ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 584
Avg Goals 2.54
Avg Home 1.34
Avg Away 1.20
Home Win % 40.4%
Draw % 25.3%
Away Win % 34.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 584
Avg Brier Score 0.6192
Pick Accuracy 50.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6208
Market Brier 0.6200
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 584 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.5% 0.0% 1
10–20% 17.1% 18.9% 95
20–30% 26.0% 24.0% 853
30–40% 34.9% 36.5% 348
40–50% 44.5% 45.5% 275
50–60% 54.3% 60.1% 138
60–70% 63.5% 60.5% 38
70–80% 73.2% 75.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
11.08.23 Changwon FC vs Daejeon Korail 2-4 32% 34% -7.0 29% 35% -16.9 39% 43% -10.4
12.08.23 Chuncheon FC vs Gyeongju HNP 0-0 30% 33% -8.9 29% 35% -17.0 41% 44% -8.4
12.08.23 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Paju Frontier 3-0 31% 34% -9.9 29% 35% -16.8 40% 43% -6.9
12.08.23 Yangpyeong FC vs Gangneung City 1-0 29% 33% -11.7 29% 35% -17.3 42% 44% -6.1
13.08.23 Gimhae City vs Siheung Citizen 0-0 47% 53% -11.6 27% 32% -16.2 26% 29% -7.5
13.08.23 Mokpo City vs Busan Kyotong 2-0 45% 53% -14.0 27% 32% -15.2 27% 28% -1.4
18.08.23 Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP 0-0 37% 41% -9.9 29% 34% -16.8 35% 38% -8.5
19.08.23 Busan Kyotong vs Gimhae City 1-2 33% 36% -8.8 30% 36% -17.0 37% 40% -7.0
19.08.23 Paju Frontier vs Changwon FC 1-2 50% 55% -9.7 28% 33% -17.3 23% 24% -6.6
19.08.23 Pocheon FC vs Yangju Citizen 1-0 46% 51% -9.9 27% 32% -15.5 27% 29% -7.5
20.08.23 Hwaseong FC vs Mokpo City 0-4 46% 51% -9.4 28% 34% -16.7 26% 28% -6.4
20.08.23 Siheung Citizen vs Yangpyeong FC 4-2 48% 54% -10.6 26% 30% -14.3 26% 28% -7.5
26.08.23 Mokpo City vs Pocheon FC 2-1 57% 65% -12.0 24% 29% -14.3 19% 19% -1.5
26.08.23 Siheung Citizen vs Busan Kyotong 1-2 43% 50% -14.0 27% 31% -14.3 30% 31% -3.2
26.08.23 Yangju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen FC 0-2 26% 29% -7.8 27% 32% -15.5 46% 51% -9.5
26.08.23 Yangpyeong FC vs Chuncheon FC 1-0 36% 41% -11.8 29% 36% -17.4 35% 36% -5.1
27.08.23 Gangneung City vs Daejeon Korail 2-2 38% 42% -10.9 28% 34% -16.1 34% 36% -6.7
27.08.23 Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Frontier 1-1 40% 45% -12.7 28% 34% -16.2 32% 33% -4.3
01.09.23 Daejeon Korail vs Chuncheon FC 1-0 47% 53% -11.4 27% 32% -15.7 25% 27% -4.8
02.09.23 Busan Kyotong vs Yangpyeong FC 4-0 46% 51% -10.9 27% 32% -15.3 27% 29% -5.6
02.09.23 Gimhae City vs Pocheon FC 2-0 54% 60% -10.0 26% 31% -15.9 21% 22% -5.6
02.09.23 Paju Frontier vs Gangneung City 1-0 46% 52% -11.7 28% 33% -16.4 26% 28% -4.9
02.09.23 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Mokpo City 1-1 33% 38% -12.7 27% 32% -15.1 40% 42% -6.0
03.09.23 Hwaseong FC vs Siheung Citizen 2-0 53% 60% -10.5 25% 29% -14.6 22% 23% -6.5
03.09.23 Yangju Citizen vs Changwon FC 1-1 33% 37% -10.2 28% 33% -15.8 39% 42% -8.3
09.09.23 Busan Kyotong vs Hwaseong FC 1-1 23% 25% -8.4 26% 31% -15.3 51% 56% -9.7
09.09.23 Chuncheon FC vs Paju Frontier 1-0 30% 33% -11.3 31% 38% -18.9 40% 42% -4.4
09.09.23 Gimhae City vs Ulsan Citizen FC 2-2 50% 56% -10.9 26% 31% -15.4 24% 26% -6.1
09.09.23 Mokpo City vs Changwon FC 4-0 61% 70% -12.7 22% 24% -10.2 17% 17% 2.2
09.09.23 Yangpyeong FC vs Daejeon Korail 2-0 31% 35% -10.5 27% 32% -15.3 42% 45% -8.7
10.09.23 Gyeongju HNP vs Yangju Citizen 4-3 52% 58% -9.8 26% 31% -15.6 22% 23% -6.4
10.09.23 Siheung Citizen vs Pocheon FC 0-0 45% 50% -11.0 27% 31% -14.7 29% 31% -7.7
13.09.23 Chuncheon FC vs Gangneung City 0-2 36% 41% -11.6 30% 37% -18.1 34% 35% -3.7
15.09.23 Changwon FC vs Gimhae City 3-2 18% 19% -3.2 25% 29% -14.0 57% 64% -10.5
15.09.23 Daejeon Korail vs Paju Frontier 1-0 36% 41% -11.2 30% 36% -17.1 34% 36% -4.4
16.09.23 Hwaseong FC vs Yangpyeong FC 3-1 65% 72% -10.2 21% 24% -12.9 14% 15% -4.3
16.09.23 Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP 1-1 47% 53% -12.8 26% 30% -13.9 27% 29% -4.6
16.09.23 Pocheon FC vs Busan Kyotong 2-1 36% 40% -10.7 28% 34% -16.5 36% 39% -8.3
17.09.23 Gangneung City vs Yangju Citizen 1-0 51% 57% -11.3 26% 31% -15.1 23% 24% -4.9
17.09.23 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Siheung Citizen 1-2 42% 48% -11.8 27% 32% -14.9 31% 32% -5.3
22.09.23 Changwon FC vs Siheung Citizen 1-0 37% 42% -12.9 27% 31% -14.4 37% 39% -6.9
22.09.23 Gangneung City vs Mokpo City 1-0 27% 30% -11.0 26% 30% -14.5 47% 52% -9.1
23.09.23 Gimhae City vs Gyeongju HNP 0-1 42% 45% -7.4 27% 32% -15.4 31% 34% -11.3
23.09.23 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Busan Kyotong 1-3 38% 43% -10.2 28% 33% -16.0 34% 37% -8.8
23.09.23 Yangpyeong FC vs Paju Frontier 1-1 30% 34% -13.8 28% 33% -16.9 43% 45% -6.4
24.09.23 Chuncheon FC vs Yangju Citizen 2-1 47% 53% -12.2 28% 33% -16.7 25% 26% -3.9
21.10.23 Hwaseong FC vs Pocheon FC 0-0 60% 67% -9.8 23% 27% -14.9 17% 18% -7.1
27.10.23 Changwon FC vs Busan Kyotong 1-2 36% 41% -11.6 27% 32% -14.9 36% 39% -7.0
28.10.23 Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen 3-1 45% 50% -10.5 27% 31% -14.8 29% 31% -8.3
28.10.23 Hwaseong FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC 1-1 60% 67% -10.7 24% 28% -14.8 17% 17% -3.3
28.10.23 Mokpo City vs Chuncheon FC 3-3 60% 68% -12.6 23% 26% -11.8 17% 17% 0.5
28.10.23 Pocheon FC vs Yangpyeong FC 1-2 38% 42% -9.7 27% 32% -15.3 35% 38% -10.1
28.10.23 Yangju Citizen vs Daejeon Korail 1-2 31% 35% -11.7 27% 32% -15.1 42% 44% -6.3
29.10.23 Gangneung City vs Gimhae City 0-5 30% 33% -10.1 28% 34% -16.5 42% 45% -8.2
03.11.23 Changwon FC vs Hwaseong FC 1-2 18% 20% -9.1 23% 26% -13.5 59% 65% -9.7
03.11.23 Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City 3-1 29% 32% -11.4 27% 32% -15.5 44% 48% -7.2
04.11.23 Chuncheon FC vs Gimhae City 1-3 28% 31% -11.5 27% 32% -15.7 45% 49% -7.4
04.11.23 Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Kyotong 3-1 41% 45% -8.9 28% 33% -16.5 31% 34% -10.8
04.11.23 Siheung Citizen vs Gangneung City 1-0 35% 40% -11.3 28% 33% -16.2 37% 40% -8.6
05.11.23 Pocheon FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC 2-3 33% 36% -9.3 28% 33% -16.1 39% 43% -10.1
11.11.23 Changwon FC vs Pocheon FC 0-0 57% 67% -14.6 23% 26% -11.0 19% 18% 6.0
11.11.23 Gangneung City vs Busan Kyotong 2-3 38% 42% -9.6 27% 32% -15.3 35% 38% -10.2
11.11.23 Gimhae City vs Daejeon Korail 2-0 49% 55% -10.9 26% 30% -14.5 25% 27% -6.9
11.11.23 Gyeongju HNP vs Hwaseong FC 0-1 37% 43% -14.3 28% 34% -16.5 34% 36% -3.7
11.11.23 Paju Frontier vs Mokpo City 0-1 35% 41% -14.0 27% 31% -14.7 38% 41% -6.4
11.11.23 Siheung Citizen vs Chuncheon FC 2-2 44% 51% -13.6 26% 31% -14.2 29% 31% -4.8
11.11.23 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Yangpyeong FC 0-0 34% 36% -6.5 26% 29% -12.7 40% 47% -13.3
25.11.23 Changwon FC vs Jinju Citizen 2-0 50% 55% -9.6 26% 30% -14.9 25% 27% -9.1
02.03.24 Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City 1-0 42% 48% -11.4 29% 34% -16.6 29% 30% -4.2
02.03.24 Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Frontier 1-0 43% 49% -11.4 29% 35% -17.0 28% 29% -3.2
02.03.24 Pocheon FC vs Siheung Citizen 2-2 32% 36% -12.4 29% 34% -16.8 39% 42% -5.3
02.03.24 Yeoju FC vs Mokpo City 1-2 26% 28% -8.1 27% 31% -15.0 48% 53% -9.9
03.03.24 Busan Kyotong vs Chuncheon FC 0-1 45% 51% -12.3 27% 31% -14.8 28% 30% -6.3
03.03.24 Gimhae City vs Changwon FC 2-1 51% 60% -14.0 26% 29% -13.3 23% 23% 0.8
03.03.24 Yangpyeong FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC 0-2 38% 41% -7.0 28% 34% -16.7 34% 38% -12.2
16.03.24 Chuncheon FC vs Pocheon FC 2-3 43% 49% -11.3 28% 33% -15.9 29% 30% -5.3
16.03.24 Gangneung City vs Paju Frontier 1-1 37% 42% -12.5 28% 34% -16.1 35% 36% -4.8
16.03.24 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Yeoju FC 2-0 49% 57% -13.4 26% 30% -14.1 25% 25% -1.9
17.03.24 Changwon FC vs Daejeon Korail 0-1 34% 38% -12.2 29% 35% -17.1 37% 39% -5.2
17.03.24 Daegu FC II vs Mokpo City 2-0 20% 21% -6.0 24% 28% -13.6 56% 63% -11.2
17.03.24 Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Kyotong 1-0 47% 53% -10.4 26% 31% -14.4 26% 29% -7.3
17.03.24 Yangpyeong FC vs Siheung Citizen 0-2 34% 38% -9.7 28% 33% -15.9 38% 42% -9.1
05.05.24 Changwon FC vs Mokpo City 3-0 37% 45% -17.6 28% 33% -16.4 35% 34% 0.7
11.05.24 Chuncheon FC vs Gyeongju HNP 3-2 28% 28% -1.0 29% 34% -16.4 44% 50% -12.6
11.05.24 Siheung Citizen vs Gangneung City 0-2 45% 51% -11.5 28% 33% -16.1 27% 28% -4.1
11.05.24 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Changwon FC 0-4 39% 45% -13.8 27% 32% -14.8 33% 34% -3.3
12.05.24 Daegu FC II vs Busan Kyotong 4-2 38% 43% -11.6 26% 31% -14.0 35% 38% -8.7
12.05.24 Hwaseong FC vs Mokpo City 1-0 52% 61% -15.6 25% 29% -12.4 23% 22% 4.3
12.05.24 Yangpyeong FC vs Daejeon Korail 1-0 25% 24% 2.0 27% 31% -14.3 48% 56% -14.4
12.05.24 Yeoju FC vs Gimhae City 0-2 21% 23% -9.5 26% 31% -16.1 53% 58% -8.4
17.05.24 Daejeon Korail vs Yeoju FC 3-1 62% 70% -11.7 21% 24% -10.5 17% 17% -2.4
18.05.24 Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon FC 2-1 33% 36% -8.8 27% 31% -14.1 40% 44% -10.0
18.05.24 Changwon FC vs Siheung Citizen 2-2 33% 38% -13.0 27% 32% -15.2 39% 42% -6.0
18.05.24 Hwaseong FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC 1-0 52% 58% -9.7 26% 31% -15.9 22% 24% -7.8
18.05.24 Paju Frontier vs Yangpyeong FC 1-1 49% 54% -10.2 26% 31% -15.3 25% 27% -7.6
19.05.24 Gangneung City vs Chuncheon FC 0-0 44% 51% -12.3 27% 32% -15.1 28% 29% -3.8
19.05.24 Gimhae City vs Mokpo City 0-2 55% 65% -15.0 25% 28% -11.6 21% 19% 8.3
19.05.24 Gyeongju HNP vs Daegu FC II 3-0 66% 75% -12.0 20% 22% -9.8 14% 14% -0.5
24.05.24 Ulsan Citizen FC vs Gimhae City 0-0 27% 29% -9.4 28% 33% -16.6 46% 50% -8.9
25.05.24 Chuncheon FC vs Changwon FC 2-3 38% 44% -13.5 28% 33% -15.9 34% 35% -4.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 584 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Siheung Citizen 1709.11
2 Pocheon FC 1708.71
3 Daejeon Korail 1673.02
4 Gyeongju HNP 1656.29
5 Busan Kyotong 1610.04
6 Dangjin Citizen 1601.81
7 Changwon FC 1581.87
8 Gangneung City 1581.14
9 Chuncheon FC 1569.81
10 Yeoju FC 1499.96
11 Yangpyeong FC 1492.48
12 Ulsan Citizen FC 1464.42
13 Mokpo City 1457.80
14 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors II 1378.90

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Siheung Citizen 1695.06
2 Pocheon FC 1662.21
3 Gyeongju HNP 1615.62
4 Daejeon Korail 1609.72
5 Dangjin Citizen 1575.52
6 Changwon FC 1537.79
7 Busan Kyotong 1537.48
8 Chuncheon FC 1512.76
9 Gangneung City 1489.10
10 Yangpyeong FC 1472.25
11 Ulsan Citizen FC 1471.80
12 Yeoju FC 1447.40
13 Mokpo City 1429.08
14 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors II 1354.69