ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 194
Avg Goals 3.05
Avg Home 1.58
Avg Away 1.47
Home Win % 45.4%
Draw % 15.5%
Away Win % 39.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 194
Avg Brier Score 0.5090
Pick Accuracy 59.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5044
Market Brier 0.5222
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 5
Value Bet Hit Rate 60.0%
ROI (flat stake) 99.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 5 of 194 matches had at least one · staked 5.00, profit 4.95 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 5 60.0% 5.00 4.95 99.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.9% 7.1% 14
10–20% 15.7% 10.7% 131
20–30% 23.7% 20.8% 192
30–40% 35.6% 44.8% 67
40–50% 44.5% 34.5% 55
50–60% 54.8% 65.3% 49
60–70% 64.9% 71.8% 39
70–80% 74.0% 83.3% 30
80–90% 83.3% 100.0% 5
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
19.08.23 Honefoss BK (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 2-0 21% 28% -25.2 21% 28% -23.1 58% 57% 1.3
19.08.23 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 2-1 65% 67% -3.4 19% 24% -21.1 16% 20% -18.1
20.08.23 Grei KE (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1-2 21% 27% -21.4 20% 24% -18.9 59% 60% -2.1
20.08.23 IK Grand Bodo (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 0-1 14% 19% -26.7 17% 22% -23.1 69% 70% -1.6
20.08.23 Klepp IL (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 2-2 29% 34% -13.2 24% 29% -18.4 47% 49% -4.5
26.08.23 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs IK Grand Bodo (W) 1-0 54% 58% -7.7 22% 27% -18.3 24% 27% -10.2
26.08.23 Kolbotn IL (W) vs Honefoss BK (W) 1-0 72% 76% -5.4 16% 20% -21.4 12% 15% -18.5
26.08.23 Tromso IL (W) vs Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) 4-1 54% 56% -4.3 23% 29% -20.7 24% 28% -15.1
27.08.23 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Klepp IL (W) 3-0 72% 77% -5.8 16% 20% -21.2 12% 14% -17.5
27.08.23 KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) vs Grei KE (W) 1-0 64% 66% -3.5 20% 26% -22.7 16% 20% -18.6
02.09.23 Grei KE (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 0-4 15% 20% -25.6 18% 23% -22.8 67% 68% -1.1
02.09.23 Klepp IL (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 0-1 40% 45% -11.3 25% 31% -18.9 35% 36% -4.6
02.09.23 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 2-1 33% 37% -10.1 24% 29% -17.2 43% 47% -7.5
09.09.23 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 0-3 17% 22% -21.3 20% 25% -21.1 63% 65% -3.4
09.09.23 Grei KE (W) vs Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) 2-3 20% 26% -20.1 21% 26% -19.6 59% 61% -2.8
10.09.23 IK Grand Bodo (W) vs Klepp IL (W) 3-0 51% 59% -12.9 23% 28% -17.7 26% 26% -1.5
10.09.23 KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 0-2 25% 29% -16.3 24% 29% -19.9 52% 53% -3.1
16.09.23 Klepp IL (W) vs Grei KE (W) 1-0 43% 49% -12.7 24% 29% -18.2 33% 35% -4.3
16.09.23 Kolbotn IL (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 1-0 73% 77% -4.6 16% 21% -23.0 11% 13% -18.2
16.09.23 Tromso IL (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 2-2 72% 74% -2.6 17% 22% -25.2 12% 15% -23.6
07.10.23 Kolbotn IL (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 1-2 49% 54% -9.0 24% 30% -19.8 26% 29% -7.2
14.10.23 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs IK Grand Bodo (W) 1-2 52% 57% -8.2 23% 28% -18.3 25% 27% -8.1
14.10.23 Tromso IL (W) vs Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) 2-1 66% 70% -4.9 18% 23% -20.8 15% 18% -16.3
15.10.23 Grei KE (W) vs Klepp IL (W) 3-3 44% 49% -9.1 24% 30% -19.2 31% 34% -8.1
21.10.23 Grei KE (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 1-1 29% 34% -14.7 24% 30% -19.3 46% 48% -3.1
21.10.23 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 0-3 21% 25% -17.4 22% 27% -19.8 58% 60% -4.2
22.10.23 Klepp IL (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 0-3 36% 41% -11.7 25% 31% -18.9 39% 40% -3.5
22.10.23 Tromso IL (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 3-0 47% 49% -3.7 24% 29% -19.7 29% 34% -14.7
04.11.23 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Grei KE (W) 0-1 58% 61% -6.3 22% 27% -19.4 21% 24% -11.8
04.11.23 Kolbotn IL (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1-0 60% 62% -4.1 21% 27% -21.3 19% 23% -16.1
04.11.23 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 1-3 23% 27% -13.4 22% 27% -18.1 55% 58% -6.3
12.11.23 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 0-1 34% 37% -8.4 25% 30% -18.1 41% 44% -7.2
12.11.23 KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 4-3 48% 52% -8.2 24% 29% -18.8 29% 31% -8.6
12.11.23 Klepp IL (W) vs IK Grand Bodo (W) 0-0 33% 38% -12.8 24% 29% -18.2 43% 45% -5.3
18.11.23 Honefoss BK (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1-0 45% 51% -10.0 24% 29% -17.7 31% 33% -6.9
18.11.23 IK Grand Bodo (W) vs Grei KE (W) 0-2 49% 52% -6.0 23% 28% -17.9 28% 32% -11.7
18.11.23 Klepp IL (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 1-5 31% 37% -15.3 23% 28% -17.4 46% 48% -4.0
18.11.23 Tromso IL (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 0-2 15% 16% -6.6 20% 24% -17.1 65% 71% -8.6
16.03.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 2-0 18% 19% -7.2 22% 26% -18.1 61% 66% -8.2
23.03.24 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1-1 53% 55% -3.0 22% 27% -19.9 25% 30% -17.5
24.03.24 Tromso IL (W) vs Honefoss BK (W) 1-2 60% 62% -3.2 20% 26% -21.3 19% 24% -18.7
04.05.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Viking FK (W) 1-2 50% 51% -1.2 23% 29% -20.3 27% 33% -17.9
11.05.24 Viking FK (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 1-6 38% 47% -17.3 24% 29% -18.0 37% 36% 2.9
26.05.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 0-1 41% 47% -11.5 24% 29% -18.2 35% 37% -6.1
22.06.24 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 6-0 72% 75% -4.7 16% 21% -21.6 12% 14% -17.0
22.06.24 Viking FK (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 1-2 43% 60% -27.8 22% 27% -18.8 35% 26% 37.0
23.06.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Honefoss BK (W) 0-7 25% 29% -13.9 23% 28% -18.6 53% 56% -6.5
29.06.24 Honefoss BK (W) vs Odds BK (W) 2-0 72% 80% -9.8 16% 18% -14.4 12% 12% -2.0
29.06.24 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs Viking FK (W) 1-1 30% 36% -17.7 21% 26% -16.5 49% 51% -3.7
30.06.24 FK Bodo/Glimt (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 4-0 79% 81% -1.8 12% 17% -28.9 9% 13% -30.9
03.07.24 Odds BK (W) vs FK Bodo/Glimt (W) 0-1 7% 10% -27.2 13% 17% -25.3 80% 83% -3.8
06.07.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 2-1 36% 42% -13.9 24% 29% -18.0 40% 41% -3.1
07.07.24 Viking FK (W) vs FK Bodo/Glimt (W) 1-0 17% 24% -27.0 20% 26% -24.4 63% 62% 1.6
10.08.24 Viking FK (W) vs Odds BK (W) 1-0 57% 64% -10.8 22% 26% -17.6 21% 22% -3.3
17.08.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1-0 9% 11% -19.9 14% 18% -20.8 77% 81% -5.4
17.08.24 KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) vs Viking FK (W) 0-3 34% 41% -16.2 25% 31% -19.2 41% 41% 0.3
24.08.24 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Odds BK (W) 2-1 83% 85% -2.0 11% 15% -31.6 6% 10% -32.6
24.08.24 Viking FK (W) vs Honefoss BK (W) 0-3 21% 27% -22.1 22% 28% -21.7 57% 58% -0.5
31.08.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) 0-3 44% 43% 2.7 23% 29% -20.2 33% 41% -19.6
31.08.24 Honefoss BK (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 1-0 74% 81% -8.1 15% 19% -18.9 10% 11% -8.8
31.08.24 Odds BK (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 2-0 39% 42% -7.3 24% 29% -18.1 37% 42% -10.5
01.09.24 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Viking FK (W) 2-0 77% 78% -0.9 14% 20% -30.2 9% 13% -31.0
08.09.24 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs Odds BK (W) 3-2 54% 55% -2.6 23% 29% -20.8 24% 29% -16.4
08.09.24 Viking FK (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 0-2 63% 68% -8.6 20% 24% -18.4 18% 19% -7.9
06.10.24 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Viking FK (W) 0-4 75% 77% -2.1 15% 20% -26.9 10% 14% -27.0
12.10.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 0-1 39% 44% -12.3 24% 29% -17.8 37% 38% -4.2
13.10.24 Viking FK (W) vs FK Bodo/Glimt (W) 1-2 28% 36% -21.7 24% 30% -21.2 48% 47% 2.5
19.10.24 Viking FK (W) vs Honefoss BK (W) 1-2 20% 26% -22.7 20% 24% -20.1 61% 62% -1.7
20.10.24 KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 2-0 35% 42% -17.2 24% 30% -19.4 41% 41% -0.4
20.10.24 Odds BK (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 3-1 42% 50% -15.3 24% 29% -17.4 33% 32% 3.4
01.11.24 FK Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Viking FK (W) 2-1 74% 79% -6.2 16% 20% -20.8 10% 12% -12.6
02.11.24 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 2-0 33% 38% -11.2 25% 30% -18.6 42% 44% -5.9
02.11.24 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 0-1 48% 56% -14.2 23% 28% -17.0 29% 29% 0.5
09.11.24 Honefoss BK (W) vs Viking FK (W) 1-0 70% 73% -3.6 17% 23% -24.5 12% 16% -21.9
16.11.24 Odds BK (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 7-0 51% 58% -13.6 23% 28% -16.8 26% 26% 2.7
16.11.24 Ovrevoll Hosle IL (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1-2 41% 42% -2.6 23% 28% -17.1 36% 43% -14.5
16.11.24 Viking FK (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 0-1 25% 29% -15.4 22% 27% -18.0 53% 56% -4.7
23.03.25 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Viking FK (W) 1-0 55% 56% -1.4 22% 29% -22.2 23% 29% -19.5
30.03.25 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Ham-Kam (W) 2-0 48% 60% -20.4 21% 24% -12.9 31% 28% 12.8
30.03.25 Asane Fotball (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 0-0 48% 48% -0.1 24% 31% -20.7 28% 33% -16.0
12.04.25 IK Start (W) vs FK Haugesund (W) 1-1 46% 51% -8.8 24% 30% -19.5 30% 32% -8.4
13.04.25 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 4-1 72% 75% -3.7 17% 22% -23.6 11% 14% -18.9
19.04.25 Viking FK (W) vs IK Start (W) 1-1 37% 48% -21.5 23% 28% -17.5 40% 36% 9.2
20.04.25 Asane Fotball (W) vs Tromso IL (W) 3-0 72% 75% -3.6 16% 22% -24.3 12% 15% -21.8
22.04.25 Arna Bjornar (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1-0 52% 51% 2.3 23% 29% -22.2 25% 32% -21.1
26.04.25 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs FK Haugesund (W) 1-2 35% 47% -25.3 24% 31% -21.2 41% 35% 17.0
26.04.25 Tromso IL (W) vs Viking FK (W) 1-1 29% 32% -11.3 25% 30% -19.1 47% 50% -6.2
27.04.25 IK Start (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 0-1 35% 36% -2.7 25% 30% -18.6 41% 47% -12.8
03.05.25 Viking FK (W) vs Molde (W) 1-6 41% 38% 8.3 22% 27% -18.4 37% 48% -22.1
04.05.25 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1-1 42% 42% 0.2 24% 29% -19.3 34% 42% -17.2
04.05.25 Asane Fotball (W) vs IK Start (W) 3-0 63% 66% -4.9 21% 27% -22.1 16% 19% -13.9
04.05.25 Odds BK (W) vs FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1-3 40% 51% -22.1 24% 29% -18.5 36% 31% 15.5
11.05.25 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Viking FK (W) 3-1 46% 43% 6.3 24% 31% -22.4 30% 38% -21.8
11.05.25 IK Start (W) vs Odds BK (W) 0-1 42% 44% -4.8 26% 32% -20.6 32% 36% -11.7
24.05.25 Viking FK (W) vs KIL/Hemne Fotball (W) 5-1 57% 56% 0.6 21% 28% -23.1 22% 29% -22.6
25.05.25 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1-2 14% 17% -15.8 19% 23% -19.2 67% 71% -5.8
25.05.25 IK Start (W) vs Ham-Kam (W) 1-0 52% 48% 9.3 22% 29% -24.6 26% 35% -26.5
25.05.25 Odds BK (W) vs Molde (W) 1-1 28% 29% -4.5 20% 22% -11.3 52% 60% -13.3
08.06.25 Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs IK Start (W) 4-0 76% 79% -3.2 15% 20% -27.2 9% 12% -26.2
14.06.25 Viking FK (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 2-1 26% 29% -9.6 23% 29% -18.0 51% 55% -7.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 194 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 IK Start (W) 1485.94
2 Viking FK (W) 1428.71
3 Arna Bjornar (W) 1417.66
4 Asane Fotball (W) 1384.78
5 Tromso IL (W) 1329.62
6 Odds BK (W) 1277.31
7 Kolbotn IL (W) 1272.89
8 Grei KE (W) 1210.77
9 Bryne FK (W) 1153.21
10 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1149.27
11 Frigg Oslo FK (W) 1028.37
12 Klepp IL (W) 932.58

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Viking FK (W) 1452.71
2 Arna Bjornar (W) 1424.07
3 Asane Fotball (W) 1410.60
4 Tromso IL (W) 1380.60
5 IK Start (W) 1373.81
6 Kolbotn IL (W) 1202.48
7 Odds BK (W) 1185.54
8 Grei KE (W) 1138.53
9 FK Fyllingsdalen (W) 1130.15
10 Bryne FK (W) 1069.74
11 Frigg Oslo FK (W) 1007.59
12 Klepp IL (W) 876.78