ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 140
Avg Goals 3.81
Avg Home 2.12
Avg Away 1.69
Home Win % 45.0%
Draw % 20.0%
Away Win % 35.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 140
Avg Brier Score 0.4987
Pick Accuracy 65.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5283
Market Brier 0.5016
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 54
Value Bet Hit Rate 11.1%
ROI (flat stake) -16.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 41 of 140 matches had at least one · staked 54.00, profit -8.64 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 21 14.3% 21.00 -1.64 -7.8%
draw 13 15.4% 13.00 8.25 63.5%
away 20 5.0% 20.00 -15.25 -76.2%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.7% 0.0% 32
10–20% 15.7% 14.4% 90
20–30% 24.3% 25.0% 116
30–40% 34.8% 26.7% 60
40–50% 44.3% 57.6% 33
50–60% 54.8% 61.5% 26
60–70% 64.5% 60.0% 30
70–80% 74.4% 86.7% 15
80–90% 83.9% 86.7% 15
90–100% 90.5% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
11.05.24 Don Bosco Garelli vs Tuloy FC 1-4 27% 25% 10.1 22% 23% -3.4 51% 63% -19.6
11.05.24 Manila Digger vs United City FC 2-4 23% 17% 36.6 21% 21% -0.5 57% 74% -22.9
12.05.24 Cebu FC vs One Taguig FC 3-1 56% 67% -16.2 21% 22% -3.3 23% 22% 4.2
12.05.24 Davao Aguilas vs Stallion Laguna FC 1-0 19% 16% 17.1 19% 19% 1.1 62% 76% -17.9
12.05.24 Mendiola FC vs Philippine Army 0-0 82% 96% -15.1 11% 9% 19.3 7% 5% 38.5
18.05.24 Davao Aguilas vs One Taguig FC 1-1 38% 42% -11.0 24% 26% -7.7 38% 42% -9.6
18.05.24 Maharlika Manila FC vs Don Bosco Garelli 3-1 55% 68% -18.4 22% 22% -2.7 23% 21% 11.7
18.05.24 Stallion Laguna FC vs Mendiola FC 6-1 78% 93% -16.2 13% 11% 16.5 9% 7% 37.8
19.05.24 Philippine Army vs Loyola Meralco Sparks 3-4 15% 16% -11.4 17% 19% -10.7 68% 75% -8.9
19.05.24 Tuloy FC vs Manila Digger 2-3 35% 25% 38.9 21% 24% -11.9 44% 61% -28.7
25.05.24 Cebu FC vs United City FC 2-1 50% 56% -11.0 23% 25% -8.0 26% 29% -8.2
25.05.24 Davao Aguilas vs Don Bosco Garelli 5-0 36% 56% -34.9 30% 52% -42.3 34% 55% -38.7
25.05.24 Stallion Laguna FC vs Manila Digger 2-1 82% 89% -8.1 11% 13% -15.7 7% 9% -18.1
29.05.24 One Taguig FC vs Maharlika Manila FC 3-1 82% 96% -14.8 11% 9% 16.8 7% 6% 29.6
01.06.24 Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli 16-2 37% 57% -34.0 30% 51% -41.4 33% 53% -37.8
01.06.24 Kaya FC vs Manila Digger 3-1 41% 55% -26.5 29% 52% -44.9 31% 58% -46.9
01.06.24 Mendiola FC vs One Taguig FC 1-9 9% 8% 10.4 13% 13% 1.1 78% 89% -12.6
01.06.24 Tuloy FC vs Philippine Army 2-4 48% 47% 3.0 21% 24% -10.8 31% 40% -23.7
02.06.24 Davao Aguilas vs Loyola Meralco Sparks 3-0 69% 87% -20.2 17% 15% 12.6 14% 9% 50.8
02.06.24 Maharlika Manila FC vs Manila Montet 5-0 75% 96% -21.6 13% 9% 45.0 12% 6% 107.5
02.06.24 United City FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 1-1 24% 26% -9.7 22% 24% -9.1 54% 60% -9.9
08.06.24 Don Bosco Garelli vs Manila Montet 4-0 67% 81% -17.5 18% 17% 3.9 15% 13% 21.7
09.06.24 Cebu FC vs Davao Aguilas 1-0 64% 78% -17.8 19% 19% 1.9 17% 14% 20.7
09.06.24 Kaya FC vs Mendiola FC 9-1 39% 53% -25.4 32% 55% -41.9 29% 48% -39.2
09.06.24 Maharlika Manila FC vs Loyola Meralco Sparks 2-2 14% 16% -11.5 17% 19% -11.1 70% 76% -8.9
09.06.24 United City FC vs Tuloy FC 1-0 38% 53% -29.1 30% 54% -43.3 32% 55% -42.1
15.06.24 Loyola Meralco Sparks vs Mendiola FC 4-1 80% 89% -10.2 12% 12% -6.9 8% 9% -10.2
15.06.24 Philippine Army vs Maharlika Manila FC 0-1 23% 19% 25.2 19% 19% 4.1 57% 74% -22.1
16.06.24 Cebu FC vs Manila Digger 1-0 85% 96% -11.9 10% 9% 2.8 6% 5% 8.1
16.06.24 Don Bosco Garelli vs Philippine Air Force 1-0 49% 48% 1.7 23% 27% -13.7 28% 36% -21.9
16.06.24 Stallion Laguna FC vs Tuloy FC 7-1 42% 55% -22.8 30% 53% -43.2 28% 50% -43.7
16.06.24 United City FC vs Davao Aguilas 0-0 39% 44% -10.0 25% 27% -8.9 36% 40% -9.8
22.06.24 Kaya FC vs Philippine Army 6-0 41% 53% -23.3 30% 54% -44.7 29% 54% -45.8
22.06.24 Maharlika Manila FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 0-3 32% 49% -33.1 34% 59% -41.4 33% 45% -26.9
22.06.24 Philippine Air Force vs Manila Digger 1-2 35% 41% -14.9 36% 66% -46.4 29% 53% -44.6
22.06.24 United City FC vs Mendiola FC 3-0 39% 55% -28.4 30% 52% -43.4 31% 55% -43.6
23.06.24 Loyola Meralco Sparks vs One Taguig FC 1-7 21% 16% 29.1 18% 17% 8.8 61% 78% -21.5
23.06.24 Tuloy FC vs Davao Aguilas 1-3 38% 48% -20.8 35% 59% -41.3 27% 43% -36.0
29.06.24 Cebu FC vs Philippine Army 4-0 39% 50% -22.8 31% 57% -45.5 30% 56% -45.9
29.06.24 Mendiola FC vs Tuloy FC 4-2 41% 42% -4.1 23% 24% -6.0 37% 44% -17.0
30.06.24 Davao Aguilas vs Maharlika Manila FC 8-0 79% 94% -16.0 12% 11% 16.6 8% 6% 40.4
30.06.24 Kaya FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 3-2 63% 78% -19.2 18% 17% 6.7 19% 16% 20.4
06.07.24 Cebu FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 1-2 55% 67% -18.3 22% 22% -3.1 23% 21% 11.1
06.07.24 Tuloy FC vs Loyola Meralco Sparks 6-2 20% 11% 85.3 17% 15% 14.0 63% 85% -25.9
06.07.24 United City FC vs One Taguig FC 2-2 39% 38% 4.7 23% 26% -9.2 37% 47% -21.2
07.07.24 Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas 1-0 66% 83% -19.8 18% 16% 8.9 16% 12% 35.4
07.07.24 Maharlika Manila FC vs Mendiola FC 0-1 48% 55% -14.0 23% 24% -5.4 30% 31% -5.0
07.07.24 Philippine Air Force vs Philippine Army 2-0 33% 27% 23.9 22% 23% -6.8 46% 61% -25.4
10.07.24 Manila Digger vs One Taguig FC 0-3 15% 15% 0.6 17% 18% -3.0 67% 78% -13.2
13.07.24 Maharlika Manila FC vs United City FC 2-9 13% 11% 17.2 15% 14% 7.2 72% 85% -15.9
14.07.24 One Taguig FC vs Tuloy FC 6-1 83% 93% -11.2 10% 10% -0.2 7% 7% -0.9
14.07.24 Philippine Army vs Don Bosco Garelli 0-1 67% 78% -13.8 17% 17% 0.4 16% 16% -0.3
01.03.25 Cebu FC vs Kaya FC 1-2 31% 35% -9.9 23% 25% -8.0 46% 53% -13.3
02.03.25 Loyola Meralco Sparks vs One Taguig FC 0-2 15% 11% 40.9 18% 17% 6.5 67% 83% -18.9
08.03.25 One Taguig FC vs Cebu FC 0-0 43% 43% -0.6 25% 29% -13.2 32% 40% -20.0
09.03.25 Davao Aguilas vs Stallion Laguna FC 1-1 23% 26% -9.4 25% 29% -14.6 52% 57% -9.6
12.03.25 Manila Digger vs Kaya FC 1-0 34% 41% -16.0 23% 26% -9.2 42% 45% -6.7
12.03.25 One Taguig FC vs Loyola Meralco Sparks 5-1 73% 78% -6.4 16% 20% -17.7 10% 12% -17.0
16.03.25 Loyola Meralco Sparks vs Stallion Laguna FC 2-2 18% 17% 10.9 21% 23% -6.1 60% 72% -16.4
29.03.25 Cebu FC vs Loyola Meralco Sparks 3-1 64% 68% -6.2 19% 22% -14.7 17% 21% -19.4
29.03.25 Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Development Youth Club 0-0 69% 84% -18.5 17% 16% 8.5 14% 10% 41.2
29.03.25 Stallion Laguna FC vs Manila Digger 0-3 36% 34% 7.6 24% 27% -11.1 40% 52% -23.1
30.03.25 Kaya FC vs One Taguig FC 2-0 48% 58% -18.6 25% 28% -10.5 28% 26% 4.6
02.04.25 Loyola Meralco Sparks vs Kaya FC 0-1 12% 10% 24.2 18% 19% -3.8 69% 81% -14.8
02.04.25 Stallion Laguna FC vs Cebu FC 3-1 40% 43% -5.1 26% 29% -12.8 34% 41% -16.8
05.04.25 Kaya FC vs Manila Digger 1-1 45% 44% 0.1 24% 28% -12.7 31% 39% -20.3
06.04.25 Cebu FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 1-0 38% 39% -2.6 24% 27% -11.2 37% 47% -19.4
06.04.25 One Taguig FC vs Maharlika Manila FC 3-0 67% 75% -11.0 18% 19% -6.5 15% 17% -8.5
12.04.25 Cebu FC vs Davao Aguilas 1-1 55% 61% -9.5 23% 27% -12.7 22% 25% -12.5
12.04.25 Philippine Development Youth Club vs Maharlika Manila FC 1-2 28% 31% -9.8 22% 24% -7.8 49% 56% -12.2
13.04.25 Kaya FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 2-0 66% 75% -12.5 19% 20% -7.3 15% 16% -4.4
13.04.25 Loyola Meralco Sparks vs Manila Digger 0-5 11% 5% 116.8 15% 13% 17.5 74% 92% -19.4
26.04.25 Kaya FC vs Cebu FC 1-2 62% 70% -11.2 20% 22% -8.7 18% 19% -7.7
26.04.25 Manila Digger vs One Taguig FC 2-1 50% 55% -9.3 24% 28% -11.8 26% 29% -11.9
04.05.25 Manila Digger vs Cebu FC 0-1 48% 50% -3.6 22% 25% -10.8 30% 37% -20.4
13.09.25 Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas 1-0 70% 81% -13.8 18% 20% -10.7 12% 12% -3.2
13.09.25 One Taguig FC vs Cebu FC 2-1 39% 43% -9.2 26% 29% -11.7 35% 40% -11.5
13.09.25 Tuloy FC vs Maharlika Manila FC 2-3 26% 24% 7.5 21% 22% -3.4 52% 65% -20.0
14.09.25 Manila Digger vs Stallion Laguna FC 1-1 71% 83% -14.4 17% 17% -4.4 12% 12% 2.7
20.09.25 Manila Digger vs Maharlika Manila FC 3-2 80% 93% -14.1 13% 12% 0.4 8% 7% 10.3
20.09.25 Stallion Laguna FC vs Cebu FC 0-1 34% 38% -11.1 25% 28% -10.9 41% 47% -11.8
21.09.25 One Taguig FC vs Davao Aguilas 3-0 54% 61% -11.6 25% 29% -13.8 22% 24% -8.6
27.09.25 Manila Digger vs One Taguig FC 1-0 44% 47% -6.0 25% 28% -10.9 32% 37% -14.9
28.09.25 Kaya FC vs Cebu FC 3-0 54% 61% -11.1 25% 29% -13.6 21% 22% -4.7
28.09.25 Tuloy FC vs Stallion Laguna FC 0-2 21% 19% 10.0 20% 20% -1.4 59% 74% -19.9
04.10.25 Davao Aguilas vs Maharlika Manila FC 2-1 63% 74% -14.6 20% 21% -7.0 17% 17% -2.7
05.10.25 Manila Digger vs Tuloy FC 8-2 86% 95% -9.7 9% 11% -11.4 5% 5% -6.0
18.10.25 Stallion Laguna FC vs Kaya FC 0-1 25% 26% -2.5 21% 22% -4.8 54% 65% -16.6
19.10.25 Davao Aguilas vs Tuloy FC 5-2 71% 85% -16.3 17% 17% 4.0 12% 8% 40.6
19.10.25 Manila Digger vs Cebu FC 1-1 61% 71% -14.6 20% 22% -6.2 19% 19% -2.4
25.10.25 Maharlika Manila FC vs Mendiola FC 7-0 75% 93% -19.1 14% 12% 19.0 11% 8% 44.3
25.10.25 Tuloy FC vs Cebu FC 0-4 6% 5% 27.0 10% 9% 8.9 84% 96% -12.9
26.10.25 Davao Aguilas vs Don Bosco Garelli 3-0 82% 98% -16.3 11% 10% 13.7 7% 4% 51.3
26.10.25 One Taguig FC vs Kaya FC 1-0 34% 33% 1.8 24% 27% -9.5 42% 51% -18.9
02.11.25 Davao Aguilas vs Cebu FC 0-2 33% 34% -5.4 27% 32% -13.5 40% 45% -12.2
02.11.25 Don Bosco Garelli vs Kaya FC 1-7 4% 3% 26.4 8% 8% 0.2 88% 98% -9.8
02.11.25 Maharlika Manila FC vs One Taguig FC 0-1 18% 17% 7.6 19% 20% -3.7 63% 77% -18.3
08.11.25 Maharlika Manila FC vs Cebu FC 1-4 21% 21% -0.8 22% 24% -9.1 57% 67% -14.3
08.11.25 Stallion Laguna FC vs Davao Aguilas 2-2 56% 65% -13.9 24% 26% -9.4 21% 20% 3.0
22.11.25 Don Bosco Garelli vs Stallion Laguna FC 0-8 3% 2% 32.0 6% 5% 7.1 91% 98% -6.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 140 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Manila Digger 1795.43
2 Kaya FC 1707.36
3 Cebu FC 1523.35
4 Mendiola FC 1495.64
5 Stallion Laguna FC 1431.08
6 Maharlika Manila FC 1423.91
7 Davao Aguilas 1380.42
8 Azkals Development Team 1144.61
9 Philippine Army 1109.30
10 Tuloy FC 982.73

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Manila Digger 1828.24
2 Kaya FC 1783.70
3 Stallion Laguna FC 1580.78
4 Azkals Development Team 1550.00
5 Davao Aguilas 1481.83
6 Cebu FC 1446.91
7 Philippine Army 1417.57
8 Maharlika Manila FC 1387.43
9 Mendiola FC 1065.58
10 Tuloy FC 861.65