ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 605
Avg Goals 2.43
Avg Home 1.33
Avg Away 1.11
Home Win % 38.8%
Draw % 32.6%
Away Win % 28.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 605
Avg Brier Score 0.6358
Pick Accuracy 44.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6347
Market Brier 0.6357
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 8
Value Bet Hit Rate 12.5%
ROI (flat stake) -34.4%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 6 of 605 matches had at least one · staked 8.00, profit -2.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 2 50.0% 2.00 3.25 162.5%
away 4 0.0% 4.00 -4.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.2% 0.0% 3
10–20% 17.5% 13.0% 54
20–30% 27.0% 25.2% 583
30–40% 33.4% 34.0% 833
40–50% 44.0% 47.3% 256
50–60% 53.2% 49.3% 73
60–70% 65.2% 80.0% 10
70–80% 73.0% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito 0-0 31% 35% -10.3 32% 36% -10.0 37% 42% -12.1
05.08.23 UMECIT vs CD Universitario 0-2 43% 51% -15.3 31% 34% -8.6 26% 28% -5.6
06.08.23 Costa Del Este vs Arabe Unido 1-1 33% 38% -12.5 32% 35% -9.8 35% 40% -11.7
06.08.23 Herrera FC vs San Francisco FC 0-0 51% 61% -16.4 28% 30% -6.5 20% 21% -3.3
06.08.23 Tauro FC vs Plaza Amador 2-0 34% 38% -10.5 31% 34% -8.9 34% 39% -12.9
07.08.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Atletico Chiriqui 4-0 61% 71% -15.2 24% 24% -0.9 15% 15% -0.6
12.08.23 Alianza FC vs Costa Del Este 2-1 41% 48% -13.7 31% 34% -9.0 28% 31% -10.2
12.08.23 Arabe Unido vs Tauro FC 0-4 28% 30% -6.3 31% 33% -8.1 41% 49% -15.9
13.08.23 CD Universitario vs CA Independiente Chorrera 0-0 28% 31% -9.7 30% 32% -7.8 42% 50% -15.1
13.08.23 UMECIT vs Herrera FC 1-2 30% 34% -11.1 32% 35% -9.8 38% 43% -12.1
14.08.23 San Francisco FC vs Atletico Chiriqui 0-0 65% 79% -18.3 21% 19% 11.3 14% 12% 14.9
19.08.23 CD Universitario vs San Francisco FC 1-0 35% 41% -14.1 32% 35% -9.5 33% 37% -9.7
19.08.23 Plaza Amador vs Arabe Unido 0-0 51% 60% -15.8 27% 28% -2.9 22% 24% -6.1
20.08.23 Atletico Chiriqui vs Herrera FC 2-2 21% 24% -12.0 28% 30% -7.9 51% 57% -11.4
20.08.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs UMECIT 1-0 52% 61% -15.0 28% 29% -5.3 21% 22% -5.1
20.08.23 Tauro FC vs Alianza FC 2-0 52% 61% -14.6 29% 31% -7.3 19% 20% -4.5
21.08.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs Costa Del Este 0-1 45% 53% -14.4 29% 30% -5.6 26% 29% -10.3
26.08.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Costa Del Este 3-1 50% 58% -14.3 29% 31% -7.0 22% 24% -8.2
26.08.23 Tauro FC vs CD Universitario 1-1 56% 66% -14.9 26% 28% -4.6 18% 18% -3.5
27.08.23 Atletico Chiriqui vs Alianza FC 1-2 28% 32% -13.3 30% 32% -7.9 42% 48% -11.1
27.08.23 Herrera FC vs Arabe Unido 2-0 42% 49% -13.7 30% 33% -9.0 28% 31% -11.8
28.08.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC 2-0 45% 54% -16.3 30% 33% -8.7 24% 26% -5.1
28.08.23 UMECIT vs Plaza Amador 0-0 26% 29% -9.9 31% 34% -9.4 44% 50% -12.9
02.09.23 Costa Del Este vs Herrera FC 2-1 34% 38% -10.6 31% 34% -8.6 35% 41% -13.6
02.09.23 Tauro FC vs CA Independiente Chorrera 3-3 37% 43% -14.0 30% 32% -7.2 33% 38% -11.4
03.09.23 CD Universitario vs Arabe Unido 0-0 40% 48% -14.9 32% 35% -9.4 28% 29% -5.8
03.09.23 Plaza Amador vs Atletico Chiriqui 5-0 62% 72% -15.0 24% 24% -1.2 15% 15% -3.2
03.09.23 San Francisco FC vs Alianza FC 2-2 36% 41% -12.0 33% 38% -11.9 31% 34% -10.5
04.09.23 UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito 0-1 30% 34% -11.1 32% 35% -9.8 38% 43% -12.1
09.09.23 Alianza FC vs Herrera FC 3-1 38% 43% -13.6 32% 35% -9.2 31% 34% -9.1
09.09.23 Arabe Unido vs UMECIT 1-0 43% 51% -15.9 30% 32% -7.5 27% 29% -8.0
10.09.23 Atletico Chiriqui vs Tauro FC 0-5 11% 10% 11.3 21% 20% 3.9 68% 81% -15.9
10.09.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito 2-1 48% 56% -15.2 29% 30% -5.7 24% 26% -7.2
10.09.23 Plaza Amador vs San Francisco FC 0-1 52% 61% -15.1 28% 30% -6.2 19% 20% -2.5
11.09.23 CD Universitario vs Costa Del Este 1-2 40% 48% -15.4 31% 34% -8.8 29% 31% -7.9
16.09.23 Arabe Unido vs Atletico Chiriqui 2-1 54% 63% -14.7 27% 28% -4.3 19% 21% -6.6
16.09.23 San Francisco FC vs Tauro FC 0-0 26% 29% -10.8 30% 32% -8.2 44% 51% -13.9
17.09.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC 1-1 49% 58% -14.4 29% 31% -6.9 21% 23% -5.5
17.09.23 Costa Del Este vs UMECIT 2-2 44% 52% -14.9 30% 32% -7.6 26% 29% -8.7
17.09.23 Herrera FC vs Plaza Amador 2-1 33% 38% -12.2 32% 35% -9.5 35% 40% -11.7
18.09.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs CD Universitario 4-0 44% 52% -15.1 30% 32% -7.5 26% 29% -8.4
23.09.23 Alianza FC vs CD Universitario 1-1 42% 50% -15.7 31% 34% -9.2 27% 29% -7.9
23.09.23 Plaza Amador vs CA Independiente Chorrera 2-1 35% 40% -12.2 31% 34% -8.9 33% 38% -11.3
24.09.23 San Francisco FC vs Arabe Unido 0-2 35% 40% -12.6 33% 37% -11.2 32% 36% -9.9
24.09.23 UMECIT vs Tauro FC 0-2 22% 24% -5.8 30% 32% -8.3 48% 56% -15.0
25.09.23 Herrera FC vs Sporting San Miguelito 0-0 35% 40% -11.6 31% 34% -8.9 33% 38% -11.9
30.09.23 Arabe Unido vs CA Independiente Chorrera 0-1 29% 32% -11.2 31% 35% -9.8 40% 45% -12.1
30.09.23 Tauro FC vs Herrera FC 1-0 50% 59% -14.6 28% 30% -6.2 21% 23% -6.1
01.10.23 Alianza FC vs UMECIT 0-1 44% 52% -14.2 31% 34% -9.0 25% 27% -7.5
01.10.23 Costa Del Este vs San Francisco FC 0-2 41% 48% -13.7 31% 34% -8.7 28% 31% -9.1
01.10.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs Atletico Chiriqui 4-0 73% 86% -15.1 17% 15% 15.9 10% 9% 11.0
02.10.23 CD Universitario vs Plaza Amador 2-1 27% 30% -9.3 32% 36% -10.5 41% 47% -12.9
07.10.23 San Francisco FC vs UMECIT 2-1 43% 51% -15.3 31% 34% -8.6 26% 28% -5.5
07.10.23 Tauro FC vs Sporting San Miguelito 2-1 44% 51% -14.1 29% 31% -6.3 27% 29% -9.4
08.10.23 Alianza FC vs Arabe Unido 0-2 39% 44% -11.9 32% 36% -10.2 29% 32% -10.7
08.10.23 Atletico Chiriqui vs CD Universitario 1-2 18% 19% -4.9 25% 26% -3.4 56% 66% -14.8
08.10.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Herrera FC 4-2 48% 56% -15.6 29% 30% -5.4 24% 25% -5.4
09.10.23 Plaza Amador vs Costa Del Este 1-1 45% 52% -12.5 30% 32% -8.3 25% 29% -12.2
14.10.23 Alianza FC vs Plaza Amador 2-0 32% 36% -11.0 31% 35% -9.6 36% 42% -13.2
14.10.23 Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito 0-0 29% 32% -9.5 33% 37% -10.9 38% 43% -11.1
15.10.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs San Francisco FC 2-0 48% 56% -15.0 29% 31% -6.6 24% 26% -8.3
15.10.23 Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC 2-3 27% 29% -8.9 30% 33% -8.7 43% 50% -14.5
15.10.23 UMECIT vs Atletico Chiriqui 4-0 66% 78% -16.1 22% 21% 4.3 13% 11% 9.6
16.10.23 Herrera FC vs CD Universitario 1-1 40% 47% -14.3 31% 34% -8.8 29% 32% -9.4
17.10.23 Atletico Chiriqui vs CA Independiente Chorrera 2-6 10% 10% 7.5 18% 17% 8.5 72% 84% -14.7
19.10.23 Arabe Unido vs Costa Del Este 1-1 41% 48% -14.4 31% 35% -9.7 28% 30% -8.4
19.10.23 CD Universitario vs UMECIT 3-1 42% 49% -14.1 31% 34% -8.6 27% 29% -7.9
19.10.23 Plaza Amador vs Tauro FC 0-0 34% 38% -10.4 32% 35% -9.3 34% 39% -12.4
20.10.23 San Francisco FC vs Herrera FC 3-1 38% 44% -14.6 32% 35% -9.5 30% 33% -8.5
20.10.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC 0-0 42% 49% -13.9 31% 33% -8.3 27% 30% -9.4
21.10.23 Tauro FC vs Arabe Unido 1-3 50% 59% -14.5 30% 32% -8.3 20% 21% -4.2
22.10.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs CD Universitario 4-0 52% 61% -15.2 27% 29% -4.7 21% 22% -6.6
22.10.23 Costa Del Este vs Alianza FC 2-3 37% 43% -14.2 31% 34% -8.8 33% 36% -10.5
22.10.23 Herrera FC vs UMECIT 3-1 44% 53% -16.2 30% 32% -7.4 26% 28% -6.3
22.10.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs Plaza Amador 1-0 40% 48% -15.0 30% 33% -8.6 29% 32% -10.0
23.10.23 Atletico Chiriqui vs San Francisco FC 0-6 11% 10% 13.3 20% 19% 5.3 69% 82% -15.6
28.10.23 Alianza FC vs Tauro FC 0-0 33% 38% -12.8 32% 36% -10.3 35% 39% -10.7
28.10.23 Arabe Unido vs Plaza Amador 3-2 40% 48% -15.9 31% 34% -9.1 29% 30% -5.7
28.10.23 Costa Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito 1-3 32% 36% -12.7 31% 34% -8.5 37% 42% -10.6
29.10.23 Herrera FC vs Atletico Chiriqui 9-0 74% 85% -13.4 18% 17% 6.0 8% 8% 8.3
01.11.23 San Francisco FC vs CD Universitario 2-1 40% 45% -12.0 31% 34% -9.2 29% 32% -11.0
08.11.23 UMECIT vs CA Independiente Chorrera 3-4 24% 27% -11.4 27% 29% -4.8 49% 56% -13.0
22.11.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera FC 2-0 44% 52% -14.9 31% 33% -8.3 25% 27% -6.4
23.11.23 San Francisco FC vs Alianza FC 1-1 38% 44% -13.6 32% 35% -9.8 30% 33% -10.2
26.11.23 Alianza FC vs Tauro FC 0-1 30% 33% -11.1 32% 36% -10.3 38% 43% -11.8
26.11.23 Sporting San Miguelito vs CA Independiente Chorrera 2-2 33% 38% -14.2 30% 32% -7.3 37% 42% -11.0
03.12.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito 2-1 45% 53% -15.1 28% 29% -4.6 26% 29% -9.9
03.12.23 Tauro FC vs Alianza FC 2-1 47% 55% -14.5 30% 32% -8.0 24% 26% -8.0
10.12.23 CA Independiente Chorrera vs Tauro FC 3-0 40% 47% -13.1 30% 32% -7.1 30% 33% -11.1
20.01.24 Alianza FC vs Tauro FC 1-0 28% 31% -9.0 31% 34% -9.2 40% 47% -13.5
20.01.24 CD Universitario vs CA Independiente Chorrera 1-1 22% 23% -5.3 27% 29% -4.3 51% 60% -15.1
21.01.24 Plaza Amador vs Costa Del Este 3-1 51% 62% -17.1 27% 28% -2.5 21% 22% -1.4
21.01.24 San Francisco FC vs UMECIT 0-0 48% 57% -15.3 29% 31% -6.8 22% 24% -5.5
21.01.24 Sporting San Miguelito vs Arabe Unido 2-2 41% 47% -12.8 31% 35% -9.7 28% 31% -10.4
22.01.24 Veraguas United FC vs Herrera FC 0-2 39% 48% -18.5 27% 28% -2.0 34% 36% -6.5
27.01.24 Costa Del Este vs Alianza FC 1-1 31% 34% -10.7 31% 34% -9.2 38% 43% -12.8
27.01.24 San Francisco FC vs CD Universitario 1-1 40% 45% -11.8 30% 33% -8.6 29% 34% -13.2
28.01.24 Arabe Unido vs Tauro FC 0-2 33% 38% -12.9 32% 35% -9.8 35% 39% -11.1
28.01.24 Sporting San Miguelito vs Plaza Amador 1-1 37% 43% -12.1 31% 33% -8.1 32% 36% -12.2
28.01.24 UMECIT vs Herrera FC 3-2 30% 34% -12.0 30% 32% -7.3 40% 45% -12.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 605 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Plaza Amador 1729.90
2 Arabe Unido 1601.55
3 Tauro FC 1589.55
4 Sporting San Miguelito 1578.63
5 UMECIT 1574.55
6 Veraguas United FC 1560.33
7 Alianza FC 1556.16
8 CA Independiente Chorrera 1550.65
9 CD Universitario 1532.34
10 San Francisco FC 1525.82
11 Union Cocle 1485.28
12 Herrera FC 1378.95

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Plaza Amador 1661.40
2 Arabe Unido 1608.79
3 San Francisco FC 1575.31
4 Tauro FC 1567.37
5 Sporting San Miguelito 1556.16
6 UMECIT 1549.67
7 Veraguas United FC 1537.93
8 CA Independiente Chorrera 1535.79
9 Alianza FC 1524.18
10 Union Cocle 1485.18
11 CD Universitario 1429.24
12 Herrera FC 1344.08