ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 331
Avg Goals 3.64
Avg Home 2.02
Avg Away 1.63
Home Win % 48.3%
Draw % 18.7%
Away Win % 32.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 331
Avg Brier Score 0.5836
Pick Accuracy 51.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5841
Market Brier 0.5859
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 7
Value Bet Hit Rate 14.3%
ROI (flat stake) -25.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 7 of 331 matches had at least one · staked 7.00, profit -1.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 3 33.3% 3.00 2.25 75.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 4 0.0% 4.00 -4.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.5% 5.9% 17
10–20% 16.7% 16.0% 144
20–30% 23.5% 22.6% 385
30–40% 35.0% 38.8% 139
40–50% 45.0% 44.2% 129
50–60% 54.4% 51.0% 100
60–70% 64.5% 69.8% 53
70–80% 74.7% 76.2% 21
80–90% 85.7% 100.0% 4
90–100% 93.1% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Landvetter IS vs Lindome GIF 1-4 47% 51% -8.1 24% 29% -18.7 29% 32% -10.3
04.08.23 Onsala BK vs Tolo IF 2-1 73% 79% -6.7 16% 19% -18.6 11% 13% -14.6
04.08.23 Sävedalens IF vs Qviding FIF 4-3 26% 28% -6.3 23% 28% -17.4 51% 56% -9.2
06.08.23 Husqvarna FF vs BK Astrio 2-0 44% 48% -8.4 24% 29% -17.6 32% 35% -7.8
11.08.23 Sävedalens IF vs Lindome GIF 1-3 40% 44% -10.3 23% 27% -16.4 38% 42% -9.9
12.08.23 Laholms FK vs Qviding FIF 2-1 23% 24% -4.3 22% 27% -17.0 55% 61% -10.0
12.08.23 Landvetter IS vs Nässjö FF 2-2 59% 63% -7.1 21% 26% -19.0 20% 23% -12.5
13.08.23 Onsala BK vs BK Astrio 0-3 47% 50% -6.7 23% 29% -17.9 30% 34% -11.8
19.08.23 BK Astrio vs Hittarps IK 1-1 75% 82% -8.6 15% 17% -15.2 10% 11% -7.2
20.08.23 Lindome GIF vs Husqvarna FF 1-1 35% 38% -6.5 24% 29% -17.4 41% 47% -11.6
20.08.23 Qviding FIF vs Onsala BK 0-2 42% 44% -5.8 23% 28% -16.7 35% 40% -12.6
20.08.23 Tolo IF vs Landvetter IS 3-0 31% 32% -4.4 24% 29% -18.2 45% 51% -12.0
25.08.23 Landvetter IS vs Sävedalens IF 1-2 46% 49% -5.4 24% 29% -18.7 30% 34% -13.2
25.08.23 Varbergs GIF FK vs BK Astrio 2-0 34% 37% -9.3 23% 28% -16.9 43% 48% -9.1
26.08.23 Hittarps IK vs Qviding FIF 3-3 23% 24% -5.2 20% 23% -14.1 58% 65% -10.8
26.08.23 Laholms FK vs Lindome GIF 3-2 27% 28% -3.7 22% 26% -15.5 52% 59% -12.3
26.08.23 Onsala BK vs Västra Frölunda IF 2-1 55% 60% -7.7 22% 27% -18.1 23% 26% -11.8
02.09.23 BK Astrio vs Tolo IF 0-0 68% 74% -7.8 18% 22% -18.4 14% 16% -12.6
02.09.23 IK Tord Jonköping vs Landvetter IS 2-0 53% 58% -8.2 23% 28% -18.1 24% 27% -9.3
02.09.23 Lindome GIF vs Onsala BK 1-3 36% 38% -5.6 23% 28% -16.4 41% 47% -11.5
03.09.23 Qviding FIF vs Varbergs GIF FK 3-4 53% 58% -8.5 21% 26% -16.5 25% 29% -11.2
09.09.23 Hittarps IK vs Lindome GIF 2-1 29% 31% -5.2 22% 26% -15.4 49% 56% -12.6
09.09.23 IK Tord Jonköping vs BK Astrio 0-1 38% 42% -9.0 25% 30% -18.6 37% 41% -8.4
09.09.23 Landvetter IS vs Husqvarna FF 2-3 26% 26% 1.0 23% 27% -16.4 52% 60% -13.5
09.09.23 Tolo IF vs Qviding FIF 1-2 33% 36% -10.1 23% 28% -17.2 44% 49% -9.2
10.09.23 Onsala BK vs Nässjö FF 2-1 76% 82% -7.9 15% 17% -16.5 10% 11% -10.3
15.09.23 Lindome GIF vs Varbergs GIF FK 2-0 42% 45% -6.6 22% 26% -15.8 35% 41% -13.3
16.09.23 BK Astrio vs Landvetter IS 3-2 67% 73% -8.7 19% 23% -17.7 15% 16% -8.5
16.09.23 Sävedalens IF vs Onsala BK 0-2 23% 24% -5.3 21% 26% -16.5 56% 62% -10.6
17.09.23 Qviding FIF vs IK Tord Jonköping 1-1 46% 51% -8.5 23% 28% -16.8 31% 34% -9.4
23.09.23 Laholms FK vs Onsala BK 2-0 24% 26% -8.2 22% 26% -17.6 55% 61% -9.6
23.09.23 Lindome GIF vs IK Tord Jonköping 4-3 41% 44% -8.0 24% 29% -17.6 36% 40% -11.1
23.09.23 Västra Frölunda IF vs BK Astrio 1-0 43% 48% -10.3 25% 30% -18.6 33% 35% -6.4
24.09.23 Qviding FIF vs Landvetter IS 2-3 60% 66% -9.1 20% 24% -16.6 20% 22% -8.8
30.09.23 BK Astrio vs Qviding FIF 2-1 55% 61% -11.0 21% 25% -15.7 24% 26% -7.4
30.09.23 Landvetter IS vs Laholms FK 0-4 40% 42% -3.5 24% 29% -17.7 36% 43% -14.8
30.09.23 Tolo IF vs Lindome GIF 2-0 40% 44% -9.4 23% 28% -16.9 37% 41% -10.2
01.10.23 Onsala BK vs Husqvarna FF 1-0 49% 53% -8.0 22% 27% -16.7 29% 32% -11.5
07.10.23 Landvetter IS vs Hittarps IK 1-1 44% 45% -3.8 22% 27% -17.3 34% 41% -16.9
07.10.23 Qviding FIF vs Nässjö FF 5-1 75% 83% -9.1 14% 17% -13.1 10% 11% -3.7
07.10.23 Varbergs GIF FK vs Onsala BK 2-1 30% 31% -3.4 22% 26% -15.2 49% 56% -13.7
08.10.23 BK Astrio vs Sävedalens IF 1-2 65% 72% -9.3 18% 22% -15.0 16% 17% -6.2
08.10.23 Västra Frölunda IF vs Lindome GIF 3-2 65% 74% -11.1 18% 21% -13.4 16% 17% -1.5
13.10.23 Lindome GIF vs Qviding FIF 0-2 47% 55% -14.4 22% 26% -15.3 31% 31% -1.1
14.10.23 Onsala BK vs Hittarps IK 1-0 71% 76% -7.4 16% 19% -16.2 13% 15% -13.4
14.10.23 Västra Frölunda IF vs Landvetter IS 4-1 69% 75% -8.2 17% 21% -17.1 14% 15% -10.9
15.10.23 Nässjö FF vs BK Astrio 0-3 20% 21% -4.5 22% 27% -18.3 58% 65% -9.6
22.10.23 BK Astrio vs Lindome GIF 3-0 71% 81% -12.6 16% 18% -10.5 13% 11% 10.7
22.10.23 Landvetter IS vs Onsala BK 2-1 25% 26% -3.7 20% 23% -13.1 55% 62% -11.6
22.10.23 Qviding FIF vs Västra Frölunda IF 0-6 21% 19% 7.8 19% 22% -11.6 60% 70% -14.4
28.03.24 Husqvarna FF vs Qviding FIF 2-2 56% 60% -6.1 21% 26% -17.8 23% 27% -14.8
28.03.24 Landvetter IS vs Västra Frölunda IF 2-3 39% 44% -12.3 23% 27% -16.0 38% 41% -6.1
05.05.24 Bergdalens IK vs Qviding FIF 3-5 33% 28% 17.1 21% 24% -13.4 47% 60% -22.2
05.05.24 Jonsereds IF vs BK Astrio 0-2 13% 11% 23.9 17% 19% -10.3 70% 81% -13.8
05.05.24 Lindome GIF vs Hittarps IK 0-0 70% 81% -13.7 16% 17% -6.8 14% 12% 17.1
10.05.24 Landvetter IS vs Jonsereds IF 5-1 74% 83% -11.1 15% 16% -8.9 11% 11% 5.2
10.05.24 Ockero IF vs Lindome GIF 1-3 33% 36% -8.3 24% 29% -17.2 44% 48% -8.5
11.05.24 BK Astrio vs Qviding FIF 3-1 68% 74% -7.6 17% 21% -17.6 15% 17% -14.6
17.05.24 Lindome GIF vs Västra Frölunda IF 3-3 33% 38% -13.4 23% 28% -17.2 44% 47% -4.7
18.05.24 Jonsereds IF vs Laholms FK 2-0 24% 23% 6.6 22% 26% -15.1 54% 64% -15.2
18.05.24 Qviding FIF vs Landvetter IS 5-1 37% 42% -10.9 22% 26% -15.5 41% 44% -8.5
19.05.24 Bergdalens IK vs BK Astrio 2-1 14% 15% -8.1 17% 20% -16.4 69% 76% -9.4
25.05.24 Hittarps IK vs Jonsereds IF 3-3 43% 45% -4.7 24% 29% -17.7 33% 38% -13.7
26.05.24 IK Tord Jonköping vs Lindome GIF 1-2 40% 41% -2.8 27% 33% -20.4 34% 38% -12.1
26.05.24 Laholms FK vs Qviding FIF 4-0 48% 50% -4.6 23% 28% -18.0 30% 35% -15.2
26.05.24 Landvetter IS vs BK Astrio 3-2 35% 39% -11.7 23% 28% -17.0 42% 45% -6.9
31.05.24 Bergdalens IK vs Landvetter IS 2-2 19% 20% -6.8 20% 24% -16.9 62% 68% -9.5
01.06.24 BK Astrio vs Laholms FK 1-1 61% 64% -5.0 20% 25% -19.2 19% 23% -16.5
02.06.24 Jonsereds IF vs Ockero IF 1-1 49% 52% -5.3 22% 27% -17.2 29% 34% -14.9
02.06.24 Lindome GIF vs Husqvarna FF 2-3 37% 39% -6.7 24% 29% -17.6 39% 43% -9.9
02.06.24 Qviding FIF vs Hittarps IK 1-0 65% 72% -10.4 19% 22% -14.8 17% 17% -4.8
07.06.24 Lindome GIF vs Bergdalens IK 3-3 59% 64% -7.2 20% 24% -17.2 21% 24% -13.2
07.06.24 Ockero IF vs Qviding FIF 0-3 33% 36% -6.4 22% 27% -15.8 44% 50% -11.8
09.06.24 Hittarps IK vs BK Astrio 0-3 17% 18% -9.0 18% 22% -16.8 65% 70% -7.8
09.06.24 Laholms FK vs Landvetter IS 1-1 45% 50% -9.4 23% 28% -16.7 32% 34% -8.5
09.06.24 Västra Frölunda IF vs Jonsereds IF 1-2 76% 83% -8.1 14% 17% -15.6 10% 11% -10.2
14.06.24 Sävedalens IF vs Lindome GIF 2-2 25% 24% 0.5 21% 25% -14.8 54% 62% -13.3
15.06.24 BK Astrio vs Ockero IF 2-1 75% 81% -6.5 15% 18% -18.7 10% 11% -13.9
15.06.24 Jonsereds IF vs IK Tord Jonköping 1-2 32% 32% -0.5 23% 27% -16.1 45% 53% -15.0
15.06.24 Landvetter IS vs Hittarps IK 4-1 69% 77% -10.3 17% 20% -13.6 14% 14% -0.5
15.06.24 Qviding FIF vs Västra Frölunda IF 2-2 33% 37% -11.9 22% 27% -16.4 45% 49% -7.6
19.06.24 Ockero IF vs Landvetter IS 1-2 28% 30% -7.2 21% 25% -15.1 51% 57% -11.3
20.06.24 Husqvarna FF vs Jonsereds IF 1-0 67% 73% -7.7 18% 21% -16.1 15% 17% -10.4
20.06.24 IK Tord Jonköping vs Qviding FIF 0-1 47% 51% -6.7 23% 28% -17.2 30% 34% -11.8
20.06.24 Lindome GIF vs Varbergs GIF FK 3-0 39% 41% -4.1 24% 29% -18.1 37% 43% -13.6
20.06.24 Västra Frölunda IF vs BK Astrio 4-3 47% 52% -9.2 24% 29% -17.8 29% 32% -8.7
27.06.24 Qviding FIF vs Lindome GIF 2-2 46% 50% -8.1 22% 26% -16.1 32% 36% -12.1
28.06.24 Landvetter IS vs IK Tord Jonköping 1-3 48% 51% -5.9 22% 27% -16.6 30% 35% -13.8
29.06.24 BK Astrio vs Husqvarna FF 5-0 51% 55% -6.7 23% 28% -17.7 26% 29% -11.2
30.06.24 Jonsereds IF vs Sävedalens IF 3-1 46% 48% -4.2 23% 28% -17.6 31% 37% -15.0
03.08.24 Lindome GIF vs Jonsereds IF 1-3 62% 68% -8.6 19% 23% -16.7 19% 22% -13.0
03.08.24 Qviding FIF vs Husqvarna FF 3-1 41% 47% -12.5 22% 26% -15.2 37% 39% -5.6
04.08.24 IK Tord Jonköping vs BK Astrio 0-0 29% 30% -2.8 21% 25% -14.5 49% 57% -13.9
04.08.24 Västra Frölunda IF vs Landvetter IS 0-1 55% 61% -8.7 21% 24% -15.6 24% 27% -11.0
09.08.24 Sävedalens IF vs Qviding FIF 0-2 25% 26% -2.4 21% 24% -13.7 54% 62% -12.3
10.08.24 Lindome GIF vs BK Astrio 2-3 33% 35% -5.9 22% 27% -16.0 45% 51% -12.6
11.08.24 Husqvarna FF vs Landvetter IS 4-1 47% 50% -6.1 24% 29% -17.7 30% 33% -11.4
11.08.24 Varbergs GIF FK vs Jonsereds IF 3-2 65% 71% -8.9 19% 22% -16.6 16% 18% -9.8
16.08.24 Landvetter IS vs Lindome GIF 1-0 48% 51% -5.8 22% 26% -16.6 30% 36% -14.7
17.08.24 BK Astrio vs Sävedalens IF 2-0 77% 83% -7.2 14% 17% -18.5 9% 11% -13.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 331 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Landvetter IS 1677.18
2 Dalstorps IF 1543.46
3 Lindome GIF 1532.76
4 Qviding FIF 1512.95
5 Västra Frölunda IF 1507.69
6 Astorps FF 1496.96
7 Torslanda IK 1489.62
8 Hestrafors IF 1484.39
9 Onsala BK 1483.03
10 IF Boljan Falkenberg 1463.35
11 Jonsereds IF 1446.62
12 Galtabacks BK 1432.43
13 IK Kongahalla 1415.14
14 BK Astrio 1259.23

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Landvetter IS 1588.66
2 Astorps FF 1478.04
3 Västra Frölunda IF 1466.11
4 Dalstorps IF 1466.11
5 Onsala BK 1462.46
6 Hestrafors IF 1454.02
7 Torslanda IK 1444.38
8 Jonsereds IF 1433.68
9 Lindome GIF 1426.35
10 Qviding FIF 1421.51
11 IF Boljan Falkenberg 1394.03
12 Galtabacks BK 1349.09
13 IK Kongahalla 1315.40
14 BK Astrio 1233.35