ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 366
Avg Goals 3.03
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.41
Home Win % 45.4%
Draw % 17.8%
Away Win % 36.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 366
Avg Brier Score 0.4802
Pick Accuracy 64.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4810
Market Brier 0.4810
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 366 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.1% 6.5% 186
10–20% 15.1% 13.5% 223
20–30% 24.4% 25.6% 266
30–40% 35.2% 39.5% 86
40–50% 44.7% 45.0% 60
50–60% 55.0% 50.0% 64
60–70% 64.4% 65.0% 60
70–80% 75.3% 75.0% 64
80–90% 84.9% 85.3% 68
90–100% 92.4% 85.7% 21
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
23.08.23 Avaldsnes (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 0-0 19% 21% -10.2 22% 26% -12.9 59% 65% -8.9
26.08.23 Arna Bjornar (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 0-1 8% 11% -25.6 14% 17% -22.1 78% 83% -5.1
26.08.23 Avaldsnes (W) vs Roa IL (W) 0-0 22% 25% -11.7 23% 27% -13.5 55% 60% -9.4
26.08.23 Brann Bergen (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 1-0 68% 72% -6.7 19% 23% -15.0 13% 16% -18.4
26.08.23 Valerenga (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 5-1 88% 93% -5.3 8% 11% -20.7 4% 6% -27.8
02.09.23 Asane Fotball (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 0-1 9% 11% -11.7 15% 17% -12.5 76% 82% -7.9
02.09.23 FK Lyn (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 1-1 45% 52% -12.3 26% 30% -13.4 28% 30% -6.6
02.09.23 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 1-0 83% 88% -6.5 11% 12% -12.5 6% 8% -21.6
02.09.23 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 4-0 92% 97% -5.3 6% 7% -19.9 2% 3% -25.9
05.09.23 Stabaek IF (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 1-5 14% 17% -17.5 19% 22% -15.8 68% 72% -6.8
09.09.23 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Roa IL (W) 3-0 21% 25% -16.0 23% 26% -14.5 56% 61% -6.8
09.09.23 FK Lyn (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 0-2 12% 15% -15.8 18% 21% -15.0 70% 75% -7.4
13.09.23 Brann Bergen (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 4-0 77% 82% -6.4 15% 17% -14.7 8% 11% -19.7
13.09.23 Valerenga (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 2-2 56% 62% -10.4 24% 27% -12.2 20% 22% -8.7
16.09.23 Asane Fotball (W) vs Valerenga (W) 1-1 5% 6% -18.9 10% 12% -17.8 85% 90% -5.7
16.09.23 Avaldsnes (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 0-8 7% 9% -19.7 14% 17% -18.5 79% 84% -5.9
16.09.23 LSK Kvinner (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 1-1 64% 69% -7.4 21% 24% -13.8 15% 18% -16.5
16.09.23 Roa IL (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 0-3 8% 9% -13.8 13% 15% -13.5 79% 85% -7.3
16.09.23 Stabaek IF (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 1-0 63% 68% -8.0 20% 22% -11.3 17% 21% -18.0
04.10.23 Brann Bergen (W) vs Roa IL (W) 0-0 80% 85% -6.7 13% 15% -15.0 7% 9% -21.2
04.10.23 Valerenga (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 4-2 91% 96% -5.7 6% 8% -18.9 3% 4% -26.4
07.10.23 FK Lyn (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 2-0 75% 82% -9.1 16% 18% -10.0 9% 10% -8.9
07.10.23 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 1-0 87% 91% -4.6 9% 12% -25.6 4% 6% -30.2
07.10.23 Stabaek IF (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 1-2 21% 25% -15.5 24% 28% -15.4 55% 59% -5.9
14.10.23 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 0-4 8% 10% -23.6 13% 17% -20.1 79% 83% -5.4
14.10.23 Roa IL (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 0-1 20% 24% -16.1 22% 26% -14.2 58% 62% -7.3
14.10.23 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 1-1 82% 87% -5.4 12% 15% -19.2 6% 8% -24.6
14.10.23 Valerenga (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 1-0 90% 97% -7.7 7% 8% -2.9 3% 3% -8.2
21.10.23 Stabaek IF (W) vs Roa IL (W) 4-2 48% 54% -10.3 25% 29% -12.3 26% 29% -10.0
22.10.23 FK Lyn (W) vs Valerenga (W) 0-3 14% 15% -6.1 20% 22% -11.4 66% 74% -11.1
04.11.23 Arna Bjornar (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 0-3 6% 7% -10.7 13% 15% -14.0 81% 88% -7.5
04.11.23 Roa IL (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 2-2 33% 35% -5.1 27% 31% -13.6 40% 47% -13.7
04.11.23 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 1-1 90% 94% -4.6 7% 10% -24.0 3% 4% -28.8
04.11.23 Valerenga (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 1-1 40% 50% -19.2 25% 28% -11.7 35% 35% 0.6
11.11.23 Avaldsnes (W) vs Roa IL (W) 1-0 29% 32% -11.6 26% 30% -14.7 46% 51% -9.7
11.11.23 FK Lyn (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 3-2 15% 20% -25.4 19% 24% -21.1 66% 67% -1.9
11.11.23 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 1-1 34% 36% -7.5 25% 29% -11.3 41% 47% -11.8
11.11.23 Valerenga (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 3-1 79% 86% -7.9 13% 14% -10.3 8% 10% -18.3
18.11.23 Arna Bjornar (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 2-2 17% 17% -2.9 20% 22% -8.8 63% 72% -12.7
18.11.23 Brann Bergen (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 2-2 39% 38% 0.3 26% 30% -14.4 35% 44% -20.2
18.11.23 Roa IL (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 2-0 47% 50% -5.9 25% 29% -14.2 28% 33% -16.9
18.11.23 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Valerenga (W) 3-0 54% 58% -7.8 24% 29% -14.4 22% 26% -14.5
18.11.23 Stabaek IF (W) vs Avaldsnes (W) 5-0 67% 74% -9.2 20% 22% -11.6 14% 15% -11.8
16.03.24 Asane Fotball (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 1-1 32% 34% -7.1 27% 32% -15.3 41% 47% -12.6
16.03.24 Kolbotn IL (W) vs Roa IL (W) 2-4 38% 37% 1.5 26% 30% -13.5 36% 44% -18.6
16.03.24 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 4-2 33% 34% -4.0 27% 31% -13.9 40% 47% -14.0
16.03.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 3-0 90% 95% -5.3 7% 10% -23.4 2% 3% -27.5
18.03.24 Valerenga (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 3-1 76% 82% -7.3 15% 18% -15.0 9% 11% -18.6
23.03.24 FK Lyn (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 0-1 12% 15% -18.7 18% 22% -17.5 70% 75% -6.2
23.03.24 Roa IL (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 1-0 17% 20% -15.2 23% 28% -17.6 60% 65% -6.7
23.03.24 Stabaek IF (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 2-0 64% 73% -11.8 19% 21% -6.5 16% 17% -7.0
13.04.24 Asane Fotball (W) vs Roa IL (W) 0-1 32% 36% -12.0 26% 29% -13.0 42% 47% -8.8
13.04.24 Brann Bergen (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 2-1 79% 83% -4.9 16% 20% -20.9 5% 6% -15.8
13.04.24 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 3-0 86% 90% -4.8 9% 12% -22.1 5% 7% -28.8
13.04.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 1-0 70% 77% -8.6 18% 21% -12.6 11% 13% -13.9
19.04.24 FK Lyn (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 1-0 15% 17% -16.1 18% 20% -12.1 68% 74% -8.4
20.04.24 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 1-2 13% 15% -15.4 17% 19% -12.0 70% 77% -8.7
20.04.24 Asane Fotball (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 0-3 11% 14% -23.4 15% 18% -17.8 74% 78% -5.1
20.04.24 Kolbotn IL (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 0-1 7% 8% -14.7 12% 14% -12.9 80% 87% -7.5
20.04.24 Roa IL (W) vs Valerenga (W) 0-2 15% 17% -13.9 18% 20% -10.6 67% 74% -8.7
23.04.24 Valerenga (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 3-2 75% 82% -8.3 16% 17% -9.9 9% 11% -12.5
27.04.24 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 3-1 75% 79% -5.4 16% 20% -19.8 9% 12% -24.4
27.04.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Roa IL (W) 1-0 80% 85% -6.8 14% 17% -16.8 6% 8% -19.4
27.04.24 Stabaek IF (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 0-1 16% 20% -21.5 21% 26% -19.3 64% 67% -4.6
27.04.24 Valerenga (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 3-1 78% 84% -6.6 14% 16% -14.8 8% 10% -21.4
04.05.24 Asane Fotball (W) vs Valerenga (W) 0-3 7% 8% -14.4 14% 17% -16.8 79% 85% -7.2
04.05.24 FK Lyn (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 1-7 37% 42% -12.1 26% 30% -13.5 37% 41% -8.9
04.05.24 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 2-1 79% 84% -5.5 12% 14% -16.3 9% 12% -27.1
04.05.24 Roa IL (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 4-0 80% 87% -8.2 14% 15% -11.9 7% 8% -13.6
05.05.24 Brann Bergen (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 2-1 48% 53% -9.0 27% 31% -14.8 25% 28% -10.1
10.05.24 Valerenga (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 1-0 59% 64% -7.3 23% 27% -14.5 18% 21% -14.3
11.05.24 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 0-10 2% 2% -27.4 5% 6% -24.4 94% 98% -4.5
11.05.24 Kolbotn IL (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 2-2 35% 38% -7.7 26% 30% -13.1 38% 43% -12.2
11.05.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 2-1 83% 88% -5.9 11% 13% -16.6 6% 8% -25.0
11.05.24 Stabaek IF (W) vs Roa IL (W) 1-0 45% 53% -14.5 25% 29% -11.6 29% 30% -3.4
15.05.24 Brann Bergen (W) vs Roa IL (W) 1-1 80% 87% -7.9 13% 14% -9.1 7% 8% -13.6
15.05.24 FK Lyn (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 1-0 78% 84% -7.6 14% 17% -13.3 8% 10% -17.4
15.05.24 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 3-2 54% 56% -3.6 24% 29% -15.6 22% 28% -19.5
15.05.24 Valerenga (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 0-1 48% 52% -8.1 26% 29% -13.3 27% 31% -12.7
20.05.24 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Valerenga (W) 1-3 1% 2% -28.1 3% 4% -24.1 95% 99% -3.8
20.05.24 Kolbotn IL (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 2-6 5% 7% -21.6 10% 12% -16.9 85% 90% -5.8
20.05.24 Roa IL (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 1-2 51% 58% -11.3 26% 31% -14.6 22% 24% -5.7
20.05.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 3-2 53% 56% -4.1 26% 31% -17.7 21% 26% -18.1
20.05.24 Stabaek IF (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 3-2 68% 74% -8.1 19% 22% -13.3 13% 15% -14.5
25.05.24 Brann Bergen (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 0-1 75% 80% -6.8 16% 18% -13.2 10% 12% -18.2
25.05.24 FK Lyn (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 0-2 56% 61% -7.3 23% 27% -13.2 21% 24% -15.2
25.05.24 Valerenga (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 4-1 91% 96% -5.5 7% 9% -19.4 2% 3% -22.2
08.06.24 Brann Bergen (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 1-0 68% 73% -7.1 19% 22% -14.2 13% 16% -17.8
08.06.24 FK Lyn (W) vs Valerenga (W) 2-0 8% 10% -20.8 13% 16% -17.2 79% 84% -6.4
08.06.24 Roa IL (W) vs Stabaek IF (W) 1-0 32% 36% -11.3 26% 30% -14.1 42% 47% -10.3
08.06.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 3-1 81% 85% -5.0 12% 15% -19.1 7% 10% -26.2
15.06.24 Arna Bjornar (W) vs Roa IL (W) 0-1 14% 15% -8.0 20% 23% -12.8 66% 74% -10.2
15.06.24 LSK Kvinner (W) vs Rosenborg BK (W) 3-1 26% 28% -6.7 26% 30% -14.4 48% 55% -11.9
15.06.24 Stabaek IF (W) vs FK Lyn (W) 0-0 55% 56% -2.1 23% 29% -17.9 21% 28% -23.5
15.06.24 Valerenga (W) vs Brann Bergen (W) 2-0 31% 32% -3.0 26% 30% -13.3 42% 50% -15.1
22.06.24 Brann Bergen (W) vs Arna Bjornar (W) 5-1 95% 99% -4.4 4% 5% -27.0 1% 2% -31.5
22.06.24 FK Lyn (W) vs Asane Fotball (W) 1-0 60% 65% -7.8 23% 27% -14.4 17% 20% -13.2
22.06.24 Roa IL (W) vs Kolbotn IL (W) 2-1 60% 65% -8.4 23% 27% -14.4 17% 20% -13.5
22.06.24 Rosenborg BK (W) vs Valerenga (W) 1-2 39% 42% -7.2 27% 31% -14.2 34% 39% -13.2
22.06.24 Stabaek IF (W) vs LSK Kvinner (W) 0-1 38% 38% -0.2 27% 31% -14.5 36% 43% -18.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 366 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Brann Bergen (W) 2140.21
2 Rosenborg BK (W) 1838.19
3 Valerenga (W) 1815.93
4 Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1814.15
5 Stabaek IF (W) 1646.43
6 FK Lyn (W) 1616.23
7 FK Haugesund (W) 1589.41
8 Molde (W) 1550.74
9 Honefoss BK (W) 1540.90
10 LSK Kvinner (W) 1501.54
11 Roa IL (W) 1492.25
12 FK Bodo/Glimt (W) 1194.94

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Brann Bergen (W) 2011.14
2 Valerenga (W) 1865.38
3 Rosenborg BK (W) 1786.31
4 Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1764.37
5 FK Lyn (W) 1656.24
6 Stabaek IF (W) 1612.66
7 FK Haugesund (W) 1548.28
8 Honefoss BK (W) 1493.65
9 Molde (W) 1483.83
10 LSK Kvinner (W) 1469.01
11 Roa IL (W) 1388.90
12 FK Bodo/Glimt (W) 1163.04