ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 657
Avg Goals 3.20
Avg Home 1.73
Avg Away 1.47
Home Win % 44.1%
Draw % 22.2%
Away Win % 33.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 657
Avg Brier Score 0.5934
Pick Accuracy 53.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5969
Market Brier 0.5934
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 657 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.4% 0.0% 14
10–20% 16.5% 18.6% 194
20–30% 24.5% 22.3% 858
30–40% 35.0% 35.8% 338
40–50% 44.8% 45.7% 293
50–60% 55.1% 61.5% 169
60–70% 64.8% 61.0% 77
70–80% 74.2% 84.0% 25
80–90% 81.4% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 FK Jerv vs Moss FK 1-1 42% 47% -9.8 26% 29% -12.2 32% 34% -6.5
05.08.23 Mjøndalen IF vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 3-0 43% 47% -7.1 26% 30% -13.0 30% 33% -8.8
06.08.23 Bryne FK vs Ranheim Trondheim 1-0 50% 56% -10.7 24% 27% -10.1 26% 27% -3.5
06.08.23 KFUM-Kam. Oslo vs Asane Fotball 2-1 63% 66% -5.1 20% 23% -12.1 17% 20% -15.6
06.08.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Raufoss Fotball 1-3 65% 70% -8.2 20% 22% -9.8 15% 17% -8.0
06.08.23 Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal IL 1-2 32% 38% -14.2 24% 28% -12.2 43% 45% -4.9
09.08.23 Asane Fotball vs Mjøndalen IF 3-2 48% 53% -7.9 24% 27% -11.0 27% 31% -10.7
09.08.23 Fredrikstad FK vs Bryne FK 2-1 63% 67% -6.0 22% 26% -13.5 15% 17% -9.0
09.08.23 Moss FK vs KFUM-Kam. Oslo 0-1 31% 34% -11.4 26% 29% -13.1 44% 47% -5.6
09.08.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs Kongsvinger IL 1-4 28% 33% -16.1 25% 29% -14.2 48% 49% -2.6
09.08.23 Raufoss Fotball vs FK Jerv 2-3 45% 51% -11.2 25% 29% -11.2 30% 31% -3.3
13.08.23 Bryne FK vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 2-1 46% 52% -10.3 27% 31% -13.5 27% 28% -3.2
13.08.23 IK Start Kristiansand vs Sogndal IL 2-0 41% 47% -11.7 24% 27% -9.7 35% 36% -5.0
13.08.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Asane Fotball 3-1 62% 67% -7.3 21% 23% -10.3 17% 19% -10.4
13.08.23 Mjøndalen IF vs Ranheim Trondheim 1-2 43% 48% -9.8 24% 27% -9.7 33% 35% -7.0
13.08.23 Sandnes Ulf vs Moss FK 2-0 42% 47% -9.4 25% 29% -11.0 32% 34% -5.9
13.08.23 Skeid Fotball vs Raufoss Fotball 1-2 36% 40% -10.1 26% 29% -12.2 38% 41% -6.4
19.08.23 FK Jerv vs Sandnes Ulf 0-2 42% 47% -10.5 24% 27% -9.3 34% 36% -5.2
19.08.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs Skeid Fotball 2-0 52% 57% -8.7 25% 29% -12.6 23% 24% -6.2
19.08.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs KFUM-Kam. Oslo 4-2 26% 30% -13.8 24% 28% -13.2 50% 52% -4.0
19.08.23 Sogndal IL vs Kongsvinger IL 3-3 42% 48% -10.9 25% 29% -11.6 32% 34% -6.3
20.08.23 Asane Fotball vs Bryne FK 2-1 43% 48% -9.1 25% 29% -11.4 31% 34% -7.3
20.08.23 Moss FK vs Mjøndalen IF 4-1 47% 50% -5.3 25% 29% -12.3 28% 31% -11.8
20.08.23 Raufoss Fotball vs IK Start Kristiansand 2-1 38% 43% -12.7 25% 29% -11.7 37% 38% -4.3
23.08.23 Bryne FK vs Moss FK 3-1 42% 47% -10.3 26% 30% -13.1 32% 34% -5.9
23.08.23 IK Start Kristiansand vs Asane Fotball 1-0 57% 62% -7.8 21% 23% -7.9 21% 24% -10.0
23.08.23 KFUM-Kam. Oslo vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 0-1 63% 67% -5.8 21% 24% -12.6 15% 17% -10.9
23.08.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Fredrikstad FK 1-2 38% 42% -8.1 27% 31% -13.1 35% 38% -7.3
23.08.23 Kristiansund BK vs Sandnes Ulf 0-1 56% 61% -7.5 22% 24% -10.1 22% 25% -12.1
23.08.23 Raufoss Fotball vs Sogndal IL 3-0 35% 40% -13.6 25% 28% -11.0 41% 42% -2.3
23.08.23 Skeid Fotball vs Ranheim Trondheim 0-1 34% 38% -10.5 25% 28% -10.7 41% 43% -6.2
27.08.23 Asane Fotball vs Raufoss Fotball 3-1 37% 41% -8.8 25% 28% -10.2 38% 41% -7.3
27.08.23 FK Jerv vs Bryne FK 1-3 43% 48% -10.1 25% 28% -10.1 32% 34% -5.0
27.08.23 Fredrikstad FK vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 1-0 71% 75% -6.2 19% 22% -14.2 10% 11% -9.2
27.08.23 Kongsvinger IL vs KFUM-Kam. Oslo 1-1 45% 49% -7.9 25% 29% -11.3 30% 32% -7.9
27.08.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs IK Start Kristiansand 0-0 35% 40% -12.6 25% 28% -11.0 40% 42% -4.4
27.08.23 Sandnes Ulf vs Mjøndalen IF 1-0 48% 51% -5.5 24% 26% -9.6 28% 32% -11.7
27.08.23 Sogndal IL vs Skeid Fotball 2-0 76% 82% -7.0 15% 16% -8.4 9% 10% -11.1
28.08.23 Moss FK vs Kristiansund BK 0-3 31% 34% -10.1 25% 28% -11.2 44% 48% -6.9
01.09.23 Skeid Fotball vs Asane Fotball 1-3 29% 31% -8.2 25% 28% -11.2 47% 51% -7.6
02.09.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs Kongsvinger IL 2-1 27% 32% -16.7 26% 30% -15.8 48% 48% -0.0
02.09.23 Sogndal IL vs Ranheim Trondheim 1-2 60% 65% -8.1 21% 24% -10.5 19% 21% -10.5
03.09.23 Bryne FK vs Sandnes Ulf 3-0 46% 51% -10.1 25% 28% -10.6 29% 31% -5.6
03.09.23 Raufoss Fotball vs Moss FK 1-1 50% 55% -9.0 25% 28% -10.9 26% 27% -5.5
15.09.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs Raufoss Fotball 1-3 38% 42% -9.4 26% 29% -12.0 36% 38% -6.7
16.09.23 Sandnes Ulf vs KFUM-Kam. Oslo 1-2 28% 31% -10.9 25% 29% -12.7 47% 50% -5.6
17.09.23 Asane Fotball vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 1-0 46% 51% -8.6 26% 29% -12.5 28% 30% -7.3
17.09.23 Fredrikstad FK vs Sogndal IL 2-1 52% 56% -7.4 24% 27% -11.1 24% 26% -8.9
17.09.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Kristiansund BK 1-1 47% 51% -9.3 25% 28% -11.1 29% 31% -7.9
17.09.23 Mjøndalen IF vs Bryne FK 2-1 41% 45% -10.9 25% 29% -11.4 34% 36% -6.0
17.09.23 Moss FK vs Skeid Fotball 3-0 62% 67% -7.7 21% 24% -11.5 17% 19% -10.9
23.09.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs FK Jerv 2-2 48% 54% -11.6 25% 29% -11.7 27% 28% -2.8
23.09.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs Fredrikstad FK 1-2 22% 26% -12.3 23% 27% -13.0 54% 57% -4.9
23.09.23 Skeid Fotball vs Kongsvinger IL 1-2 14% 17% -17.5 20% 24% -17.0 66% 68% -3.1
23.09.23 Sogndal IL vs Asane Fotball 1-1 64% 68% -6.8 20% 22% -9.9 17% 19% -13.1
24.09.23 Bryne FK vs Kristiansund BK 1-1 38% 44% -15.1 25% 29% -11.8 37% 37% 0.1
24.09.23 IK Start Kristiansand vs Moss FK 0-0 54% 58% -7.7 23% 26% -10.7 23% 25% -8.7
24.09.23 Raufoss Fotball vs Sandnes Ulf 1-1 49% 54% -8.7 24% 27% -10.4 26% 29% -7.6
27.09.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs Sandnes Ulf 1-1 42% 48% -11.2 26% 29% -11.5 32% 32% -1.7
30.09.23 FK Jerv vs Sogndal IL 1-3 26% 30% -15.4 23% 26% -12.6 51% 53% -3.4
30.09.23 Sandnes Ulf vs IK Start Kristiansand 1-0 34% 37% -9.0 25% 28% -10.4 41% 44% -6.8
01.10.23 Asane Fotball vs Ranheim Trondheim 3-0 46% 50% -8.8 25% 28% -10.9 30% 32% -8.1
01.10.23 Fredrikstad FK vs Raufoss Fotball 3-0 62% 66% -5.8 22% 25% -12.8 16% 18% -10.9
01.10.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Bryne FK 1-3 55% 58% -6.6 24% 27% -11.8 22% 24% -10.4
01.10.23 Moss FK vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 3-0 46% 51% -9.4 27% 31% -13.2 28% 29% -3.7
04.10.23 Sogndal IL vs Kristiansund BK 2-4 50% 55% -9.3 24% 27% -10.1 26% 29% -7.3
07.10.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs Kristiansund BK 0-1 34% 40% -14.4 26% 29% -12.9 40% 41% -1.6
07.10.23 Raufoss Fotball vs Mjøndalen IF 0-0 47% 52% -9.2 25% 29% -12.1 28% 30% -8.0
07.10.23 Skeid Fotball vs Sandnes Ulf 3-0 24% 28% -14.6 23% 27% -13.4 53% 56% -4.2
07.10.23 Sogndal IL vs Moss FK 2-1 59% 63% -6.8 22% 25% -12.0 19% 22% -12.4
08.10.23 Asane Fotball vs Fredrikstad FK 0-4 26% 30% -13.9 25% 29% -13.7 49% 51% -2.5
08.10.23 IK Start Kristiansand vs Kongsvinger IL 2-1 41% 44% -8.7 25% 29% -11.2 34% 37% -8.0
08.10.23 KFUM-Kam. Oslo vs Bryne FK 1-0 56% 60% -6.4 23% 26% -12.2 20% 23% -11.2
08.10.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs FK Jerv 4-2 49% 55% -9.5 23% 26% -8.9 27% 29% -7.6
21.10.23 FK Jerv vs Kongsvinger IL 0-2 26% 30% -13.1 23% 27% -12.1 50% 53% -5.6
21.10.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs Sogndal IL 2-2 33% 39% -15.5 25% 29% -12.6 42% 42% -0.7
21.10.23 Kristiansund BK vs Asane Fotball 4-1 56% 60% -7.5 23% 25% -9.6 22% 24% -8.8
21.10.23 Sandnes Ulf vs Fredrikstad FK 2-3 22% 24% -11.2 23% 26% -11.9 56% 59% -5.2
22.10.23 Bryne FK vs Skeid Fotball 1-0 70% 75% -7.0 18% 20% -10.8 12% 14% -11.6
22.10.23 KFUM-Kam. Oslo vs Raufoss Fotball 0-0 62% 66% -6.5 22% 25% -13.1 17% 19% -12.0
22.10.23 Moss FK vs Ranheim Trondheim 0-1 48% 53% -9.4 24% 27% -10.2 28% 30% -7.4
28.10.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs Kristiansund BK 0-2 30% 34% -12.8 24% 28% -11.9 45% 48% -4.5
28.10.23 Sogndal IL vs KFUM-Kam. Oslo 0-3 41% 45% -9.7 25% 29% -11.1 34% 36% -6.1
29.10.23 Asane Fotball vs Moss FK 2-1 43% 47% -7.3 25% 29% -10.8 31% 34% -7.4
29.10.23 IK Start Kristiansand vs Bryne FK 2-0 47% 52% -9.2 25% 29% -12.2 28% 30% -8.1
29.10.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Sandnes Ulf 4-0 64% 68% -6.4 20% 23% -10.8 16% 18% -11.7
29.10.23 Raufoss Fotball vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 0-1 37% 40% -8.7 26% 30% -12.9 37% 40% -7.3
05.11.23 Bryne FK vs Sogndal IL 2-1 37% 43% -12.0 25% 29% -11.2 37% 38% -3.3
05.11.23 FK Jerv vs Asane Fotball 0-0 39% 42% -8.2 25% 29% -11.2 36% 39% -8.5
05.11.23 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik vs IK Start Kristiansand 2-1 41% 45% -9.7 26% 29% -11.5 33% 34% -4.5
05.11.23 Kristiansund BK vs Raufoss Fotball 1-2 65% 70% -7.5 20% 22% -10.3 15% 17% -11.6
05.11.23 Mjøndalen IF vs Kongsvinger IL 2-3 31% 35% -12.9 25% 29% -12.2 44% 45% -2.5
05.11.23 Moss FK vs Fredrikstad FK 2-2 27% 31% -13.7 26% 30% -15.0 47% 49% -3.1
05.11.23 Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim Trondheim 3-2 48% 53% -10.0 24% 26% -9.4 28% 30% -6.7
12.11.23 Asane Fotball vs Sandnes Ulf 2-0 63% 70% -10.4 20% 22% -6.5 17% 17% -0.5
12.11.23 Kongsvinger IL vs Moss FK 1-2 54% 57% -6.1 23% 26% -11.6 23% 26% -12.4
12.11.23 Ranheim Trondheim vs IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 0-0 21% 22% -5.5 22% 25% -10.4 57% 62% -8.9
12.11.23 Raufoss Fotball vs Bryne FK 0-1 30% 34% -11.0 24% 28% -11.8 45% 49% -7.1
12.11.23 Sogndal IL vs Mjøndalen IF 1-1 65% 72% -9.1 19% 21% -7.0 15% 16% -4.7
19.11.23 Tromsdalen UIL vs Lyn Oslo 0-2 24% 29% -16.6 23% 26% -13.7 53% 55% -2.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 657 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FK Haugesund 2003.50
2 Strømsgodset 1969.76
3 Kongsvinger IL 1939.56
4 Stabaek IF 1927.16
5 Bryne FK 1871.64
6 Odd Grenland 1855.05
7 Egersunds IK 1818.77
8 Ranheim Trondheim 1782.68
9 Lyn Oslo 1768.16
10 Moss FK 1754.10
11 Sandnes Ulf 1732.35
12 Sogndal IL 1699.14
13 Strömmen IF 1686.94
14 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 1670.08
15 Strommen IF 1650.79
16 Raufoss Fotball 1580.35
17 Asane Fotball 1578.25

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Stabaek IF 1889.08
2 Strømsgodset 1877.14
3 Odd Grenland 1816.67
4 FK Haugesund 1815.95
5 Kongsvinger IL 1780.70
6 Bryne FK 1756.16
7 Egersunds IK 1726.03
8 Ranheim Trondheim 1724.22
9 Sandnes Ulf 1708.75
10 Sogndal IL 1677.39
11 Strommen IF 1674.53
12 Moss FK 1652.80
13 Lyn Oslo 1638.42
14 Strömmen IF 1631.09
15 IL Hödd Ulsteinvik 1621.85
16 Asane Fotball 1565.12
17 Raufoss Fotball 1497.68