ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 583
Avg Goals 2.95
Avg Home 1.61
Avg Away 1.33
Home Win % 43.9%
Draw % 23.5%
Away Win % 32.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 583
Avg Brier Score 0.6180
Pick Accuracy 46.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6187
Market Brier 0.6166
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 583 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.8% 25.0% 8
10–20% 16.7% 15.1% 218
20–30% 24.7% 27.8% 745
30–40% 35.0% 33.3% 276
40–50% 44.7% 40.2% 229
50–60% 55.3% 47.5% 160
60–70% 63.9% 68.6% 86
70–80% 72.9% 84.0% 25
80–90% 85.8% 50.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Ariana FC vs Atvidabergs FF 6-0 53% 58% -8.7 24% 29% -14.7 23% 26% -12.1
05.08.23 Tvaakers IF vs BK Olympic Malmö 0-0 48% 51% -6.9 25% 29% -15.1 27% 32% -15.5
06.08.23 Lunds BK vs Torns IF 1-1 66% 68% -3.2 19% 24% -20.3 14% 19% -25.4
07.08.23 FC Trollhättan vs Ahlafors IF 4-1 75% 79% -5.0 14% 17% -17.5 11% 15% -26.6
10.08.23 Ängelholms FF vs Eskilsminne IF 1-1 16% 20% -19.1 20% 24% -15.9 64% 68% -6.2
12.08.23 Atvidabergs FF vs Tvaakers IF 1-0 34% 36% -6.8 26% 30% -13.9 40% 45% -12.0
12.08.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs IK Oddevold 1-2 24% 29% -15.1 24% 29% -15.1 51% 55% -6.3
12.08.23 Oskarshamns AIK vs Ariana FC 3-2 35% 40% -11.5 25% 29% -13.6 39% 43% -9.8
13.08.23 Falkenbergs FF vs Lunds BK 2-0 62% 66% -5.3 21% 25% -16.4 17% 21% -20.0
13.08.23 Norrby IF vs Ängelholms FF 6-0 67% 69% -4.1 19% 24% -18.5 14% 18% -22.9
14.08.23 Eskilsminne IF vs Torns IF 3-0 66% 69% -4.9 20% 24% -18.6 14% 18% -22.3
14.08.23 Vänersborgs IF vs FC Trollhättan 2-0 20% 23% -13.4 22% 25% -13.0 59% 64% -8.1
18.08.23 Lunds BK vs BK Olympic Malmö 2-2 61% 66% -7.0 21% 24% -14.3 18% 22% -17.5
19.08.23 Ariana FC vs Tvaakers IF 0-1 51% 56% -8.6 25% 29% -13.9 25% 28% -11.4
19.08.23 FC Trollhättan vs Oskarshamns AIK 3-0 71% 75% -4.9 17% 21% -18.4 12% 16% -24.7
19.08.23 Torns IF vs Atvidabergs FF 2-2 43% 47% -7.7 27% 31% -15.1 31% 34% -11.5
19.08.23 Ängelholms FF vs Ljungskile SK 1-0 30% 34% -12.7 25% 29% -14.2 45% 49% -8.4
20.08.23 IK Oddevold vs Eskilsminne IF 1-1 54% 56% -5.0 25% 30% -17.0 21% 25% -15.4
25.08.23 Ariana FC vs Torns IF 3-0 57% 60% -5.8 23% 28% -15.9 20% 24% -16.5
26.08.23 Atvidabergs FF vs Eskilsminne IF 1-2 27% 31% -13.9 26% 30% -15.4 47% 51% -6.0
26.08.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK 2-2 47% 50% -6.6 25% 29% -13.9 29% 34% -15.3
26.08.23 Tvaakers IF vs FC Trollhättan 0-3 26% 29% -8.7 25% 29% -13.7 49% 56% -11.3
26.08.23 Vänersborgs IF vs Lunds BK 0-2 29% 31% -8.7 26% 31% -14.9 45% 51% -10.3
27.08.23 Ängelholms FF vs IK Oddevold 0-5 10% 13% -22.4 17% 21% -19.3 73% 76% -4.8
01.09.23 Lunds BK vs Ariana FC 3-0 58% 63% -8.5 22% 26% -13.5 20% 23% -13.9
02.09.23 Eskilsminne IF vs BK Olympic Malmö 3-1 57% 61% -6.4 23% 27% -15.6 20% 24% -17.7
02.09.23 Falkenbergs FF vs Ängelholms FF 2-0 87% 92% -4.8 8% 10% -21.3 5% 6% -29.5
02.09.23 Norrby IF vs Atvidabergs FF 1-0 60% 65% -6.4 22% 26% -15.4 18% 22% -17.4
02.09.23 Oskarshamns AIK vs Tvaakers IF 0-4 39% 42% -8.4 25% 29% -13.4 36% 41% -12.1
04.09.23 FC Trollhättan vs Ljungskile SK 1-1 73% 78% -5.2 16% 19% -18.4 11% 15% -25.7
09.09.23 Ariana FC vs Eskilsminne IF 2-1 34% 39% -12.3 26% 30% -14.1 40% 43% -7.0
09.09.23 Atvidabergs FF vs Falkenbergs FF 1-1 16% 20% -20.0 21% 25% -17.4 63% 67% -5.0
09.09.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs Torns IF 1-1 45% 48% -5.5 25% 29% -14.7 30% 36% -16.3
09.09.23 Tvaakers IF vs Norrby IF 1-2 39% 43% -9.1 26% 30% -13.8 35% 39% -10.2
09.09.23 Ängelholms FF vs Ahlafors IF 1-1 35% 38% -9.6 25% 29% -12.7 40% 45% -11.4
10.09.23 Ljungskile SK vs Lunds BK 0-3 29% 34% -16.9 24% 29% -14.7 47% 50% -6.1
11.09.23 FC Trollhättan vs IK Oddevold 1-3 43% 47% -8.6 25% 29% -13.5 32% 36% -11.9
15.09.23 Lunds BK vs Ängelholms FF 1-2 84% 89% -5.7 11% 13% -18.4 5% 6% -23.4
16.09.23 Ahlafors IF vs Ariana FC 1-0 29% 33% -14.3 24% 28% -13.2 47% 51% -7.7
16.09.23 Eskilsminne IF vs Vänersborgs IF 3-1 58% 60% -4.2 22% 27% -17.0 20% 25% -20.7
16.09.23 Ljungskile SK vs BK Olympic Malmö 2-2 40% 44% -10.1 26% 30% -14.1 34% 38% -9.9
16.09.23 Torns IF vs FC Trollhättan 0-0 19% 22% -13.5 22% 25% -13.4 59% 65% -8.3
17.09.23 IK Oddevold vs Tvaakers IF 4-0 68% 72% -6.1 19% 23% -17.2 13% 16% -19.8
17.09.23 Oskarshamns AIK vs Atvidabergs FF 0-3 43% 47% -7.0 26% 30% -15.1 31% 36% -14.7
23.09.23 Ariana FC vs Falkenbergs FF 1-1 18% 21% -14.2 22% 26% -14.9 60% 65% -7.7
23.09.23 Atvidabergs FF vs FC Trollhättan 1-2 22% 27% -15.8 23% 27% -14.5 54% 58% -6.4
23.09.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs Ängelholms FF 1-0 67% 70% -5.0 19% 23% -16.8 14% 18% -21.9
23.09.23 Eskilsminne IF vs Oskarshamns AIK 0-1 68% 72% -5.9 19% 22% -16.4 13% 17% -20.5
23.09.23 Torns IF vs Tvaakers IF 1-1 38% 41% -7.9 27% 32% -15.9 35% 40% -11.8
24.09.23 Norrby IF vs Lunds BK 1-2 37% 42% -10.9 25% 29% -13.5 37% 42% -10.2
30.09.23 Ljungskile SK vs Eskilsminne IF 1-0 22% 26% -15.1 24% 29% -16.0 54% 58% -6.7
30.09.23 Lunds BK vs Atvidabergs FF 1-1 63% 67% -6.7 21% 25% -16.0 16% 20% -18.2
30.09.23 Tvaakers IF vs Ahlafors IF 3-0 54% 55% -2.6 24% 29% -16.8 23% 29% -20.4
01.10.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs Ariana FC 1-0 44% 49% -9.7 25% 29% -13.4 31% 36% -12.7
01.10.23 Ängelholms FF vs Vänersborgs IF 1-0 31% 37% -15.0 26% 30% -15.1 43% 45% -5.9
02.10.23 FC Trollhättan vs Norrby IF 3-4 57% 60% -4.8 22% 27% -16.1 21% 26% -20.3
07.10.23 Ahlafors IF vs Lunds BK 1-2 20% 23% -15.1 22% 26% -14.9 58% 62% -7.2
07.10.23 Ariana FC vs FC Trollhättan 2-2 26% 30% -15.7 24% 29% -14.9 50% 53% -6.2
07.10.23 Atvidabergs FF vs BK Olympic Malmö 2-1 44% 48% -7.0 25% 29% -13.8 30% 35% -13.4
07.10.23 Norrby IF vs Eskilsminne IF 2-1 42% 47% -9.8 25% 29% -13.4 33% 36% -10.4
07.10.23 Oskarshamns AIK vs Ängelholms FF 3-3 56% 60% -6.1 23% 28% -15.9 21% 25% -17.0
07.10.23 Tvaakers IF vs Falkenbergs FF 0-2 18% 21% -11.8 22% 26% -14.0 60% 65% -8.9
14.10.23 Ahlafors IF vs Atvidabergs FF 2-1 36% 39% -8.2 26% 30% -13.8 38% 43% -11.0
14.10.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs Vänersborgs IF 4-2 54% 58% -6.4 24% 28% -15.1 22% 27% -16.3
14.10.23 Lunds BK vs Oskarshamns AIK 0-2 72% 76% -6.2 17% 20% -16.1 12% 15% -21.6
15.10.23 Eskilsminne IF vs Tvaakers IF 1-0 57% 61% -5.8 23% 28% -16.4 20% 24% -17.2
15.10.23 Falkenbergs FF vs FC Trollhättan 5-1 51% 53% -4.2 24% 28% -14.4 25% 31% -17.9
15.10.23 Ängelholms FF vs Ariana FC 4-0 28% 34% -16.6 26% 31% -16.1 46% 48% -3.6
21.10.23 Ariana FC vs IK Oddevold 0-1 19% 23% -17.4 23% 27% -16.5 59% 62% -5.6
21.10.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs Norrby IF 0-0 34% 38% -11.5 25% 29% -12.8 41% 45% -9.7
21.10.23 Eskilsminne IF vs Ahlafors IF 0-1 70% 74% -5.2 18% 22% -18.0 12% 15% -22.5
21.10.23 Tvaakers IF vs Lunds BK 2-1 24% 27% -11.2 24% 29% -14.5 52% 57% -9.2
22.10.23 Atvidabergs FF vs Ljungskile SK 0-2 47% 51% -7.5 26% 31% -15.9 27% 31% -13.4
22.10.23 FC Trollhättan vs Ängelholms FF 7-0 73% 76% -3.9 16% 20% -20.1 11% 15% -27.0
28.10.23 Ahlafors IF vs BK Olympic Malmö 0-3 34% 38% -9.8 25% 28% -11.8 41% 47% -10.9
28.10.23 IK Oddevold vs Atvidabergs FF 4-0 75% 79% -5.1 15% 18% -17.1 10% 12% -23.2
28.10.23 Lunds BK vs FC Trollhättan 1-0 37% 38% -2.4 24% 28% -11.9 39% 47% -16.8
28.10.23 Ängelholms FF vs Tvaakers IF 1-1 37% 42% -10.9 26% 30% -14.2 37% 41% -9.7
29.10.23 Falkenbergs FF vs Eskilsminne IF 3-1 71% 78% -8.2 18% 21% -14.4 11% 13% -14.5
29.10.23 Vänersborgs IF vs Ariana FC 1-1 35% 39% -12.0 26% 30% -14.5 40% 43% -9.0
04.11.23 Ariana FC vs Ljungskile SK 2-1 42% 44% -4.4 26% 31% -15.7 31% 37% -15.8
04.11.23 Atvidabergs FF vs Ängelholms FF 0-2 53% 58% -7.8 23% 27% -13.4 24% 28% -15.0
04.11.23 BK Olympic Malmö vs FC Trollhättan 2-1 37% 43% -13.5 24% 28% -12.1 39% 42% -8.2
04.11.23 Tvaakers IF vs Vänersborgs IF 0-1 47% 50% -5.7 25% 29% -15.1 28% 33% -16.4
05.11.23 Eskilsminne IF vs Lunds BK 4-3 45% 51% -12.4 25% 29% -12.6 30% 32% -6.8
11.11.23 Falkenbergs FF vs BK Olympic Malmö 3-1 73% 79% -7.2 16% 19% -14.1 11% 13% -18.0
11.11.23 FC Trollhättan vs Eskilsminne IF 1-2 49% 56% -11.2 24% 27% -12.3 27% 30% -10.9
11.11.23 Ljungskile SK vs Tvaakers IF 2-0 62% 68% -8.7 21% 25% -14.5 16% 19% -13.5
11.11.23 Lunds BK vs IK Oddevold 0-2 26% 29% -9.2 24% 27% -12.1 50% 56% -10.5
11.11.23 Norrby IF vs Ariana FC 3-0 60% 65% -7.8 21% 24% -12.8 20% 24% -17.1
11.11.23 Vänersborgs IF vs Atvidabergs FF 3-2 41% 45% -9.5 26% 29% -13.1 33% 37% -10.1
11.11.23 Ängelholms FF vs Torns IF 0-0 38% 43% -11.7 25% 29% -12.3 37% 41% -8.4
29.03.24 Falkenbergs FF vs FC Trollhättan 1-1 56% 60% -6.2 23% 27% -15.4 21% 25% -17.4
29.03.24 Lunds BK vs FC Rosengard 1-0 61% 65% -6.0 22% 26% -17.1 18% 22% -19.4
30.03.24 Eskilsminne IF vs Tvaakers IF 0-0 54% 56% -4.1 25% 30% -17.6 21% 26% -17.5
30.03.24 Jönköpings Södra IF vs BK Olympic Malmö 1-0 54% 55% -2.2 24% 29% -17.1 23% 29% -21.0
31.03.24 Onsala BK vs Ariana FC 0-5 28% 30% -6.5 25% 29% -12.8 47% 53% -12.1
31.03.24 Ängelholms FF vs Norrby IF 0-3 25% 27% -7.3 25% 29% -13.4 51% 56% -10.5
06.04.24 Ariana FC vs Falkenbergs FF 0-2 31% 37% -16.8 25% 29% -14.5 44% 45% -3.2
06.04.24 BK Olympic Malmö vs Onsala BK 1-1 64% 66% -4.0 21% 25% -17.3 16% 20% -21.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 583 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Trelleborgs FF 1793.57
2 Lunds BK 1783.79
3 Jönköpings Södra IF 1761.98
4 Atvidabergs FF 1747.44
5 Ariana FC 1741.22
6 FC Trollhättan 1718.75
7 BK Olympic Malmö 1717.97
8 Hässleholms IF 1713.98
9 FC Rosengard 1681.74
10 Skövde AIK 1678.93
11 Laholms FK 1650.90
12 Eskilsminne IF 1643.55
13 Kristianstads FF 1625.79
14 Tvaakers IF 1620.76
15 Ängelholms FF 1617.86
16 Utsiktens BK 1369.20

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Trelleborgs FF 1751.76
2 Ariana FC 1702.94
3 Atvidabergs FF 1697.66
4 Jönköpings Södra IF 1690.54
5 Lunds BK 1687.21
6 FC Trollhättan 1651.23
7 BK Olympic Malmö 1649.42
8 Hässleholms IF 1635.65
9 FC Rosengard 1621.69
10 Kristianstads FF 1618.51
11 Tvaakers IF 1578.29
12 Ängelholms FF 1564.99
13 Skövde AIK 1555.87
14 Eskilsminne IF 1555.35
15 Laholms FK 1544.70
16 Utsiktens BK 1388.19