ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 739
Avg Goals 2.60
Avg Home 1.34
Avg Away 1.26
Home Win % 36.0%
Draw % 29.1%
Away Win % 34.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 739
Avg Brier Score 0.6300
Pick Accuracy 46.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6319
Market Brier 0.6298
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 739 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 16.9% 16.6% 145
20–30% 26.4% 26.9% 1059
30–40% 34.5% 34.2% 447
40–50% 44.5% 44.2% 337
50–60% 54.6% 52.3% 172
60–70% 63.8% 65.5% 55
70–80% 71.7% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Busan I Park vs Cheonan City 1-0 62% 67% -7.1 23% 26% -13.2 15% 18% -18.7
05.08.23 Gimpo FC vs FC Anyang 1-0 26% 29% -10.8 29% 33% -13.4 45% 49% -7.9
05.08.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon FC 1995 1-0 36% 42% -12.5 28% 32% -12.2 35% 39% -10.2
06.08.23 Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Seongnam FC 4-0 56% 61% -8.0 24% 28% -11.9 19% 23% -17.5
06.08.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Gyeongnam 1-2 34% 39% -13.1 28% 32% -12.3 38% 42% -9.7
08.08.23 Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju FC 0-2 31% 34% -9.8 28% 32% -12.2 41% 47% -11.6
12.08.23 FC Anyang vs Ansan Greeners 1-1 64% 69% -7.9 21% 24% -12.1 15% 18% -19.8
14.08.23 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gyeongnam 2-0 35% 38% -10.1 28% 32% -11.7 37% 42% -11.4
14.08.23 Cheonan City vs Gimpo FC 0-2 26% 30% -14.4 29% 35% -15.7 45% 48% -6.2
15.08.23 Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 45% 51% -10.3 27% 31% -11.1 27% 31% -12.6
15.08.23 Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Seoul E-Land FC 4-0 60% 66% -9.9 23% 26% -9.6 17% 20% -14.3
19.08.23 Ansan Greeners vs Chungnam Asan 0-1 26% 29% -10.3 28% 32% -12.6 45% 50% -9.2
19.08.23 Cheongju FC vs Gimpo FC 1-0 31% 36% -12.3 31% 36% -15.3 38% 41% -7.2
20.08.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-1 24% 29% -14.3 25% 29% -11.0 50% 55% -8.8
20.08.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Busan I Park 2-1 27% 31% -11.7 28% 32% -12.6 45% 49% -8.4
21.08.23 Gyeongnam vs Cheonan City 1-1 61% 67% -8.7 23% 26% -10.4 16% 19% -15.4
21.08.23 Seongnam FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 2-2 36% 41% -10.7 29% 33% -12.2 34% 38% -9.1
26.08.23 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Seoul E-Land FC 1-0 41% 45% -10.0 30% 34% -13.4 29% 32% -9.4
26.08.23 Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Chungnam Asan 4-0 58% 63% -8.6 24% 27% -10.5 18% 21% -14.6
26.08.23 Gimpo FC vs Busan I Park 2-3 28% 31% -10.8 30% 35% -14.4 42% 45% -7.5
26.08.23 Gyeongnam vs Seongnam FC 0-2 43% 48% -9.3 28% 31% -11.1 29% 33% -12.8
27.08.23 Cheonan City vs Cheongju FC 0-0 31% 35% -11.8 29% 33% -13.2 40% 44% -9.3
27.08.23 FC Anyang vs Jeonnam Dragons 3-1 49% 53% -8.5 27% 31% -11.8 24% 28% -13.8
29.08.23 Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon FC 1995 1-2 29% 34% -13.5 29% 33% -13.7 42% 45% -7.8
29.08.23 Busan I Park vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-0 32% 36% -12.4 28% 31% -11.7 41% 45% -10.9
29.08.23 Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam 0-1 39% 45% -13.6 28% 32% -11.8 32% 35% -7.4
30.08.23 Cheongju FC vs FC Anyang 2-1 25% 29% -15.2 29% 34% -15.2 46% 49% -5.0
30.08.23 Seongnam FC vs Gimpo FC 2-4 42% 48% -11.2 30% 35% -13.8 27% 29% -6.8
30.08.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 35% 39% -11.9 28% 32% -11.8 37% 41% -9.3
02.09.23 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Chungnam Asan 1-0 37% 42% -12.1 31% 36% -14.3 33% 35% -6.6
02.09.23 Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners 1-1 38% 43% -12.3 28% 31% -10.5 34% 37% -8.5
02.09.23 Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Cheongju FC 0-0 61% 67% -9.8 23% 26% -9.9 16% 19% -14.1
03.09.23 FC Anyang vs Busan I Park 0-1 37% 42% -10.1 28% 32% -11.7 34% 38% -11.5
03.09.23 Gimpo FC vs Seoul E-Land FC 2-1 42% 48% -12.8 30% 34% -13.7 29% 31% -6.7
03.09.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Seongnam FC 0-0 40% 44% -11.0 28% 31% -10.7 33% 36% -10.6
16.09.23 Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju FC 0-1 30% 34% -13.2 28% 31% -11.7 42% 47% -8.7
16.09.23 Busan I Park vs Seongnam FC 3-0 52% 57% -9.6 27% 31% -11.9 21% 24% -10.9
16.09.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Cheonan City 0-3 49% 55% -9.9 27% 30% -11.0 24% 27% -11.7
17.09.23 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimpo FC 0-0 37% 43% -11.9 30% 35% -13.8 32% 35% -7.4
17.09.23 Chungnam Asan vs FC Anyang 4-3 29% 33% -13.4 29% 33% -14.0 42% 47% -8.7
17.09.23 Gyeongnam vs Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 42% 48% -12.8 27% 30% -10.2 31% 35% -10.3
19.09.23 Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners 2-0 68% 75% -9.1 20% 22% -8.3 12% 14% -14.3
19.09.23 Cheongju FC vs Seoul E-Land FC 0-1 45% 51% -13.2 28% 32% -12.2 27% 29% -7.7
19.09.23 Seongnam FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-0 23% 27% -14.6 26% 30% -13.4 51% 56% -8.2
20.09.23 Cheonan City vs Bucheon FC 1995 1-0 26% 29% -11.8 28% 32% -12.9 46% 50% -8.1
20.09.23 Chungnam Asan vs Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 35% 39% -10.0 29% 32% -11.2 36% 40% -9.8
20.09.23 FC Anyang vs Gyeongnam 1-1 42% 45% -8.4 28% 31% -10.6 30% 35% -12.6
23.09.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City 1-3 57% 62% -9.2 25% 28% -11.1 19% 22% -14.4
23.09.23 Seongnam FC vs Cheongju FC 0-1 36% 41% -11.1 31% 36% -14.5 33% 36% -8.8
24.09.23 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gyeongnam 1-0 34% 38% -12.1 29% 33% -12.8 37% 41% -9.0
24.09.23 Gimpo FC vs Chungnam Asan 1-0 40% 45% -12.1 30% 35% -13.7 30% 32% -7.1
24.09.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Ansan Greeners 3-4 47% 53% -11.2 27% 30% -10.7 25% 29% -10.9
30.09.23 Ansan Greeners vs Gimpo FC 1-1 27% 31% -14.8 28% 32% -13.6 46% 49% -6.7
30.09.23 Chungnam Asan vs Seoul E-Land FC 1-0 44% 49% -10.7 28% 32% -11.9 28% 31% -10.3
30.09.23 FC Anyang vs Seongnam FC 1-1 48% 53% -9.5 27% 31% -11.9 25% 29% -14.2
01.10.23 Cheonan City vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-3 18% 22% -20.9 23% 27% -15.7 60% 63% -5.8
01.10.23 Cheongju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 0-0 37% 42% -11.0 30% 34% -13.8 33% 37% -10.4
01.10.23 Gyeongnam vs Busan I Park 0-1 30% 34% -12.6 28% 31% -11.4 43% 47% -8.2
07.10.23 Busan I Park vs Cheonan City 0-0 64% 71% -9.5 22% 25% -11.4 14% 16% -14.7
07.10.23 Gimpo FC vs FC Anyang 3-0 32% 36% -12.7 30% 35% -14.3 38% 42% -7.9
07.10.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Ansan Greeners 3-2 55% 61% -9.3 24% 27% -9.7 21% 24% -15.3
07.10.23 Seongnam FC vs Chungnam Asan 2-0 38% 42% -11.1 30% 34% -13.7 33% 36% -10.0
07.10.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Gyeongnam 1-3 31% 36% -14.0 28% 32% -12.8 41% 44% -8.7
14.10.23 Chungnam Asan vs Cheongju FC 3-2 35% 38% -9.8 30% 35% -14.0 35% 39% -10.4
21.10.23 Cheonan City vs Seongnam FC 3-1 24% 27% -10.9 27% 31% -12.5 49% 53% -9.1
21.10.23 Chungnam Asan vs Busan I Park 1-2 24% 27% -12.2 27% 31% -12.9 49% 53% -8.3
22.10.23 Ansan Greeners vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-7 16% 19% -18.5 22% 25% -13.8 63% 67% -6.2
22.10.23 Cheongju FC vs Gyeongnam 1-1 33% 36% -10.2 28% 32% -11.7 39% 43% -10.6
22.10.23 Gimpo FC vs Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 40% 47% -13.2 28% 32% -11.8 31% 34% -7.9
28.10.23 Chungnam Asan vs Cheonan City 2-0 52% 58% -9.4 27% 30% -11.9 21% 24% -12.1
28.10.23 FC Anyang vs Seoul E-Land FC 3-0 56% 63% -11.9 25% 28% -9.7 19% 21% -8.9
28.10.23 Gyeongnam vs Ansan Greeners 4-2 61% 67% -9.7 22% 24% -6.9 17% 20% -13.8
29.10.23 Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995 2-1 49% 55% -10.1 28% 32% -13.3 23% 26% -11.7
29.10.23 Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gimpo FC 2-0 52% 58% -11.1 26% 29% -10.7 22% 24% -10.7
29.10.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC 3-0 44% 51% -11.9 27% 30% -10.7 28% 32% -11.7
11.11.23 Cheongju FC vs Chungnam Asan 1-0 39% 43% -11.0 29% 32% -11.5 33% 36% -10.0
11.11.23 Gyeongnam vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 28% 32% -12.9 26% 29% -10.4 46% 51% -9.8
11.11.23 Seoul E-Land FC vs Seongnam FC 0-2 35% 41% -13.8 28% 32% -12.3 37% 40% -8.7
12.11.23 Ansan Greeners vs FC Anyang 2-3 21% 25% -17.5 24% 27% -12.4 56% 60% -7.5
12.11.23 Cheonan City vs Gimpo FC 0-0 26% 31% -16.5 28% 32% -14.2 46% 49% -5.2
12.11.23 Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park 3-0 25% 29% -11.5 26% 29% -10.8 48% 54% -10.3
26.11.23 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeonnam Dragons 4-1 38% 43% -11.5 28% 32% -11.9 33% 37% -10.6
26.11.23 Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC 1-1 63% 70% -10.3 23% 25% -9.6 15% 17% -11.9
26.11.23 FC Anyang vs Cheonan City 2-1 65% 72% -10.8 22% 24% -8.8 14% 15% -11.1
26.11.23 Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Seoul E-Land FC 1-0 73% 82% -11.3 17% 17% -0.9 10% 11% -6.7
26.11.23 Gimpo FC vs Gyeongnam 0-1 32% 36% -11.5 28% 32% -12.3 40% 44% -11.1
26.11.23 Seongnam FC vs Ansan Greeners 0-2 53% 59% -9.9 24% 26% -8.2 23% 27% -15.5
29.11.23 Gyeongnam vs Bucheon FC 1995 0-0 44% 49% -10.2 28% 31% -11.2 28% 32% -11.8
02.12.23 Gimpo FC vs Gyeongnam 2-1 33% 38% -11.7 30% 34% -13.9 37% 41% -9.3
01.03.24 Ansan Greeners vs Gyeongnam 1-2 23% 27% -15.1 26% 29% -12.5 51% 56% -7.6
01.03.24 FC Anyang vs Seongnam FC 2-0 46% 51% -10.5 27% 31% -11.3 27% 31% -12.8
02.03.24 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Cheonan City 1-3 51% 57% -9.9 27% 30% -11.9 22% 25% -12.6
02.03.24 Cheongju FC vs Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 36% 43% -14.6 28% 32% -12.3 35% 38% -8.0
03.03.24 Busan I Park vs Seoul E-Land FC 0-3 52% 57% -8.2 27% 31% -13.8 21% 24% -15.5
03.03.24 Suwon Bluewings vs Chungnam Asan 2-1 53% 58% -9.6 26% 29% -11.5 21% 24% -13.5
09.03.24 Chungnam Asan vs Bucheon FC 1995 1-1 39% 43% -11.3 30% 34% -13.7 32% 35% -9.7
09.03.24 Gyeongnam vs Busan I Park 1-4 38% 43% -12.6 28% 32% -11.9 34% 37% -9.3
09.03.24 Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimpo FC 4-0 38% 43% -11.0 29% 33% -12.4 33% 36% -9.4
10.03.24 Cheonan City vs Cheongju FC 1-2 35% 41% -15.4 29% 34% -13.5 36% 38% -4.2
10.03.24 Seongnam FC vs Ansan Greeners 1-3 57% 63% -10.6 24% 27% -9.4 19% 22% -13.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 739 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Suwon Bluewings 1919.66
2 Seoul E-Land FC 1850.79
3 Suwon FC 1846.67
4 Daegu 1846.28
5 Busan I Park 1782.53
6 Gimpo FC 1777.96
7 Hwaseong FC 1768.82
8 Chungnam Asan 1731.56
9 Seongnam FC 1707.72
10 Jeonnam Dragons 1695.62
11 Gyeongnam 1691.88
12 Cheongju FC 1691.51
13 Cheonan City 1686.87
14 Yongin FC 1653.70
15 Paju Frontier 1642.15
16 Gimhae City 1625.91
17 Paju Frontier FC 1606.59
18 Ansan Greeners 1586.18

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Suwon Bluewings 1893.13
2 Seoul E-Land FC 1853.45
3 Daegu 1827.03
4 Suwon FC 1815.66
5 Hwaseong FC 1780.61
6 Busan I Park 1775.53
7 Gimpo FC 1735.06
8 Seongnam FC 1720.22
9 Chungnam Asan 1700.07
10 Cheongju FC 1664.73
11 Gyeongnam 1657.90
12 Cheonan City 1657.58
13 Jeonnam Dragons 1642.11
14 Yongin FC 1641.54
15 Paju Frontier FC 1625.37
16 Paju Frontier 1614.79
17 Gimhae City 1601.56
18 Ansan Greeners 1546.78