ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 903
Avg Goals 2.60
Avg Home 1.61
Avg Away 1.00
Home Win % 51.3%
Draw % 25.6%
Away Win % 23.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 903
Avg Brier Score 0.5499
Pick Accuracy 56.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5516
Market Brier 0.5518
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 903 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.2% 5.1% 138
10–20% 15.5% 12.0% 474
20–30% 26.1% 27.1% 962
30–40% 33.8% 33.2% 358
40–50% 44.8% 42.9% 280
50–60% 55.5% 54.3% 188
60–70% 64.8% 71.1% 166
70–80% 74.9% 81.9% 105
80–90% 83.3% 86.5% 37
90–100% 92.7% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Union Comercio vs Cusco FC 2-1 38% 43% -12.4 29% 31% -7.2 33% 37% -11.1
05.08.23 Deportivo Binacional vs Sport Boys Association 4-0 64% 71% -10.6 22% 24% -5.8 14% 16% -14.2
06.08.23 ADT Tarma vs Sporting Cristal 1-1 40% 48% -16.4 30% 32% -8.4 31% 32% -5.0
06.08.23 Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano Cuzco 2-1 41% 48% -13.2 29% 31% -6.9 30% 32% -8.3
06.08.23 Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca 1-0 75% 81% -7.0 17% 19% -11.8 8% 11% -23.9
07.08.23 Academia Cantolao vs Sport Huancayo 1-1 18% 23% -21.0 25% 29% -12.8 57% 61% -5.7
07.08.23 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Municipal 5-2 74% 80% -7.6 17% 19% -10.3 9% 12% -23.6
07.08.23 FBC Melgar vs Universitario De Deportes 0-1 54% 62% -13.4 27% 29% -7.4 19% 20% -6.8
11.08.23 Sport Huancayo vs Union Comercio 1-1 74% 81% -8.2 17% 19% -9.4 9% 11% -21.9
11.08.23 UTC Cajamarca vs Carlos Mannucci 2-0 54% 61% -10.3 26% 28% -6.8 20% 23% -14.6
12.08.23 Cienciano Cuzco vs Academia Cantolao 1-0 78% 83% -6.7 15% 17% -12.6 8% 11% -27.1
12.08.23 Sport Boys Association vs ADT Tarma 1-1 40% 47% -14.2 30% 33% -9.9 30% 33% -9.9
12.08.23 Universidad César Vallejo vs FBC Melgar 1-2 33% 38% -14.2 30% 33% -9.8 37% 41% -9.4
13.08.23 Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima 1-1 44% 50% -12.6 29% 32% -8.9 27% 30% -11.1
13.08.23 Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0 71% 79% -10.0 18% 19% -4.0 10% 12% -17.6
13.08.23 Universitario De Deportes vs Deportivo Binacional 1-0 80% 88% -10.1 13% 12% 6.7 7% 8% -15.2
15.08.23 Academia Cantolao vs Alianza Atletico 1-0 34% 41% -15.8 29% 32% -8.8 36% 39% -7.6
15.08.23 Union Comercio vs Cienciano Cuzco 2-0 38% 43% -13.5 29% 31% -7.6 34% 38% -11.2
16.08.23 ADT Tarma vs Universitario De Deportes 2-0 32% 38% -16.3 32% 36% -11.8 36% 38% -3.8
16.08.23 FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca 1-1 73% 79% -8.0 18% 19% -8.1 9% 12% -21.8
17.08.23 Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo 1-0 61% 67% -9.2 24% 27% -8.8 15% 17% -15.5
17.08.23 Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal 2-3 31% 37% -16.8 28% 31% -8.8 41% 44% -8.4
17.08.23 Carlos Mannucci vs Cusco FC 0-0 42% 49% -14.7 28% 30% -6.6 30% 33% -9.7
17.08.23 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys Association 3-0 68% 74% -8.2 20% 22% -8.6 12% 15% -21.0
19.08.23 Alianza Atletico vs Union Comercio 2-2 52% 59% -11.1 27% 29% -8.5 21% 24% -14.8
19.08.23 Cusco FC vs FBC Melgar 1-1 35% 41% -14.9 30% 33% -9.8 35% 38% -8.5
20.08.23 Sport Huancayo vs Carlos Mannucci 3-1 75% 82% -9.0 17% 18% -6.3 8% 10% -18.6
20.08.23 Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal 1-0 79% 84% -5.4 13% 16% -15.9 7% 10% -29.3
20.08.23 Universitario De Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 75% 83% -9.0 17% 18% -6.7 8% 10% -17.7
21.08.23 Cienciano Cuzco vs Alianza Lima 0-0 42% 49% -14.0 29% 32% -9.1 29% 32% -10.9
21.08.23 Sport Boys Association vs Atletico Grau 1-1 38% 43% -13.6 29% 32% -8.7 33% 37% -10.9
21.08.23 UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Binacional 3-2 55% 66% -16.9 25% 26% -1.3 20% 20% 0.1
22.08.23 Universidad César Vallejo vs ADT Tarma 1-1 50% 57% -11.8 28% 30% -8.4 22% 25% -12.5
26.08.23 Carlos Mannucci vs Cienciano Cuzco 2-0 36% 42% -13.7 29% 32% -8.8 34% 38% -11.2
27.08.23 Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico 1-0 74% 80% -7.5 18% 20% -11.2 8% 11% -21.7
27.08.23 Atletico Grau vs Universitario De Deportes 2-2 28% 34% -17.0 30% 33% -11.2 42% 45% -7.0
27.08.23 Deportivo Binacional vs Cusco FC 2-0 48% 56% -15.3 27% 29% -5.0 25% 27% -7.4
27.08.23 Deportivo Municipal vs Sport Boys Association 0-3 40% 42% -6.3 29% 32% -9.5 31% 38% -18.6
27.08.23 FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo 1-3 65% 72% -10.0 22% 24% -7.0 13% 15% -14.9
28.08.23 ADT Tarma vs UTC Cajamarca 0-0 56% 63% -10.8 26% 28% -7.7 18% 21% -14.1
28.08.23 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universidad César Vallejo 1-0 57% 65% -11.3 24% 26% -5.2 18% 22% -15.1
02.09.23 Alianza Atletico vs Carlos Mannucci 1-1 48% 53% -9.6 28% 31% -9.1 24% 29% -16.2
02.09.23 Cusco FC vs ADT Tarma 1-0 45% 49% -7.0 28% 31% -9.3 26% 32% -18.4
03.09.23 Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Binacional 3-1 62% 71% -12.5 23% 24% -3.4 15% 17% -10.3
03.09.23 UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 45% 52% -13.4 28% 30% -7.3 27% 31% -12.0
04.09.23 Universidad César Vallejo vs Atletico Grau 5-0 44% 49% -9.2 29% 31% -8.5 27% 32% -15.9
09.09.23 Academia Cantolao vs Alianza Lima 0-2 11% 14% -20.2 22% 26% -15.4 67% 71% -5.8
10.09.23 Cienciano Cuzco vs FBC Melgar 0-1 35% 40% -13.2 30% 33% -9.6 35% 39% -10.4
10.09.23 Sport Boys Association vs Sporting Cristal 1-1 19% 22% -12.2 26% 29% -8.6 55% 61% -10.7
11.09.23 Universitario De Deportes vs Deportivo Municipal 1-0 82% 87% -5.8 12% 15% -17.6 6% 8% -30.0
15.09.23 Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca 4-2 60% 66% -8.8 23% 25% -6.9 16% 20% -18.2
15.09.23 FBC Melgar vs Alianza Atletico 4-0 84% 90% -6.8 11% 12% -10.3 5% 6% -25.4
16.09.23 Deportivo Binacional vs Cienciano Cuzco 2-2 41% 47% -12.3 29% 31% -8.3 31% 36% -14.4
16.09.23 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco FC 2-1 40% 43% -4.9 29% 31% -8.1 31% 38% -18.4
17.09.23 ADT Tarma vs Sport Huancayo 2-1 43% 48% -9.5 29% 32% -9.1 28% 32% -14.6
17.09.23 Sporting Cristal vs Universitario De Deportes 0-0 42% 45% -7.0 30% 33% -10.7 28% 34% -17.5
18.09.23 Alianza Lima vs Union Comercio 3-1 75% 80% -5.9 17% 19% -12.8 8% 11% -24.9
19.09.23 Academia Cantolao vs FBC Melgar 0-1 14% 19% -24.0 22% 26% -14.6 64% 67% -5.2
19.09.23 Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Binacional 1-0 58% 68% -15.8 24% 24% -1.1 18% 19% -4.5
20.09.23 UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Municipal 5-1 70% 76% -8.6 19% 21% -8.3 11% 14% -20.8
21.09.23 Cienciano Cuzco vs ADT Tarma 2-2 49% 52% -4.9 28% 32% -12.4 22% 29% -21.2
21.09.23 Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau 0-0 60% 65% -8.7 24% 26% -8.3 17% 21% -20.0
21.09.23 Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 58% 64% -9.1 24% 26% -7.6 18% 22% -18.3
21.09.23 Universitario De Deportes vs Sport Boys Association 3-0 77% 81% -4.8 16% 19% -17.5 8% 11% -28.5
22.09.23 Universidad César Vallejo vs Sporting Cristal 0-1 30% 34% -10.9 29% 31% -7.5 41% 47% -12.1
24.09.23 ADT Tarma vs Alianza Atletico 1-0 67% 74% -9.4 21% 23% -8.0 12% 15% -18.0
24.09.23 FBC Melgar vs Union Comercio 3-1 82% 89% -7.7 12% 12% -3.0 5% 7% -20.5
24.09.23 Sport Boys Association vs Universidad César Vallejo 0-2 36% 38% -7.4 30% 33% -10.2 34% 42% -17.4
25.09.23 Atletico Grau vs Sport Huancayo 0-0 47% 55% -13.2 28% 30% -7.1 24% 27% -9.6
25.09.23 Carlos Mannucci vs Alianza Lima 1-2 23% 28% -16.4 29% 34% -13.0 47% 51% -7.8
25.09.23 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano Cuzco 0-3 39% 43% -7.2 29% 31% -8.0 32% 38% -17.4
25.09.23 Deportivo Municipal vs Cusco FC 2-0 33% 39% -14.8 29% 32% -8.8 37% 41% -8.9
26.09.23 Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 1-1 74% 81% -8.7 17% 18% -7.6 9% 11% -21.8
29.09.23 Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar 0-0 43% 49% -11.5 31% 34% -11.0 26% 29% -11.2
29.09.23 Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Municipal 2-0 78% 86% -9.0 14% 15% -3.4 7% 9% -20.4
29.09.23 Universidad César Vallejo vs Universitario De Deportes 0-1 23% 26% -11.9 29% 32% -10.6 48% 54% -11.3
29.09.23 UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys Association 1-1 62% 68% -9.9 23% 26% -8.9 15% 18% -18.1
30.09.23 Cienciano Cuzco vs Atletico Grau 2-0 64% 70% -9.8 22% 24% -6.8 14% 17% -17.8
30.09.23 Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal 4-1 31% 34% -10.5 29% 32% -8.6 40% 45% -12.7
01.10.23 Academia Cantolao vs ADT Tarma 0-1 17% 20% -14.8 25% 28% -9.9 58% 64% -9.0
01.10.23 Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 45% 53% -14.7 28% 30% -6.8 27% 29% -8.7
03.10.23 Sport Boys Association vs Cusco FC 2-1 47% 53% -11.4 29% 31% -8.3 24% 27% -11.4
03.10.23 Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo 2-0 63% 68% -8.2 23% 25% -9.5 14% 18% -20.5
03.10.23 Universitario De Deportes vs UTC Cajamarca 3-0 81% 88% -7.1 13% 15% -9.3 5% 6% -20.8
04.10.23 Deportivo Binacional vs Alianza Lima 1-2 34% 41% -17.1 29% 32% -9.1 37% 39% -6.0
04.10.23 FBC Melgar vs Carlos Mannucci 2-1 84% 90% -6.7 11% 13% -11.5 5% 6% -25.1
07.10.23 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Academia Cantolao 0-0 81% 86% -6.3 13% 15% -13.3 6% 8% -26.2
07.10.23 Deportivo Municipal vs Cienciano Cuzco 4-1 24% 29% -15.8 27% 29% -8.4 49% 54% -9.3
08.10.23 ADT Tarma vs Union Comercio 3-0 71% 78% -8.5 19% 20% -7.3 11% 13% -20.8
08.10.23 Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 1-1 59% 67% -12.2 25% 27% -6.6 16% 18% -11.0
20.10.23 UTC Cajamarca vs Universidad César Vallejo 1-1 40% 45% -11.0 29% 32% -8.8 30% 35% -13.5
21.10.23 Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Municipal 1-2 65% 73% -11.1 21% 22% -3.6 14% 16% -14.6
21.10.23 Alianza Lima vs ADT Tarma 0-0 69% 75% -8.0 21% 24% -11.8 10% 12% -18.8
22.10.23 Cusco FC vs Universitario De Deportes 1-1 25% 31% -18.6 29% 33% -12.6 46% 49% -6.0
22.10.23 Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys Association 1-0 72% 79% -9.7 18% 19% -4.7 10% 12% -18.4
22.10.23 Union Comercio vs Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 48% 58% -16.3 26% 27% -2.8 25% 27% -6.2
23.10.23 Academia Cantolao vs Atletico Grau 0-4 20% 24% -17.6 26% 29% -10.3 55% 60% -8.0
23.10.23 Cienciano Cuzco vs Sporting Cristal 1-0 37% 40% -7.9 30% 33% -10.2 33% 40% -16.9
28.10.23 Sport Boys Association vs Cienciano Cuzco 2-1 46% 54% -15.6 27% 28% -4.1 28% 31% -9.8
28.10.23 Universidad César Vallejo vs Cusco FC 3-1 63% 69% -9.5 23% 25% -8.4 14% 17% -17.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 903 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Alianza Lima 1855.09
2 Cienciano Cuzco 1801.06
3 Universitario De Deportes 1800.02
4 Sport Huancayo 1799.11
5 FBC Melgar 1785.90
6 Sporting Cristal 1782.86
7 Cusco FC 1763.66
8 Deportivo Garcilaso 1740.39
9 Alianza Atletico 1682.77
10 Sport Boys Association 1679.37
11 Comerciantes Unidos 1620.81
12 ADT Tarma 1581.66
13 UCV Moquegua 1576.11
14 Atletico Grau 1566.14
15 CD Los Chankas 1542.03
16 Juan Pablo II 1533.54
17 FC Cajamarca 1533.09
18 UTC Cajamarca 1511.95

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Universitario De Deportes 1784.92
2 Alianza Lima 1756.50
3 FBC Melgar 1740.66
4 Sporting Cristal 1644.14
5 Sport Huancayo 1627.47
6 Cienciano Cuzco 1616.97
7 Cusco FC 1590.99
8 Sport Boys Association 1544.88
9 Deportivo Garcilaso 1543.63
10 Alianza Atletico 1540.40
11 Juan Pablo II 1515.17
12 Comerciantes Unidos 1498.70
13 ADT Tarma 1491.00
14 CD Los Chankas 1482.93
15 UTC Cajamarca 1465.43
16 Atletico Grau 1456.73
17 FC Cajamarca 1447.06
18 UCV Moquegua 1378.21