ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 496
Avg Goals 2.27
Avg Home 1.32
Avg Away 0.95
Home Win % 44.4%
Draw % 31.7%
Away Win % 24.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 496
Avg Brier Score 0.6402
Pick Accuracy 42.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6422
Market Brier 0.6443
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 496 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.6% 0.0% 1
10–20% 17.6% 14.5% 62
20–30% 26.4% 28.6% 476
30–40% 33.2% 31.5% 626
40–50% 44.5% 43.3% 245
50–60% 53.3% 60.9% 69
60–70% 62.3% 62.5% 8
70–80% 74.4% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
25.08.23 MM Platinum FC vs Upington City FC 1-0 41% 45% -10.2 30% 32% -7.2 29% 35% -16.1
25.08.23 Pretoria Callies vs Black Leopards 0-0 51% 56% -9.2 29% 32% -10.8 20% 23% -13.9
26.08.23 Hungry Lions FC vs Pretoria University FC 2-0 38% 40% -5.5 32% 36% -11.6 30% 37% -18.8
26.08.23 Venda Football Academy vs JDR Stars 0-0 41% 44% -7.4 32% 36% -11.1 27% 31% -15.1
27.08.23 Baroka FC vs Magesi FC 1-2 45% 49% -8.0 31% 35% -11.5 24% 29% -15.7
27.08.23 Casric Stars FC vs Marumo Gallants 2-2 33% 34% -3.7 32% 36% -9.1 35% 43% -18.0
01.09.23 Platinum City Rovers vs Baroka FC 2-2 35% 36% -2.3 31% 35% -9.7 34% 42% -20.2
02.09.23 Marumo Gallants vs Hungry Lions FC 0-0 47% 49% -3.9 29% 34% -13.5 24% 30% -21.4
03.09.23 Pretoria University FC vs Durban City FC 2024 2-2 35% 36% -1.2 33% 37% -11.1 32% 39% -18.9
15.09.23 Durban City FC 2024 vs Casric Stars FC 2-0 51% 56% -8.3 29% 33% -12.5 19% 23% -14.9
16.09.23 JDR Stars vs Baroka FC 1-0 47% 50% -6.6 30% 35% -12.8 23% 28% -17.6
17.09.23 Milford FC vs Pretoria University FC 0-1 32% 38% -13.9 33% 35% -6.9 35% 39% -11.1
17.09.23 Orbit College FC vs Black Leopards 2-0 50% 55% -8.4 29% 33% -11.9 21% 24% -15.5
23.09.23 Magesi FC vs Black Leopards 2-0 56% 61% -9.3 28% 31% -11.5 17% 19% -12.3
23.09.23 Upington City FC vs Orbit College FC 2-3 40% 41% -2.1 32% 36% -12.2 28% 35% -19.3
24.09.23 Baroka FC vs Durban City FC 2024 0-0 26% 24% 6.1 32% 34% -7.0 43% 54% -21.2
24.09.23 Pretoria University FC vs MM Platinum FC 0-0 48% 52% -6.8 30% 34% -12.4 22% 27% -17.4
29.09.23 Casric Stars FC vs Baroka FC 1-1 49% 53% -8.2 30% 34% -12.3 21% 26% -16.4
29.09.23 Orbit College FC vs Pretoria University FC 0-0 46% 51% -8.9 31% 34% -11.4 23% 28% -15.5
04.10.23 Baroka FC vs Upington City FC 1-1 48% 53% -9.7 29% 32% -9.8 23% 27% -15.4
04.10.23 Black Leopards vs JDR Stars 2-0 28% 28% -0.4 33% 36% -9.2 39% 49% -19.4
04.10.23 Durban City FC 2024 vs Venda Football Academy 5-1 53% 58% -8.8 28% 31% -11.1 19% 22% -15.0
04.10.23 Platinum City Rovers vs Casric Stars FC 3-0 31% 31% -0.5 31% 34% -7.2 37% 47% -19.4
04.10.23 Pretoria University FC vs Pretoria Callies 1-0 48% 52% -7.9 31% 35% -12.7 22% 26% -15.5
06.10.23 MM Platinum FC vs Hungry Lions FC 0-4 38% 39% -4.4 33% 38% -12.2 29% 36% -17.8
07.10.23 Casric Stars FC vs Milford FC 0-2 60% 67% -10.2 25% 29% -10.8 14% 16% -10.9
07.10.23 Upington City FC vs Pretoria Callies 1-1 40% 42% -4.2 30% 34% -10.2 29% 36% -19.8
08.10.23 Pretoria University FC vs Black Leopards 1-0 52% 56% -8.0 29% 32% -11.3 19% 23% -14.6
08.10.23 Venda Football Academy vs Baroka FC 0-1 43% 47% -7.3 31% 34% -10.5 26% 31% -16.7
20.10.23 JDR Stars vs Pretoria University FC 0-0 42% 43% -3.6 33% 38% -13.7 26% 31% -18.3
20.10.23 Milford FC vs Venda Football Academy 2-0 45% 51% -12.4 31% 34% -9.4 24% 28% -12.2
20.10.23 MM Platinum FC vs Casric Stars FC 1-0 34% 36% -4.6 32% 36% -9.3 34% 41% -17.8
21.10.23 Marumo Gallants vs Upington City FC 1-1 52% 57% -8.2 27% 30% -10.1 20% 24% -16.8
22.10.23 Baroka FC vs Black Leopards 4-0 54% 60% -8.9 28% 32% -12.9 18% 21% -15.1
27.10.23 Marumo Gallants vs Baroka FC 1-1 45% 48% -5.0 30% 34% -11.6 24% 29% -17.6
28.10.23 Black Leopards vs Milford FC 2-1 37% 39% -5.0 32% 36% -11.0 30% 37% -18.0
28.10.23 Orbit College FC vs Venda Football Academy 0-1 44% 48% -7.1 30% 34% -10.6 25% 31% -17.3
29.10.23 Hungry Lions FC vs Pretoria Callies 1-1 49% 52% -5.8 31% 36% -14.4 20% 24% -15.8
29.10.23 Pretoria University FC vs Casric Stars FC 0-1 44% 48% -7.6 32% 36% -11.4 24% 29% -14.8
31.10.23 Baroka FC vs Milford FC 3-2 46% 50% -7.7 31% 35% -12.5 23% 28% -16.7
31.10.23 Black Leopards vs Durban City FC 2024 1-0 28% 29% -0.3 32% 34% -7.2 40% 49% -19.0
01.11.23 Casric Stars FC vs Pretoria Callies 2-0 45% 48% -5.0 31% 36% -13.8 23% 29% -18.1
01.11.23 Venda Football Academy vs Hungry Lions FC 0-2 39% 41% -5.4 33% 37% -11.6 29% 34% -16.9
03.11.23 Platinum City Rovers vs Black Leopards 1-0 42% 45% -6.7 31% 34% -10.4 27% 32% -17.2
04.11.23 Baroka FC vs Hungry Lions FC 2-0 40% 42% -5.0 32% 36% -11.3 28% 34% -18.2
04.11.23 Casric Stars FC vs Upington City FC 1-1 45% 49% -6.8 30% 33% -11.3 25% 31% -18.9
04.11.23 Marumo Gallants vs Pretoria University FC 0-0 46% 49% -6.7 31% 35% -11.6 23% 28% -15.5
04.11.23 Venda Football Academy vs Magesi FC 2-0 39% 42% -6.5 33% 37% -11.7 28% 33% -16.4
10.11.23 JDR Stars vs Casric Stars FC 2-2 51% 55% -7.5 29% 34% -13.0 20% 24% -16.1
11.11.23 Black Leopards vs Venda Football Academy 1-1 35% 36% -4.2 33% 38% -11.4 32% 38% -17.6
11.11.23 Hungry Lions FC vs Magesi FC 1-3 44% 48% -7.3 33% 38% -14.4 23% 27% -15.2
11.11.23 Orbit College FC vs Baroka FC 0-1 44% 47% -5.7 31% 35% -11.5 25% 30% -17.1
12.11.23 Pretoria University FC vs Platinum City Rovers 2-1 52% 56% -7.8 30% 35% -13.8 18% 21% -13.7
12.11.23 Upington City FC vs Milford FC 1-0 44% 48% -6.6 31% 34% -11.4 25% 30% -17.6
24.11.23 Hungry Lions FC vs Milford FC 1-1 52% 56% -7.7 29% 32% -11.1 19% 23% -14.4
25.11.23 Black Leopards vs Marumo Gallants 3-2 37% 40% -7.5 32% 36% -10.4 31% 38% -17.8
25.11.23 Platinum City Rovers vs Upington City FC 1-1 38% 39% -4.1 31% 35% -10.4 31% 38% -19.5
26.11.23 Baroka FC vs MM Platinum FC 4-1 52% 59% -10.9 28% 31% -9.4 19% 22% -11.4
26.11.23 Magesi FC vs Casric Stars FC 2-2 44% 47% -5.6 32% 36% -12.8 24% 29% -17.1
26.11.23 Pretoria University FC vs Venda Football Academy 2-0 47% 52% -9.2 31% 35% -11.6 22% 26% -13.7
01.12.23 JDR Stars vs Hungry Lions FC 1-2 45% 49% -7.3 31% 35% -11.9 24% 29% -16.4
01.12.23 Magesi FC vs Pretoria University FC 0-2 41% 43% -6.1 32% 36% -12.3 27% 33% -18.2
01.12.23 MM Platinum FC vs Black Leopards 2-0 41% 43% -6.6 32% 36% -11.5 28% 34% -18.0
02.12.23 Casric Stars FC vs Orbit College FC 6-1 42% 45% -6.7 32% 36% -11.6 26% 31% -16.8
02.12.23 Pretoria Callies vs Baroka FC 2-1 31% 31% 1.7 31% 34% -9.0 37% 48% -21.6
02.12.23 Upington City FC vs Durban City FC 2024 2-0 34% 36% -4.8 33% 37% -10.7 33% 40% -17.8
02.12.23 Venda Football Academy vs Marumo Gallants 2-0 40% 43% -6.3 32% 35% -10.1 29% 34% -17.1
09.12.23 Upington City FC vs JDR Stars 3-1 39% 42% -7.0 32% 35% -9.7 29% 35% -16.5
10.12.23 Baroka FC vs Pretoria University FC 1-1 43% 47% -7.8 31% 34% -11.1 26% 32% -17.9
10.12.23 Black Leopards vs Hungry Lions FC 2-1 33% 34% -1.6 32% 36% -9.6 34% 43% -19.2
10.12.23 Casric Stars FC vs Venda Football Academy 3-1 44% 48% -7.4 30% 34% -10.4 26% 31% -17.0
15.12.23 Durban City FC 2024 vs Black Leopards 1-2 50% 54% -7.7 28% 31% -11.2 22% 28% -19.5
15.12.23 Pretoria University FC vs Marumo Gallants 2-0 46% 51% -8.2 31% 34% -11.2 23% 27% -14.9
16.12.23 Milford FC vs Baroka FC 1-0 32% 32% -1.5 31% 33% -7.9 38% 48% -21.2
16.12.23 Venda Football Academy vs Upington City FC 0-2 44% 48% -8.2 30% 34% -10.4 26% 31% -17.1
17.12.23 Hungry Lions FC vs Casric Stars FC 0-0 40% 42% -2.9 31% 36% -12.0 28% 35% -19.8
19.12.23 Durban City FC 2024 vs Baroka FC 1-2 39% 39% -1.8 30% 33% -9.8 31% 40% -21.5
19.12.23 Magesi FC vs Upington City FC 2-1 41% 43% -4.8 31% 34% -10.8 29% 36% -19.6
19.12.23 Milford FC vs Black Leopards 4-2 40% 42% -5.1 31% 34% -10.3 29% 36% -18.8
19.12.23 MM Platinum FC vs Venda Football Academy 2-2 41% 44% -7.0 31% 34% -10.5 28% 34% -18.0
19.12.23 Pretoria University FC vs Orbit College FC 2-2 47% 52% -8.8 30% 34% -11.2 23% 27% -15.2
20.12.23 Hungry Lions FC vs Marumo Gallants 3-1 46% 50% -7.9 31% 35% -12.0 23% 28% -16.2
20.12.23 Pretoria Callies vs Casric Stars FC 3-2 38% 38% -2.0 33% 37% -12.2 30% 37% -19.5
12.02.24 MM Platinum FC vs Pretoria University FC 1-2 35% 36% -2.9 33% 37% -11.2 32% 40% -18.9
13.02.24 Casric Stars FC vs Durban City FC 2024 3-3 46% 50% -8.1 29% 32% -8.9 25% 29% -16.1
13.02.24 Upington City FC vs Hungry Lions FC 1-1 39% 42% -5.5 32% 36% -11.7 29% 35% -18.1
14.02.24 Baroka FC vs Platinum City Rovers 1-1 53% 58% -8.9 27% 29% -9.7 20% 24% -17.3
14.02.24 Black Leopards vs Pretoria Callies 0-1 39% 41% -3.4 33% 38% -13.4 28% 34% -19.2
14.02.24 Marumo Gallants vs Venda Football Academy 1-0 44% 48% -8.0 30% 33% -10.4 26% 32% -18.4
16.02.24 Pretoria University FC vs Upington City FC 2-1 49% 53% -8.5 30% 34% -11.3 21% 24% -13.8
17.02.24 Baroka FC vs Pretoria Callies 2-1 49% 53% -6.4 29% 33% -12.5 22% 26% -18.0
17.02.24 Black Leopards vs Platinum City Rovers 3-1 44% 47% -6.2 31% 36% -12.2 25% 30% -17.3
17.02.24 Hungry Lions FC vs Venda Football Academy 0-1 51% 56% -9.6 29% 32% -11.1 20% 24% -14.9
18.02.24 Orbit College FC vs Casric Stars FC 0-1 39% 42% -6.8 31% 34% -10.0 30% 36% -18.5
01.03.24 Milford FC vs Hungry Lions FC 1-3 34% 36% -6.1 32% 36% -9.5 34% 41% -17.8
02.03.24 Casric Stars FC vs Black Leopards 0-2 50% 54% -8.3 29% 32% -11.2 22% 26% -17.2
02.03.24 JDR Stars vs Upington City FC 2-3 43% 47% -7.6 31% 34% -11.2 26% 32% -18.1
02.03.24 Venda Football Academy vs Orbit College FC 1-2 43% 45% -6.1 31% 35% -10.8 26% 31% -16.6
03.03.24 Magesi FC vs Baroka FC 2-0 38% 38% -2.2 33% 37% -12.2 30% 37% -19.4
03.03.24 Platinum City Rovers vs Pretoria University FC 0-0 31% 31% 0.2 33% 36% -9.9 36% 45% -19.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 496 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

19 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Casric Stars FC 1646.71
2 Magesi FC 1642.41
3 Cape Town City FC 1619.53
4 North West University Mafikeng 1600.00
5 Hungry Lions FC 1585.84
6 Black Leopards 1580.08
7 Upington City FC 1580.01
8 Hope FC 1579.11
9 Lerumo Lions 1572.05
10 Gomora United 1549.75
11 Highbury FC 1548.25
12 Pretoria University FC 1541.35
13 Orbit College FC 1540.61
14 Venda Football Academy 1528.52
15 Midlands Wanderers FC 1492.36
16 NWU FC 1482.20
17 The Bees FC 1468.62
18 Leicesterford City 1449.60
19 Baroka FC 1401.39

Away Ratings

19 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Cape Town City FC 1601.72
2 NWU FC 1550.00
3 Hope FC 1550.00
4 Casric Stars FC 1543.08
5 Highbury FC 1538.41
6 Magesi FC 1532.40
7 Hungry Lions FC 1521.28
8 Upington City FC 1498.67
9 Orbit College FC 1496.31
10 Lerumo Lions 1489.11
11 Pretoria University FC 1469.08
12 Black Leopards 1464.16
13 Midlands Wanderers FC 1444.18
14 Venda Football Academy 1418.40
15 The Bees FC 1411.03
16 Gomora United 1395.64
17 Leicesterford City 1394.72
18 Baroka FC 1281.33
19 North West University Mafikeng 1191.16