ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 688
Avg Goals 2.83
Avg Home 1.60
Avg Away 1.24
Home Win % 44.9%
Draw % 25.0%
Away Win % 30.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 688
Avg Brier Score 0.5609
Pick Accuracy 53.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5624
Market Brier 0.5613
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 688 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.9% 7.3% 123
10–20% 15.5% 14.8% 291
20–30% 26.2% 25.6% 751
30–40% 34.2% 34.7% 343
40–50% 44.7% 39.3% 211
50–60% 54.4% 60.6% 142
60–70% 64.1% 68.4% 76
70–80% 75.0% 81.3% 75
80–90% 83.8% 82.7% 52
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Celtic Glasgow vs Ross County 4-2 88% 93% -4.7 8% 8% -1.1 4% 4% -19.0
05.08.23 FC Dundee vs FC Motherwell 1-1 40% 43% -8.0 29% 31% -5.0 31% 33% -7.7
05.08.23 FC Kilmarnock vs Glasgow Rangers 1-0 12% 13% -12.8 20% 21% -4.2 68% 72% -5.6
05.08.23 Livingston FC vs FC Aberdeen 0-0 31% 36% -12.0 30% 32% -6.6 38% 39% -1.9
05.08.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs Heart of Midlothian 0-2 28% 30% -8.2 28% 29% -4.0 44% 48% -7.7
06.08.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs St. Mirren 2-3 49% 51% -3.6 27% 29% -6.5 24% 28% -14.2
12.08.23 Glasgow Rangers vs Livingston FC 4-0 81% 83% -3.1 13% 15% -9.9 6% 7% -20.6
12.08.23 Ross County vs Saint Johnstone FC 2-0 45% 49% -8.5 30% 32% -7.7 26% 28% -7.8
12.08.23 St. Mirren vs FC Dundee 2-1 42% 44% -4.9 30% 32% -7.3 28% 31% -10.9
13.08.23 FC Aberdeen vs Celtic Glasgow 1-3 9% 11% -14.4 17% 17% -3.5 74% 79% -5.8
13.08.23 FC Motherwell vs Hibernian Edinburgh 2-1 36% 38% -7.2 29% 30% -4.1 35% 38% -8.3
13.08.23 Heart of Midlothian vs FC Kilmarnock 0-0 52% 54% -4.3 27% 29% -6.5 22% 25% -13.9
26.08.23 Celtic Glasgow vs Saint Johnstone FC 0-0 89% 93% -4.2 8% 7% 1.7 4% 5% -20.8
26.08.23 FC Motherwell vs FC Kilmarnock 2-1 38% 41% -6.6 30% 32% -6.7 32% 35% -9.4
26.08.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs Livingston FC 2-3 53% 56% -4.8 27% 29% -7.0 21% 24% -13.7
26.08.23 Ross County vs Glasgow Rangers 0-2 10% 11% -10.7 18% 18% -1.5 72% 77% -5.8
27.08.23 FC Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian 1-0 32% 35% -8.5 29% 30% -4.5 39% 42% -7.7
27.08.23 St. Mirren vs FC Aberdeen 2-2 41% 43% -5.7 30% 32% -7.0 29% 32% -10.1
02.09.23 FC Kilmarnock vs Ross County 0-1 54% 57% -6.1 27% 29% -6.2 20% 22% -10.0
02.09.23 Livingston FC vs St. Mirren 1-1 31% 33% -6.0 31% 33% -7.1 38% 41% -7.6
02.09.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs FC Dundee 2-2 32% 35% -6.8 30% 32% -6.4 37% 41% -8.6
03.09.23 FC Aberdeen vs Hibernian Edinburgh 0-2 41% 43% -6.6 29% 30% -5.2 31% 34% -11.1
03.09.23 Glasgow Rangers vs Celtic Glasgow 0-1 39% 43% -10.5 27% 28% -1.2 34% 36% -5.8
03.09.23 Heart of Midlothian vs FC Motherwell 0-1 54% 58% -5.8 26% 27% -4.6 20% 22% -11.0
16.09.23 Celtic Glasgow vs FC Dundee 3-0 80% 84% -4.9 13% 14% -3.8 7% 8% -18.5
16.09.23 FC Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Edinburgh 2-2 39% 41% -5.6 30% 32% -6.8 31% 35% -10.4
16.09.23 FC Motherwell vs St. Mirren 0-1 36% 38% -5.2 31% 33% -7.2 33% 36% -8.7
16.09.23 Heart of Midlothian vs FC Aberdeen 2-0 46% 50% -7.8 27% 29% -4.0 26% 29% -10.1
16.09.23 Ross County vs Livingston FC 1-1 42% 45% -6.8 30% 32% -7.1 28% 30% -8.7
16.09.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs Glasgow Rangers 0-2 8% 9% -12.1 16% 17% -3.4 76% 81% -5.4
23.09.23 FC Dundee vs FC Kilmarnock 2-2 38% 41% -5.8 30% 31% -5.2 32% 35% -9.0
23.09.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs Saint Johnstone FC 2-0 61% 64% -4.3 24% 26% -7.7 15% 18% -15.3
23.09.23 Livingston FC vs Celtic Glasgow 0-3 9% 11% -16.8 17% 18% -6.3 74% 78% -4.6
23.09.23 St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian 1-0 36% 38% -5.9 30% 31% -5.2 35% 38% -9.3
24.09.23 FC Aberdeen vs Ross County 4-0 51% 53% -4.3 27% 29% -5.9 22% 26% -13.3
24.09.23 Glasgow Rangers vs FC Motherwell 1-0 78% 82% -4.8 15% 16% -7.2 7% 9% -18.4
30.09.23 FC Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren 1-1 41% 43% -4.4 30% 32% -6.5 29% 32% -9.6
30.09.23 FC Motherwell vs Celtic Glasgow 1-2 12% 15% -16.4 20% 21% -5.3 68% 71% -4.9
30.09.23 Glasgow Rangers vs FC Aberdeen 1-3 73% 76% -4.5 17% 18% -4.8 10% 12% -16.9
30.09.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs FC Dundee 0-0 58% 62% -7.3 25% 26% -3.7 17% 19% -8.8
30.09.23 Ross County vs Heart of Midlothian 0-1 31% 33% -8.2 29% 30% -4.9 41% 44% -8.7
30.09.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs Livingston FC 1-1 37% 39% -5.1 31% 33% -7.2 32% 35% -8.6
07.10.23 Celtic Glasgow vs FC Kilmarnock 3-1 79% 83% -4.9 14% 15% -4.0 7% 8% -15.1
07.10.23 Heart of Midlothian vs Hibernian Edinburgh 2-2 38% 42% -9.3 29% 30% -4.8 33% 36% -8.3
07.10.23 Livingston FC vs FC Motherwell 2-0 33% 35% -5.9 30% 32% -6.4 37% 41% -9.3
08.10.23 FC Aberdeen vs Saint Johnstone FC 0-0 63% 67% -6.0 23% 24% -5.2 14% 15% -10.1
08.10.23 St. Mirren vs Glasgow Rangers 0-3 17% 19% -11.0 24% 24% -3.2 59% 63% -6.1
21.10.23 FC Kilmarnock vs Livingston FC 3-1 52% 54% -4.7 27% 29% -6.7 21% 24% -11.7
21.10.23 Glasgow Rangers vs Hibernian Edinburgh 4-0 67% 71% -6.7 20% 21% -2.2 13% 15% -12.3
22.10.23 Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic Glasgow 1-4 15% 17% -11.7 22% 22% -0.9 63% 67% -6.0
24.10.23 FC Dundee vs Ross County 0-0 45% 49% -7.1 28% 29% -5.2 27% 30% -11.5
28.10.23 FC Motherwell vs Ross County 3-3 50% 53% -6.7 27% 29% -4.3 23% 25% -8.8
28.10.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs Celtic Glasgow 0-0 17% 18% -7.3 22% 22% 1.1 61% 67% -9.0
28.10.23 Livingston FC vs FC Dundee 0-2 38% 41% -7.5 30% 31% -5.1 33% 35% -7.1
28.10.23 St. Mirren vs Saint Johnstone FC 4-0 53% 55% -3.6 28% 30% -8.7 19% 22% -12.7
29.10.23 FC Kilmarnock vs FC Aberdeen 2-0 37% 40% -8.7 30% 31% -4.9 34% 36% -5.5
29.10.23 Glasgow Rangers vs Heart of Midlothian 2-1 75% 79% -5.3 16% 17% -5.3 8% 10% -16.0
31.10.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs Ross County 2-2 56% 59% -5.1 25% 26% -5.1 19% 22% -13.6
01.11.23 Celtic Glasgow vs St. Mirren 2-1 79% 82% -4.2 14% 15% -6.5 7% 9% -18.7
01.11.23 FC Dundee vs Glasgow Rangers 0-5 12% 14% -14.5 21% 23% -6.9 67% 70% -4.7
01.11.23 FC Motherwell vs FC Aberdeen 2-4 37% 42% -10.1 29% 31% -4.6 33% 35% -4.7
01.11.23 Heart of Midlothian vs Livingston FC 1-0 61% 66% -7.0 24% 24% -3.5 15% 17% -8.5
01.11.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs FC Kilmarnock 2-1 28% 29% -4.3 30% 31% -5.3 42% 47% -9.1
04.11.23 FC Kilmarnock vs FC Motherwell 1-0 48% 53% -10.5 28% 30% -7.4 24% 27% -10.0
04.11.23 Ross County vs Celtic Glasgow 0-3 10% 11% -12.8 18% 19% -3.8 72% 76% -6.1
05.11.23 FC Dundee vs Livingston FC 1-0 49% 53% -7.2 28% 30% -6.5 23% 25% -8.8
07.11.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs FC Motherwell 2-2 33% 36% -7.2 30% 32% -6.0 37% 39% -6.8
08.11.23 St. Mirren vs Hibernian Edinburgh 2-2 40% 43% -8.4 30% 31% -5.0 31% 32% -5.4
11.11.23 FC Dundee vs St. Mirren 4-0 37% 41% -9.2 30% 32% -6.4 33% 35% -6.0
11.11.23 FC Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian 1-2 31% 34% -8.6 29% 30% -4.7 40% 43% -7.8
11.11.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs FC Kilmarnock 1-0 46% 49% -6.5 28% 29% -4.7 26% 29% -10.3
11.11.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs Ross County 1-0 37% 40% -6.5 30% 32% -6.1 32% 35% -7.9
12.11.23 Celtic Glasgow vs FC Aberdeen 6-0 75% 81% -6.6 16% 16% 1.1 9% 10% -10.4
12.11.23 Livingston FC vs Glasgow Rangers 0-2 8% 10% -16.9 16% 17% -7.1 76% 79% -4.3
25.11.23 Celtic Glasgow vs FC Motherwell 1-1 83% 87% -5.1 12% 12% -1.7 6% 7% -16.4
25.11.23 FC Dundee vs Hibernian Edinburgh 1-2 32% 34% -8.0 29% 31% -5.1 39% 43% -8.2
25.11.23 Heart of Midlothian vs Saint Johnstone FC 1-0 61% 65% -4.9 24% 25% -5.9 15% 17% -12.9
25.11.23 Ross County vs FC Kilmarnock 0-0 30% 32% -6.3 30% 32% -6.6 40% 43% -8.8
25.11.23 St. Mirren vs Livingston FC 1-0 51% 53% -3.9 29% 31% -8.1 21% 23% -10.4
26.11.23 FC Aberdeen vs Glasgow Rangers 1-1 13% 15% -13.0 21% 22% -4.3 65% 69% -5.9
28.11.23 Ross County vs St. Mirren 1-0 38% 41% -8.1 31% 33% -7.1 32% 33% -5.4
02.12.23 FC Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian 0-1 36% 38% -5.7 30% 31% -5.2 34% 38% -9.6
02.12.23 FC Motherwell vs FC Dundee 3-3 43% 47% -6.6 29% 31% -5.8 27% 29% -7.8
03.12.23 Glasgow Rangers vs St. Mirren 2-0 81% 85% -4.5 13% 14% -7.2 6% 7% -18.4
03.12.23 Hibernian Edinburgh vs FC Aberdeen 2-0 44% 48% -7.0 28% 29% -4.1 28% 30% -9.2
03.12.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs Celtic Glasgow 1-3 7% 8% -13.9 15% 16% -4.9 78% 82% -5.0
05.12.23 Ross County vs FC Motherwell 3-0 42% 45% -7.2 30% 32% -6.3 28% 29% -6.0
06.12.23 Celtic Glasgow vs Hibernian Edinburgh 4-1 77% 81% -5.8 16% 16% -2.5 8% 9% -13.9
06.12.23 FC Aberdeen vs FC Kilmarnock 0-1 43% 47% -6.6 29% 31% -6.0 28% 31% -10.3
06.12.23 Heart of Midlothian vs Glasgow Rangers 0-1 15% 17% -11.4 23% 24% -4.6 63% 67% -6.8
06.12.23 Saint Johnstone FC vs St. Mirren 1-0 30% 32% -6.8 31% 34% -7.9 39% 42% -7.0
09.12.23 FC Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian 2-1 39% 43% -7.5 29% 30% -4.4 32% 34% -8.2
09.12.23 FC Motherwell vs Saint Johnstone FC 1-1 46% 49% -5.1 29% 32% -8.9 24% 28% -12.5
09.12.23 Glasgow Rangers vs FC Dundee 3-1 85% 88% -3.8 11% 11% -7.5 4% 5% -19.9
09.12.23 Livingston FC vs Hibernian Edinburgh 0-1 25% 27% -6.2 29% 30% -5.4 46% 51% -9.0
09.12.23 St. Mirren vs Ross County 2-0 43% 45% -6.1 30% 32% -7.2 27% 30% -9.6
10.12.23 FC Kilmarnock vs Celtic Glasgow 2-1 12% 14% -11.0 20% 20% -1.1 68% 73% -6.9
16.12.23 Celtic Glasgow vs Heart of Midlothian 0-2 77% 82% -6.0 15% 15% -1.5 8% 9% -14.2
16.12.23 Livingston FC vs FC Kilmarnock 0-0 29% 30% -4.1 30% 32% -6.6 41% 45% -10.2
16.12.23 Ross County vs FC Dundee 0-1 42% 44% -6.2 29% 31% -6.1 29% 32% -10.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 688 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Celtic Glasgow 2165.82
2 Glasgow Rangers 2154.42
3 Heart of Midlothian 2043.06
4 Hibernian Edinburgh 1956.62
5 FC Aberdeen 1951.84
6 Dundee United 1943.32
7 FC Motherwell 1930.49
8 Saint Johnstone FC 1917.02
9 Falkirk FC 1884.73
10 FC Dundee 1856.65
11 St. Mirren 1855.78
12 FC Kilmarnock 1844.22

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Glasgow Rangers 2181.98
2 Celtic Glasgow 2117.53
3 Heart of Midlothian 1970.26
4 Hibernian Edinburgh 1932.45
5 FC Aberdeen 1904.07
6 Dundee United 1862.59
7 FC Motherwell 1854.58
8 Falkirk FC 1841.24
9 Saint Johnstone FC 1809.35
10 St. Mirren 1797.77
11 FC Dundee 1778.31
12 FC Kilmarnock 1742.86