ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 329
Avg Goals 2.50
Avg Home 1.43
Avg Away 1.07
Home Win % 45.0%
Draw % 25.2%
Away Win % 29.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 329
Avg Brier Score 0.6072
Pick Accuracy 50.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6127
Market Brier 0.6075
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 8
Value Bet Hit Rate 12.5%
ROI (flat stake) 37.5%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 62.5% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 8 of 329 matches had at least one · staked 8.00, profit 3.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 5 0.0% 5.00 -5.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 3 33.3% 3.00 8.00 266.7%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.5% 21.4% 14
10–20% 16.3% 13.8% 109
20–30% 26.2% 26.2% 435
30–40% 34.7% 35.2% 162
40–50% 44.2% 44.5% 128
50–60% 55.0% 54.4% 79
60–70% 64.0% 65.9% 44
70–80% 72.8% 71.4% 14
80–90% 81.0% 50.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
09.09.23 Athletic Bilbao II (W) vs Osasuna (W) 2-2 18% 18% 0.3 21% 22% -5.4 61% 71% -14.3
09.09.23 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 2-0 40% 41% -2.9 25% 28% -10.0 35% 44% -20.4
09.09.23 CP Cacereno (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W) 2-0 53% 56% -6.0 24% 27% -12.0 23% 29% -20.4
09.09.23 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 5-1 16% 15% 3.7 23% 25% -9.8 62% 71% -13.3
10.09.23 Madrid CFF II (W) vs SE AEM (W) 0-3 33% 32% 3.6 27% 31% -12.4 40% 50% -20.7
17.09.23 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs CDEF Logrono (W) 2-1 38% 38% -2.3 27% 30% -11.6 36% 43% -18.0
17.09.23 SE AEM (W) vs Espanyol Barcelona (W) 1-1 54% 51% 6.1 24% 30% -21.4 22% 31% -30.3
01.10.23 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W) 1-1 42% 42% -0.8 27% 31% -13.1 31% 38% -19.4
01.10.23 Osasuna (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 2-1 35% 38% -8.0 28% 32% -13.3 37% 42% -13.1
07.10.23 FC Barcelona II (W) vs Osasuna (W) 0-1 58% 65% -9.6 23% 26% -11.0 18% 21% -13.3
07.10.23 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs Espanyol Barcelona (W) 1-2 44% 43% 0.1 28% 33% -15.6 28% 36% -20.5
08.10.23 CP Cacereno (W) vs CDEF Logrono (W) 1-2 41% 42% -1.7 28% 32% -14.4 31% 39% -19.9
15.10.23 CDEF Logrono (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 0-2 35% 39% -9.8 27% 31% -12.6 37% 43% -12.3
15.10.23 CE Europa (W) vs Athletic Bilbao II (W) 0-1 52% 51% 3.0 25% 31% -18.4 23% 31% -26.8
15.10.23 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 1-2 38% 41% -5.9 27% 31% -12.1 34% 40% -14.6
21.10.23 Alhama CF (W) vs CE Europa (W) 5-0 55% 60% -8.3 26% 29% -13.0 20% 23% -12.9
21.10.23 Deportivo La Coruna (W) vs SE AEM (W) 3-0 49% 56% -12.8 27% 31% -12.5 23% 24% -4.1
21.10.23 FC Barcelona II (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 2-0 57% 65% -11.4 23% 26% -8.4 19% 21% -8.2
22.10.23 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs Madrid CFF II (W) 3-1 44% 50% -11.8 28% 32% -13.5 28% 31% -9.0
12.11.23 FC Barcelona II (W) vs SE AEM (W) 3-0 55% 63% -12.4 24% 27% -9.1 20% 22% -6.6
18.11.23 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Espanyol Barcelona (W) 0-1 35% 30% 14.0 27% 30% -12.4 39% 51% -24.1
18.11.23 CP Cacereno (W) vs Athletic Bilbao II (W) 1-0 44% 48% -8.5 28% 32% -13.2 28% 32% -11.9
18.11.23 Deportivo La Coruna (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 0-0 38% 45% -15.3 27% 31% -11.9 34% 36% -3.6
18.11.23 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 2-1 37% 38% -4.6 27% 30% -11.4 36% 43% -16.2
18.11.23 Madrid CFF II (W) vs CE Europa (W) 0-2 40% 43% -6.8 27% 31% -11.6 33% 38% -13.9
25.11.23 CE Europa (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 0-3 42% 45% -6.9 27% 31% -12.6 30% 36% -14.9
25.11.23 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs CP Cacereno (W) 4-0 65% 74% -11.6 22% 24% -10.0 13% 13% -2.7
09.12.23 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Madrid CFF II (W) 1-0 57% 62% -8.3 24% 28% -12.7 19% 22% -15.3
09.12.23 CP Cacereno (W) vs CE Europa (W) 2-3 43% 52% -16.2 26% 29% -10.0 31% 32% -4.3
16.12.23 CE Europa (W) vs CDEF Logrono (W) 1-7 46% 51% -10.3 27% 30% -11.5 27% 30% -10.2
16.12.23 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs SE AEM (W) 0-0 46% 51% -9.9 27% 31% -12.4 26% 29% -10.1
16.12.23 Osasuna (W) vs Deportivo La Coruna (W) 1-2 34% 38% -10.2 29% 33% -14.4 38% 42% -10.9
17.12.23 Alhama CF (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 2-1 26% 28% -6.5 26% 29% -11.9 48% 56% -13.4
17.12.23 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs CP Cacereno (W) 2-3 57% 65% -13.2 24% 26% -9.4 19% 21% -6.9
07.01.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs CE Europa (W) 5-1 59% 65% -7.9 23% 27% -13.2 17% 21% -17.4
07.01.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Osasuna (W) 2-1 29% 31% -8.3 27% 30% -12.4 45% 51% -12.7
07.01.24 Deportivo La Coruna (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W) 0-0 58% 67% -12.7 23% 25% -7.7 19% 20% -6.3
07.01.24 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 1-1 65% 75% -13.1 21% 22% -4.9 14% 15% -2.4
07.01.24 FC Barcelona II (W) vs Athletic Bilbao II (W) 4-0 81% 91% -10.7 13% 12% 5.6 6% 6% 5.9
07.01.24 SE AEM (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 2-0 37% 38% -3.1 27% 31% -12.4 36% 43% -17.0
14.01.24 CE Europa (W) vs SE AEM (W) 0-2 23% 23% 1.8 25% 28% -9.8 52% 61% -15.6
14.01.24 Osasuna (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 0-2 28% 30% -7.8 27% 30% -12.3 45% 52% -12.2
17.01.24 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs CP Cacereno (W) 4-3 42% 43% -3.5 27% 31% -12.6 31% 37% -17.1
20.01.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Deportivo La Coruna (W) 1-1 30% 29% 1.1 27% 30% -11.7 44% 53% -18.2
20.01.24 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs Athletic Bilbao II (W) 1-0 61% 70% -12.4 22% 23% -6.0 17% 18% -6.2
21.01.24 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W) 2-0 62% 68% -9.5 23% 26% -12.1 15% 17% -10.7
21.01.24 SE AEM (W) vs Madrid CFF II (W) 2-0 68% 76% -9.8 20% 22% -9.9 12% 14% -12.6
24.01.24 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs Atletico Madrid II (W) 4-1 41% 48% -13.5 27% 31% -12.4 31% 34% -7.2
28.01.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs SE AEM (W) 1-0 27% 28% -1.5 27% 31% -12.6 45% 53% -15.2
28.01.24 Osasuna (W) vs Athletic Bilbao II (W) 2-2 65% 71% -9.0 22% 25% -12.2 13% 15% -12.3
03.02.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs CP Cacereno (W) 2-0 52% 58% -10.2 26% 29% -11.9 22% 24% -10.4
03.02.24 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs Osasuna (W) 1-1 52% 56% -8.3 26% 30% -13.8 22% 26% -15.2
04.02.24 Athletic Bilbao II (W) vs CE Europa (W) 1-1 49% 56% -12.5 27% 30% -11.7 24% 26% -6.0
04.02.24 CDEF Logrono (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W) 2-0 40% 43% -9.1 28% 32% -13.7 33% 38% -13.5
04.02.24 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 0-1 22% 25% -12.6 25% 29% -14.4 53% 58% -8.4
04.02.24 SE AEM (W) vs Deportivo La Coruna (W) 0-0 33% 34% -3.6 28% 31% -11.8 40% 47% -14.5
11.02.24 CE Europa (W) vs Espanyol Barcelona (W) 0-1 14% 15% -2.8 22% 25% -12.2 64% 71% -10.9
11.02.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 0-0 30% 32% -6.3 28% 32% -13.8 42% 49% -14.0
11.02.24 FC Barcelona II (W) vs Atletico Madrid II (W) 1-1 62% 71% -12.0 21% 23% -6.8 16% 18% -9.5
11.02.24 Osasuna (W) vs SE AEM (W) 1-0 43% 47% -7.4 28% 32% -13.3 29% 33% -13.1
09.03.24 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs CE Europa (W) 3-1 57% 62% -8.5 24% 28% -12.6 19% 22% -14.9
10.03.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Espanyol Barcelona (W) 0-1 23% 24% -4.3 28% 32% -14.4 49% 56% -11.7
10.03.24 SE AEM (W) vs Atletico Madrid II (W) 0-0 40% 43% -6.9 29% 33% -14.1 31% 36% -13.5
16.03.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs CDEF Logrono (W) 0-1 52% 57% -9.6 25% 29% -11.8 23% 27% -14.3
16.03.24 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs SE AEM (W) 1-1 39% 44% -11.2 29% 34% -14.1 31% 34% -7.2
16.03.24 FC Barcelona II (W) vs Deportivo La Coruna (W) 6-2 46% 51% -8.2 27% 31% -12.8 26% 30% -12.9
16.03.24 Osasuna (W) vs Madrid CFF II (W) 4-1 67% 73% -8.4 20% 23% -12.1 13% 16% -17.6
17.03.24 CE Europa (W) vs CP Cacereno (W) 1-2 29% 31% -5.2 28% 32% -13.1 43% 49% -12.3
23.03.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 2-0 36% 38% -6.0 29% 33% -13.9 35% 41% -13.9
23.03.24 Deportivo La Coruna (W) vs Osasuna (W) 2-2 55% 60% -7.3 25% 29% -13.9 19% 23% -15.7
23.03.24 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs SE AEM (W) 0-2 51% 56% -7.5 28% 34% -16.0 20% 23% -11.3
23.03.24 Fundacion Albacete (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 0-2 20% 17% 14.9 22% 23% -3.3 58% 71% -18.7
23.03.24 Madrid CFF II (W) vs Atletico Madrid II (W) 2-1 18% 17% 1.2 22% 24% -7.7 60% 70% -13.6
24.03.24 CDEF Logrono (W) vs CE Europa (W) 1-0 53% 58% -8.7 26% 29% -12.8 22% 25% -13.8
05.05.24 Alhama CF (W) vs Osasuna (W) 0-3 41% 43% -6.2 27% 31% -12.3 32% 38% -16.1
08.05.24 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs SE AEM (W) 2-1 44% 45% -3.8 28% 32% -13.5 28% 34% -16.2
08.05.24 Osasuna (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 0-1 46% 50% -8.3 28% 32% -13.8 26% 30% -13.0
12.05.24 Osasuna (W) vs Espanyol Barcelona (W) 1-0 41% 44% -7.2 29% 33% -14.2 30% 35% -13.4
16.05.24 Espanyol Barcelona (W) vs Osasuna (W) 3-1 43% 47% -7.8 28% 32% -13.6 29% 34% -13.7
07.09.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 0-1 42% 44% -5.5 27% 31% -12.3 31% 37% -16.3
07.09.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 1-1 41% 45% -10.8 27% 31% -11.9 32% 36% -11.1
08.09.24 Balears FC (W) vs Real Madrid II (W) 1-0 33% 33% -1.4 27% 30% -11.4 40% 49% -17.4
08.09.24 SE AEM (W) vs Alhama CF (W) 0-2 42% 44% -5.6 29% 34% -14.6 29% 34% -14.2
15.09.24 Alhama CF (W) vs Atletico Madrid II (W) 1-0 56% 63% -11.6 25% 28% -11.0 19% 21% -8.2
22.09.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 1-1 46% 51% -10.9 28% 32% -13.1 26% 29% -8.0
05.10.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 0-2 28% 31% -10.0 27% 31% -13.4 45% 50% -10.4
13.10.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Atletico Madrid II (W) 2-0 41% 50% -18.4 28% 32% -13.8 31% 31% 1.9
13.10.24 SE AEM (W) vs Getafe CF (W) 1-0 59% 67% -11.8 24% 26% -9.9 17% 18% -6.1
13.10.24 Sporting Huelva (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W) 1-3 41% 42% -4.0 28% 33% -14.9 31% 38% -17.6
13.10.24 Villarreal CF (W) vs Balears FC (W) 1-3 67% 71% -6.5 21% 25% -14.8 12% 14% -16.7
19.10.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 1-2 31% 34% -9.4 27% 31% -12.6 41% 47% -10.9
02.11.24 Alhama CF (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 0-0 41% 45% -9.8 27% 31% -12.7 32% 36% -12.8
02.11.24 CP Cacereno (W) vs Balears FC (W) 2-0 45% 48% -6.4 27% 31% -13.3 28% 34% -16.4
10.11.24 Deportivo Alaves (W) vs FC Barcelona II (W) 3-0 37% 40% -7.6 30% 35% -15.3 34% 38% -12.7
10.11.24 Osasuna (W) vs CDEF Logrono (W) 2-2 45% 48% -4.9 28% 33% -15.6 27% 32% -17.6
16.11.24 Atletico Madrid II (W) vs Balears FC (W) 4-3 39% 37% 4.2 28% 33% -15.0 33% 42% -21.6
16.11.24 FC Barcelona II (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 5-0 65% 75% -12.6 21% 22% -6.1 14% 14% -2.8
17.11.24 Alhama CF (W) vs CP Cacereno (W) 4-0 54% 60% -10.0 25% 29% -11.7 21% 23% -10.9
17.11.24 Getafe CF (W) vs Deportivo Alaves (W) 1-2 12% 10% 24.1 21% 23% -7.9 67% 79% -14.6
17.11.24 SE AEM (W) vs Osasuna (W) 0-0 47% 52% -10.0 29% 34% -14.9 25% 27% -9.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 329 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Barcelona II (W) 1620.17
2 Alhama CF (W) 1574.32
3 Levante UD (W) 1566.92
4 Osasuna (W) 1545.58
5 Real Madrid II (W) 1512.96
6 Villarreal CF (W) 1508.36
7 Sport Extremadura CD (W) 1428.02
8 CD Tenerife II (W) 1405.92
9 Fundacion Albacete (W) 1401.66
10 Real Union Tacuense de Tenerife (W) 1378.51
11 Atletico Madrid II (W) 1377.51
12 CP Cacereno (W) 1325.11

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Real Union Tacuense de Tenerife (W) 1596.38
2 Alhama CF (W) 1584.81
3 Levante UD (W) 1526.36
4 FC Barcelona II (W) 1517.15
5 Villarreal CF (W) 1480.88
6 Osasuna (W) 1455.32
7 CP Cacereno (W) 1446.50
8 Real Madrid II (W) 1433.22
9 Fundacion Albacete (W) 1400.74
10 Sport Extremadura CD (W) 1396.53
11 Atletico Madrid II (W) 1332.76
12 CD Tenerife II (W) 1278.41