ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 407
Avg Goals 3.17
Avg Home 1.75
Avg Away 1.42
Home Win % 43.2%
Draw % 26.5%
Away Win % 30.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 407
Avg Brier Score 0.6195
Pick Accuracy 47.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6247
Market Brier 0.6199
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 407 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.1% 0.0% 6
10–20% 16.5% 19.0% 116
20–30% 25.1% 25.7% 552
30–40% 35.1% 38.1% 215
40–50% 44.6% 39.0% 154
50–60% 54.5% 49.1% 114
60–70% 64.8% 72.7% 55
70–80% 73.2% 55.6% 9
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Yxhults IK vs Grebbestads IF 1-1 28% 29% -5.0 27% 29% -6.3 45% 55% -17.5
05.08.23 Stenungsunds IF vs IFK Skövde 1-3 36% 38% -5.8 26% 28% -4.8 38% 47% -18.3
06.08.23 FBK Karlstad vs Herrestads AIF 3-2 43% 49% -11.8 27% 29% -6.0 30% 35% -13.5
06.08.23 Lidköpings FK vs Vanersborgs FK 1-0 54% 61% -11.7 25% 26% -4.3 22% 26% -14.4
11.08.23 BK Forward Örebro vs Grebbestads IF 0-0 51% 56% -10.5 25% 27% -5.1 24% 29% -15.6
11.08.23 Lidköpings FK vs IFK Skövde 0-0 28% 30% -7.9 25% 26% -3.6 47% 56% -15.9
12.08.23 Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs FK 3-1 58% 64% -8.9 24% 26% -7.3 18% 22% -18.1
13.08.23 Stenungsunds IF vs SK Sifhälla 4-1 60% 67% -10.2 23% 24% -5.4 17% 21% -17.5
18.08.23 IFK Skövde vs FBK Karlstad 0-1 39% 43% -8.1 26% 28% -5.2 35% 42% -18.0
19.08.23 Grebbestads IF vs Stenungsunds IF 3-0 37% 41% -10.5 27% 29% -6.7 36% 42% -14.6
19.08.23 Torslanda IK vs Herrestads AIF 0-0 45% 48% -6.3 27% 29% -7.9 28% 35% -18.8
19.08.23 Vanersborgs FK vs Yxhults IK 1-4 49% 54% -9.8 26% 29% -7.3 25% 29% -15.9
20.08.23 IK Zenith vs Lidköpings FK 0-0 33% 38% -11.4 26% 28% -5.4 40% 48% -15.4
25.08.23 Herrestads AIF vs IFK Skövde 0-2 41% 43% -6.8 27% 29% -6.8 33% 41% -19.6
25.08.23 IK Gauthiod vs Grebbestads IF 2-1 37% 41% -10.4 27% 29% -6.1 37% 43% -15.8
26.08.23 Stenungsunds IF vs Nordvärmland FF 0-1 62% 70% -11.3 22% 22% -3.2 16% 19% -15.8
27.08.23 Lidköpings FK vs SK Sifhälla 0-0 50% 56% -9.7 26% 28% -6.7 24% 29% -16.2
27.08.23 Vanersborgs FK vs Torslanda IK 0-2 25% 28% -11.2 25% 27% -5.7 50% 58% -13.7
01.09.23 Herrestads AIF vs SK Sifhälla 1-1 60% 67% -10.1 22% 24% -5.8 18% 22% -18.9
01.09.23 Vanersborgs FK vs IK Zenith 3-2 42% 47% -9.2 26% 28% -4.7 31% 37% -15.4
02.09.23 FBK Karlstad vs Grebbestads IF 2-2 55% 62% -11.3 24% 26% -5.2 20% 24% -14.9
02.09.23 Lidköpings FK vs Nordvärmland FF 1-1 55% 61% -10.8 24% 26% -5.3 21% 25% -16.1
02.09.23 Torslanda IK vs IFK Skövde 3-0 43% 47% -7.1 26% 28% -6.3 31% 38% -20.0
03.09.23 Yxhults IK vs Stenungsunds IF 1-2 31% 36% -14.3 26% 28% -6.0 43% 49% -12.4
09.09.23 IFK Skövde vs Vanersborgs FK 2-0 69% 77% -10.8 19% 20% -3.3 12% 14% -15.9
09.09.23 IK Zenith vs Herrestads AIF 4-0 25% 28% -8.6 27% 29% -7.1 48% 56% -14.5
10.09.23 BK Forward Örebro vs Stenungsunds IF 1-4 44% 51% -12.6 27% 29% -6.1 29% 33% -12.9
10.09.23 Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK 2-1 46% 52% -10.7 27% 29% -6.9 27% 32% -15.8
15.09.23 IFK Skövde vs Yxhults IK 3-2 66% 74% -10.8 20% 21% -3.5 14% 17% -17.9
15.09.23 Stenungsunds IF vs IK Gauthiod 3-1 51% 56% -10.3 25% 26% -5.2 24% 29% -17.1
16.09.23 BK Forward Örebro vs Lidköpings FK 2-0 51% 58% -12.2 25% 26% -3.9 24% 29% -14.9
16.09.23 Grebbestads IF vs Herrestads AIF 0-4 41% 47% -12.2 27% 29% -6.1 32% 38% -14.3
16.09.23 SK Sifhälla vs Vanersborgs FK 0-1 48% 54% -11.5 26% 27% -4.7 26% 31% -14.3
23.09.23 IK Gauthiod vs Lidköpings FK 3-2 50% 57% -12.8 25% 26% -4.0 25% 29% -12.9
23.09.23 Nordvärmland FF vs Vanersborgs FK 2-3 45% 51% -12.5 26% 28% -5.3 29% 33% -13.6
23.09.23 Stenungsunds IF vs FBK Karlstad 2-2 33% 37% -11.5 26% 27% -3.9 42% 49% -14.7
24.09.23 BK Forward Örebro vs Herrestads AIF 2-1 37% 41% -9.8 27% 29% -6.7 36% 42% -15.3
24.09.23 Grebbestads IF vs Torslanda IK 1-3 28% 30% -7.1 26% 27% -4.4 46% 55% -16.2
24.09.23 SK Sifhälla vs IFK Skövde 1-1 25% 28% -9.8 25% 27% -5.7 49% 58% -14.4
29.09.23 Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF 5-4 38% 45% -16.2 27% 29% -6.5 35% 39% -10.3
30.09.23 Herrestads AIF vs Nordvärmland FF 2-1 66% 74% -10.4 20% 21% -3.6 14% 17% -16.9
30.09.23 IFK Skövde vs IK Zenith 2-2 66% 75% -11.5 20% 20% -1.8 14% 17% -17.5
01.10.23 Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF 2-2 35% 39% -11.8 26% 28% -5.0 39% 45% -14.1
06.10.23 IFK Skövde vs BK Forward Örebro 3-2 51% 57% -10.8 25% 27% -5.7 24% 29% -16.5
07.10.23 Torslanda IK vs Stenungsunds IF 3-0 64% 73% -12.2 21% 22% -3.0 15% 17% -14.7
07.10.23 Vanersborgs FK vs IK Gauthiod 0-0 36% 42% -13.7 26% 27% -4.1 38% 43% -12.3
13.10.23 Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK 1-1 52% 59% -12.4 25% 26% -3.8 24% 28% -14.2
14.10.23 Grebbestads IF vs IK Zenith 3-2 43% 48% -8.7 25% 27% -4.7 31% 38% -19.1
14.10.23 IK Gauthiod vs Herrestads AIF 1-2 36% 39% -9.4 27% 29% -5.7 38% 44% -15.5
15.10.23 Lidköpings FK vs FBK Karlstad 0-1 22% 24% -11.6 24% 25% -4.8 55% 62% -12.6
15.10.23 Nordvärmland FF vs IFK Skövde 0-6 27% 31% -13.7 23% 24% -1.5 50% 57% -13.2
21.10.23 Herrestads AIF vs Stenungsunds IF 2-1 55% 62% -11.4 24% 24% -3.5 21% 25% -15.8
21.10.23 Vanersborgs FK vs BK Forward Örebro 1-0 32% 36% -9.2 27% 29% -7.0 40% 48% -15.6
21.10.23 Yxhults IK vs Lidköpings FK 0-2 37% 41% -10.6 25% 26% -2.5 38% 47% -17.2
04.05.24 IFK Kumla FK vs BK Forward Örebro 4-4 45% 51% -10.3 26% 28% -6.1 29% 34% -17.1
04.05.24 Motala AIF FK vs Grebbestads IF 5-5 39% 38% 3.5 25% 27% -6.2 36% 48% -25.2
04.05.24 Stenungsunds IF vs IFK Skövde 0-2 38% 44% -13.4 27% 29% -6.2 35% 40% -13.2
05.05.24 Lidköpings FK vs IK Kongahalla 0-1 38% 48% -19.6 26% 28% -5.8 36% 37% -4.0
09.05.24 Ahlafors IF vs IFK Kumla FK 0-0 67% 76% -12.0 20% 20% -0.7 13% 15% -12.4
09.05.24 IFK Skövde vs Motala AIF FK 4-2 60% 70% -14.4 23% 23% -0.6 17% 18% -5.5
11.05.24 Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs FK 3-0 41% 42% -0.8 27% 29% -8.9 32% 42% -23.5
11.05.24 Stenungsunds IF vs Lidköpings FK 0-0 42% 45% -8.6 27% 29% -6.4 32% 38% -17.5
12.05.24 BK Forward Örebro vs Herrestads AIF 0-1 28% 31% -9.0 26% 27% -4.6 46% 54% -15.3
12.05.24 Vänersborgs IF vs IK Gauthiod 0-3 55% 60% -7.0 24% 26% -7.9 21% 27% -22.2
17.05.24 Herrestads AIF vs Ahlafors IF 2-0 39% 45% -14.3 26% 28% -5.4 35% 40% -13.1
17.05.24 IK Kongahalla vs Vänersborgs IF 3-0 55% 66% -15.7 24% 24% -1.4 20% 22% -5.7
17.05.24 Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Skövde 1-2 28% 34% -17.4 27% 29% -9.4 45% 50% -9.3
18.05.24 IFK Kumla FK vs Grebbestads IF 0-2 38% 41% -6.0 26% 28% -5.7 35% 44% -20.3
18.05.24 Motala AIF FK vs Stenungsunds IF 3-3 37% 38% -3.4 26% 28% -5.6 37% 47% -21.2
19.05.24 Lidköpings FK vs SK Sifhälla 3-0 58% 65% -10.7 24% 25% -5.4 19% 22% -15.8
23.05.24 Ahlafors IF vs IK Gauthiod 1-0 61% 68% -9.8 23% 25% -8.1 16% 19% -17.8
24.05.24 Grebbestads IF vs Herrestads AIF 2-2 37% 40% -7.5 27% 29% -6.6 36% 43% -16.5
24.05.24 Motala AIF FK vs Lidköpings FK 0-0 31% 32% -3.2 26% 28% -5.1 42% 53% -19.4
24.05.24 Vänersborgs IF vs SK Sifhälla 2-1 51% 53% -2.3 26% 29% -12.3 23% 30% -24.8
25.05.24 IFK Skövde vs IFK Kumla FK 3-1 62% 72% -14.3 22% 22% -0.2 16% 17% -5.8
25.05.24 Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK 1-3 57% 63% -10.5 24% 26% -6.2 19% 23% -16.3
30.05.24 IK Gauthiod vs Grebbestads IF 3-2 33% 34% -2.8 27% 29% -6.2 40% 51% -20.3
31.05.24 Herrestads AIF vs IFK Skövde 0-1 36% 43% -14.7 27% 29% -6.2 37% 42% -11.5
31.05.24 IK Kongahalla vs Ahlafors IF 1-1 45% 53% -15.8 26% 28% -4.8 29% 31% -8.0
01.06.24 IFK Kumla FK vs Stenungsunds IF 4-1 34% 36% -7.5 27% 29% -6.7 39% 47% -16.3
01.06.24 Lidköpings FK vs Vänersborgs IF 1-0 50% 57% -11.7 27% 29% -7.1 23% 26% -12.6
02.06.24 Vanersborgs FK vs Motala AIF FK 2-2 52% 60% -13.8 24% 25% -2.2 24% 27% -11.3
06.06.24 Motala AIF FK vs IFK Kumla FK 5-5 44% 51% -13.4 26% 28% -5.3 30% 34% -13.2
07.06.24 Grebbestads IF vs IK Kongahalla 4-1 29% 33% -12.1 26% 28% -6.0 45% 52% -13.9
07.06.24 Vanersborgs FK vs Lidköpings FK 3-1 32% 38% -16.5 27% 29% -8.1 41% 45% -8.8
08.06.24 Ahlafors IF vs SK Sifhälla 1-1 70% 76% -8.9 19% 21% -8.2 11% 14% -20.8
08.06.24 BK Forward Örebro vs Vänersborgs IF 3-2 42% 49% -13.3 27% 29% -6.6 30% 34% -10.8
08.06.24 Stenungsunds IF vs Herrestads AIF 4-1 31% 31% -1.1 27% 29% -6.8 42% 52% -19.6
09.06.24 IFK Skövde vs IK Gauthiod 5-1 67% 76% -11.7 20% 20% -0.4 13% 14% -11.3
14.06.24 IK Kongahalla vs IFK Skövde 0-2 36% 43% -14.3 27% 29% -6.2 37% 42% -11.8
14.06.24 Lidköpings FK vs BK Forward Örebro 1-1 53% 60% -11.0 24% 26% -4.8 23% 27% -16.4
15.06.24 Herrestads AIF vs Motala AIF FK 2-1 58% 65% -10.6 23% 24% -4.9 19% 23% -17.1
15.06.24 IFK Kumla FK vs Vanersborgs FK 3-2 43% 50% -13.4 26% 28% -5.2 30% 35% -12.8
15.06.24 IK Gauthiod vs Stenungsunds IF 3-2 38% 41% -7.0 26% 27% -3.5 36% 44% -18.3
15.06.24 SK Sifhälla vs Grebbestads IF 0-2 28% 29% -1.2 26% 28% -5.2 45% 56% -19.6
16.06.24 Vänersborgs IF vs Ahlafors IF 3-1 28% 32% -13.8 27% 29% -8.2 45% 51% -10.6
19.06.24 Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads AIF 2-1 32% 36% -11.2 26% 28% -5.2 42% 49% -14.0
20.06.24 Grebbestads IF vs Vänersborgs IF 4-0 50% 57% -12.5 25% 27% -4.8 25% 29% -13.9
20.06.24 IFK Kumla FK vs Lidköpings FK 3-2 35% 41% -13.5 26% 28% -4.9 38% 43% -12.0
20.06.24 IFK Skövde vs SK Sifhälla 3-0 75% 84% -10.2 16% 16% -1.2 9% 11% -17.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 407 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Husqvarna FF 1655.98
2 IFK Skövde 1607.75
3 Skara FC 1587.08
4 Ahlafors IF 1573.28
5 Herrestads AIF 1468.31
6 Motala AIF FK 1465.60
7 Grebbestads IF 1463.90
8 IK Tord Jonköping 1455.10
9 Stenungsunds IF 1443.61
10 Vanersborgs FK 1392.22
11 Lidköpings FK 1372.75
12 IF Karlstad II 1369.80
13 IFK Kumla FK 1325.26
14 Vänersborgs IF 1285.10

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Husqvarna FF 1584.59
2 IFK Skövde 1543.34
3 Skara FC 1519.22
4 Ahlafors IF 1501.35
5 Grebbestads IF 1442.45
6 Motala AIF FK 1412.09
7 Herrestads AIF 1393.68
8 Stenungsunds IF 1384.66
9 IK Tord Jonköping 1338.94
10 IF Karlstad II 1334.71
11 IFK Kumla FK 1333.20
12 Vanersborgs FK 1333.13
13 Lidköpings FK 1296.23
14 Vänersborgs IF 1242.69