ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 232
Avg Goals 2.74
Avg Home 1.45
Avg Away 1.28
Home Win % 41.4%
Draw % 24.6%
Away Win % 34.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 232
Avg Brier Score 0.5717
Pick Accuracy 60.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5687
Market Brier 0.5676
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 67
Value Bet Hit Rate 13.4%
ROI (flat stake) 19.8%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 42 of 232 matches had at least one · staked 67.00, profit 13.25 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 22 13.6% 22.00 3.50 15.9%
draw 25 12.0% 25.00 -4.50 -18.0%
away 20 15.0% 20.00 14.25 71.2%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.2% 12.5% 8
10–20% 16.2% 14.0% 86
20–30% 26.0% 21.6% 292
30–40% 34.0% 34.4% 122
40–50% 44.6% 58.8% 85
50–60% 54.4% 52.7% 55
60–70% 64.6% 74.3% 35
70–80% 73.2% 69.2% 13
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
22.08.23 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 1-0 36% 41% -11.6 29% 31% -6.7 35% 40% -13.1
22.08.23 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 3-2 36% 41% -12.0 30% 32% -8.3 35% 40% -13.7
22.08.23 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 1-0 66% 80% -17.9 21% 19% 8.7 14% 12% 15.5
22.08.23 Suwon FC (W) vs Seoul City (W) 6-2 56% 68% -18.5 25% 24% 1.5 19% 18% 7.0
25.08.23 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 2-0 21% 20% 4.8 26% 26% -0.3 53% 66% -18.7
25.08.23 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 0-4 18% 17% 8.5 24% 23% 3.0 58% 71% -18.6
25.08.23 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 0-3 34% 39% -12.1 30% 33% -8.9 35% 40% -12.1
25.08.23 Seoul City (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-1 42% 49% -13.9 28% 29% -5.1 30% 34% -11.2
29.08.23 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Seoul City (W) 6-0 68% 84% -18.8 19% 15% 21.0 13% 11% 25.0
29.08.23 Suwon FC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 2-2 44% 53% -15.9 28% 30% -6.2 27% 29% -7.2
03.09.23 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 1-1 50% 60% -16.2 27% 28% -4.2 23% 24% -6.0
11.11.23 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 1-1 37% 42% -12.7 30% 33% -8.9 33% 37% -11.4
19.11.23 Suwon FC (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 3-1 32% 36% -11.7 30% 32% -7.5 39% 43% -11.2
25.11.23 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 6-2 46% 54% -15.1 29% 31% -6.6 25% 27% -6.2
21.03.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Seoul City (W) 0-3 34% 38% -11.9 31% 35% -10.6 35% 40% -12.6
21.03.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 0-1 13% 10% 29.3 20% 18% 12.2 67% 82% -18.7
21.03.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 1-0 36% 41% -12.4 29% 31% -7.2 35% 41% -13.7
21.03.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-2 23% 24% -5.1 28% 30% -6.8 49% 58% -14.9
25.03.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 1-0 37% 42% -12.9 31% 34% -9.3 33% 36% -10.5
25.03.24 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 0-0 39% 44% -12.5 31% 34% -9.7 31% 34% -11.5
25.03.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 2-1 60% 72% -16.9 24% 24% -0.3 16% 15% 4.4
25.03.24 Seoul City (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 1-1 26% 28% -6.3 28% 29% -5.5 46% 56% -16.9
20.05.24 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 2-0 68% 83% -17.9 19% 17% 15.9 13% 11% 22.5
20.05.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 2-2 48% 57% -15.5 28% 29% -5.7 24% 26% -6.6
20.05.24 Seoul City (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 2-2 31% 33% -6.2 28% 30% -6.0 40% 49% -17.5
20.05.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 1-0 66% 81% -18.3 21% 19% 9.1 13% 11% 19.8
24.05.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-2 26% 28% -5.9 27% 29% -3.9 46% 55% -15.6
24.05.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-1 25% 26% -1.4 29% 30% -5.9 46% 56% -17.8
24.05.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Seoul City (W) 3-0 58% 71% -17.7 23% 23% 3.3 18% 17% 4.5
24.05.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 3-2 42% 49% -14.1 29% 31% -7.0 29% 33% -11.5
08.06.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 3-2 45% 53% -14.8 29% 31% -7.2 27% 29% -9.5
08.06.24 Seoul City (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 1-2 17% 15% 12.8 23% 21% 7.1 60% 75% -19.4
13.06.24 Seoul City (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 2-0 55% 68% -18.8 25% 26% -0.9 19% 18% 6.3
13.06.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 3-0 48% 56% -14.0 28% 30% -7.3 24% 27% -9.6
20.06.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Seoul City (W) 1-0 31% 34% -8.4 29% 31% -6.4 40% 48% -15.7
20.06.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 0-2 15% 14% 12.1 23% 22% 3.2 62% 75% -18.1
20.06.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-3 31% 33% -7.8 30% 33% -9.2 39% 47% -16.1
27.06.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 0-1 31% 34% -8.7 30% 32% -8.0 39% 47% -15.3
27.06.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-0 58% 69% -16.8 24% 24% 0.6 18% 18% 0.5
27.06.24 Seoul City (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 5-6 27% 29% -6.9 27% 29% -4.5 45% 55% -17.5
01.07.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 1-2 19% 17% 7.5 27% 28% -3.7 55% 66% -17.6
01.07.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 1-0 51% 61% -15.8 27% 29% -4.5 22% 22% -2.4
01.07.24 Seoul City (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 2-2 25% 26% -2.0 26% 27% -1.5 49% 60% -18.3
01.07.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 1-0 70% 85% -17.6 18% 15% 18.8 11% 9% 30.1
04.07.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 2-0 43% 51% -14.5 29% 31% -6.5 28% 31% -8.8
05.07.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 1-1 20% 19% 6.4 24% 24% 2.5 55% 68% -19.2
05.07.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-2 12% 9% 41.0 21% 18% 12.9 67% 83% -18.7
05.07.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Seoul City (W) 0-0 45% 53% -15.2 28% 29% -5.4 27% 29% -8.7
25.07.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-1 22% 22% 1.8 27% 29% -4.1 50% 61% -17.7
25.07.24 Seoul City (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1-2 23% 24% -1.5 27% 29% -4.6 49% 60% -18.2
25.07.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 1-1 31% 34% -7.5 30% 32% -8.0 39% 47% -16.2
15.08.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-1 27% 27% -1.6 30% 32% -7.7 44% 53% -17.1
15.08.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 1-2 73% 88% -17.4 17% 14% 20.6 10% 7% 39.9
15.08.24 Seoul City (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 1-0 17% 14% 17.0 23% 22% 4.8 60% 75% -19.6
15.08.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-0 38% 43% -12.1 30% 32% -8.2 32% 37% -13.1
20.08.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1-2 15% 12% 26.1 22% 20% 9.7 63% 78% -19.6
20.08.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 1-2 28% 29% -6.0 30% 32% -8.6 43% 52% -17.3
20.08.24 Seoul City (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 1-1 55% 66% -17.4 25% 26% -1.4 20% 20% 0.1
23.08.24 Seoul City (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 3-1 55% 67% -18.0 26% 26% -2.2 20% 19% 2.9
24.08.24 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 3-2 47% 55% -14.4 28% 30% -6.5 25% 27% -7.8
24.08.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 0-0 71% 84% -16.1 19% 18% 6.9 10% 8% 25.2
24.08.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 3-3 39% 44% -13.1 30% 32% -8.0 32% 36% -11.3
29.08.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 4-2 40% 47% -13.5 30% 32% -8.6 30% 34% -12.2
29.08.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 1-1 24% 24% 1.0 29% 31% -7.0 47% 57% -17.9
29.08.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Seoul City (W) 2-0 57% 69% -18.2 24% 23% 2.8 19% 19% 2.3
04.09.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 3-2 65% 79% -16.9 21% 20% 5.0 14% 12% 8.5
05.09.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 0-2 14% 12% 22.3 22% 21% 6.5 63% 78% -18.8
05.09.24 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Seoul City (W) 4-3 57% 69% -18.3 24% 24% 0.3 19% 18% 3.5
05.09.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1-1 26% 26% -2.5 28% 29% -5.0 46% 56% -17.8
12.09.24 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 5-0 74% 89% -17.0 17% 14% 22.0 9% 6% 45.3
12.09.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 2-1 36% 40% -10.3 28% 30% -6.3 36% 43% -16.0
12.09.24 Seoul City (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-1 35% 39% -11.2 29% 31% -6.8 36% 42% -13.5
12.09.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 1-0 69% 83% -17.6 20% 17% 12.1 12% 10% 24.1
19.09.24 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 2-2 19% 18% 4.2 25% 26% -1.4 56% 68% -18.0
19.09.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Seoul City (W) 2-0 63% 78% -18.3 22% 20% 8.3 15% 13% 16.2
19.09.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 0-1 40% 47% -13.2 29% 31% -7.2 31% 35% -12.1
19.09.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 0-0 61% 74% -17.2 23% 23% 1.9 16% 14% 8.6
26.09.24 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 0-4 11% 8% 42.9 18% 15% 21.9 71% 87% -18.4
26.09.24 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 2-0 41% 49% -15.5 29% 31% -6.8 30% 33% -9.7
26.09.24 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Seoul City (W) 0-1 67% 83% -18.5 20% 18% 11.5 12% 10% 29.6
26.09.24 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 4-2 49% 57% -14.8 28% 29% -6.0 24% 26% -7.6
05.11.24 Suwon FC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 2-0 40% 47% -14.3 29% 31% -6.9 31% 34% -10.0
09.11.24 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 2-1 50% 60% -17.8 27% 29% -4.1 23% 23% 0.1
20.03.25 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 2-1 13% 9% 38.6 20% 17% 15.2 67% 83% -19.2
20.03.25 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-2 19% 17% 10.4 25% 25% 0.8 56% 68% -18.8
20.03.25 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 2-2 28% 29% -5.5 26% 27% -2.3 46% 56% -18.5
27.03.25 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1-0 38% 43% -12.7 30% 32% -8.2 32% 37% -12.4
27.03.25 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-1 35% 40% -11.4 29% 31% -6.7 35% 41% -13.2
27.03.25 Suwon FC (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 2-1 67% 81% -16.5 20% 19% 6.4 12% 11% 11.9
10.04.25 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 0-0 47% 54% -13.6 30% 34% -10.3 23% 24% -6.2
14.04.25 Gangjin Swans (W) vs Incheon Redangels (W) 0-1 12% 8% 45.9 20% 18% 12.5 68% 83% -18.6
14.04.25 Seoul City (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1-1 39% 48% -18.8 28% 30% -6.2 33% 34% -4.6
14.04.25 Suwon FC (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 1-2 45% 53% -15.2 27% 28% -3.7 29% 32% -11.4
17.04.25 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W) 5-2 51% 62% -17.0 27% 29% -4.7 22% 22% -0.9
17.04.25 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 1-1 46% 56% -17.3 27% 29% -4.3 26% 28% -5.6
17.04.25 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Gyeongju HNP (W) 2-1 38% 43% -10.5 30% 33% -9.4 32% 37% -14.4
17.04.25 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) vs Seoul City (W) 0-1 35% 39% -10.8 30% 32% -7.8 35% 41% -13.5
24.04.25 Gyeongju HNP (W) vs Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 2-0 55% 65% -16.2 24% 24% 0.7 21% 23% -6.4
24.04.25 Hwacheon KSPO (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 2-0 44% 50% -12.3 29% 31% -7.5 27% 31% -11.4
24.04.25 Incheon Redangels (W) vs Suwon FC (W) 0-0 48% 56% -15.9 28% 29% -5.5 25% 26% -6.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 232 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

8 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Suwon FC (W) 1544.20
2 Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1392.53
3 Gyeongju HNP (W) 1211.23
4 Seoul City (W) 1208.74
5 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 1197.34
6 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 1171.58
7 Incheon Redangels (W) 1132.35
8 Gangjin Swans (W) 1084.78

Away Ratings

8 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Suwon FC (W) 1495.93
2 Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1412.19
3 Gyeongju HNP (W) 1250.25
4 Incheon Redangels (W) 1167.39
5 Sejong Sportstoto WFC (W) 1161.26
6 Boeun Sangmu WFC (W) 1130.67
7 Seoul City (W) 1129.68
8 Gangjin Swans (W) 1039.91