ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 601
Avg Goals 3.22
Avg Home 1.72
Avg Away 1.50
Home Win % 42.6%
Draw % 21.3%
Away Win % 36.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 601
Avg Brier Score 0.5974
Pick Accuracy 52.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5997
Market Brier 0.5966
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 601 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.8% 0.0% 31
10–20% 16.3% 18.1% 281
20–30% 24.0% 24.2% 697
30–40% 35.2% 38.3% 256
40–50% 45.0% 44.5% 218
50–60% 54.9% 47.5% 162
60–70% 64.8% 63.7% 102
70–80% 74.4% 75.6% 45
80–90% 82.5% 90.0% 10
90–100% 93.0% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Täby FK 4-0 56% 61% -6.8 22% 27% -16.8 21% 24% -12.6
05.08.23 IF Karlstad vs IF Sylvia Norrköping 4-1 60% 64% -6.1 21% 26% -17.4 19% 22% -14.5
05.08.23 IFK Stocksund vs Sollentuna United FF 2-3 34% 38% -10.7 24% 28% -14.8 43% 47% -8.4
05.08.23 Pitea IF vs Sandvikens IF 1-5 19% 20% -4.1 21% 24% -13.5 60% 68% -11.5
05.08.23 Vasalunds IF vs Hammarby TFF 0-1 59% 65% -8.2 22% 26% -16.8 19% 21% -9.3
06.08.23 Dalkurd FF vs Umeå FC 2-0 61% 63% -3.8 21% 26% -19.6 19% 23% -19.8
12.08.23 Hammarby TFF vs IF Karlstad 1-1 37% 39% -6.0 26% 32% -18.4 37% 42% -11.6
12.08.23 Nordic United vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 4-2 56% 61% -8.3 22% 26% -15.3 22% 24% -8.4
12.08.23 Täby FK vs IFK Stocksund 1-4 41% 42% -3.3 24% 29% -16.0 35% 42% -15.5
12.08.23 Vasalunds IF vs Dalkurd FF 2-0 32% 34% -4.8 26% 31% -17.0 42% 48% -11.4
13.08.23 Motala AIF FK vs Pitea IF 1-2 45% 49% -8.4 24% 29% -17.1 31% 35% -11.9
13.08.23 Sollentuna United FF vs Örebro Syrianska 7-1 59% 64% -7.7 21% 26% -17.1 20% 23% -13.5
13.08.23 Umeå FC vs Bodens BK FF 2-0 54% 57% -5.6 23% 28% -17.5 23% 27% -14.3
18.08.23 Pitea IF vs Bodens BK FF 1-1 52% 55% -6.0 23% 28% -16.2 25% 29% -12.1
19.08.23 Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna United FF 1-1 34% 37% -9.1 25% 30% -17.0 41% 45% -9.4
19.08.23 IF Karlstad vs Vasalunds IF 1-2 40% 43% -7.3 25% 31% -17.4 34% 38% -10.9
19.08.23 IFK Stocksund vs Motala AIF FK 2-2 43% 47% -8.2 24% 29% -16.0 33% 38% -11.8
20.08.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Umeå FC 2-1 53% 56% -5.5 23% 28% -17.5 24% 28% -14.8
26.08.23 IF Sylvia Norrköping vs IFK Stocksund 1-2 30% 32% -5.7 24% 28% -15.1 46% 53% -12.6
26.08.23 Sollentuna United FF vs Dalkurd FF 3-1 40% 45% -12.6 25% 29% -16.6 36% 38% -7.1
26.08.23 Örebro Syrianska vs IF Karlstad 0-3 25% 26% -2.1 24% 28% -15.2 51% 58% -12.2
27.08.23 Bodens BK FF vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 0-3 29% 33% -11.5 25% 30% -17.4 45% 49% -6.8
27.08.23 Pitea IF vs Hammarby TFF 1-2 41% 43% -5.7 25% 29% -16.2 34% 39% -12.4
27.08.23 Umeå FC vs Nordic United 3-2 25% 27% -8.5 23% 27% -14.5 52% 57% -8.3
27.08.23 Vasalunds IF vs Sandvikens IF 1-2 30% 31% -3.0 25% 29% -16.4 46% 53% -13.5
02.09.23 Hammarby TFF vs Örebro Syrianska 0-0 59% 64% -7.6 22% 26% -17.0 19% 22% -11.0
02.09.23 IFK Stocksund vs Sandvikens IF 4-4 21% 21% 0.1 20% 23% -11.2 59% 68% -13.9
02.09.23 Nordic United vs Sollentuna United FF 1-2 53% 57% -7.9 23% 27% -15.0 25% 27% -9.8
03.09.23 Bodens BK FF vs Vasalunds IF 1-2 22% 24% -10.0 24% 29% -17.8 55% 60% -8.4
03.09.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Motala AIF FK 0-1 57% 62% -8.1 22% 26% -16.7 21% 24% -11.8
03.09.23 IF Karlstad vs Pitea IF 1-2 54% 57% -4.7 23% 28% -18.7 23% 28% -17.4
03.09.23 Täby FK vs Umeå FC 1-1 41% 43% -6.7 23% 26% -13.7 37% 43% -13.7
09.09.23 Dalkurd FF vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 2-1 47% 51% -7.0 24% 29% -16.4 29% 33% -12.5
09.09.23 Motala AIF FK vs Vasalunds IF 1-2 28% 30% -8.7 24% 29% -16.8 48% 53% -9.1
10.09.23 Hammarby TFF vs Bodens BK FF 4-0 54% 58% -6.4 23% 29% -18.3 22% 26% -13.2
10.09.23 Pitea IF vs Sollentuna United FF 1-0 31% 34% -9.9 24% 28% -15.2 46% 51% -9.2
10.09.23 Sandvikens IF vs IF Karlstad 6-0 67% 72% -7.3 18% 22% -16.9 15% 18% -16.3
10.09.23 Umeå FC vs IFK Stocksund 3-5 46% 49% -5.6 23% 27% -14.7 31% 36% -13.5
16.09.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TFF 1-0 52% 56% -5.9 24% 29% -18.2 24% 27% -12.6
16.09.23 IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC 2-2 44% 48% -6.7 24% 29% -16.2 32% 36% -13.0
16.09.23 Sollentuna United FF vs IF Sylvia Norrköping 1-0 69% 74% -6.5 17% 21% -16.9 14% 17% -16.6
16.09.23 Vasalunds IF vs Örebro Syrianska 2-0 70% 75% -5.5 17% 22% -20.7 12% 15% -20.4
17.09.23 IFK Stocksund vs Dalkurd FF 2-1 28% 31% -9.3 22% 26% -13.4 49% 55% -10.0
17.09.23 Nordic United vs Pitea IF 1-1 69% 74% -5.7 17% 21% -17.2 13% 16% -16.8
23.09.23 Hammarby TFF vs Motala AIF FK 0-2 54% 60% -9.1 23% 27% -16.1 23% 26% -9.6
23.09.23 IF Karlstad vs Sollentuna United FF 3-2 33% 36% -8.4 24% 28% -14.5 43% 48% -9.8
23.09.23 Örebro Syrianska vs IFK Stocksund 2-0 33% 36% -8.0 23% 27% -14.1 43% 49% -11.2
24.09.23 IF Sylvia Norrköping vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 1-0 23% 26% -10.0 22% 26% -14.9 55% 61% -9.1
24.09.23 Pitea IF vs Täby FK 0-0 56% 61% -8.7 21% 25% -14.8 23% 26% -11.6
24.09.23 Umeå FC vs Vasalunds IF 0-1 30% 32% -7.1 24% 29% -15.8 46% 52% -11.3
30.09.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Örebro Syrianska 0-2 56% 56% -1.1 22% 28% -19.7 22% 28% -20.5
30.09.23 Nordic United vs Vasalunds IF 1-0 48% 51% -6.2 24% 28% -15.8 28% 32% -11.8
30.09.23 Sollentuna United FF vs Sandvikens IF 0-1 30% 32% -8.0 23% 27% -14.3 47% 53% -10.4
30.09.23 Täby FK vs IF Karlstad 1-0 32% 35% -8.7 24% 28% -15.1 45% 50% -10.8
01.10.23 IFK Stocksund vs Pitea IF 0-1 46% 51% -10.7 24% 29% -16.2 30% 33% -9.1
01.10.23 Umeå FC vs Hammarby TFF 0-1 48% 52% -8.3 24% 29% -17.0 28% 31% -10.2
05.10.23 Pitea IF vs Umeå FC 3-0 41% 45% -9.5 25% 31% -17.2 33% 36% -8.2
06.10.23 Hammarby TFF vs IFK Stocksund 0-1 45% 49% -8.4 23% 28% -15.6 32% 36% -12.4
07.10.23 IF Karlstad vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 0-1 41% 44% -6.7 25% 29% -16.3 34% 38% -11.9
07.10.23 Vasalunds IF vs IF Sylvia Norrköping 4-0 78% 84% -6.9 14% 17% -17.7 8% 10% -15.3
08.10.23 Sollentuna United FF vs Bodens BK FF 3-1 63% 67% -5.9 20% 24% -17.9 17% 20% -15.8
14.10.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Sollentuna United FF 4-1 40% 43% -7.7 25% 29% -16.0 35% 39% -10.3
14.10.23 Nordic United vs IF Karlstad 3-1 58% 63% -8.0 21% 26% -17.6 21% 24% -15.5
14.10.23 Sandvikens IF vs Hammarby TFF 2-1 68% 71% -4.7 18% 22% -19.4 14% 18% -20.4
15.10.23 Bodens BK FF vs IFK Stocksund 0-2 45% 50% -10.3 24% 29% -16.9 31% 34% -9.5
15.10.23 IF Sylvia Norrköping vs Pitea IF 0-1 36% 42% -12.8 26% 31% -17.7 38% 40% -5.2
15.10.23 Täby FK vs Vasalunds IF 1-2 16% 19% -14.3 20% 24% -17.4 64% 69% -7.8
15.10.23 Umeå FC vs Motala AIF FK 3-0 47% 49% -3.8 24% 29% -18.1 29% 35% -16.8
21.10.23 IFK Stocksund vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 1-3 36% 40% -10.1 24% 29% -15.8 40% 44% -10.1
21.10.23 Sollentuna United FF vs Täby FK 2-2 60% 62% -4.8 20% 25% -18.4 20% 25% -19.6
22.10.23 IF Karlstad vs Bodens BK FF 1-0 54% 58% -7.6 23% 27% -16.2 23% 26% -11.5
22.10.23 IF Sylvia Norrköping vs Umeå FC 1-2 36% 41% -11.1 25% 29% -16.3 39% 43% -8.2
22.10.23 Pitea IF vs Vasalunds IF 2-0 24% 28% -14.4 23% 28% -17.2 53% 56% -5.3
28.10.23 Dalkurd FF vs IF Karlstad 1-2 58% 64% -8.2 21% 26% -16.4 20% 23% -11.7
28.10.23 Täby FK vs Hammarby TFF 4-0 38% 41% -7.6 26% 31% -17.0 37% 41% -10.0
28.10.23 Vasalunds IF vs Sollentuna United FF 1-0 54% 57% -5.1 23% 28% -17.8 23% 27% -15.1
29.10.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Pitea IF 2-2 52% 56% -7.1 23% 27% -15.9 25% 29% -12.2
29.10.23 Umeå FC vs Örebro Syrianska 0-1 43% 45% -4.7 25% 30% -17.7 32% 37% -14.3
04.11.23 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Sandvikens IF 1-1 24% 27% -9.7 23% 27% -15.8 53% 58% -9.1
04.11.23 IF Sylvia Norrköping vs Hammarby TFF 0-1 16% 17% -3.1 19% 22% -13.0 65% 72% -11.0
04.11.23 IFK Stocksund vs Vasalunds IF 1-0 33% 39% -15.6 24% 29% -16.2 43% 44% -3.4
05.11.23 Dalkurd FF vs Pitea IF 1-1 57% 61% -6.7 21% 26% -16.6 21% 25% -14.6
05.11.23 Motala AIF FK vs IF Karlstad 2-0 39% 44% -11.2 25% 29% -16.0 36% 38% -6.9
05.11.23 Umeå FC vs Sollentuna United FF 1-3 36% 39% -8.8 24% 29% -15.9 40% 45% -11.5
12.11.23 Hammarby TFF vs Dalkurd FF 3-1 39% 42% -5.8 26% 31% -17.8 35% 40% -12.3
12.11.23 IF Karlstad vs IFK Stocksund 2-0 39% 43% -9.4 24% 28% -15.1 37% 42% -11.2
12.11.23 Pitea IF vs Örebro Syrianska 3-1 60% 68% -12.2 21% 24% -13.1 20% 20% -2.0
12.11.23 Sandvikens IF vs Umeå FC 3-2 80% 87% -8.0 12% 14% -12.7 8% 9% -12.4
12.11.23 Sollentuna United FF vs Motala AIF FK 1-3 55% 58% -6.1 22% 26% -16.4 23% 27% -14.5
12.11.23 Vasalunds IF vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 1-4 48% 50% -4.4 24% 29% -17.6 29% 34% -16.8
29.03.24 FBK Karlstad vs Täby FK 0-2 40% 42% -4.5 25% 29% -16.6 36% 42% -14.4
29.03.24 Vasalunds IF vs Karlbergs BK 3-1 61% 66% -7.3 21% 25% -16.6 18% 20% -11.3
30.03.24 IFK Stocksund vs Friska Viljor FC 6-0 55% 61% -10.5 23% 27% -15.2 22% 24% -5.5
30.03.24 Örebro Syrianska vs FC Stockholm Internazionale 1-1 25% 27% -5.4 23% 28% -15.6 51% 58% -11.2
31.03.24 Sollentuna United FF vs Umeå FC 1-4 47% 49% -4.4 24% 29% -16.7 30% 35% -15.1
01.04.24 IF Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF 2-0 40% 43% -9.0 25% 30% -17.5 35% 40% -11.4
05.04.24 Täby FK vs Sollentuna United FF 2-2 46% 50% -7.1 24% 29% -17.1 30% 35% -14.4
06.04.24 Athletic FC United vs IF Karlstad 0-0 38% 38% 1.7 25% 30% -17.4 37% 44% -17.7
06.04.24 FC Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund 3-0 59% 64% -7.3 21% 25% -16.2 20% 23% -13.3
07.04.24 Friska Viljor FC vs FBK Karlstad 2-3 31% 32% -3.5 24% 28% -14.5 45% 52% -12.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 601 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 1914.13
2 Hammarby TFF 1847.83
3 IF Karlstad 1843.12
4 Athletic FC United 1835.08
5 FBK Karlstad 1727.72
6 FC Arlanda 1686.38
7 Umeå FC 1668.96
8 Assyriska FF 1660.20
9 Sollentuna United FF 1653.47
10 Vasalunds IF 1653.38
11 Enköping SK 1634.85
12 Gefle IF 1633.16
13 Karlbergs BK 1625.95
14 Pitea IF 1592.04
15 FC Järfälla 1540.40
16 IFK Stocksund 1491.22

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 1894.29
2 Hammarby TFF 1830.61
3 IF Karlstad 1781.68
4 FBK Karlstad 1709.30
5 Athletic FC United 1700.86
6 FC Arlanda 1674.06
7 Assyriska FF 1662.23
8 Enköping SK 1656.88
9 Umeå FC 1625.95
10 Vasalunds IF 1617.15
11 Gefle IF 1599.94
12 Sollentuna United FF 1584.94
13 Karlbergs BK 1574.26
14 Pitea IF 1509.54
15 FC Järfälla 1492.29
16 IFK Stocksund 1449.36