ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 671
Avg Goals 2.85
Avg Home 1.49
Avg Away 1.35
Home Win % 40.8%
Draw % 21.3%
Away Win % 37.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 671
Avg Brier Score 0.5080
Pick Accuracy 59.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5103
Market Brier 0.5071
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 7
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
  • 85.7% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 6 of 671 matches had at least one · staked 7.00, profit -7.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 6 0.0% 6.00 -6.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 5.5% 3.0% 197
10–20% 15.4% 12.3% 316
20–30% 25.8% 24.8% 689
30–40% 34.9% 37.9% 235
40–50% 44.3% 43.5% 170
50–60% 54.7% 55.9% 152
60–70% 65.1% 72.8% 92
70–80% 74.5% 83.6% 67
80–90% 84.2% 85.2% 54
90–100% 92.7% 92.7% 41
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
15.09.23 Valencia Feminas (W) vs Real Madrid (W) 0-2 9% 10% -8.0 17% 17% -4.5 74% 83% -10.2
16.09.23 Atletico Madrid (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 3-0 70% 79% -10.9 19% 20% -6.8 11% 12% -7.5
16.09.23 Madrid CCF (W) vs FC Barcelona (W) 0-2 4% 4% -1.7 8% 8% 10.1 88% 96% -8.7
16.09.23 SD Eibar (W) vs FC Levante Badalona (W) 1-2 34% 36% -5.7 27% 29% -8.6 39% 47% -16.5
17.09.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 2-0 62% 70% -12.0 22% 23% -5.8 17% 18% -8.0
17.09.23 Granada CF (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 2-1 21% 23% -9.0 24% 26% -7.3 55% 62% -12.7
17.09.23 Levante UD (W) vs FC Sevilla (W) 2-0 72% 78% -7.3 17% 20% -14.0 10% 13% -19.8
30.09.23 FC Sevilla (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 1-5 36% 42% -13.0 27% 30% -9.7 36% 41% -10.9
30.09.23 Granada CF (W) vs SD Eibar (W) 1-2 45% 51% -11.1 28% 31% -11.2 27% 31% -11.2
30.09.23 Levante UD (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 1-1 48% 48% 0.2 25% 29% -13.7 27% 35% -23.4
01.10.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs Real Madrid (W) 1-2 19% 22% -13.7 23% 25% -8.2 58% 65% -10.8
01.10.23 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 2-1 38% 42% -9.6 28% 31% -10.4 34% 40% -14.3
01.10.23 Real Sociedad (W) vs Betis Sevilla (W) 2-1 58% 65% -11.3 23% 26% -8.7 19% 21% -10.7
03.10.23 Villarreal CF (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 1-3 13% 13% -5.5 20% 21% -4.8 68% 77% -12.2
04.10.23 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Granada CF (W) 1-0 55% 65% -14.6 25% 26% -6.6 20% 21% -2.3
04.10.23 FC Sevilla (W) vs CD Tenerife (W) 5-1 31% 35% -10.0 28% 31% -10.5 41% 47% -12.6
04.10.23 Real Madrid (W) vs Betis Sevilla (W) 5-1 89% 96% -7.9 8% 9% -4.8 3% 3% -7.5
04.10.23 Real Sociedad (W) vs Levante UD (W) 1-1 24% 27% -11.0 26% 29% -9.3 50% 57% -12.4
04.10.23 SD Eibar (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 1-6 12% 12% -1.0 19% 19% -0.4 69% 79% -12.8
05.10.23 FC Barcelona (W) vs Valencia Feminas (W) 6-0 93% 98% -4.7 5% 6% -21.6 2% 3% -28.0
05.10.23 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 1-1 48% 55% -12.5 26% 28% -7.6 27% 29% -9.8
07.10.23 Atletico Madrid (W) vs FC Sevilla (W) 2-1 66% 74% -10.8 20% 22% -6.3 14% 15% -8.6
07.10.23 Real Madrid (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 1-0 91% 97% -6.6 7% 7% -4.4 3% 3% -8.9
08.10.23 Betis Sevilla (W) vs Levante UD (W) 0-4 13% 15% -12.9 20% 22% -7.9 67% 74% -10.1
08.10.23 FC Barcelona (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 3-0 94% 99% -5.4 5% 5% -0.9 2% 2% -7.6
08.10.23 Madrid CCF (W) vs Granada CF (W) 1-0 76% 85% -10.9 15% 15% -1.4 9% 9% -4.4
08.10.23 SD Eibar (W) vs CD Tenerife (W) 0-1 21% 24% -12.4 25% 28% -9.7 54% 60% -11.1
09.10.23 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 3-0 54% 63% -14.5 25% 28% -8.5 20% 21% -2.9
09.10.23 Valencia Feminas (W) vs FC Levante Badalona (W) 1-1 46% 52% -10.8 27% 29% -9.8 27% 31% -12.7
14.10.23 FC Sevilla (W) vs Valencia Feminas (W) 1-2 52% 59% -12.4 26% 28% -8.2 23% 25% -8.0
14.10.23 Granada CF (W) vs Real Madrid (W) 2-5 4% 6% -26.1 9% 11% -16.8 87% 93% -6.2
14.10.23 Real Sociedad (W) vs SD Eibar (W) 3-1 69% 79% -12.8 19% 19% -1.7 12% 12% -0.4
14.10.23 Villarreal CF (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 3-0 26% 29% -10.3 27% 30% -10.6 47% 54% -12.5
15.10.23 Atletico Madrid (W) vs FC Barcelona (W) 0-1 6% 6% -3.7 12% 12% 2.6 81% 90% -9.7
15.10.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs Betis Sevilla (W) 1-0 61% 70% -13.9 22% 24% -5.6 17% 17% -3.0
15.10.23 Levante UD (W) vs FC Levante Badalona (W) 1-1 80% 88% -8.6 13% 14% -6.8 6% 7% -9.6
15.10.23 Sporting Huelva (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 1-3 16% 18% -11.1 21% 22% -5.5 63% 71% -12.1
21.10.23 FC Barcelona (W) vs Granada CF (W) 6-1 95% 99% -4.5 3% 4% -17.1 2% 3% -29.3
21.10.23 SD Eibar (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 0-0 37% 39% -4.9 28% 31% -11.0 35% 42% -17.3
21.10.23 Sporting Huelva (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 0-2 9% 10% -6.5 17% 18% -5.2 73% 83% -11.2
22.10.23 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 2-1 30% 36% -16.6 27% 30% -10.6 43% 47% -7.3
22.10.23 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs FC Sevilla (W) 1-2 34% 41% -16.7 27% 30% -10.0 39% 42% -7.0
22.10.23 Madrid CCF (W) vs CD Tenerife (W) 3-2 60% 68% -12.9 22% 24% -5.5 18% 19% -6.2
22.10.23 Real Madrid (W) vs Levante UD (W) 1-2 55% 60% -7.1 24% 27% -11.8 21% 26% -18.6
04.11.23 Betis Sevilla (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 1-0 28% 30% -7.2 28% 31% -10.3 44% 51% -13.2
04.11.23 Real Sociedad (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 1-0 60% 67% -9.5 22% 25% -10.0 17% 20% -14.1
04.11.23 SD Eibar (W) vs Real Madrid (W) 0-1 4% 5% -13.4 10% 10% -4.7 86% 93% -8.1
05.11.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 2-1 20% 22% -9.2 25% 27% -8.7 56% 63% -12.2
05.11.23 Granada CF (W) vs FC Levante Badalona (W) 0-1 37% 41% -9.5 28% 31% -9.9 35% 41% -13.4
05.11.23 Madrid CCF (W) vs Levante UD (W) 0-1 34% 38% -12.2 25% 27% -5.8 41% 47% -12.3
10.11.23 Real Madrid (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 7-1 73% 81% -9.4 17% 18% -8.1 10% 12% -13.4
11.11.23 Atletico Madrid (W) vs SD Eibar (W) 3-0 82% 89% -8.0 12% 13% -7.7 6% 7% -13.9
12.11.23 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 1-2 30% 36% -18.3 28% 31% -11.7 43% 44% -4.0
12.11.23 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs CD Tenerife (W) 3-1 33% 37% -12.1 28% 31% -10.1 39% 43% -9.5
12.11.23 FC Sevilla (W) vs Granada CF (W) 1-0 57% 65% -12.3 24% 26% -7.7 20% 22% -9.2
12.11.23 Levante UD (W) vs Valencia Feminas (W) 3-1 74% 81% -8.4 16% 18% -9.7 10% 11% -15.0
18.11.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs Levante UD (W) 0-1 18% 21% -15.1 23% 26% -10.0 59% 65% -9.7
18.11.23 Real Sociedad (W) vs FC Sevilla (W) 1-2 46% 52% -11.3 27% 29% -9.7 27% 31% -12.1
18.11.23 SD Eibar (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 1-0 41% 48% -13.1 29% 32% -11.1 30% 32% -7.2
18.11.23 Valencia Feminas (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 1-2 37% 40% -7.8 28% 31% -10.3 35% 41% -14.0
19.11.23 Betis Sevilla (W) vs FC Levante Badalona (W) 1-0 41% 45% -10.4 28% 32% -12.2 31% 36% -13.3
19.11.23 FC Barcelona (W) vs Real Madrid (W) 5-0 79% 88% -9.8 13% 13% 0.3 8% 8% -5.9
19.11.23 Granada CF (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 1-2 41% 44% -6.7 27% 30% -10.6 31% 38% -16.7
19.11.23 Madrid CCF (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 1-4 31% 36% -14.4 27% 29% -9.0 42% 47% -9.5
25.11.23 FC Sevilla (W) vs Betis Sevilla (W) 6-0 55% 61% -10.9 25% 29% -11.0 20% 22% -10.5
25.11.23 Levante UD (W) vs SD Eibar (W) 3-0 82% 88% -7.1 12% 14% -12.3 6% 7% -17.2
25.11.23 Real Sociedad (W) vs Valencia Feminas (W) 2-0 48% 51% -6.7 26% 29% -11.1 26% 31% -16.9
25.11.23 Villarreal CF (W) vs CD Tenerife (W) 1-1 25% 28% -8.2 26% 29% -8.2 48% 56% -13.1
26.11.23 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs FC Barcelona (W) 0-4 3% 3% -20.6 6% 6% -8.6 92% 98% -6.6
26.11.23 Atletico Madrid (W) vs Granada CF (W) 2-0 82% 90% -9.0 12% 12% -2.5 6% 7% -9.8
26.11.23 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 3-4 20% 23% -15.4 23% 26% -9.1 57% 63% -9.7
26.11.23 Real Madrid (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 5-2 85% 92% -7.3 10% 11% -9.0 5% 6% -18.4
09.12.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs Granada CF (W) 2-0 62% 72% -14.4 22% 24% -5.7 16% 15% 0.9
09.12.23 Real Madrid (W) vs FC Sevilla (W) 1-3 70% 77% -8.4 18% 19% -8.1 12% 14% -15.9
09.12.23 Sporting Huelva (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 1-2 22% 24% -9.0 27% 30% -10.8 51% 57% -11.1
10.12.23 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Levante UD (W) 1-0 15% 17% -10.6 23% 25% -9.7 63% 70% -10.6
10.12.23 Betis Sevilla (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 0-2 9% 9% -1.6 17% 17% -3.5 75% 84% -11.2
10.12.23 Valencia Feminas (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 3-4 22% 24% -9.4 24% 26% -6.3 54% 62% -13.0
10.12.23 Villarreal CF (W) vs FC Levante Badalona (W) 2-2 38% 42% -7.9 28% 31% -10.5 34% 39% -14.2
16.12.23 Atletico Madrid (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 1-1 68% 76% -10.5 19% 21% -7.5 12% 14% -9.9
16.12.23 Levante UD (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 2-0 84% 92% -8.2 11% 11% -6.0 5% 6% -11.8
16.12.23 Madrid CCF (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 2-0 72% 80% -9.8 17% 18% -6.1 11% 12% -11.2
16.12.23 SD Eibar (W) vs Betis Sevilla (W) 3-2 39% 43% -9.4 29% 32% -11.5 33% 38% -12.8
17.12.23 CD Tenerife (W) vs FC Barcelona (W) 0-2 2% 2% -18.1 8% 10% -19.6 91% 95% -4.9
17.12.23 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs Real Madrid (W) 0-2 13% 15% -15.2 20% 22% -9.8 67% 74% -9.0
17.12.23 FC Sevilla (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 1-1 44% 50% -12.7 27% 30% -9.9 29% 32% -10.0
17.12.23 Granada CF (W) vs Valencia Feminas (W) 0-1 31% 34% -9.3 27% 30% -9.5 41% 48% -13.3
06.01.24 Villarreal CF (W) vs Levante UD (W) 0-5 11% 12% -9.3 19% 20% -7.2 71% 79% -10.8
07.01.24 Athletic Bilbao (W) vs SD Eibar (W) 2-0 62% 70% -11.8 23% 25% -8.9 15% 16% -5.8
07.01.24 Betis Sevilla (W) vs Granada CF (W) 2-3 46% 53% -14.1 28% 31% -10.4 27% 29% -6.4
07.01.24 Real Madrid (W) vs Madrid CCF (W) 2-1 52% 59% -11.8 24% 26% -7.2 24% 27% -11.3
07.01.24 Real Sociedad (W) vs CD Tenerife (W) 3-3 38% 43% -11.8 28% 31% -10.8 34% 38% -12.2
07.01.24 Sporting Huelva (W) vs FC Sevilla (W) 1-3 19% 20% -5.3 24% 26% -6.5 57% 66% -13.2
07.01.24 Valencia Feminas (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W) 1-6 12% 12% -4.5 19% 19% -2.0 69% 79% -11.9
20.01.24 FC Levante Badalona (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) 0-2 32% 37% -13.5 27% 29% -8.6 41% 45% -9.6
20.01.24 FC Sevilla (W) vs Villarreal CF (W) 3-1 64% 72% -10.8 21% 23% -7.9 15% 17% -10.8
20.01.24 Madrid CCF (W) vs Betis Sevilla (W) 3-1 77% 86% -10.3 14% 15% -2.9 8% 9% -8.6
21.01.24 CD Tenerife (W) vs Athletic Bilbao (W) 1-1 45% 50% -10.4 28% 32% -12.2 27% 30% -11.4
21.01.24 Granada CF (W) vs Sporting Huelva (W) 0-1 49% 56% -13.1 27% 30% -10.8 24% 26% -8.1
21.01.24 SD Eibar (W) vs Valencia Feminas (W) 1-0 37% 42% -12.2 28% 31% -10.4 35% 39% -10.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 671 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Barcelona (W) 2425.07
2 Real Sociedad (W) 2087.16
3 Real Madrid (W) 2038.61
4 Atletico Madrid (W) 1949.54
5 FC Levante Badalona (W) 1862.06
6 Athletic Bilbao (W) 1835.91
7 CD Tenerife (W) 1807.41
8 FC Sevilla (W) 1803.19
9 Granada CF (W) 1761.71
10 Deportivo La Coruna (W) 1753.35
11 Deportivo Alaves (W) 1737.74
12 CDEF Logrono (W) 1731.52
13 Madrid CCF (W) 1727.58
14 SD Eibar (W) 1676.37
15 Espanyol Barcelona (W) 1660.96
16 Valencia Feminas (W) 1657.80

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Barcelona (W) 2488.99
2 Real Madrid (W) 2030.59
3 Atletico Madrid (W) 1933.91
4 Real Sociedad (W) 1903.69
5 Athletic Bilbao (W) 1820.13
6 CD Tenerife (W) 1802.16
7 FC Sevilla (W) 1722.12
8 FC Levante Badalona (W) 1717.61
9 Deportivo La Coruna (W) 1696.04
10 Espanyol Barcelona (W) 1683.10
11 CDEF Logrono (W) 1674.37
12 Madrid CCF (W) 1659.49
13 SD Eibar (W) 1651.10
14 Granada CF (W) 1648.40
15 Deportivo Alaves (W) 1635.80
16 Valencia Feminas (W) 1585.73