09.23 CD Uruapan vs CD Ayense 4-4 36% 39% -8.1 24% 28% -12.5 40% 45% -12.7
24.09.23 Zitacuaro CF vs Artesanos Metepec FC 0-0 37% 37% -0.7 25% 29% -13.4 38% 47% -17.2
26.09.23 Ciervos FC vs Caja Oblatos 1-1 35% 41% -13.1 26% 31% -15.1 38% 41% -5.9
01.10.23 Artesanos Metepec FC vs Acambaro FC 0-1 37% 43% -13.8 25% 29% -13.6 38% 41% -7.3
01.10.23 Caja Oblatos vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 1-1 32% 34% -8.3 25% 29% -14.2 43% 49% -11.6
01.10.23 CF Pachuca II vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 2-0 56% 53% 5.1 23% 29% -23.3 22% 30% -29.0
01.10.23 Ciervos FC vs CD Uruapan 1-4 30% 36% -16.9 26% 31% -16.7 45% 47% -3.9
07.10.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Caja Oblatos 4-2 69% 70% -1.1 18% 23% -23.0 13% 18% -28.2
07.10.23 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs Artesanos Metepec FC 1-2 45% 48% -4.8 25% 29% -15.5 30% 36% -16.5
08.10.23 Acambaro FC vs FC Santiago 2-1 62% 68% -9.3 21% 24% -13.2 18% 20% -11.9
08.10.23 Zitacuaro CF vs CD Ayense 1-3 29% 32% -9.3 25% 29% -14.3 46% 51% -9.9
14.10.23 FC Santiago vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 1-1 63% 66% -4.6 20% 24% -16.8 17% 22% -21.6
15.10.23 Artesanos Metepec FC vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 1-0 44% 48% -6.7 24% 28% -12.9 31% 36% -13.7
15.10.23 Caja Oblatos vs Chilpancingo 1-2 23% 27% -15.9 24% 29% -16.2 53% 56% -5.1
20.10.23 Deportivo Dongu FC vs CD Uruapan 2-3 29% 32% -11.2 25% 29% -14.1 47% 52% -9.6
21.10.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs FC Santiago 1-0 41% 44% -7.0 25% 29% -14.2 33% 38% -13.0
22.10.23 Acambaro FC vs Ciervos FC 5-0 89% 93% -5.3 8% 10% -18.8 4% 5% -25.2
29.10.23 Artesanos Metepec FC vs CF Pachuca II 1-3 24% 27% -9.7 24% 28% -13.8 52% 57% -9.6
29.10.23 CD Uruapan vs Chilangos FC 3-1 63% 65% -4.2 21% 26% -19.5 17% 22% -23.0
29.10.23 Ciervos FC vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 1-4 26% 31% -15.4 24% 29% -15.3 49% 53% -6.3
04.11.23 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Ciervos FC 4-0 84% 88% -5.2 11% 14% -23.6 5% 7% -27.5
04.11.23 CF Pachuca II vs FC Santiago 1-0 58% 58% -0.6 22% 28% -19.9 20% 26% -24.1
05.11.23 Caja Oblatos vs Artesanos Metepec FC 0-1 23% 27% -12.7 26% 31% -17.1 51% 55% -6.8
05.11.23 Zitacuaro CF vs CD Uruapan 0-1 30% 31% -3.0 25% 29% -13.7 45% 52% -13.6
11.11.23 CD Uruapan vs Acambaro FC 1-0 32% 38% -18.0 25% 29% -15.3 44% 44% -2.0
11.11.23 FC Santiago vs Caja Oblatos 4-1 78% 81% -3.3 14% 19% -24.4 8% 11% -27.8
15.11.23 Deportivo Dongu FC vs Artesanos Metepec FC 0-3 13% 14% -10.1 19% 22% -13.7 68% 75% -9.1
17.11.23 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs CD Uruapan 0-0 37% 37% -1.4 26% 30% -15.1 38% 45% -16.9
18.11.23 Acambaro FC vs Chilangos FC 3-0 72% 76% -5.1 16% 20% -17.8 11% 14% -21.9
18.11.23 Artesanos Metepec FC vs FC Santiago 1-0 43% 44% -3.5 27% 32% -16.9 30% 36% -15.1
18.11.23 CF Pachuca II vs Ciervos FC 2-1 92% 95% -3.6 6% 8% -30.0 3% 4% -32.9
19.11.23 Caja Oblatos vs CD Ayense 2-4 9% 11% -16.4 15% 18% -15.8 76% 81% -6.7
13.01.24 Acambaro FC vs Zitacuaro CF 5-1 80% 84% -4.4 13% 17% -21.5 7% 9% -24.7
13.01.24 Artesanos Metepec FC vs CD Ayense 3-2 36% 36% 1.7 25% 29% -14.6 39% 48% -19.0
13.01.24 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs CD Uruapan 0-3 46% 45% 0.2 25% 30% -16.8 29% 36% -19.7
13.01.24 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs Chilangos FC 0-2 50% 51% -3.4 25% 29% -16.3 26% 31% -17.3
14.01.24 Caja Oblatos vs Ciervos FC 3-0 56% 58% -3.8 22% 27% -16.7 22% 27% -20.3
19.01.24 Chilangos FC vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 0-0 37% 42% -11.4 25% 29% -13.9 37% 41% -8.6
19.01.24 Deportivo Dongu FC vs Acambaro FC 1-5 2% 3% -30.1 6% 8% -25.6 92% 96% -4.5
20.01.24 Canoneros Marina vs Caja Oblatos 1-0 40% 42% -2.9 26% 30% -15.5 34% 41% -16.9
20.01.24 CD Uruapan vs Chilpancingo 4-1 46% 48% -3.5 25% 29% -15.4 29% 35% -16.9
20.01.24 Ciervos FC vs Artesanos Metepec FC 0-3 10% 14% -25.5 16% 21% -21.7 73% 76% -3.8
20.01.24 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs Zitacuaro CF 0-1 55% 56% -1.9 23% 29% -18.5 21% 27% -21.2
27.01.24 Artesanos Metepec FC vs Canoneros Marina 3-0 80% 82% -2.6 13% 18% -29.0 7% 11% -32.8
27.01.24 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Zitacuaro CF 4-3 46% 44% 4.2 24% 29% -17.5 29% 38% -23.4
27.01.24 CF Pachuca II vs CD Uruapan 0-2 53% 50% 5.6 23% 29% -20.8 25% 34% -27.6
27.01.24 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs Acambaro FC 0-3 8% 10% -15.0 15% 18% -15.7 76% 82% -7.1
28.01.24 CD Ayense vs Deportivo Dongu FC 2-1 88% 91% -3.2 8% 11% -32.1 4% 7% -34.8
02.02.24 Chilangos FC vs CF Pachuca II 2-1 28% 34% -18.2 24% 29% -15.3 48% 49% -2.5
03.02.24 Acambaro FC vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 1-0 74% 74% -0.1 16% 22% -28.1 10% 15% -32.5
03.02.24 CD Uruapan vs Caja Oblatos 3-0 83% 85% -2.1 12% 17% -31.6 5% 8% -33.7
03.02.24 Ciervos FC vs CD Ayense 0-3 5% 7% -28.4 10% 13% -23.6 85% 88% -4.5
03.02.24 Huracanes Izcalli FC vs Deportivo Dongu FC 4-1 74% 74% 0.4 15% 22% -29.3 10% 15% -33.4
10.02.24 Artesanos Metepec FC vs CD Uruapan 1-0 44% 45% -3.2 27% 32% -17.3 29% 35% -15.8
10.02.24 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 2-0 53% 53% -0.4 24% 29% -19.3 23% 30% -23.1
10.02.24 CF Pachuca II vs Zitacuaro CF 1-1 63% 62% 0.8 19% 24% -21.4 18% 25% -28.5
11.02.24 Caja Oblatos vs Chilangos FC 1-2 22% 28% -20.6 23% 29% -18.0 55% 56% -1.9
11.02.24 CD Ayense vs Canoneros Marina 3-0 89% 93% -3.8 7% 10% -29.9 4% 6% -33.2
15.02.24 Chilangos FC vs Artesanos Metepec FC 1-1 24% 28% -12.4 26% 32% -17.9 49% 53% -6.5
16.02.24 Acambaro FC vs CF Pachuca II 1-1 63% 62% 0.0 20% 26% -20.6 17% 23% -25.8
17.02.24 CD Uruapan vs FC Santiago 1-2 44% 49% -10.0 26% 31% -15.5 30% 32% -7.9
18.02.24 Zitacuaro CF vs Caja Oblatos 1-1 59% 56% 5.5 21% 29% -25.0 19% 28% -30.6
24.02.24 Artesanos Metepec FC vs Zitacuaro CF 1-0 75% 76% -1.4 17% 23% -28.2 8% 12% -30.6
24.02.24 CF Pachuca II vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 4-1 70% 71% -1.7 18% 24% -24.6 12% 17% -29.0
25.02.24 Caja Oblatos vs Acambaro FC 2-1 8% 11% -28.8 14% 18% -25.0 79% 82% -3.8
25.02.24 CD Ayense vs CD Uruapan 1-3 54% 55% -0.6 24% 29% -19.6 22% 29% -22.9
01.03.24 Chilangos FC vs CD Ayense 1-2 25% 29% -12.8 25% 29% -15.6 50% 54% -7.0
02.03.24 Acambaro FC vs Artesanos Metepec FC 2-2 52% 53% -3.2 25% 30% -18.0 23% 29% -18.2
02.03.24 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica vs CF Pachuca II 1-0 37% 42% -10.8 26% 31% -15.0 37% 40% -8.3
02.03.24 CD Uruapan vs Ciervos FC 5-1 92% 96% -4.5 6% 8% -29.6 2% 3% -32.4
09.03.24 Artesanos Metepec FC vs Huracanes Izcalli FC 3-0 76% 78% -2.3 15% 21% -26.8 8% 12% -30.3
09.03.24 CF Pachuca II vs Chilpancingo 0-0 52% 55% -4.0 24% 29% -16.9 23% 28% -16.8
10.03.24 Caja Oblatos vs CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 1-2 25% 29% -16.5 25% 31% -17.4 50% 52% -3.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 293 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Racing Veracruz 1820.62
2 Club Celaya 1701.13
3 Irapuato FC 1686.12
4 FC Racing 1680.86
5 Heroes de Zaci FC II (CDMX) 1658.28
6 CD Ayense 1657.96
7 CF Pachuca II 1602.15
8 Club Deportivo Irapuato II 1600.00
9 CD Uruapan 1568.16
10 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 1542.61
11 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 1498.54
12 Real Zamora 1498.24
13 Club Atletico Celaya II 1489.06
14 Huracanes Izcalli FC 1463.51
15 Atletico Hidalgo 1419.31
16 Internacional Laguna 1390.03
17 Caja Oblatos 1379.85

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Racing Veracruz 1758.59
2 Club Celaya 1626.37
3 Club Deportivo Irapuato II 1602.66
4 FC Racing 1572.52
5 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 1569.14
6 Irapuato FC 1557.02
7 Club Atletico Celaya II 1550.00
8 Heroes de Zaci FC II (CDMX) 1550.00
9 Internacional Laguna 1550.00
10 CD Ayense 1545.98
11 CF Pachuca II 1506.89
12 Real Zamora 1469.09
13 CD Uruapan 1422.97
14 Atletico Hidalgo 1368.29
15 CD Petroleros de Poza Rica 1332.93
16 Caja Oblatos 1317.97
17 Huracanes Izcalli FC 1265.36