ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 14
Avg Goals 3.36
Avg Home 1.57
Avg Away 1.79
Home Win % 28.6%
Draw % 28.6%
Away Win % 42.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 14
Avg Brier Score 0.6062
Pick Accuracy 57.1%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6350
Market Brier 0.5981
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 14 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 15.1% 0.0% 5
20–30% 25.7% 26.3% 19
30–40% 34.9% 42.9% 7
40–50% 45.1% 40.0% 5
50–60% 57.2% 66.7% 3
60–70% 64.9% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
17.08.23 Taraji Wadi Al-Nes vs Shabab Al-Obaideya 1-0 37% 44% -17.0 28% 30% -8.2 35% 38% -8.2
18.08.23 Ahli Al Khalil vs Markz Balata 0-1 31% 32% -5.1 28% 30% -7.7 41% 50% -17.2
19.08.23 Jabal Al Mukaber vs Thagafi Tulkarem 3-3 66% 74% -9.7 21% 23% -8.0 13% 15% -14.5
19.08.23 Shabab Alsamu vs Al Bireh Institute 1-1 44% 50% -11.5 28% 31% -8.9 27% 31% -11.4
24.08.23 Shabab Alsamu vs Taraji Wadi Al-Nes 1-1 49% 56% -12.0 27% 29% -8.2 24% 27% -11.6
25.08.23 Hilal Al Quds vs Jabal Al Mukaber 0-4 38% 40% -5.7 30% 34% -11.8 32% 39% -17.5
25.08.23 Thagafi Tulkarem vs Al Bireh Institute 4-1 41% 44% -7.3 29% 32% -9.9 30% 35% -15.2
26.08.23 Shabab Al-Obaideya vs Shabab Al Dhahiriya 1-2 18% 17% 7.9 24% 25% -2.1 58% 70% -17.7
27.08.23 Markz Balata vs Shabab Al Khaleel 4-1 23% 23% 2.3 27% 29% -6.5 49% 60% -17.3
30.09.23 Shabab Al Dhahiriya vs Ahli Al Khalil 5-2 67% 75% -9.7 20% 22% -7.4 12% 15% -15.7
30.09.23 Taraji Wadi Al-Nes vs Thagafi Tulkarem 0-4 35% 38% -6.5 29% 31% -8.7 36% 43% -16.8
02.10.23 Al Bireh Institute vs Hilal Al Quds 1-1 17% 16% 3.3 24% 24% -2.5 60% 71% -15.8
06.10.23 Ahli Al Khalil vs Shabab Al Khaleel 0-2 21% 22% -5.1 25% 26% -4.5 54% 64% -14.8
06.10.23 Taraji Wadi Al-Nes vs Hilal Al Quds 1-2 16% 15% 2.4 23% 24% -2.4 61% 72% -15.8

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Hilal Al Quds 1802.42
2 Shabab Al Khaleel 1782.35
3 Shabab Al Dhahiriya 1720.15
4 Jabal Al Mukaber 1634.18
5 Markz Balata 1626.98
6 Al-Sawahreh FC 1614.11
7 Shabab Al-Obaideya 1611.37
8 Shabab Alsamu 1573.59
9 Ahli Al Khalil 1571.92
10 Al Bireh Institute 1525.17
11 Thagafi Tulkarem 1513.89
12 Taraji Wadi Al-Nes 1493.24

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Shabab Al Dhahiriya 1860.49
2 Hilal Al Quds 1762.46
3 Shabab Al Khaleel 1758.66
4 Jabal Al Mukaber 1689.00
5 Markz Balata 1612.47
6 Al-Sawahreh FC 1550.00
7 Thagafi Tulkarem 1496.47
8 Al Bireh Institute 1472.82
9 Taraji Wadi Al-Nes 1444.14
10 Shabab Alsamu 1442.28
11 Ahli Al Khalil 1439.28
12 Shabab Al-Obaideya 1430.73