ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 663
Avg Goals 2.80
Avg Home 1.49
Avg Away 1.31
Home Win % 42.4%
Draw % 24.4%
Away Win % 33.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 663
Avg Brier Score 0.5873
Pick Accuracy 53.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5889
Market Brier 0.5887
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 663 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 10.5% 38
10–20% 15.9% 14.3% 265
20–30% 25.3% 24.4% 839
30–40% 35.0% 34.5% 287
40–50% 44.6% 47.7% 237
50–60% 54.7% 57.4% 155
60–70% 64.4% 67.0% 115
70–80% 74.1% 65.1% 43
80–90% 82.3% 100.0% 10
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 NK Nafta Lendava vs NK Krka 4-2 40% 44% -10.7 28% 31% -11.8 33% 36% -10.0
29.07.23 Brinje Grosuplje vs ND Gorica 1-0 23% 29% -21.4 26% 30% -15.3 51% 53% -2.7
29.07.23 Jadran Dekani vs ND Dravinja 0-1 41% 52% -20.4 27% 31% -12.1 31% 29% 6.4
29.07.23 NK Bilje vs ND Ilirija 3-2 39% 48% -17.2 27% 30% -11.3 34% 35% -3.3
29.07.23 Tabor Sezana vs NK Triglav Kranj 2-2 36% 33% 7.4 26% 29% -11.4 38% 49% -21.8
30.07.23 ND Beltinci vs ND Primorje 1-1 36% 42% -14.0 27% 30% -11.1 37% 40% -8.0
30.07.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs NK Emmi Bistrica 0-0 44% 50% -12.7 27% 30% -11.5 30% 32% -8.4
12.08.23 ND Beltinci vs NK Tolmin 3-1 61% 68% -10.3 22% 25% -11.4 17% 19% -11.6
12.08.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Krka 0-1 38% 40% -6.1 27% 31% -12.2 35% 42% -16.0
12.08.23 Tabor Sezana vs Brinje Grosuplje 0-6 23% 20% 13.1 25% 27% -7.3 52% 65% -18.9
13.08.23 ND Gorica vs NK Nafta Lendava 3-4 44% 48% -7.0 27% 31% -13.2 29% 34% -15.8
13.08.23 ND Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani 1-0 49% 56% -12.4 26% 29% -11.6 25% 28% -8.8
13.08.23 ND Primorje vs NK Bilje 3-1 48% 54% -11.5 26% 29% -11.2 26% 29% -8.9
13.08.23 NK Fuzinar Ravne vs NK Rudar Velenje 4-2 30% 36% -16.2 26% 29% -11.3 44% 48% -7.6
14.08.23 NK Emmi Bistrica vs ND Dravinja 3-0 42% 52% -19.4 27% 30% -11.1 31% 30% 3.3
18.08.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs ND Primorje 0-1 25% 26% -6.9 26% 29% -10.7 49% 56% -12.4
19.08.23 Brinje Grosuplje vs ND Beltinci 2-1 46% 51% -11.2 27% 30% -11.8 28% 31% -9.8
19.08.23 Jadran Dekani vs ND Gorica 0-0 23% 28% -17.7 26% 30% -14.0 51% 54% -5.5
19.08.23 NK Tolmin vs NK Triglav Kranj 0-4 33% 39% -16.5 27% 31% -12.0 40% 43% -5.6
20.08.23 ND Dravinja vs ND Ilirija 0-0 28% 33% -14.9 27% 31% -12.7 44% 48% -6.9
20.08.23 NK Bilje vs Tabor Sezana 1-1 65% 73% -11.4 20% 21% -5.7 16% 17% -7.0
20.08.23 NK Krka vs NK Emmi Bistrica 1-2 47% 52% -8.7 26% 29% -11.7 27% 31% -13.2
29.08.23 NK Emmi Bistrica vs NK Nafta Lendava 1-0 32% 38% -16.9 27% 31% -12.4 41% 43% -4.5
29.08.23 NK Krka vs Jadran Dekani 0-1 58% 65% -11.4 24% 26% -10.5 19% 20% -7.3
30.08.23 ND Gorica vs NK Bilje 3-2 44% 53% -15.7 26% 29% -10.3 29% 30% -3.5
30.08.23 ND Ilirija vs NK Rudar Velenje 0-2 42% 47% -10.0 26% 29% -10.7 32% 36% -12.4
30.08.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs ND Dravinja 6-1 53% 58% -7.5 24% 28% -12.4 22% 26% -15.6
02.09.23 ND Gorica vs ND Dravinja 3-0 65% 69% -5.9 20% 24% -16.7 14% 18% -21.3
02.09.23 NK Fuzinar Ravne vs Jadran Dekani 0-3 30% 36% -16.1 27% 31% -12.1 43% 45% -5.4
02.09.23 Tabor Sezana vs NK Rudar Velenje 1-1 30% 30% -2.5 25% 28% -8.4 45% 54% -16.7
03.09.23 ND Beltinci vs NK Bilje 2-1 48% 60% -20.1 24% 25% -5.3 28% 27% 4.3
03.09.23 ND Ilirija vs NK Krka 1-1 33% 39% -15.4 27% 31% -12.0 39% 42% -5.6
03.09.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Emmi Bistrica 2-1 44% 50% -13.0 27% 30% -11.4 30% 32% -8.1
08.09.23 NK Emmi Bistrica vs ND Ilirija 1-0 52% 62% -16.2 24% 26% -6.8 24% 24% -1.3
08.09.23 NK Krka vs ND Gorica 1-2 35% 39% -12.0 27% 31% -11.5 38% 43% -10.1
09.09.23 ND Dravinja vs NK Fuzinar Ravne 0-0 46% 52% -11.4 26% 29% -9.8 28% 31% -9.4
09.09.23 NK Bilje vs NK Tolmin 2-1 62% 68% -10.2 22% 24% -9.6 17% 19% -10.9
09.09.23 NK Nafta Lendava vs Tabor Sezana 0-0 74% 81% -8.8 16% 18% -10.1 10% 12% -13.8
09.09.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs ND Beltinci 0-1 27% 31% -14.4 27% 31% -12.6 46% 51% -8.2
10.09.23 Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Triglav Kranj 0-1 63% 68% -7.8 21% 24% -12.5 16% 18% -14.6
10.09.23 Jadran Dekani vs ND Primorje 1-1 28% 32% -14.2 27% 31% -12.7 45% 49% -7.6
15.09.23 ND Beltinci vs NK Nafta Lendava 1-1 43% 53% -18.7 26% 29% -10.0 30% 29% 3.0
15.09.23 ND Gorica vs NK Emmi Bistrica 1-0 46% 51% -9.7 26% 30% -12.7 27% 31% -13.0
15.09.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs ND Ilirija 0-0 52% 62% -17.1 24% 26% -6.4 24% 24% 1.6
16.09.23 ND Primorje vs ND Dravinja 2-1 69% 75% -8.6 19% 21% -11.5 13% 15% -14.9
16.09.23 NK Fuzinar Ravne vs NK Krka 1-1 22% 28% -20.9 24% 29% -14.2 54% 56% -5.2
16.09.23 NK Tolmin vs NK Rudar Velenje 3-0 29% 30% -5.8 26% 29% -9.5 46% 53% -14.8
16.09.23 Tabor Sezana vs Jadran Dekani 1-2 27% 31% -12.7 27% 31% -12.7 46% 51% -9.2
17.09.23 Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Bilje 1-3 64% 74% -12.8 21% 23% -7.8 15% 15% -3.1
20.09.23 ND Dravinja vs Tabor Sezana 5-2 46% 53% -12.0 27% 30% -11.8 27% 29% -8.3
20.09.23 ND Ilirija vs ND Gorica 0-4 19% 22% -14.2 23% 26% -10.4 58% 65% -9.6
20.09.23 NK Emmi Bistrica vs NK Fuzinar Ravne 2-4 62% 69% -11.2 21% 24% -9.9 17% 19% -11.1
20.09.23 NK Krka vs ND Primorje 2-3 27% 31% -10.9 27% 30% -11.6 46% 51% -10.7
21.09.23 Jadran Dekani vs ND Beltinci 0-3 30% 36% -17.1 27% 31% -12.7 43% 44% -4.2
21.09.23 NK Bilje vs NK Triglav Kranj 1-1 33% 38% -15.1 27% 30% -11.8 41% 44% -8.7
21.09.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs Brinje Grosuplje 2-0 21% 24% -15.5 27% 31% -14.8 53% 56% -6.0
23.09.23 ND Primorje vs NK Emmi Bistrica 2-2 53% 58% -9.4 25% 29% -12.5 22% 26% -13.0
23.09.23 NK Fuzinar Ravne vs ND Ilirija 3-2 35% 42% -16.9 26% 29% -10.8 39% 42% -6.0
23.09.23 Tabor Sezana vs NK Krka 0-2 18% 21% -14.3 23% 26% -11.4 59% 65% -9.1
24.09.23 ND Beltinci vs ND Dravinja 3-0 67% 75% -11.1 19% 21% -7.8 14% 15% -9.5
24.09.23 NK Tolmin vs Jadran Dekani 2-2 25% 27% -8.0 27% 30% -11.7 48% 55% -12.0
24.09.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs ND Gorica 0-3 29% 31% -7.0 27% 30% -11.1 44% 51% -13.4
25.09.23 NK Bilje vs NK Rudar Velenje 2-2 41% 47% -12.8 27% 31% -12.1 32% 35% -8.3
29.09.23 ND Gorica vs NK Fuzinar Ravne 2-1 76% 81% -7.0 15% 17% -13.1 9% 11% -19.1
29.09.23 ND Ilirija vs ND Primorje 0-0 19% 23% -16.4 23% 26% -10.6 58% 62% -7.6
29.09.23 NK Krka vs ND Beltinci 0-2 32% 36% -11.6 27% 31% -11.3 41% 45% -9.5
30.09.23 Jadran Dekani vs Brinje Grosuplje 1-1 23% 29% -18.0 26% 30% -14.1 51% 54% -6.5
30.09.23 NK Emmi Bistrica vs Tabor Sezana 1-0 68% 75% -9.4 19% 21% -10.0 13% 15% -12.4
30.09.23 NK Nafta Lendava vs NK Bilje 3-1 53% 61% -12.4 24% 26% -8.8 23% 25% -8.2
30.09.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs NK Triglav Kranj 0-2 39% 45% -13.9 26% 29% -9.9 34% 37% -7.2
01.10.23 ND Dravinja vs NK Tolmin 1-1 45% 51% -11.2 26% 29% -10.8 29% 32% -10.4
07.10.23 Brinje Grosuplje vs ND Dravinja 1-2 72% 79% -9.2 18% 20% -11.3 10% 11% -10.9
07.10.23 ND Beltinci vs NK Emmi Bistrica 3-0 56% 65% -13.6 24% 26% -9.0 20% 20% -2.1
07.10.23 ND Primorje vs ND Gorica 1-0 36% 38% -7.2 27% 30% -11.1 37% 43% -14.1
07.10.23 NK Bilje vs Jadran Dekani 2-2 46% 52% -11.5 27% 30% -11.9 27% 30% -9.4
08.10.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs NK Nafta Lendava 1-5 29% 35% -16.4 27% 31% -12.4 44% 47% -6.0
08.10.23 NK Tolmin vs NK Krka 1-3 29% 33% -13.1 27% 31% -12.3 44% 48% -8.4
08.10.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Fuzinar Ravne 2-1 59% 65% -9.2 23% 26% -12.2 18% 21% -13.0
08.10.23 Tabor Sezana vs ND Ilirija 0-3 23% 27% -14.0 25% 28% -10.6 52% 57% -9.1
13.10.23 ND Gorica vs Tabor Sezana 1-1 80% 85% -5.7 13% 16% -17.8 7% 9% -23.2
14.10.23 Jadran Dekani vs NK Rudar Velenje 4-1 35% 39% -11.3 28% 31% -12.0 38% 42% -10.6
14.10.23 ND Dravinja vs NK Bilje 0-1 43% 53% -19.2 26% 29% -9.4 31% 30% 2.1
14.10.23 NK Emmi Bistrica vs NK Tolmin 0-1 57% 65% -11.3 24% 26% -10.3 19% 21% -7.9
15.10.23 ND Ilirija vs ND Beltinci 0-0 17% 20% -15.1 23% 27% -12.6 60% 65% -8.6
15.10.23 NK Krka vs Brinje Grosuplje 0-0 32% 39% -17.5 26% 29% -11.3 42% 44% -6.6
15.10.23 NK Nafta Lendava vs NK Triglav Kranj 0-0 56% 62% -9.5 23% 26% -10.9 21% 24% -13.0
20.10.23 Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Emmi Bistrica 1-1 52% 59% -12.2 26% 29% -11.7 22% 24% -5.9
20.10.23 NK Bilje vs NK Krka 0-2 34% 41% -15.8 25% 28% -9.2 40% 44% -9.1
20.10.23 NK Triglav Kranj vs ND Primorje 2-1 23% 26% -11.8 25% 29% -11.1 52% 58% -10.0
20.10.23 Tabor Sezana vs NK Fuzinar Ravne 4-4 27% 31% -14.7 26% 29% -10.5 48% 52% -7.8
21.10.23 ND Beltinci vs ND Gorica 1-0 40% 45% -11.2 28% 31% -11.5 32% 35% -8.2
21.10.23 NK Nafta Lendava vs Jadran Dekani 1-0 52% 56% -6.8 25% 29% -12.8 23% 28% -16.0
21.10.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs ND Dravinja 1-0 49% 56% -13.6 26% 29% -10.4 26% 28% -7.0
21.10.23 NK Tolmin vs ND Ilirija 3-2 36% 40% -9.2 29% 33% -13.6 35% 39% -11.1
24.10.23 NK Bilje vs NK Fuzinar Ravne 5-1 46% 52% -11.1 25% 28% -9.2 29% 32% -10.9
25.10.23 Jadran Dekani vs NK Emmi Bistrica 1-4 41% 48% -14.7 28% 32% -13.1 31% 33% -5.9
25.10.23 ND Beltinci vs NK Triglav Kranj 1-2 59% 65% -8.1 23% 27% -13.4 17% 20% -13.4
25.10.23 ND Dravinja vs NK Krka 3-0 28% 33% -16.2 27% 31% -13.0 45% 48% -5.8
25.10.23 NK Tolmin vs Tabor Sezana 3-1 48% 51% -6.2 25% 29% -12.0 27% 32% -17.0
26.10.23 NK Rudar Velenje vs ND Gorica 0-0 22% 25% -13.2 26% 31% -13.9 52% 57% -9.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 663 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 NK Triglav Kranj 1713.57
2 Tabor Sezana 1636.62
3 ND Beltinci 1627.30
4 ND Gorica 1547.81
5 ND Ilirija 1541.24
6 NK Rudar Velenje 1512.51
7 ND Primorje 1496.60
8 Jadran Dekani 1480.30
9 NK Brezice 1919 1450.91
10 NK Dren Vrhnika 1444.14
11 NK Krka 1441.75
12 NK Jesenice 1430.69
13 NK Emmi Bistrica 1429.88
14 NK Bilje 1397.58
15 ND Dravinja 1379.10
16 NK Krsko Posavje 1350.97
17 ND Slovan Ljubljana 1325.42

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 ND Beltinci 1618.49
2 NK Triglav Kranj 1609.37
3 Tabor Sezana 1607.90
4 NK Rudar Velenje 1496.60
5 ND Ilirija 1479.72
6 ND Gorica 1461.97
7 NK Emmi Bistrica 1439.96
8 Jadran Dekani 1389.88
9 NK Dren Vrhnika 1389.76
10 NK Bilje 1388.45
11 NK Jesenice 1385.20
12 ND Primorje 1352.00
13 ND Dravinja 1350.97
14 NK Krka 1350.08
15 ND Slovan Ljubljana 1339.40
16 NK Brezice 1919 1331.65
17 NK Krsko Posavje 1295.92