ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 581
Avg Goals 2.96
Avg Home 1.70
Avg Away 1.27
Home Win % 48.0%
Draw % 23.4%
Away Win % 28.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 581
Avg Brier Score 0.6011
Pick Accuracy 51.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6002
Market Brier 0.6015
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 13
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 92.3% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 13 of 581 matches had at least one · staked 13.00, profit -13.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 12 0.0% 12.00 -12.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.1% 0.0% 6
10–20% 16.5% 17.8% 169
20–30% 25.3% 24.6% 808
30–40% 34.9% 34.1% 264
40–50% 44.8% 45.8% 260
50–60% 54.7% 54.9% 144
60–70% 64.3% 67.6% 74
70–80% 72.9% 77.8% 18
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 Slavoj Trebisov vs Slovan Bratislava II 1-0 43% 50% -14.3 26% 29% -10.8 31% 33% -7.3
29.07.23 FC Petrzalka vs FK Pohronie 2-0 38% 43% -12.0 27% 30% -11.2 35% 38% -9.4
29.07.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs MSK Zilina II 1-2 35% 40% -12.8 26% 29% -9.7 39% 43% -9.5
29.07.23 MSK Puchov vs Spartak Myjava 2-1 45% 53% -14.1 26% 29% -10.0 29% 31% -6.9
29.07.23 Povazska Bystrica vs FK Samorin 2-2 40% 45% -12.0 26% 29% -10.3 34% 37% -9.3
30.07.23 OFK Malzenice vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 0-1 24% 26% -7.4 24% 27% -9.3 51% 59% -13.1
04.08.23 FK Pohronie vs MFK Dolny Kubin 1-1 58% 67% -13.4 22% 24% -8.3 20% 21% -6.3
05.08.23 1.FC Tatran Presov vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 1-0 49% 55% -11.6 26% 29% -11.5 25% 28% -8.5
05.08.23 Povazska Bystrica vs OFK Malzenice 4-1 58% 67% -13.0 22% 24% -8.0 20% 21% -6.0
06.08.23 FK Samorin vs MSK Puchov 2-5 44% 50% -11.5 26% 29% -10.3 30% 34% -11.2
06.08.23 MSK Zilina II vs HFC Humenne 5-3 45% 52% -12.9 25% 28% -9.0 30% 32% -8.3
06.08.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs FC Petrzalka 0-0 33% 36% -10.5 27% 30% -11.9 41% 47% -12.4
12.08.23 FK Spisska Nova Ves vs MSK Zilina II 1-2 32% 36% -11.1 25% 28% -9.1 43% 49% -11.8
12.08.23 HFC Humenne vs FK Pohronie 1-0 44% 51% -12.9 27% 30% -11.4 29% 31% -6.8
12.08.23 KFC Komarno vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 3-2 46% 52% -11.8 27% 31% -12.8 27% 29% -8.1
12.08.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs Slovan Bratislava II 0-1 45% 52% -13.0 27% 31% -12.4 28% 30% -7.7
12.08.23 MSK Puchov vs Povazska Bystrica 1-1 48% 56% -13.7 25% 28% -9.7 26% 29% -7.5
12.08.23 Slavoj Trebisov vs FK Samorin 1-2 37% 43% -13.2 27% 31% -11.8 36% 39% -8.3
13.08.23 FC Petrzalka vs Spartak Myjava 0-1 45% 52% -13.2 26% 29% -10.9 29% 31% -7.8
13.08.23 OFK Malzenice vs 1.FC Tatran Presov 2-0 17% 17% 0.3 22% 24% -7.3 60% 71% -14.7
18.08.23 FK Pohronie vs FK Spisska Nova Ves 4-3 61% 70% -13.1 22% 24% -8.8 17% 17% -2.5
19.08.23 MSK Puchov vs OFK Malzenice 2-0 64% 73% -12.7 21% 23% -7.5 15% 15% -0.8
19.08.23 Povazska Bystrica vs Slavoj Trebisov 5-0 61% 72% -16.1 22% 23% -5.0 17% 16% 8.1
20.08.23 FK Samorin vs FC Petrzalka 0-7 45% 52% -12.8 25% 28% -9.0 30% 32% -8.5
20.08.23 MSK Zilina II vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 0-2 40% 47% -13.5 25% 27% -7.9 35% 38% -9.3
20.08.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs HFC Humenne 5-2 32% 35% -9.8 28% 32% -12.8 40% 44% -9.5
25.08.23 FK Pohronie vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 1-1 31% 32% -5.2 26% 29% -10.1 43% 50% -14.0
26.08.23 1.FC Tatran Presov vs MSK Zilina II 4-2 60% 69% -14.1 22% 23% -6.0 19% 19% -2.1
26.08.23 FK Spisska Nova Ves vs Slovan Bratislava II 0-2 38% 42% -9.9 28% 32% -12.9 34% 38% -10.6
26.08.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs FK Samorin 4-0 35% 40% -12.8 27% 30% -11.7 38% 43% -9.9
26.08.23 Slavoj Trebisov vs MSK Puchov 0-4 27% 29% -8.6 26% 29% -11.2 47% 53% -12.1
27.08.23 FC Petrzalka vs Povazska Bystrica 0-1 48% 56% -14.3 25% 28% -9.1 27% 29% -5.2
27.08.23 OFK Malzenice vs KFC Komarno 0-1 22% 24% -8.3 25% 28% -11.1 53% 60% -12.1
01.09.23 FK Pohronie vs 1.FC Tatran Presov 0-3 32% 34% -8.6 27% 30% -11.4 42% 48% -12.5
01.09.23 Slavoj Trebisov vs OFK Malzenice 2-0 42% 48% -11.7 27% 30% -11.5 31% 34% -9.6
02.09.23 MSK Puchov vs FC Petrzalka 5-0 47% 54% -12.2 26% 29% -11.7 27% 29% -9.7
02.09.23 Povazska Bystrica vs MFK Dolny Kubin 4-3 55% 65% -14.6 24% 27% -9.1 21% 21% -0.6
02.09.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 0-5 28% 31% -9.2 26% 29% -11.3 46% 53% -12.6
03.09.23 FK Samorin vs HFC Humenne 2-2 40% 45% -11.2 26% 29% -10.8 33% 38% -11.5
03.09.23 MSK Zilina II vs KFC Komarno 3-4 25% 26% -3.9 24% 26% -8.0 51% 60% -15.1
08.09.23 Spartak Myjava vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 2-1 35% 39% -9.7 26% 29% -10.3 38% 43% -12.1
09.09.23 1.FC Tatran Presov vs Slovan Bratislava II 0-0 68% 78% -13.6 19% 20% -4.5 13% 13% 3.4
09.09.23 FK Spisska Nova Ves vs FK Samorin 0-0 40% 47% -13.9 27% 30% -11.0 33% 35% -5.9
09.09.23 HFC Humenne vs Povazska Bystrica 1-1 39% 43% -10.1 26% 29% -10.9 35% 40% -13.2
09.09.23 KFC Komarno vs FK Pohronie 4-0 62% 72% -13.2 21% 23% -6.9 16% 17% -1.8
09.09.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs MSK Puchov 0-4 31% 35% -10.3 26% 29% -9.9 43% 49% -11.9
10.09.23 FC Petrzalka vs Slavoj Trebisov 2-0 60% 69% -13.2 22% 24% -7.5 18% 18% -2.5
10.09.23 OFK Malzenice vs MSK Zilina II 1-2 36% 41% -11.0 25% 28% -8.7 38% 43% -11.9
15.09.23 FK Pohronie vs MSK Zilina II 0-2 47% 53% -12.8 25% 28% -9.6 28% 31% -9.5
16.09.23 MSK Puchov vs HFC Humenne 0-1 58% 67% -13.4 23% 26% -8.7 19% 19% -1.1
16.09.23 Povazska Bystrica vs FK Spisska Nova Ves 1-1 64% 75% -14.5 20% 21% -3.2 15% 14% 7.2
16.09.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs KFC Komarno 1-3 19% 20% -3.9 23% 26% -9.4 58% 67% -13.7
17.09.23 FC Petrzalka vs OFK Malzenice 2-2 63% 73% -14.0 21% 22% -5.5 16% 16% 1.5
17.09.23 FK Samorin vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 3-1 26% 27% -5.1 25% 28% -9.3 49% 57% -13.9
23.09.23 1.FC Tatran Presov vs FK Samorin 2-0 64% 74% -13.6 21% 22% -6.2 15% 15% 2.4
23.09.23 FK Spisska Nova Ves vs MSK Puchov 0-1 27% 30% -12.1 25% 28% -10.3 48% 54% -10.4
23.09.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs FC Petrzalka 1-1 32% 36% -11.4 26% 29% -10.7 42% 47% -10.7
24.09.23 MSK Zilina II vs Slovan Bratislava II 1-3 52% 60% -14.1 24% 26% -7.9 25% 27% -7.6
24.09.23 OFK Malzenice vs FK Pohronie 1-1 37% 43% -13.8 27% 31% -12.5 36% 39% -8.3
29.09.23 Spartak Myjava vs MSK Zilina II 1-0 55% 65% -15.2 23% 25% -7.6 21% 22% -3.3
30.09.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs OFK Malzenice 0-3 45% 52% -13.3 26% 29% -10.8 29% 31% -7.6
30.09.23 MSK Puchov vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 2-0 39% 43% -10.1 27% 30% -11.3 34% 38% -11.6
01.10.23 FC Petrzalka vs HFC Humenne 2-1 53% 62% -13.9 24% 27% -9.2 23% 24% -5.0
01.10.23 FK Samorin vs KFC Komarno 1-4 23% 24% -5.9 25% 27% -9.3 53% 60% -12.8
01.10.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs FK Pohronie 0-3 39% 45% -13.1 27% 30% -11.2 34% 36% -7.6
06.10.23 FK Pohronie vs Spartak Myjava 2-0 38% 42% -11.1 26% 29% -10.5 36% 41% -11.4
07.10.23 1.FC Tatran Presov vs MSK Puchov 1-0 50% 57% -13.0 26% 29% -10.5 25% 26% -6.0
07.10.23 FK Spisska Nova Ves vs FC Petrzalka 0-2 28% 31% -10.1 26% 29% -10.5 46% 53% -12.0
07.10.23 KFC Komarno vs Povazska Bystrica 2-0 58% 67% -13.3 23% 24% -7.5 19% 20% -3.6
07.10.23 MSK Zilina II vs FK Samorin 1-0 49% 57% -14.6 24% 26% -7.7 27% 29% -5.9
07.10.23 Slavoj Trebisov vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 2-0 19% 19% -2.2 23% 26% -9.2 58% 67% -13.4
08.10.23 OFK Malzenice vs Slovan Bratislava II 0-0 41% 48% -14.4 27% 30% -11.7 32% 35% -7.4
11.10.23 Povazska Bystrica vs 1.FC Tatran Presov 1-1 33% 36% -10.5 27% 31% -12.6 40% 45% -11.7
13.10.23 Spartak Myjava vs Slovan Bratislava II 1-4 25% 24% 6.7 23% 24% -4.7 51% 64% -19.4
14.10.23 HFC Humenne vs OFK Malzenice 2-1 59% 69% -14.7 22% 24% -6.3 18% 18% 1.5
14.10.23 MSK Puchov vs KFC Komarno 0-1 35% 38% -10.1 27% 31% -12.0 38% 43% -10.9
14.10.23 Povazska Bystrica vs MSK Zilina II 2-1 37% 40% -7.1 26% 29% -9.7 37% 43% -14.8
15.10.23 FC Petrzalka vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 2-1 42% 48% -12.5 26% 29% -10.8 32% 36% -10.1
20.10.23 FK Pohronie vs Povazska Bystrica 0-0 44% 49% -10.1 27% 31% -12.7 29% 32% -10.6
21.10.23 1.FC Tatran Presov vs FC Petrzalka 1-1 54% 62% -14.3 24% 27% -8.8 22% 23% -2.5
21.10.23 MFK Dolny Kubin vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 2-2 23% 25% -7.2 25% 29% -11.3 51% 59% -12.5
21.10.23 MSK Zilina II vs MSK Puchov 6-2 31% 33% -6.6 26% 29% -9.8 43% 51% -14.7
21.10.23 OFK Malzenice vs Spartak Myjava 2-1 36% 38% -5.3 27% 31% -12.3 37% 43% -15.3
22.10.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs FK Samorin 0-3 57% 65% -12.7 23% 26% -9.3 20% 21% -5.5
28.10.23 HFC Humenne vs FK Liptovsky Mikulas 4-1 43% 51% -14.1 27% 31% -11.6 29% 31% -4.4
28.10.23 MSK Puchov vs FK Pohronie 0-4 51% 60% -13.9 25% 28% -10.0 24% 25% -5.0
28.10.23 Povazska Bystrica vs Slovan Bratislava II 3-1 57% 68% -15.9 23% 25% -6.5 19% 18% 6.8
28.10.23 Slavoj Trebisov vs MSK Zilina II 2-2 34% 38% -11.7 26% 29% -11.1 40% 45% -12.3
29.10.23 FC Petrzalka vs KFC Komarno 3-1 33% 36% -9.0 27% 31% -12.2 40% 45% -11.9
29.10.23 FK Samorin vs Spartak Myjava 2-2 35% 37% -6.3 27% 30% -11.6 38% 45% -15.3
29.10.23 OFK Malzenice vs FK Spisska Nova Ves 3-1 46% 51% -11.0 28% 32% -14.0 27% 29% -9.5
03.11.23 FK Pohronie vs Slavoj Trebisov 3-2 56% 65% -13.3 25% 29% -11.9 19% 19% -0.9
04.11.23 MSK Zilina II vs FC Petrzalka 0-1 37% 42% -10.0 25% 27% -8.0 38% 43% -13.4
05.11.23 OFK Malzenice vs FK Samorin 4-0 44% 51% -13.4 26% 29% -9.8 30% 32% -7.6
05.11.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs MSK Puchov 2-4 33% 38% -11.8 26% 29% -10.8 40% 45% -11.0
05.11.23 Spartak Myjava vs Povazska Bystrica 0-4 38% 42% -10.6 27% 31% -12.3 35% 39% -11.1
10.11.23 FK Pohronie vs FC Petrzalka 2-4 42% 48% -12.6 27% 31% -12.3 31% 35% -9.8
11.11.23 FK Liptovsky Mikulas vs OFK Malzenice 4-2 59% 67% -12.0 23% 25% -8.9 18% 19% -4.5
11.11.23 Slovan Bratislava II vs Slavoj Trebisov 0-0 47% 53% -12.5 26% 29% -10.4 28% 30% -8.9
11.11.23 Spartak Myjava vs MSK Puchov 3-0 37% 40% -8.4 27% 30% -11.1 36% 42% -12.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 581 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

19 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Petrzalka 1733.24
2 FK Samorin 1682.52
3 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 1636.70
4 Povazska Bystrica 1631.01
5 Inter Bratislava 1627.14
6 FK Pohronie 1626.18
7 1.FC Tatran Presov 1625.17
8 FK Liptovsky Mikulas 1612.66
9 OFK Malzenice 1577.03
10 OFK Banik Lehota Pod Vtacnikom 1576.51
11 Slovan Bratislava II 1559.20
12 Slavia TU Kosice 1540.11
13 MFK Lokomotiva Zvolen 1532.90
14 MSK Puchov 1531.19
15 MSK Zilina II 1511.80
16 FK Slovan Galanta 1506.36
17 HFC Humenne 1467.33
18 MFK Goral Stara Lubovna 1459.79
19 MFK Bytca 1291.11

Away Ratings

19 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Petrzalka 1669.69
2 FK Samorin 1640.29
3 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 1580.61
4 FK Liptovsky Mikulas 1573.77
5 Inter Bratislava 1561.39
6 Povazska Bystrica 1558.58
7 FK Pohronie 1528.69
8 Slovan Bratislava II 1500.88
9 OFK Malzenice 1483.42
10 1.FC Tatran Presov 1477.86
11 MSK Puchov 1453.10
12 OFK Banik Lehota Pod Vtacnikom 1444.22
13 MFK Lokomotiva Zvolen 1441.36
14 FK Slovan Galanta 1404.03
15 MSK Zilina II 1393.88
16 MFK Goral Stara Lubovna 1362.69
17 HFC Humenne 1355.66
18 Slavia TU Kosice 1308.14
19 MFK Bytca 1280.09