ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 821
Avg Goals 2.78
Avg Home 1.48
Avg Away 1.30
Home Win % 39.6%
Draw % 27.0%
Away Win % 33.4%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 821
Avg Brier Score 0.6319
Pick Accuracy 46.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6326
Market Brier 0.6323
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 821 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 0.0% 1
10–20% 16.7% 17.9% 151
20–30% 26.3% 26.4% 1169
30–40% 34.8% 34.7% 522
40–50% 44.2% 46.4% 375
50–60% 54.3% 49.4% 176
60–70% 63.9% 61.0% 59
70–80% 71.3% 70.0% 10
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
22.07.23 Chrobry Glogow vs Lechia Gdansk 2-4 38% 47% -19.2 28% 30% -8.9 35% 34% 2.7
22.07.23 Gornik Leczna vs Wisla Krakow 2-2 20% 23% -12.5 26% 29% -10.0 54% 58% -7.0
22.07.23 Polonia Warszawa vs GKS Tychy 71 2-3 36% 40% -9.1 28% 31% -8.8 35% 39% -10.4
23.07.23 Miedz Legnica vs GKS Katowice 1-0 45% 49% -7.9 28% 31% -9.1 27% 29% -9.3
23.07.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs Resovia Rzeszow 2-0 39% 43% -8.0 28% 30% -7.8 33% 37% -11.1
24.07.23 Stal Rzeszow vs Odra Opole 2-5 41% 44% -7.8 28% 30% -8.0 31% 35% -11.3
28.07.23 Gornik Leczna vs Arka Gdynia 0-0 32% 37% -13.7 28% 30% -8.7 40% 43% -7.2
29.07.23 LKS Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica 1-4 42% 45% -8.7 28% 30% -7.8 31% 34% -9.9
29.07.23 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 51% 54% -5.5 25% 28% -8.4 23% 28% -15.5
30.07.23 Odra Opole vs Resovia Rzeszow 3-0 47% 52% -9.1 27% 30% -9.4 25% 29% -11.0
30.07.23 Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow 2-3 19% 23% -14.3 24% 26% -8.7 56% 61% -6.8
30.07.23 Stal Rzeszow vs GKS Tychy 71 1-2 43% 45% -6.2 28% 30% -9.1 30% 35% -14.5
31.07.23 GKS Katowice vs Chrobry Glogow 3-1 49% 56% -11.2 27% 29% -7.9 24% 25% -5.8
04.08.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 36% 39% -8.4 28% 31% -8.8 36% 40% -11.0
05.08.23 Chrobry Glogow vs LKS Nieciecza 0-5 26% 31% -15.5 27% 29% -9.5 47% 50% -6.0
05.08.23 Miedz Legnica vs Gornik Leczna 0-0 53% 60% -10.6 26% 28% -6.5 21% 22% -4.4
05.08.23 Wisla Krakow vs Stal Rzeszow 0-0 63% 70% -10.8 21% 22% -1.7 16% 17% -5.1
06.08.23 Odra Opole vs GKS Tychy 71 0-2 46% 49% -6.4 28% 30% -9.1 27% 31% -12.9
07.08.23 Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa 2-3 61% 68% -10.2 22% 23% -4.0 17% 18% -8.0
11.08.23 Gornik Leczna vs Chrobry Glogow 3-1 47% 55% -13.7 27% 29% -6.2 26% 27% -2.5
12.08.23 GKS Tychy 71 vs Wisla Krakow 1-0 24% 28% -15.2 25% 28% -8.7 51% 55% -6.5
12.08.23 Odra Opole vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1-0 38% 42% -10.1 28% 31% -8.9 34% 37% -9.3
13.08.23 Lechia Gdansk vs Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 46% 50% -8.7 27% 29% -8.0 27% 31% -11.3
13.08.23 Stal Rzeszow vs Arka Gdynia 2-3 31% 34% -8.3 27% 29% -6.9 42% 47% -10.7
14.08.23 Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica 3-4 25% 29% -10.9 27% 29% -8.7 48% 53% -9.4
18.08.23 Wisla Krakow vs Odra Opole 1-3 58% 65% -11.9 24% 25% -4.2 18% 19% -3.0
19.08.23 Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa 0-3 37% 41% -10.3 28% 30% -7.9 35% 39% -9.5
19.08.23 Motor Lublin vs Gornik Leczna 0-1 41% 45% -9.0 29% 31% -8.2 30% 32% -7.2
20.08.23 Arka Gdynia vs GKS Tychy 71 2-0 47% 51% -7.3 27% 29% -8.6 26% 30% -13.2
20.08.23 Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszow 2-1 52% 58% -10.4 25% 27% -6.1 23% 25% -8.7
21.08.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs GKS Katowice 0-2 37% 40% -7.1 29% 31% -8.5 34% 38% -10.9
25.08.23 GKS Tychy 71 vs Miedz Legnica 0-0 35% 40% -12.1 28% 31% -8.2 37% 39% -6.7
26.08.23 Gornik Leczna vs Wisla Plock 1-0 31% 36% -12.9 28% 31% -8.8 41% 43% -6.1
26.08.23 Polonia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin 0-1 37% 40% -8.4 28% 30% -7.4 35% 39% -10.0
27.08.23 LKS Nieciecza vs Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 48% 51% -7.0 27% 29% -8.8 26% 29% -13.3
27.08.23 Stal Rzeszow vs Chrobry Glogow 2-1 54% 62% -12.1 24% 25% -3.6 22% 23% -6.4
27.08.23 Wisla Krakow vs Arka Gdynia 5-1 46% 51% -10.1 27% 29% -6.9 27% 30% -9.9
28.08.23 Odra Opole vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-0 48% 54% -10.6 27% 29% -8.0 25% 27% -7.8
01.09.23 Miedz Legnica vs Wisla Krakow 1-1 34% 39% -13.8 27% 29% -7.4 39% 42% -6.5
02.09.23 Odra Opole vs Arka Gdynia 1-0 41% 45% -9.8 27% 29% -7.0 32% 35% -9.9
02.09.23 Wisla Plock vs Polonia Warszawa 3-0 55% 61% -10.4 24% 26% -4.8 21% 22% -7.3
02.09.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna 0-1 48% 53% -9.6 28% 30% -8.8 25% 27% -8.3
03.09.23 Chrobry Glogow vs GKS Tychy 71 2-1 26% 29% -8.1 27% 29% -6.8 47% 53% -10.5
03.09.23 Motor Lublin vs Stal Rzeszow 3-2 41% 47% -11.4 28% 30% -7.9 31% 33% -7.4
15.09.23 Stal Rzeszow vs Wisla Plock 0-1 35% 41% -14.2 27% 29% -7.7 38% 41% -7.3
16.09.23 Odra Opole vs Lechia Gdansk 0-0 44% 50% -11.4 27% 29% -7.3 28% 31% -7.6
16.09.23 Polonia Warszawa vs Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 33% 36% -7.0 27% 29% -6.6 39% 44% -11.5
16.09.23 Wisla Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow 1-1 71% 79% -10.3 18% 17% 1.3 12% 12% -6.2
17.09.23 Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica 2-1 41% 45% -9.8 27% 29% -7.0 32% 35% -9.8
17.09.23 GKS Tychy 71 vs Motor Lublin 2-0 42% 47% -9.1 28% 30% -8.2 30% 33% -10.4
18.09.23 Gornik Leczna vs Resovia Rzeszow 3-1 47% 55% -13.4 27% 29% -6.9 25% 26% -1.3
22.09.23 Miedz Legnica vs Odra Opole 1-2 45% 52% -13.2 28% 30% -7.8 27% 28% -2.6
22.09.23 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Gornik Leczna 1-1 52% 59% -11.2 25% 27% -5.8 22% 24% -6.3
23.09.23 Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia 1-0 21% 23% -6.3 24% 26% -4.7 54% 61% -11.5
23.09.23 Motor Lublin vs Wisla Krakow 1-4 29% 34% -13.3 27% 29% -7.9 44% 47% -6.4
23.09.23 Resovia Rzeszow vs Polonia Warszawa 1-1 37% 42% -10.8 28% 31% -8.2 35% 38% -8.3
24.09.23 Wisla Plock vs GKS Tychy 71 4-1 44% 48% -8.5 27% 29% -7.0 29% 32% -9.8
24.09.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs Stal Rzeszow 1-2 45% 50% -10.7 27% 29% -7.4 28% 31% -8.6
29.09.23 Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 2-0 32% 36% -9.7 27% 29% -6.8 40% 44% -9.2
30.09.23 Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Glogow 1-1 62% 69% -10.7 22% 23% -4.0 16% 17% -5.4
30.09.23 Odra Opole vs GKS Katowice 1-0 42% 47% -9.5 28% 31% -8.1 30% 32% -8.1
30.09.23 Stal Rzeszow vs Resovia Rzeszow 2-1 45% 51% -11.8 27% 29% -6.5 28% 30% -7.5
01.10.23 GKS Tychy 71 vs Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 42% 47% -8.9 28% 31% -9.0 30% 33% -11.1
01.10.23 Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock 0-0 48% 54% -11.5 26% 28% -5.6 26% 28% -6.7
02.10.23 Gornik Leczna vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 40% 47% -13.3 28% 31% -7.9 31% 32% -3.0
06.10.23 Chrobry Glogow vs Odra Opole 0-0 21% 22% -6.9 26% 29% -8.6 53% 60% -10.6
06.10.23 Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Leczna 1-1 57% 65% -11.4 25% 26% -6.4 18% 19% -4.4
07.10.23 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Stal Rzeszow 0-1 48% 53% -10.4 27% 29% -7.2 26% 29% -9.5
07.10.23 Wisla Krakow vs Znicz Pruszkow 6-2 57% 64% -10.9 24% 26% -5.2 19% 20% -5.2
08.10.23 Motor Lublin vs Miedz Legnica 1-3 33% 37% -11.6 28% 31% -8.2 39% 42% -6.5
08.10.23 Resovia Rzeszow vs GKS Tychy 71 2-0 32% 35% -9.8 27% 29% -7.0 41% 45% -9.8
08.10.23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Warszawa 0-2 43% 48% -9.9 27% 29% -6.7 30% 32% -8.0
20.10.23 Chrobry Glogow vs Motor Lublin 0-1 23% 24% -3.8 27% 29% -6.9 50% 57% -11.6
20.10.23 Wisla Krakow vs Resovia Rzeszow 4-1 65% 74% -11.7 21% 21% -0.9 14% 15% -2.7
21.10.23 GKS Tychy 71 vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 3-0 44% 49% -10.0 28% 30% -8.1 28% 31% -8.3
21.10.23 Miedz Legnica vs Wisla Plock 4-0 44% 50% -12.3 27% 29% -7.1 29% 31% -6.3
21.10.23 Stal Rzeszow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-0 42% 48% -11.7 28% 30% -7.9 30% 32% -6.9
22.10.23 Gornik Leczna vs GKS Katowice 1-1 29% 32% -11.6 28% 31% -8.9 43% 47% -6.6
22.10.23 Odra Opole vs LKS Nieciecza 2-1 42% 48% -11.8 28% 30% -7.9 30% 32% -6.8
23.10.23 Arka Gdynia vs Znicz Pruszkow 2-0 55% 62% -11.0 24% 26% -4.9 21% 22% -7.0
27.10.23 GKS Katowice vs Polonia Warszawa 0-2 52% 57% -9.6 26% 28% -7.2 23% 25% -9.6
27.10.23 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Wisla Krakow 2-1 26% 29% -9.5 26% 28% -6.3 48% 53% -10.0
27.10.23 Wisla Plock vs Chrobry Glogow 2-1 62% 68% -8.2 23% 24% -7.5 15% 17% -9.9
28.10.23 Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszow 2-1 50% 55% -9.2 26% 29% -7.6 24% 26% -9.8
28.10.23 LKS Nieciecza vs Gornik Leczna 3-0 56% 62% -10.9 25% 27% -6.7 19% 20% -4.6
28.10.23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs GKS Tychy 71 0-1 34% 38% -11.2 28% 31% -9.0 37% 41% -8.4
29.10.23 Motor Lublin vs Odra Opole 2-0 36% 41% -10.8 29% 31% -8.4 35% 38% -7.2
30.10.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs Miedz Legnica 1-1 23% 25% -7.9 26% 29% -7.6 51% 56% -10.0
31.10.23 Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk 0-1 32% 36% -10.0 27% 29% -6.8 40% 44% -9.0
03.11.23 Miedz Legnica vs Resovia Rzeszow 1-2 62% 68% -10.1 22% 23% -3.9 16% 17% -6.8
03.11.23 Wisla Krakow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-0 64% 71% -10.4 21% 22% -3.6 15% 16% -6.2
04.11.23 Odra Opole vs Gornik Leczna 0-3 50% 56% -9.6 28% 30% -9.1 22% 24% -6.7
04.11.23 Polonia Warszawa vs LKS Nieciecza 1-1 30% 34% -11.6 27% 29% -7.6 42% 47% -9.0
05.11.23 GKS Tychy 71 vs Lechia Gdansk 1-3 41% 45% -10.4 28% 30% -8.0 31% 34% -9.0
05.11.23 Stal Rzeszow vs GKS Katowice 2-2 36% 41% -11.8 27% 29% -6.6 37% 39% -6.9
06.11.23 Chrobry Glogow vs Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 31% 33% -7.4 29% 31% -8.7 41% 45% -10.7
10.11.23 Lechia Gdansk vs Wisla Krakow 0-0 30% 33% -9.2 27% 29% -7.3 42% 48% -10.8
10.11.23 Znicz Pruszkow vs Motor Lublin 1-0 31% 35% -10.1 29% 31% -8.6 40% 43% -7.7
11.11.23 Gornik Leczna vs Polonia Warszawa 0-0 41% 47% -11.7 28% 30% -8.2 31% 34% -8.2
11.11.23 LKS Nieciecza vs Stal Rzeszow 1-2 48% 54% -10.4 27% 29% -6.8 25% 27% -7.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 821 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Ruch Chorzow 1850.36
2 Polonia Warszawa 1840.64
3 Arka Gdynia 1826.75
4 LKS Lodz 1820.92
5 LKS Nieciecza 1816.67
6 Lechia Gdansk 1805.04
7 Warta Poznan 1779.91
8 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1770.22
9 Miedz Legnica 1762.68
10 Polonia Bytom 1743.73
11 Puszcza Niepolomice 1734.31
12 Unia Skierniewice 1727.26
13 Odra Opole 1722.39
14 Chrobry Glogow 1716.89
15 Stal Rzeszow 1705.88
16 Stal Mielec 1700.50
17 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1695.35
18 Pogon Siedlce 1656.83

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 LKS Lodz 1779.91
2 Polonia Warszawa 1779.86
3 Ruch Chorzow 1748.11
4 Arka Gdynia 1732.58
5 Warta Poznan 1731.45
6 Lechia Gdansk 1725.11
7 LKS Nieciecza 1723.91
8 Polonia Bytom 1713.30
9 Odra Opole 1703.48
10 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1695.33
11 Miedz Legnica 1686.05
12 Puszcza Niepolomice 1684.92
13 Unia Skierniewice 1681.71
14 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1670.73
15 Chrobry Glogow 1669.45
16 Stal Mielec 1646.38
17 Stal Rzeszow 1641.60
18 Pogon Siedlce 1622.33