ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 404
Avg Goals 3.60
Avg Home 1.82
Avg Away 1.78
Home Win % 41.3%
Draw % 15.8%
Away Win % 42.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 404
Avg Brier Score 0.4000
Pick Accuracy 69.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4006
Market Brier 0.4001
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 29
Value Bet Hit Rate 3.4%
ROI (flat stake) -46.5%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 19 of 404 matches had at least one · staked 29.00, profit -13.50 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 8 0.0% 8.00 -8.00 -100.0%
draw 11 9.1% 11.00 4.50 40.9%
away 10 0.0% 10.00 -10.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 5.1% 2.2% 276
10–20% 15.5% 15.6% 192
20–30% 24.8% 21.9% 269
30–40% 34.7% 43.6% 101
40–50% 44.7% 41.2% 85
50–60% 54.9% 50.0% 50
60–70% 64.6% 72.9% 59
70–80% 74.8% 71.4% 42
80–90% 85.7% 93.9% 66
90–100% 92.5% 97.2% 72
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
13.08.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 3-2 23% 26% -11.1 24% 26% -9.8 53% 60% -12.2
13.08.23 Glasgow City LFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 3-0 87% 93% -7.0 9% 10% -9.5 4% 4% -2.0
13.08.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 0-4 19% 20% -7.0 21% 22% -4.7 61% 69% -12.6
13.08.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 4-0 61% 72% -15.4 20% 21% -2.7 19% 19% -0.8
13.08.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs Glasgow Rangers (W) 1-6 3% 3% -12.9 7% 8% -11.4 90% 96% -6.3
20.08.23 Glasgow Rangers (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 5-1 95% 99% -4.2 4% 5% -21.7 1% 2% -22.7
20.08.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 3-0 78% 90% -13.0 13% 12% 10.7 8% 6% 27.1
20.08.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 1-0 37% 41% -9.7 26% 29% -9.7 37% 43% -12.3
20.08.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 0-3 2% 2% -2.8 6% 6% 1.7 92% 99% -7.1
23.08.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 0-0 9% 9% -3.2 15% 16% -4.9 76% 85% -10.3
23.08.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 0-3 20% 20% 1.6 23% 25% -6.8 56% 67% -15.4
23.08.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Glasgow Rangers (W) 1-2 8% 10% -15.1 11% 11% -0.8 80% 88% -8.6
23.08.23 Montrose LFC (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 1-2 26% 22% 20.8 23% 25% -6.2 50% 65% -23.1
23.08.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 0-5 2% 2% 7.0 5% 4% 10.4 93% 99% -5.8
27.08.23 Celtic Glasgow (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 9-0 95% 99% -4.1 3% 4% -21.6 2% 2% -25.9
27.08.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 0-2 17% 18% -7.3 21% 22% -6.8 62% 71% -12.0
27.08.23 Glasgow Rangers (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 1-1 37% 42% -12.5 26% 29% -10.7 37% 41% -9.8
27.08.23 Hibernian (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 2-2 65% 73% -11.2 20% 22% -9.1 15% 16% -6.4
27.08.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 4-0 70% 80% -12.8 17% 17% -1.7 13% 13% -1.2
27.08.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 5-0 73% 82% -10.6 16% 17% -5.6 11% 12% -6.9
02.09.23 Glasgow City LFC (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 2-0 78% 85% -8.2 14% 16% -11.6 8% 9% -11.1
03.09.23 Glasgow Rangers (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 1-0 92% 97% -5.3 6% 7% -16.9 2% 3% -17.6
03.09.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 3-5 37% 42% -11.5 26% 29% -10.9 37% 42% -11.4
03.09.23 Hibernian (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 2-4 4% 3% 45.5 9% 7% 23.9 87% 97% -10.8
03.09.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 3-1 75% 85% -11.1 15% 15% -3.2 10% 10% -2.1
03.09.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 0-3 41% 45% -9.4 26% 29% -11.8 33% 38% -14.5
10.09.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Glasgow Rangers (W) 1-8 2% 2% -16.4 4% 4% -9.2 94% 99% -4.7
10.09.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 4-0 66% 76% -13.3 19% 20% -3.8 15% 14% 2.1
10.09.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 0-1 48% 55% -12.8 26% 29% -11.4 26% 28% -6.2
10.09.23 Montrose LFC (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 0-3 20% 23% -13.8 22% 24% -9.8 58% 65% -10.0
10.09.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 1-0 45% 52% -13.3 26% 29% -9.8 29% 31% -6.2
13.09.23 Celtic Glasgow (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 3-2 86% 94% -8.7 9% 9% 0.3 5% 5% 0.4
13.09.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 1-3 47% 53% -11.3 24% 27% -8.9 29% 32% -11.6
13.09.23 Glasgow Rangers (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 4-1 93% 99% -5.7 5% 5% -6.9 2% 2% -1.4
13.09.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 0-5 3% 3% -21.4 5% 6% -10.9 92% 98% -6.0
13.09.23 Hibernian (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 5-0 60% 68% -11.7 22% 24% -9.2 18% 20% -8.3
13.09.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 0-1 60% 71% -15.4 22% 23% -5.4 19% 18% 1.8
17.09.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 0-4 3% 3% -8.2 7% 7% -2.2 91% 97% -6.8
17.09.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 6-1 49% 57% -14.8 26% 29% -10.5 26% 27% -3.5
17.09.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 0-1 26% 29% -12.9 25% 29% -11.4 49% 54% -9.2
17.09.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 2-2 65% 80% -18.5 19% 18% 4.5 16% 12% 26.1
05.10.23 Celtic Glasgow (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 2-1 42% 45% -8.3 26% 29% -11.6 32% 38% -14.4
08.10.23 Celtic Glasgow (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 6-0 94% 99% -5.2 4% 5% -8.2 2% 2% -9.2
08.10.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 3-2 19% 20% -4.7 22% 23% -5.3 59% 68% -13.2
08.10.23 Glasgow City LFC (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 3-0 93% 98% -5.6 5% 6% -10.4 2% 2% -11.0
08.10.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Glasgow Rangers (W) 0-6 2% 2% -25.5 4% 4% -18.8 95% 99% -4.2
08.10.23 Hibernian (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 0-2 56% 66% -14.4 23% 24% -7.2 21% 22% -3.3
08.10.23 Montrose LFC (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 3-3 3% 3% 12.0 7% 6% 10.5 90% 98% -8.4
15.10.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 2-3 3% 2% 19.1 6% 6% 13.2 91% 99% -8.2
15.10.23 Glasgow Rangers (W) vs Hibernian (W) 7-0 85% 93% -8.6 10% 10% -2.4 5% 5% 1.4
15.10.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 1-1 33% 34% -4.8 24% 27% -8.3 43% 52% -17.5
15.10.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 6-0 61% 69% -12.4 21% 22% -5.6 19% 20% -6.9
15.10.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 0-3 4% 5% -7.4 9% 10% -4.0 86% 93% -7.5
15.10.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 3-4 17% 20% -13.1 22% 24% -10.9 61% 67% -9.3
22.10.23 Celtic Glasgow (W) vs Glasgow Rangers (W) 1-2 37% 42% -11.7 26% 29% -10.7 36% 41% -10.6
22.10.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 5-1 66% 75% -12.4 20% 21% -6.7 15% 15% -2.0
22.10.23 Hibernian (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 8-1 84% 93% -9.1 11% 11% -4.9 5% 5% 4.8
05.11.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 0-0 16% 17% -4.6 20% 22% -5.9 64% 72% -12.2
05.11.23 Montrose LFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 0-8 14% 15% -9.4 15% 14% 6.9 71% 81% -12.3
05.11.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 2-5 45% 53% -14.6 24% 27% -8.3 31% 33% -8.1
05.11.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 3-0 89% 98% -9.6 8% 7% 14.7 3% 2% 40.6
16.11.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 1-3 31% 37% -16.6 25% 28% -10.3 44% 48% -7.2
18.11.23 Hibernian (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 2-1 37% 44% -16.3 26% 29% -10.0 37% 39% -5.5
19.11.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 0-1 12% 14% -11.3 18% 19% -8.1 70% 78% -10.1
19.11.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 2-1 42% 49% -14.3 25% 28% -9.1 33% 36% -7.8
19.11.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 0-5 2% 2% -26.9 3% 4% -21.1 95% 99% -4.1
19.11.23 Montrose LFC (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 1-1 19% 20% -5.7 20% 20% -1.2 61% 71% -13.4
22.11.23 Glasgow City LFC (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 1-0 94% 99% -4.8 4% 4% -16.3 2% 3% -24.0
26.11.23 Celtic Glasgow (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 13-0 90% 96% -6.0 7% 8% -15.4 3% 3% -16.2
26.11.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 1-3 3% 3% -11.6 8% 8% -10.0 89% 96% -7.0
26.11.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 6-1 89% 97% -8.5 7% 7% 11.8 4% 3% 15.0
26.11.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 2-4 22% 26% -13.5 24% 27% -11.3 54% 60% -9.5
26.11.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 1-4 16% 17% -10.8 21% 23% -9.8 64% 72% -11.1
10.12.23 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 1-1 18% 21% -14.6 20% 21% -7.0 63% 69% -9.8
10.12.23 Hibernian (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 1-3 16% 18% -10.7 20% 22% -7.7 64% 71% -10.8
10.12.23 Montrose LFC (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 3-2 43% 49% -11.6 24% 27% -8.4 32% 37% -12.3
10.12.23 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Glasgow Rangers (W) 0-5 2% 2% -9.2 4% 4% -1.3 94% 99% -5.1
10.12.23 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 1-4 31% 33% -8.3 26% 29% -10.0 44% 51% -13.4
16.12.23 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Hibernian (W) 0-7 14% 13% 7.5 18% 18% 1.3 68% 79% -14.7
17.12.23 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 0-1 19% 21% -7.8 20% 20% -1.7 61% 70% -13.5
17.12.23 Glasgow City LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 6-0 80% 91% -11.7 12% 11% 8.4 8% 8% 4.3
17.12.23 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 1-1 10% 10% 0.0 15% 15% -0.1 75% 85% -11.9
17.12.23 Spartans WFC (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 1-1 58% 67% -13.3 21% 23% -5.8 20% 22% -6.1
14.01.24 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Hibernian (W) 0-4 3% 3% -3.2 7% 7% -1.6 91% 98% -7.5
14.01.24 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 0-3 19% 20% -5.5 21% 22% -5.0 60% 69% -13.6
14.01.24 Partick Thistle LFC (W) vs FC Aberdeen (W) 2-0 64% 73% -12.1 20% 21% -6.7 16% 17% -7.1
14.01.24 Spartans WFC (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 1-5 3% 3% -5.1 7% 7% -5.2 90% 97% -7.1
28.01.24 Dundee United WFC (W) vs Hamilton Academical WFC (W) 1-4 55% 65% -14.9 23% 24% -6.7 22% 23% -3.4
28.01.24 Glasgow City LFC (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 1-0 32% 36% -11.3 26% 29% -10.5 43% 49% -12.4
28.01.24 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) vs Spartans WFC (W) 1-0 81% 90% -10.2 12% 13% -3.4 7% 6% 3.1
28.01.24 Hibernian (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 5-0 80% 88% -8.9 13% 13% -5.3 8% 8% -6.1
28.01.24 Montrose LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 1-2 13% 14% -12.4 17% 18% -6.8 71% 79% -10.4
31.01.24 Hibernian (W) vs Dundee United WFC (W) 4-0 93% 98% -5.5 5% 6% -9.6 2% 3% -14.7
07.02.24 FC Aberdeen (W) vs Montrose LFC (W) 2-1 56% 62% -10.6 22% 24% -9.1 22% 26% -13.1
07.02.24 Glasgow Rangers (W) vs Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 1-0 85% 93% -9.2 10% 11% -2.7 5% 5% 4.0
07.02.24 Motherwell LFC (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 0-2 2% 2% -8.7 4% 4% -1.1 94% 99% -5.2
07.02.24 Spartans WFC (W) vs Partick Thistle LFC (W) 0-1 15% 17% -14.0 21% 24% -12.6 64% 71% -9.4
11.02.24 Hamilton Academical WFC (W) vs Motherwell LFC (W) 2-1 18% 21% -13.7 20% 22% -8.2 62% 68% -10.1
11.02.24 Hibernian (W) vs Celtic Glasgow (W) 1-3 14% 15% -2.2 17% 16% 4.4 69% 80% -14.0
11.02.24 Montrose LFC (W) vs Glasgow City LFC (W) 1-5 2% 2% -10.4 4% 4% -5.0 94% 99% -4.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 404 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Glasgow City LFC (W) 1915.63
2 Hibernian (W) 1887.46
3 Glasgow Rangers (W) 1882.77
4 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 1879.52
5 Celtic Glasgow (W) 1840.48
6 Montrose LFC (W) 1376.89
7 Motherwell LFC (W) 1353.29
8 Partick Thistle LFC (W) 1334.55
9 Spartans WFC (W) 1272.77
10 FC Aberdeen (W) 1205.03

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Heart of Midlothian WFC (W) 2034.44
2 Glasgow City LFC (W) 1907.94
3 Glasgow Rangers (W) 1824.73
4 Hibernian (W) 1822.42
5 Celtic Glasgow (W) 1778.91
6 Partick Thistle LFC (W) 1356.45
7 Motherwell LFC (W) 1320.07
8 Spartans WFC (W) 1252.76
9 FC Aberdeen (W) 1233.87
10 Montrose LFC (W) 1204.49