ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 365
Avg Goals 3.25
Avg Home 1.78
Avg Away 1.48
Home Win % 44.9%
Draw % 20.5%
Away Win % 34.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 365
Avg Brier Score 0.6172
Pick Accuracy 47.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6164
Market Brier 0.6182
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 365 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.2% 0.0% 4
10–20% 17.3% 20.2% 119
20–30% 23.5% 23.0% 447
30–40% 34.7% 40.4% 188
40–50% 44.7% 40.1% 172
50–60% 54.6% 55.2% 105
60–70% 64.5% 52.0% 50
70–80% 72.7% 87.5% 8
80–90% 83.2% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Nosaby IF vs Hässleholms IF 0-4 25% 29% -13.8 24% 29% -19.7 52% 55% -5.3
04.08.23 VMA IK vs Karlskrona AIF 0-0 15% 17% -13.6 19% 23% -17.4 66% 71% -6.7
05.08.23 IFK Berga vs Räppe GOIF 0-1 48% 53% -8.8 23% 29% -18.7 29% 31% -7.9
05.08.23 IFK Malmö FK vs IFK Trelleborg FK 4-0 33% 38% -11.7 23% 29% -18.0 43% 47% -7.1
05.08.23 Österlen FF vs FBK Balkan 1-1 39% 44% -11.3 24% 30% -19.3 36% 38% -6.1
11.08.23 IFK Hässleholm vs Karlskrona AIF 3-2 42% 47% -10.2 24% 29% -18.7 34% 37% -7.4
11.08.23 Nosaby IF vs IFK Simrishamn 2-0 42% 45% -8.0 24% 29% -19.2 34% 38% -10.6
12.08.23 FC Rosengard vs Räppe GOIF 3-2 63% 68% -7.8 20% 24% -18.8 17% 18% -6.4
13.08.23 Österlen FF vs Kristianstads FF 2-0 40% 45% -13.0 24% 29% -18.3 36% 38% -3.4
14.08.23 IFK Trelleborg FK vs FBK Balkan 2-2 48% 52% -6.9 23% 28% -18.2 29% 32% -10.1
18.08.23 IFK Simrishamn vs Österlen FF 4-1 37% 40% -7.2 24% 29% -17.5 39% 43% -9.6
19.08.23 FBK Balkan vs IFK Berga 1-4 46% 52% -10.9 23% 28% -17.2 31% 32% -4.4
19.08.23 Hässleholms IF vs IFK Trelleborg FK 1-0 68% 74% -8.4 18% 22% -18.4 14% 15% -6.6
19.08.23 Karlskrona AIF vs Nosaby IF 6-0 53% 58% -8.0 23% 29% -20.1 24% 26% -8.9
20.08.23 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Hässleholm 3-4 44% 49% -9.1 23% 29% -18.0 32% 35% -7.4
26.08.23 IFK Trelleborg FK vs Kristianstads FF 0-3 43% 48% -9.0 24% 30% -19.6 32% 35% -7.9
27.08.23 IFK Berga vs FC Rosengard 0-1 31% 33% -8.4 24% 29% -17.5 46% 50% -8.2
27.08.23 Nosaby IF vs Räppe GOIF 0-4 34% 37% -8.0 24% 29% -17.5 42% 47% -8.9
27.08.23 Österlen FF vs Karlskrona AIF 0-5 33% 36% -8.9 24% 29% -17.4 44% 48% -7.9
02.09.23 Hässleholms IF vs IFK Berga 6-0 69% 75% -7.0 18% 22% -20.4 13% 14% -9.8
02.09.23 IFK Simrishamn vs IFK Trelleborg FK 2-2 39% 44% -11.2 24% 29% -17.6 37% 39% -5.7
02.09.23 Räppe GOIF vs Österlen FF 3-1 57% 64% -9.9 20% 24% -17.3 22% 24% -7.9
02.09.23 VMA IK vs Nosaby IF 1-5 32% 36% -12.1 23% 29% -17.9 45% 48% -6.4
03.09.23 Karlskrona AIF vs IFK Malmö FK 0-2 65% 70% -8.2 18% 22% -17.1 17% 18% -6.8
09.09.23 Nosaby IF vs FC Rosengard 1-2 17% 19% -9.5 19% 22% -14.7 64% 71% -9.4
09.09.23 Österlen FF vs VMA IK 4-0 66% 72% -8.7 18% 21% -16.5 17% 18% -8.1
10.09.23 IFK Berga vs IFK Hässleholm 1-3 48% 54% -10.5 23% 28% -17.7 29% 30% -5.0
10.09.23 IFK Malmö FK vs Räppe GOIF 0-4 31% 36% -12.8 22% 27% -16.6 47% 50% -6.8
10.09.23 IFK Trelleborg FK vs Karlskrona AIF 1-1 31% 35% -10.6 24% 29% -17.7 45% 49% -7.0
15.09.23 IFK Hässleholm vs Nosaby IF 3-2 53% 58% -8.0 22% 27% -19.0 25% 28% -10.2
16.09.23 FC Rosengard vs Österlen FF 1-0 69% 74% -6.4 17% 21% -19.4 14% 16% -13.1
16.09.23 Karlskrona AIF vs FBK Balkan 1-0 51% 54% -5.2 22% 27% -19.1 27% 31% -13.9
16.09.23 Kristianstads FF vs IFK Berga 0-4 50% 57% -12.1 23% 28% -18.1 27% 28% -2.7
17.09.23 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Trelleborg FK 3-0 60% 66% -10.1 20% 24% -16.7 21% 22% -5.0
22.09.23 Karlskrona AIF vs Kristianstads FF 1-0 53% 57% -7.6 23% 29% -19.9 24% 27% -8.9
23.09.23 IFK Simrishamn vs IFK Berga 3-1 41% 47% -11.6 23% 29% -18.0 35% 38% -6.0
23.09.23 Räppe GOIF vs Hässleholms IF 1-3 34% 40% -16.0 23% 28% -17.4 43% 44% -2.2
24.09.23 FC Rosengard vs IFK Trelleborg FK 4-3 72% 78% -7.8 16% 20% -19.3 12% 14% -10.5
24.09.23 Nosaby IF vs Österlen FF 1-2 39% 43% -9.4 24% 29% -17.4 38% 41% -7.2
29.09.23 Hässleholms IF vs Karlskrona AIF 5-0 60% 65% -8.3 21% 26% -19.3 19% 21% -7.8
01.10.23 IFK Berga vs Nosaby IF 1-0 52% 56% -7.4 22% 27% -18.6 26% 29% -10.2
01.10.23 IFK Trelleborg FK vs VMA IK 0-1 69% 75% -7.9 17% 20% -16.8 15% 16% -8.4
01.10.23 Österlen FF vs IFK Hässleholm 1-2 41% 47% -12.1 24% 29% -17.5 36% 37% -4.0
06.10.23 FBK Balkan vs Nosaby IF 3-3 48% 51% -4.0 22% 27% -18.4 30% 35% -15.2
06.10.23 Karlskrona AIF vs Räppe GOIF 1-0 36% 38% -5.1 23% 29% -18.0 41% 47% -12.4
07.10.23 IFK Berga vs IFK Malmö FK 1-1 58% 64% -8.9 20% 24% -17.4 22% 24% -8.3
07.10.23 IFK Trelleborg FK vs Österlen FF 4-4 43% 48% -10.6 23% 27% -16.3 35% 37% -6.0
13.10.23 Karlskrona AIF vs IFK Berga 3-1 57% 62% -7.8 21% 26% -18.9 22% 24% -8.6
14.10.23 Nosaby IF vs IFK Trelleborg FK 3-1 51% 57% -11.1 21% 26% -16.4 28% 29% -5.6
15.10.23 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Simrishamn 2-2 51% 53% -3.8 24% 31% -22.1 24% 28% -12.8
15.10.23 Österlen FF vs IFK Malmö FK 3-2 60% 66% -9.7 19% 23% -16.2 21% 23% -8.3
22.10.23 IFK Berga vs Österlen FF 2-1 33% 36% -8.7 21% 25% -14.9 46% 52% -11.0
22.10.23 IFK Malmö FK vs Nosaby IF 2-3 27% 29% -5.5 22% 26% -15.6 51% 58% -11.7
22.10.23 IFK Simrishamn vs Karlskrona AIF 1-2 42% 47% -9.6 23% 28% -17.1 35% 38% -7.5
22.10.23 IFK Trelleborg FK vs IFK Hässleholm 2-2 29% 34% -15.6 22% 26% -17.0 49% 52% -5.3
22.10.23 Kristianstads FF vs Räppe GOIF 0-5 32% 36% -11.9 23% 28% -16.9 45% 48% -5.7
04.05.24 IFK Karlshamn vs Österlen FF 1-2 27% 29% -6.5 23% 27% -16.5 51% 56% -9.7
04.05.24 IFK Simrishamn vs Karlskrona AIF 1-1 27% 28% -2.4 22% 27% -16.3 51% 58% -12.5
05.05.24 IFK Trelleborg FK vs IFK Berga 4-1 32% 34% -7.4 23% 28% -17.0 45% 50% -10.0
10.05.24 Hässleholms IF vs IFK Karlshamn 4-1 84% 88% -5.4 11% 15% -22.8 5% 5% -10.5
10.05.24 Karlskrona AIF vs IFK Hässleholm 2-0 66% 74% -11.4 18% 21% -14.8 17% 17% 0.0
10.05.24 Nosaby IF vs FBK Balkan 1-2 39% 38% 2.2 23% 29% -18.8 38% 45% -17.5
11.05.24 Högaborgs BK vs IFK Berga 0-2 33% 37% -10.4 23% 28% -17.2 44% 48% -8.0
12.05.24 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Trelleborg FK 1-3 54% 56% -2.3 21% 27% -20.9 25% 30% -18.8
12.05.24 Österlen FF vs Kristianstads FF 2-1 49% 53% -8.2 22% 27% -17.4 29% 32% -9.7
17.05.24 IFK Karlshamn vs Karlskrona AIF 2-1 18% 22% -17.0 20% 24% -18.4 62% 65% -5.7
18.05.24 IFK Berga vs Österlen FF 4-1 32% 33% -4.8 23% 28% -17.1 45% 51% -11.8
18.05.24 IFK Simrishamn vs Nosaby IF 0-1 49% 55% -10.0 22% 27% -17.5 28% 30% -6.8
19.05.24 FBK Balkan vs Räppe GOIF 0-0 44% 49% -9.7 23% 29% -18.5 33% 36% -8.6
20.05.24 IFK Trelleborg FK vs Högaborgs BK 3-1 49% 53% -6.1 22% 27% -18.1 28% 32% -11.7
24.05.24 Karlskrona AIF vs Kristianstads FF 1-4 48% 50% -4.0 23% 29% -20.8 29% 34% -15.3
24.05.24 Nosaby IF vs IFK Hässleholm 1-2 37% 43% -12.9 24% 29% -18.0 39% 40% -3.0
25.05.24 Hässleholms IF vs IFK Berga 2-1 70% 74% -5.2 17% 22% -21.9 13% 16% -16.8
25.05.24 IF Lödde vs IFK Karlshamn 2-2 43% 43% 1.5 24% 29% -19.8 33% 40% -17.0
26.05.24 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Simrishamn 1-2 38% 41% -7.2 23% 29% -18.0 39% 43% -11.0
26.05.24 Österlen FF vs Högaborgs BK 2-1 55% 57% -3.3 21% 27% -20.6 23% 28% -16.2
27.05.24 FBK Balkan vs IFK Trelleborg FK 1-0 52% 55% -5.5 22% 27% -19.1 26% 30% -13.4
31.05.24 IFK Berga vs Karlskrona AIF 1-2 34% 36% -7.9 24% 29% -17.7 43% 48% -9.7
31.05.24 IFK Hässleholm vs Räppe GOIF 0-1 50% 55% -9.4 22% 27% -17.8 28% 31% -8.1
31.05.24 IFK Karlshamn vs Nosaby IF 4-0 43% 48% -8.9 24% 29% -18.9 33% 36% -8.3
01.06.24 IFK Trelleborg FK vs Österlen FF 7-1 35% 38% -6.1 23% 28% -17.5 42% 48% -12.5
06.06.24 Hässleholms IF vs Österlen FF 3-1 71% 75% -4.9 17% 21% -21.3 12% 15% -15.8
07.06.24 Nosaby IF vs Kristianstads FF 0-1 23% 26% -11.0 21% 26% -16.7 56% 61% -7.9
07.06.24 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Karlshamn 0-0 42% 43% -3.1 23% 28% -18.4 35% 42% -15.5
08.06.24 IFK Simrishamn vs IFK Trelleborg FK 2-5 43% 45% -4.8 23% 28% -18.1 34% 39% -13.4
09.06.24 IF Lödde vs IFK Berga 3-1 38% 42% -9.3 24% 29% -18.5 38% 42% -8.3
09.06.24 Karlskrona AIF vs Högaborgs BK 3-1 71% 76% -6.7 16% 20% -19.9 13% 15% -13.9
15.06.24 IFK Karlshamn vs FBK Balkan 2-1 41% 47% -11.6 23% 29% -18.0 35% 38% -6.1
15.06.24 IFK Trelleborg FK vs Hässleholms IF 1-2 16% 18% -9.6 20% 24% -16.9 64% 69% -8.2
15.06.24 Österlen FF vs Karlskrona AIF 2-2 30% 32% -7.5 24% 29% -17.6 47% 51% -9.1
16.06.24 IFK Berga vs Nosaby IF 2-0 51% 54% -6.3 23% 29% -20.1 27% 30% -12.4
16.06.24 Kristianstads FF vs Räppe GOIF 2-2 64% 68% -6.4 19% 24% -20.8 17% 19% -13.0
19.06.24 IF Lödde vs Österlen FF 0-4 39% 42% -8.7 24% 29% -17.8 38% 42% -8.8
19.06.24 IFK Hässleholm vs IFK Trelleborg FK 1-1 44% 48% -7.8 23% 28% -17.7 33% 37% -10.2
20.06.24 IFK Simrishamn vs IFK Karlshamn 1-2 46% 49% -5.8 23% 29% -18.9 31% 35% -11.9
20.06.24 Karlskrona AIF vs Hässleholms IF 1-1 26% 29% -9.6 23% 29% -18.2 51% 55% -7.5
20.06.24 Räppe GOIF vs IFK Berga 1-0 38% 40% -5.6 25% 30% -19.1 38% 42% -10.7
23.06.24 Nosaby IF vs Högaborgs BK 2-1 45% 48% -5.5 23% 29% -18.4 32% 36% -11.2
26.06.24 IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg FK 3-3 44% 48% -7.6 23% 29% -18.4 33% 36% -10.1
27.06.24 Karlskrona AIF vs IF Lödde 7-2 69% 76% -8.6 17% 21% -18.2 14% 15% -7.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 365 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 IFK Trelleborg FK 1639.19
2 Karlskrona AIF 1628.32
3 Oskarshamns AIK 1585.13
4 Vaxjo Norra IF 1486.63
5 IFK Berga 1485.19
6 Nosaby IF 1455.94
7 Österlen FF 1450.40
8 Sölvesborgs GoIF 1440.87
9 Linero IF 1427.95
10 Staffenstorp United 1376.92
11 Lilla Torg FF 1364.89
12 Torns IF 1343.55
13 Räppe GOIF 1342.57
14 IFK Karlshamn 1313.05

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Karlskrona AIF 1579.27
2 IFK Trelleborg FK 1527.89
3 Oskarshamns AIK 1527.79
4 IFK Berga 1426.08
5 Vaxjo Norra IF 1410.09
6 Nosaby IF 1373.22
7 Linero IF 1372.12
8 Staffenstorp United 1369.05
9 Sölvesborgs GoIF 1366.16
10 Österlen FF 1365.95
11 Lilla Torg FF 1337.98
12 Torns IF 1330.88
13 IFK Karlshamn 1301.68
14 Räppe GOIF 1197.24