ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 581
Avg Goals 2.79
Avg Home 1.50
Avg Away 1.28
Home Win % 44.8%
Draw % 23.9%
Away Win % 31.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 581
Avg Brier Score 0.5874
Pick Accuracy 53.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5927
Market Brier 0.5867
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 581 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.3% 7.7% 13
10–20% 16.1% 14.8% 210
20–30% 25.7% 23.8% 780
30–40% 34.8% 35.2% 253
40–50% 44.6% 47.7% 222
50–60% 54.7% 56.8% 155
60–70% 64.9% 74.4% 82
70–80% 73.1% 64.0% 25
80–90% 82.2% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 1-4 42% 48% -12.7 27% 29% -6.0 32% 33% -5.3
29.07.23 FK Kosice vs Slovan Bratislava 0-0 22% 29% -23.5 25% 29% -13.4 53% 53% 0.4
29.07.23 MFK Skalica vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 2-0 50% 56% -11.3 26% 29% -7.8 24% 25% -5.8
29.07.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs DAC Dunajska Streda 0-0 19% 24% -21.2 24% 28% -12.6 56% 57% -1.1
30.07.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs AS Trencin 1-2 59% 66% -9.7 23% 24% -6.0 18% 19% -7.2
30.07.23 MSK Zilina vs MFK Ruzomberok 3-1 38% 43% -12.2 27% 29% -7.0 34% 37% -6.9
04.08.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs MFK Skalica 2-1 47% 52% -9.7 28% 30% -9.1 26% 28% -7.5
05.08.23 AS Trencin vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 56% 63% -11.1 24% 26% -6.1 20% 21% -5.7
05.08.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs FK Kosice 5-2 62% 68% -9.2 22% 24% -7.4 16% 17% -9.3
05.08.23 Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-2 71% 77% -8.0 18% 19% -5.5 11% 12% -9.8
06.08.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs FC Spartak Trnava 1-1 25% 30% -16.0 27% 30% -9.9 47% 49% -3.1
06.08.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs MSK Zilina 2-0 46% 53% -13.1 25% 27% -4.7 28% 30% -6.3
11.08.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-3 30% 36% -14.9 28% 30% -9.0 42% 44% -5.4
12.08.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs DAC Dunajska Streda 1-1 27% 31% -11.9 27% 29% -7.6 46% 49% -6.3
12.08.23 MFK Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava 1-2 23% 27% -15.1 26% 29% -10.1 51% 54% -5.8
12.08.23 MSK Zilina vs AS Trencin 5-2 41% 47% -11.9 26% 28% -5.5 33% 36% -8.2
12.08.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 1-0 53% 60% -11.1 25% 26% -5.8 22% 24% -6.5
18.08.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MFK Skalica 2-1 45% 52% -12.6 27% 29% -6.5 28% 29% -4.8
19.08.23 AS Trencin vs MFK Ruzomberok 4-1 42% 48% -12.1 27% 29% -7.5 31% 33% -7.2
19.08.23 FK Kosice vs MSK Zilina 0-3 41% 45% -9.8 27% 29% -7.2 32% 35% -9.0
20.08.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 2-0 46% 51% -9.9 27% 29% -8.3 27% 29% -8.8
20.08.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs DAC Dunajska Streda 0-2 18% 22% -16.9 24% 27% -10.2 57% 60% -4.9
25.08.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs FK Kosice 0-2 29% 33% -11.9 29% 32% -9.7 42% 43% -4.5
26.08.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-2 59% 65% -8.0 23% 24% -7.7 18% 21% -12.9
26.08.23 MSK Zilina vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 3-2 53% 60% -11.0 25% 27% -7.3 22% 24% -7.8
26.08.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs AS Trencin 2-2 45% 50% -10.9 27% 29% -6.7 29% 31% -7.8
27.08.23 MFK Skalica vs FC Spartak Trnava 0-0 29% 35% -15.8 29% 32% -11.1 42% 43% -3.4
01.09.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MFK Ruzomberok 1-1 48% 55% -12.7 26% 27% -5.1 26% 28% -5.0
02.09.23 AS Trencin vs DAC Dunajska Streda 1-0 32% 38% -16.1 26% 29% -7.2 41% 43% -5.2
02.09.23 FK Kosice vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 1-0 48% 53% -9.5 27% 30% -9.6 24% 26% -8.0
02.09.23 MFK Skalica vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 56% 62% -8.6 25% 28% -9.5 18% 20% -7.9
03.09.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs MSK Zilina 0-2 54% 59% -7.6 24% 27% -8.5 21% 24% -12.9
03.09.23 Slovan Bratislava vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 3-2 65% 70% -8.0 20% 22% -6.1 15% 17% -11.2
15.09.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs MFK Skalica 1-0 67% 76% -12.3 20% 20% 0.2 13% 12% 7.2
16.09.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs FK Kosice 1-0 44% 49% -9.6 28% 30% -8.3 28% 30% -7.3
16.09.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs FC Spartak Trnava 3-4 20% 24% -17.7 25% 28% -10.6 56% 58% -3.9
16.09.23 MSK Zilina vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-4 44% 51% -12.3 26% 28% -5.4 29% 31% -5.8
17.09.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava 3-1 34% 38% -10.9 27% 29% -7.0 39% 43% -8.3
17.09.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs AS Trencin 1-2 27% 32% -14.9 27% 29% -8.7 46% 49% -6.3
22.09.23 FK Kosice vs AS Trencin 0-3 34% 38% -12.1 28% 30% -8.3 38% 42% -7.9
23.09.23 MFK Skalica vs DAC Dunajska Streda 0-1 22% 27% -18.3 26% 29% -11.5 52% 54% -3.5
23.09.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 1-5 18% 22% -18.6 24% 26% -10.6 58% 61% -4.9
24.09.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs MFK Ruzomberok 2-2 56% 62% -10.1 25% 27% -8.2 19% 21% -7.2
24.09.23 Slovan Bratislava vs MSK Zilina 2-0 63% 68% -7.6 20% 22% -6.2 16% 19% -14.3
27.09.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs FK Kosice 3-0 62% 68% -8.6 22% 24% -7.9 15% 17% -8.0
27.09.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs Slovan Bratislava 1-2 23% 27% -15.0 26% 29% -9.3 51% 55% -6.4
29.09.23 MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica 5-3 59% 67% -11.6 24% 25% -5.8 17% 17% -1.6
30.09.23 AS Trencin vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0 48% 54% -11.1 26% 28% -6.3 26% 28% -6.7
30.09.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 59% 64% -7.7 24% 26% -10.1 18% 20% -12.4
01.10.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs FC Spartak Trnava 0-1 44% 50% -11.1 28% 30% -8.9 28% 30% -7.7
01.10.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Slovan Bratislava 0-3 15% 18% -14.9 22% 24% -8.5 62% 67% -6.7
01.10.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs FK Kosice 5-3 59% 65% -9.8 23% 24% -6.4 18% 20% -9.1
06.10.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 2-0 56% 62% -9.7 25% 27% -7.8 19% 21% -7.3
07.10.23 MFK Skalica vs FK Kosice 1-0 38% 44% -15.0 28% 31% -8.6 34% 35% -2.8
07.10.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs MSK Zilina 1-1 26% 31% -14.5 26% 29% -7.9 47% 51% -6.2
08.10.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 3-2 46% 51% -9.8 27% 29% -7.1 28% 31% -9.2
08.10.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FC Spartak Trnava 1-2 28% 32% -12.2 27% 29% -7.5 44% 48% -6.6
08.10.23 Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin 2-0 56% 61% -8.5 24% 26% -8.3 20% 22% -11.3
20.10.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2-2 43% 47% -7.2 28% 31% -9.1 29% 32% -10.5
21.10.23 AS Trencin vs MFK Skalica 0-0 63% 70% -10.3 23% 24% -7.7 14% 15% -3.5
21.10.23 FK Kosice vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-4 38% 42% -10.5 27% 29% -7.2 35% 38% -9.2
21.10.23 MSK Zilina vs DAC Dunajska Streda 5-1 33% 38% -14.9 27% 29% -7.0 41% 43% -6.5
21.10.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs MFK Ruzomberok 5-0 57% 65% -11.4 24% 25% -5.2 19% 20% -4.4
22.10.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava 1-2 36% 40% -9.5 29% 32% -10.1 35% 38% -9.6
27.10.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-2 57% 64% -11.1 23% 24% -3.8 20% 22% -7.8
28.10.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 74% 78% -4.9 17% 19% -13.3 10% 12% -19.7
28.10.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs MFK Skalica 0-1 39% 43% -9.2 29% 32% -9.7 31% 34% -7.5
28.10.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs MSK Zilina 0-2 34% 39% -12.9 27% 29% -6.5 39% 43% -8.1
29.10.23 AS Trencin vs FC Spartak Trnava 2-3 38% 43% -13.3 28% 30% -8.4 35% 37% -6.7
29.10.23 Slovan Bratislava vs FK Kosice 4-0 71% 78% -7.9 18% 19% -6.6 11% 12% -10.6
01.11.23 Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 5-1 81% 85% -5.6 13% 14% -10.0 6% 8% -16.1
03.11.23 FK Kosice vs DAC Dunajska Streda 0-3 23% 29% -18.2 25% 28% -9.2 51% 53% -3.9
04.11.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Slovan Bratislava 1-4 20% 25% -18.4 24% 26% -8.3 56% 58% -4.1
04.11.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 1-0 70% 75% -5.7 18% 21% -11.4 11% 13% -16.3
04.11.23 MFK Skalica vs MFK Ruzomberok 1-0 35% 40% -13.4 29% 32% -9.4 36% 37% -2.5
04.11.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs AS Trencin 0-0 21% 25% -16.0 24% 27% -8.2 55% 58% -5.7
05.11.23 MSK Zilina vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 2-1 37% 42% -11.3 26% 27% -3.9 37% 41% -9.5
10.11.23 AS Trencin vs MSK Zilina 0-0 45% 51% -10.9 27% 29% -7.2 28% 31% -8.9
11.11.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs MFK Ruzomberok 1-1 57% 61% -6.9 24% 26% -9.1 19% 22% -12.8
11.11.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 3-1 56% 61% -8.1 24% 26% -8.2 20% 23% -11.5
11.11.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 0-2 23% 27% -14.5 26% 29% -9.0 51% 55% -6.3
12.11.23 FK Kosice vs FC Spartak Trnava 0-2 19% 23% -15.7 25% 27% -9.2 56% 60% -6.0
12.11.23 Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Skalica 1-0 68% 74% -7.0 20% 22% -9.9 12% 14% -13.0
24.11.23 MFK Ruzomberok vs AS Trencin 1-0 29% 32% -9.8 29% 32% -10.0 42% 45% -8.0
25.11.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs FC ViOn Zlate Moravce 3-0 71% 76% -5.8 18% 20% -11.6 11% 13% -17.8
25.11.23 MFK Skalica vs Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-3 35% 40% -12.7 28% 31% -8.4 37% 39% -5.9
25.11.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs Slovan Bratislava 0-2 12% 14% -14.7 20% 21% -7.2 68% 74% -7.2
25.11.23 MSK Zilina vs FK Kosice 1-0 69% 76% -9.1 19% 20% -5.3 12% 13% -8.3
26.11.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs FC Spartak Trnava 1-2 39% 44% -13.3 27% 29% -6.8 34% 36% -4.6
01.12.23 FK Kosice vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 44% 49% -9.6 28% 31% -9.0 28% 30% -7.9
02.12.23 AS Trencin vs ZP Sport Podbrezova 0-0 40% 45% -12.1 27% 29% -6.5 33% 36% -8.3
02.12.23 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs DAC Dunajska Streda 0-0 29% 34% -15.2 27% 29% -8.2 44% 47% -4.9
02.12.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs MSK Zilina 1-2 21% 24% -14.8 24% 26% -7.5 55% 59% -6.7
03.12.23 FC Spartak Trnava vs MFK Skalica 2-0 66% 71% -7.3 21% 24% -10.9 13% 15% -12.1
03.12.23 Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Ruzomberok 2-2 72% 78% -8.4 18% 19% -5.4 10% 11% -6.3
08.12.23 MSK Zilina vs FC Spartak Trnava 1-0 37% 42% -11.6 28% 31% -8.1 35% 37% -5.8
09.12.23 FC ViOn Zlate Moravce vs FK Kosice 1-1 36% 40% -9.2 30% 33% -10.8 34% 37% -8.4
09.12.23 MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs MFK Skalica 1-1 38% 43% -10.6 29% 32% -9.3 33% 34% -5.2
09.12.23 ZP Sport Podbrezova vs Slovan Bratislava 0-6 28% 32% -14.3 26% 28% -6.8 46% 50% -7.1
10.12.23 DAC Dunajska Streda vs AS Trencin 0-0 45% 49% -8.0 28% 30% -9.1 28% 31% -10.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 581 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Slovan Bratislava 2009.36
2 DAC Dunajska Streda 1983.36
3 FC Spartak Trnava 1941.36
4 FK Kosice 1894.30
5 MSK Zilina 1892.45
6 ZP Sport Podbrezova 1846.66
7 MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1782.89
8 KFC Komarno 1769.95
9 MFK Ruzomberok 1754.99
10 AS Trencin 1741.03
11 MFK Skalica 1726.24
12 Dukla Banska Bystrica 1720.81

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 DAC Dunajska Streda 1964.98
2 Slovan Bratislava 1941.07
3 FC Spartak Trnava 1876.13
4 MSK Zilina 1841.16
5 ZP Sport Podbrezova 1810.75
6 FK Kosice 1804.25
7 KFC Komarno 1776.88
8 Dukla Banska Bystrica 1719.56
9 MFK Ruzomberok 1699.86
10 MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1694.50
11 MFK Skalica 1663.59
12 AS Trencin 1661.06